Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Get Ready for Another 2008-Style Financial Crisis - Dr_Martenson
2.The Coming Generational Storm, Living Beyond Our Children's Means and Doing Ponzi Proud - Laurence Kotlikoff and Scott Burns
3.Facebook IPO May Break the Stock Market and Initiate a Free Fall Crash - Steven_Vincent
4.Looming Reversal of Centralization as Empires Disintegrate - Gary_North
5.High Risk of Near Term Global Financial, Stock Market Crash - Steven_Vincent
6.FaceBook $100 Billion Internet IPO Emperor Has No Clothes, Investors Could Lose 85% - Nadeem_Walayat
7.The Pacific Ocean Is Dying: Special Report On Fukushima Nuclear Catastrophe - T_Anthony_Michael
8.Stock Markets Remain Addicted to QE, Why We're Turning Japanese - Keith Fitz-Gerald
9.Economic Recovery Via Shared Sacrifice, Cutting Government Spending, Deficit and Debts - Lacy Hunt
10.Blue-Chip Dividend Growth Stocks Are Today’s Strong Option For Retirement Portfolios - Charles_Carnevale
Last 5 Days Analysis
U.S. Presidential Election 2012: Forget Bailouts, We Need a Shakeout - 23rd May 12
Biotechnology Pushes the Boundaries of Life, It's Like Having a "Fountain of Youth" in a Bottle - 23rd May 12
Economic Recovery or Collapse? Bet on Collapse - Financial Crisis Could Destroy Western Civilization - 23rd May 12
Hedge Funds Re-evaluate Gold’s Potential - 23rd May 12
Gold and Silver Long-Term Trading Signal - 23rd May 12
Europe One Nation (Under Germany) - 23rd May 12
U.S. Housing Market Is Stabilizing - 23rd May 12
What Is Volume Telling Us about Gold Stocks? - 22nd May 12
Has Gold Finally Bottomed ? - 22nd May 12
Silver Presenting Excellent Risk Reward Opportunity - 22nd May 12
Stock Market Retracement Rally is Nearly Over - 22nd May 12
Mining Stocks: How Long Will the Downturn Last? - 22nd May 12
Mobile Wallet Technology: The Giant Killers in the Weeds - 22nd May 12
Swiss Parliament Examines ‘Gold Franc’ Currency Today - 22nd May 12
Australia's War Waging Strategy Despite Lack of Threats and Enemies - 22nd May 12
SPY Bounced, XLF and FXE Not So High - 22nd May 12
The People Have Spoken, Gold and Silver Markets Will Soar - 22nd May 12
Real Gold Price Holds the Cards for Gold Bullion and Gold Stocks - 22nd May 12
Gold: The World's Friend for 5,000 Years - 22nd May 12
How a Simple Line Can Improve Your Trading Success - 21st May 12
Stock, Forex and Commodity Markets Analysis and Trading Charts Setups - 21st May 12
FTSE - A rose between two thorns - MAP Analysis - 21st May 12
Full-Fledged European Bank Run Underway; Monetarist Fools are Everywhere; Believe in Gold - 21st May 12
The Pacific Ocean Is Dying: Special Report On Fukushima Nuclear Catastrophe - 21st May 12
Stock Market Interim Rally Directly Ahead - 21st May 12
Are Homo Sapiens an Endangered Species? - 21st May 12
Are You Ready for Market Mayhem? - 21st May 12
Global Stock Markets Outlook Ahead - 21st May 12
Stock Market Dam Has Broken, As Massive Divergences End - 21st May 12
Gold Triple Bottom and Stocks Oversold – Now What? - 21st May 12
Dr. Frankenstein's Europe, No Easy Greece Exit, Bank Runs - 21st May 12
Stock Market Downtrend May be Ending Soon - 20th May 12
Looming Reversal of Centralization as Empires Disintegrate - 20th May 12
Phlogging Phlogiston: The Real Origins Of Global Warming Hysteria - 20th May 12
Small Cap Gold Resources Investing, An Extraordinary Time to Be in the Driver's Seat - 20th May 12
Economic Recovery Is an Illusion When Adjusted or Inflation - 20th May 12
Two Culprits in the Oil Demand-Pricing Disconnect - 20th May 12
Destroy Greece to Save the Euro as Merkel Makes 'Growth Proposals' Whilst Asking for Referendum on Euro - 20th May 12
Gold Bottom is In, But is it September 2008 or October 2008? - 19th May 12
Elites Deterrence is Dead - 19th May 12
Understanding JPM's Blunder That Cost It $2bn & Counting - 19th May 12
Is Major Decline in Gold and Silver Stocks Underway? - 19th May 12
Renewable and Non-renewable Resources Investing, An Argument for a Contrarian Investment - 19th May 12
Gold Stock Capitulation - 19th May 12

