Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. The Trump Stock Market Trap May Be Triggered - Barry_M_Ferguson
2.Why are Central Banks Buying Gold and Dumping Dollars? - Richard_Mills
3.US China War - Thucydides Trap and gold - Richard_Mills
4.Gold Price Trend Forcast to End September 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Money Saving Kids Gardening Growing Giant Sunflowers Summer Fun - Anika_Walayat
6.US Dollar Breakdown Begins, Gold Price to Bolt Higher - Jim_Willie_CB
7.INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing to Profit From AI Machine Learning Boom - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Will Google AI Kill Us? Man vs Machine Intelligence - N_Walayat
9.US Prepares for Currency War with China - Richard_Mills
10.Gold Price Epochal Breakout Will Not Be Negated by a Correction - Clive Maund
Last 7 days
Fed Too Late To Prevent US Real Estate Market Crash? - 22nd Aug 19
Retail Sector Isn’t Dead. It’s Growing and Pays 6%+ Dividends - 22nd Aug 19
FREE Access EWI's Financial Market Forecasting Service - 22nd Aug 19
Benefits of Acrobits Softphone - 22nd Aug 19
How to Protect Your Site from Bots & Spam? - 21st Aug 19
Fed Too Late To Prevent A US Housing Market Crash? - 21st Aug 19
Gold and the Cracks in the U.S., Japan and Germany’s Economic Data - 21st Aug 19
The Gold Rush of 2019 - 21st Aug 19
How to Play Interest Rates in US Real Estate - 21st Aug 19
Stocks Likely to Breakout Instead of Gold - 21st Aug 19
Top 6 Tips to Attract Followers On SoundCloud - 21st Aug 19
WAYS TO SECURE YOUR FINANCIAL FUTURE - 21st Aug 19
Holiday Nightmares - Your Caravan is Missing! - 21st Aug 19
UK House Building and House Prices Trend Forecast - 20th Aug 19
The Next Stock Market Breakdown And The Setup - 20th Aug 19
5 Ways to Save by Using a Mortgage Broker - 20th Aug 19
Is This Time Different? Predictive Power of the Yield Curve and Gold - 19th Aug 19
New Dawn for the iGaming Industry in the United States - 19th Aug 19
Gold Set to Correct but Internals Remain Bullish - 19th Aug 19
Stock Market Correction Continues - 19th Aug 19
The Number One Gold Stock Of 2019 - 19th Aug 19
The State of the Financial Union - 18th Aug 19
The Nuts and Bolts: Yield Inversion Says Recession is Coming But it May take 24 months - 18th Aug 19
Markets August 19 Turn Date is Tomorrow – Are You Ready? - 18th Aug 19
JOHNSON AND JOHNSON - JNJ for Life Extension Pharma Stocks Investing - 17th Aug 19
Negative Bond Market Yields Tell A Story Of Shifting Economic Stock Market Leadership - 17th Aug 19
Is Stock Market About to Crash? Three Charts That Suggest It’s Possible - 17th Aug 19
It’s Time For Colombia To Dump The Peso - 17th Aug 19
Gold & Silver Stand Strong amid Stock Volatility & Falling Rates - 16th Aug 19
Gold Mining Stocks Q2’19 Fundamentals - 16th Aug 19
Silver, Transports, and Dow Jones Index At Targets – What Direct Next? - 16th Aug 19
When the US Bond Market Bubble Blows Up! - 16th Aug 19
Dark days are closing in on Apple - 16th Aug 19
Precious Metals Gone Wild! Reaching Initial Targets – Now What’s Next - 16th Aug 19
US Government Is Beholden To The Fed; And Vice-Versa - 15th Aug 19
GBP vs USD Forex Pair Swings Into Focus Amid Brexit Chaos - 15th Aug 19
US Negative Interest Rates Go Mainstream - With Some Glaring Omissions - 15th Aug 19
GOLD BULL RUN TREND ANALYSIS - 15th Aug 19
US Stock Market Could Fall 12% to 25% - 15th Aug 19
A Level Exam Results School Live Reaction Shock 2019! - 15th Aug 19
It's Time to Get Serious about Silver - 15th Aug 19
The EagleFX Beginners Guide – Financial Markets - 15th Aug 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

The No 1 Gold Stock for 2019

China Sees Buying Opportunity in Gold and Crude Oil Drop

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009 Nov 30, 2009 - 07:42 AM GMT

By: Adrian_Ash

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTHE PRICE OF GOLD traded in a wide 1.5% range early Monday in London, bouncing fast from a dip to $1165 as world stock markets reversed last week's gains and crude oil slipped below $76 per barrel.

The "safe haven" US Dollar rose on the forex market, alongside the Japanese Yen.