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock Market Short-term Forecasts - Free Access

Silver and Opium

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011 Feb 16, 2011 - 03:59 AM

By: Professor_Emeritus

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe opium wars do not belong to the glorious episodes of Western history. Rather, they were instances of shameful behavior the West still has not lived down. Mercantilist governments resented the perpetual drain of silver from West to East in payment for Oriental goods (tea, silk, porcelain) that were in high demand in the Occident, facing low demand in the Orient for Occidental goods. From the mid-17th century more than 9 billion Troy ounces or 290 thousand metric tons of silver was absorbed by China from European countries in exchange for Chinese goods.


The British introduced opium along with tobacco as an export item to China in order to reduce their trade deficit. Under the disguise of free trade, the British, the Spanish and the French with the tacit approval of the Americans continued sending their contraband to China through legitimate as well as illegitimate trade channels even after the Chinese dynasty put an embargo on opium imports. Because of its strong appeal to the Chinese masses, and because of its highly addictive nature, opium appeared to be the ideal solution to the West's trade problem. And, indeed, the flow of silver was first stopped, and then reversed. China was forced to pay silver for her addiction to opium smoking that was artificially induced by the pusher: the British.

Thus silver was replaced by opium as the mainstay of Western exports. In 1729 China, recognizing the growing problem of addiction and the debilitating and mind-corrupting nature of the drug, prohibited the sale and smoking of opium; allowing only a small quota of imports for medicinal purposes. The British defied the embargo and ban on opium trade, and encouraged smuggling. As a result, British exports of opium to China grew from an estimated 15 tons to 75 by 1773. This increased further to 900 tons by 1820; and to 1400 tons annually by 1838 -- an almost 100-fold increase in 100 years.

Something had to be done. The Chinese government introduced death penalty for drug trafficking, and put British processing and distributing facilities on Chinese soil under siege. Chinese troops boarded British ships in international waters carrying opium to Chinese ports and destroyed their cargo, in addition to the destruction of opium found on Chinese territory. The British accused the Chinese of destroying British property, and sent a large British-Indian army to China in order to exact punishment.

British military superiority was clearly evident in the armed conflict. British warships wreaked havoc on coastal towns. After taking Canton the British sailed up the Yangtze River. They grabbed the tax barges, inflicting a devastating blow on the Chinese as imperial revenues were impossible to collect. In 1842 China sued for peace that was concluded in Nanking and ratified the following year. In the treaty China was forced to pay an indemnity to Britain, open four port cities where British subjects were given extraterritorial privileges, and cede Hong Kong to Britain. In 1844 the United States and France signed similar treaties with China.

These humiliating treaties were criticized in the House of Commons by William E. Gladstone, who later served as Prime Minister. He was wondering "whether there had ever been a war more unjust in its origin, a war more calculated to cover Britain with permanent disgrace." The Foreign Secretary, Lord Palmerston replied that nobody believed that the Chinese government's motive was "the promotion of good moral habits", or that the war was fought to stem China's balance of trade deficit. The American president John Quincy Adams chimed in during the debate by suggesting that opium was a "mere incident". According to him "the cause of the war was the arrogant and insupportable pretensions of China that she would hold commercial intercourse with the rest of mankind not upon terms of equal reciprocity, but upon the insulting and degrading forms of the relations between lord and vassal." These words are echoed, 160 years later, by president Obama's recent disdainful pronouncements to the effect that China's exchange-rate policy is unacceptable to the rest of mankind as it pretends that China's currency is that of the lord, and everybody else's is that of the vassal.

The peace of Nanking did not last. The Chinese searched a suspicious ship, and the British answered by putting the port city of Canton under siege in 1856, occupying it in 1857. The French also entered the fray. British troops were approaching Beijing and set on to destroy the Summer Palace. China again was forced to sue for peace. In the peace treaty of Tianjin China yielded to the demand to create ten new port cities, and granted foreigners free passage throughout the country. It also agreed to pay an indemnity of five million ounces of silver: three million to Britain and two million to France.

This deliberate humiliation of China by the Western powers contributed greatly to the loosening and ultimate snapping of the internal coherence of the Qing Dynasty, leading to the Taiping Rebellion (1850-1864), the Boxer Uprising (1899-1901) and, ultimately, to the downfall of the Qing Dynasty in 1912.

The present trade dispute between the U.S. and China is reminiscent of the background to the two Opium Wars. Once more, the issue is the humiliation and plunder of China as a "thank you" for China's favor of having provided consumer goods for which the West was unable to pay in terms of Western goods suitable for Chinese consumption. The only difference is the absence of opium in the dispute.

Oops, I take it back. The role of opium in the current dispute is played by paper. Paper dollars, to be precise. In 1971 an atrocity was made that I call the Nixon-Friedman conspiracy. To cover up the shame and disgrace of the default of the U.S. on its international gold obligations, Milton Friedman (following an earlier failed attempt of John M. Keynes) concocted a spurious and idiotic theory of floating exchange rates. It suggests that falling foreign exchange value of the domestic currency makes it stronger when in actual fact the opposite is true: it is made weaker as the terms of trade of the devaluing country deteriorates and that of its trading partners improves. Nixon was quick to embrace the false theory of Friedman. No public debate of the plan was permitted then, or ever after. Under the new dispensation the irredeemable dollar was to play the role of the ultimate extinguisher of debt, a preposterous idea. The scheme was imposed on the world under duress as part of the "new millennium", shaking off the "tyranny of gold", that "barbarous relic", the last remnant of superstition, the only remaining "anachronism of the Modern Age". The ploy was played up and celebrated as a great scientific breakthrough, making it possible for man to shape his own destiny rationally, free of superstition, for the first time ever. Yet all it was a cheap trick to elevate the dishonored paper of an insolvent banker (the U.S.) from scum to the holy of holies: international currency. The fact that fiat paper money has a history of 100 percent mortality was neatly side-stepped. Any questioning of the wisdom of experimenting with is in spite of logic and historical evidence was declared foggy-bottom reactionary thinking.

The amazing thing about this episode of the history of human folly was the ease with which it could be pushed down the throat of the rest of the world, including those nations that were directly hurt by it, such as the ones running a trade surplus with the U.S. Their savings went up in smoke. The explanation for this self-destructing behavior is the addictive, debilitating and mind-corrosive nature of paper money, in direct analogy with that of opium. The high caused by administering the opium pipe to the patient (read: administering QE) had to be repeated when the effect faded by a fresh administration of more opium (read: more QE2).

If the patient resists, like China did in 1840, then a holy opium war must be declared on it in the name of the right of others to free trade. 170 years later a New China once more demurred against the paper-torture treatment it was subjected to by the American debt-mongers and opium pushers.

But beware: if the West starts another Opium War, this time it is not China that will be on the losing side.

ANNOUNCEMENT
New Austrian School of Economics

Course Two at the Martineum Academy in Szombathely, Hungary,
from March 5 through 13, 2011. Title of the course:
ADAM SMITH'S REAL BILLS DOCTRINE AND SOCIAL CIRCULATING CAPITAL
What makes this course especially topical today is the fact that more and more hints are being dropped about the possible rehabilitation and restoration of the gold standard -- following the ignominious collapse of the irredeemable dollar. However, a gold standard without its clearing house, the bill market, is not viable and itself is liable to collapse in short order -- as it did in the early 1930's. The level of public ignorance about the necessity of a clearing house is appalling. It is made that much worse by a tottering banking system. We have an urgent message: only gold standard ***** real bills can restore prosperity to the world, in view of the fact that we have to write off the world's banking system as a total loss.

This is the second in a four-course series on Austrian Economics, a branch of economic science based on the work of Carl Menger (1840-1921). It is meant for those, including beginners, who are interested in the theory of money, credit, and banking, with special emphasis on the current financial and economic crisis. The complete program consists of four courses (10 days, 20 lectures each). Completion of each course will earn one credit. Participants who have accumulated four credits get a diploma signed by Professor Fekete. Course One that was given in 2010 is not a prerequisite. It is available on DVD for purchase.
NEW: there will be an add-on optional one-day seminar on the gold and silver basis and the threat of permanent backwardation of the monetary metals on March 14. Stay tuned for further details. NOTE:All scholarships have now been awarded.

For further information please contact Dr. Judith Szepesvari, e-mail: szepesvari17@gmail.com

NEW! EXTRA!
SEMINAR
Basis, Co-basis, Permanent Backwardation of Gold and Silver and What It Means

March 14, Monday

The New Austrian School of Economics is the only place in the world where you can learn about the gold and silver basis, co-basis, permanent backwardation, and their importance. In 2008 we offered a successful Seminar on the basis in Canberra, Australia, that was followed by a second Seminar in 2009. This will be the third in the series, where the latest results of the ongoing research on the gold and silver basis and co-basis will be discussed by our star research fellow, Sandeep Jaitly, followed by an open-ended discussion.
No prerequisites are needed: we start with an introductory lecture on the basis and co-basis, with reference to permanent backwardation, by Professor Fekete.

For more details, contact Dr. Judit Szepesvari: szepesvari17@gmail.com

By Professor Antal E. Fekete,
Intermountain Institute for Science and Applied Mathematics

"GOLD STANDARD UNIVERSITY" - Antal E. Fekete aefekete@iisam.com

For further information please check www.professorfekete.com or inquire at GSUL@t-online.hu .

We are pleased to announce that a new website www.professorfekete.com is now available. It contains e-books, archives, news about GSUL, and material of current interest

Copyright © 2011 Professor Antal E. Fekete
Professor Antal E. Fekete was born and educated in Hungary. He immigrated to Canada in 1956. In addition to teaching in Canada, he worked in the Washington DC office of Congressman W. E. Dannemeyer for five years on monetary and fiscal reform till 1990. He taught as visiting professor of economics at the Francisco Marroquin University in Guatemala City in 1996. Since 2001 he has been consulting professor at Sapientia University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania. In 1996 Professor Fekete won the first prize in the International Currency Essay contest sponsored by Bank Lips Ltd. of Switzerland. He also runs the Gold Standard University on this website.

DISCLAIMER AND CONFLICTS - THE PUBLICATION OF THIS LETTER IS FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND AMUSEMENT ONLY. THE AUTHOR IS NOT SOLICITING ANY ACTION BASED UPON IT, NOR IS HE SUGGESTING THAT IT REPRESENTS, UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES, A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY. THE CONTENT OF THIS LETTER IS DERIVED FROM INFORMATION AND SOURCES BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE, BUT THE AUTHOR MAKES NO REPRESENTATION THAT IT IS COMPLETE OR ERROR-FREE, AND IT SHOULD NOT BE RELIED UPON AS SUCH. IT IS TO BE TAKEN AS THE AUTHORS OPINION AS SHAPED BY HIS EXPERIENCE, RATHER THAN A STATEMENT OF FACTS. THE AUTHOR MAY HAVE INVESTMENT POSITIONS, LONG OR SHORT, IN ANY SECURITIES MENTIONED, WHICH MAY BE CHANGED AT ANY TIME FOR ANY REASON.

Antal E. Fekete / Professor_Emeritus Archive

© 2005-2012 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments


Post Comment (Moderated)




Commenting Issue - If on submitting you are returned to the main Index Page (50% chance) then your comment has not been accepted, Follow below steps for 95% chance of comment being accepted.

  1. Click your browser Back button (from main index page).
  2. COPY your comment text from Comment box (i.e. copy to clipboard).
  3. Press PAGE Refresh - You should see the message "You are not authorized to carry out this operation"
  4. Paste your comment back into the comment text box.
  5. Click Submit - If everything goes okay you will remain on the article page with the message "Your comment was held for moderation and will be reviewed shortly".
  6. If instead you are again returned to the main index page then repeat 1-5, alternatively EMAIL to comments @ marketoracle.co.uk quoting the article number.

FREE Deflation Survival GuideFREE Updated 118 Page Independant Investor E-book