French and German investors looking to buy gold saw the price retreat to a four-session low by the AM Fix in London, down 1.1% from last week's all-time record Fix of €787.24 per ounce.

Gold priced in British Pounds traded at £710 an ounce by lunchtime, some 2.3% below Friday's new record intra-day peak.

"This has once again presented a [gold] buying opportunity," says one London dealer in a note today.

"Even when gold succumbs to cashing out, it faces renewed demand on dips," agrees a Tokyo analyst, speaking to Reuters.

"We expect a certain amount of consolidation at these levels," cautions the latest technical analysis from Scotia Mocatta.

"Signals are that the Dollar is due for something of a recovery soon," says Phil Smith in his Reuters Gold Technical Analysis, "[and] the Dollar does influence the Gold Price to a large extent."

Silver also ticked lower before bouncing on Monday, turning higher 4.3% below last Monday's 15-month high of $18.99 per ounce.

This morning in Dubai – the Middle East's central "hub" for gold dealing and retail – the world's biggest privately-owned real estate fund, Nakheel, asked for trading in three of its Islamic debt bonds to be suspended.

The move followed Thursday "debt freeze" request by its parent, Dubai World, the state-owned investment fund holding stakes in assets as diverse as Turnberry Golf Course, Montreal's Cirque du Soleil circus, and the QEII cruise liner.

Dubai's domestic stock market, open for the first time since Thursday's announcement, meantime fell 7%. It is now closed again for the rest of the week for a series of Islamic and national holidays.

"[This] could give China a buying opportunity to put some forex reserves into gold or oil reserves," says Ji Xiaonan, chair of the Chinese State Council's supervisory board for its investment funds, quoted today by the influential Economic Information Daily.

"If the gold price comes down for a while, we might take the opportunity to buy a bit," it also quotes economist Li Yining.

"[But] strictly speaking," the newspaper also quotes Wu Nianlu, a professor at the graduate school of the People's Bank of China, "almost half of our country's foreign exchange reserve is not stable in value and is of high risk," referring to Beijing's existing non-bond investments.

Today's Times of London says that private gold-buying in China will lead the world for 2009 as a whole – confirming what BullionVault forecast in Sept. and quoting senior figures at this weekend's conference of the China Gold Association.

"Demand in 2008 was 395.6 tons, senior figures in the trade body said, but the total figure by the end of 2009 could be well over the 450-ton mark," the paper reports.

Over in India on Monday – formerly source of the world's No.1 private gold demand – the government reported surprise GDP growth of 7.9% year-on-year for the July-Oct. period.

Local gold prices dipped to 17,850 Rupees per 10 grams as the Indian currency rose on the news.

"Certainly there is interest at lower levels due to weddings," said a Mumbai bank dealer to Reuters. "[But a] correction is on," countered a market analyst to the Economic Times.

"Our [gold] bias is on the negative side of profit-taking and Rupee appreciation."

India's fiscal deficit over the 6 months ending October was 61% of the government's full-year target, with expenditure outpacing tax receipts by 150%.

The world's second-most populous nation saw food-price inflation reach a record high of 15.5% this month.

"The fundamentals that are currently driving the price of gold higher have not changed," writes South Africa bullion-dealer David Levenstein at MineWeb today – "the lack of confidence that investors have regarding the major currencies, especially the US Dollar, and the changing attitude of central banks.

"While we have seen the price of crude oil have an influence on the gold price, recently this relationship doesn't seem that important."

After India bought 200 tonnes of IMF gold in October, Sri Lanka bought 10 tonnes last week and Mauritius said it acquired two tonnes of metal.

The Russian central bank says it added 15.6 tonnes of gold to its Bullion reserves during October, swelling its hoard by 15% from the end of last year to more than 580 tonnes.

"Unlike its Indian counterpart," as MineWeb notes, "Russia's central bank bought gold produced by the country's own gold mines."

Russian gold miners plan on growing their output by 11% this year, but Australia has now overtaken the United States as the world's No.2 producing nation, MiningWeekly reports, while China's output will confirm its No.1 slot and South Africa falls into fourth place.

"With the continued decline in South African output and lower production in the US in the first half of 2009, Australia has regained the number-two spot," says Dr Sandra Close, director of the Surbiton Associates consultancy behind the analysis.

"Few people seem to realize just how important the gold industry is to Australia."

China's largest gold mining firm, Zijin Mining, today suspended trading in its shares pending an announcement regarding an acquisition.

By Adrian Ash
BullionVault.com

Gold price chart, no delay | Free Report: 5 Myths of the Gold Market
Formerly City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning in London and a regular contributor to MoneyWeek magazine, Adrian Ash is the editor of Gold News and head of research at www.BullionVault.com , giving you direct access to investment gold, vaulted in Zurich , on $3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

(c) BullionVault 2009

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

Adrian Ash Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules