Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Investing in a Bubble Mania Stock Market Trending Towards Financial Crisis 2.0 CRASH! - 9th Sep 21
2.Tech Stocks Bubble Valuations 2000 vs 2021 - 25th Sep 21
3.Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season - 8th Oct 21
4.Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? - 14th Oct 21
7.AI Stocks Portfolio Buying and Selling Levels Going Into Market Correction - 11th Oct 21
8.Why Silver Price Could Crash by 20%! - 5th Oct 21
9.Powell: Inflation Might Not Be Transitory, After All - 3rd Oct 21
10.Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Last 7 days
Peloton 35% CRASH a Lesson of What Happens When One Over Pays for a Loss Making Growth Stock - 1st Dec 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: I Fear For Retirees For The Next 20 Years - 1st Dec 21 t
Will the Anointed Finanical Experts Get It Wrong Again? - 1st Dec 21
Main Differences Between the UK and Canadian Gaming Markets - 1st Dec 21
Bitcoin Price TRIGGER for Accumulating Into Alt Coins for 2022 Price Explosion - 30th Nov 21
Omicron Covid Wave 4 Impact on Financial Markets - 30th Nov 21
Can You Hear It? That’s the Crowd Booing Gold’s Downturn - 30th Nov 21
Economic and Market Impacts of Omicron Strain Covid 4th Wave - 30th Nov 21
Stock Market Historical Trends Suggest A Strengthening Bullish Trend In December - 30th Nov 21
Crypto Market Analysis: What Trading Will Look Like in 2022 for Novice and Veteran Traders? - 30th Nov 21
Best Stocks for Investing to Profit form the Metaverse and Get Rich - 29th Nov 21
Should You Invest In Real Estate In 2021? - 29th Nov 21
Silver Long-term Trend Analysis - 28th Nov 21
Silver Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 28th Nov 21
Crude Oil Didn’t Like Thanksgiving Turkey This Year - 28th Nov 21
Sheffield First Snow Winter 2021 - Snowballs and Snowmen Fun - 28th Nov 21
Stock Market Investing LESSON - Buying Value - 27th Nov 21
Corsair MP600 NVME M.2 SSD 66% Performance Loss After 6 Months of Use - Benchmark Tests - 27th Nov 21
Stock Maket Trading Lesson - How to REALLY Trade Markets - 26th Nov 21
SILVER Price Trend Analysis - 26th Nov 21
Federal Reserve Asks Americans to Eat Soy “Meat” for Thanksgiving - 26th Nov 21
Is the S&P 500 Topping or Just Consolidating? - 26th Nov 21
Is a Bigger Drop in Gold Price Just Around the Corner? - 26th Nov 21
Financial Stocks ETF Sector XLF Pullback Sets Up A New $43.60 Upside Target - 26th Nov 21
A Couple of Things to Think About Before Buying Shares - 25th Nov 21
UK Best Fixed Rate Tariff Deal is to NOT FIX Gas and Electric Energy Tariffs During Winter 2021-22 - 25th Nov 21
Stock Market Begins it's Year End Seasonal Santa Rally - 24th Nov 21
How Silver Can Conquer $50+ in 2022 - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Betting on Hawkish Fed - 24th Nov 21
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast - 24th Nov 21
Your once-a-year All-Access Financial Markets Analysis Pass - 24th Nov 21
Did Zillow’s $300 million flop prove me wrong? - 24th Nov 21
Now Malaysian Drivers Renew Their Kurnia Car Insurance Online With - 24th Nov 21
Gold / Silver Ratio - 23rd Nov 21
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Can We Get To 5500SPX In 2022? But 4440SPX Comes First - 23rd Nov 21
A Month-to-month breakdown of how Much Money Individuals are Spending on Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
S&P 500: Rallying Tech Stocks vs. Plummeting Oil Stocks - 23rd Nov 21
Like the Latest Bond Flick, the US Dollar Has No Time to Die - 23rd Nov 21
Cannabis ETF MJ Basing & Volatility Patterns - 22nd Nov 21
The Most Important Lesson Learned from this COVID Pandemic - 22nd Nov 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis - 22nd Nov 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

End of the Gold Bull Market?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011 Feb 24, 2011 - 01:21 PM GMT

By: Ronald_Rosen

Commodities Best Financial Markets Analysis Article                  Is time running out for the mighty gold bull? 
                  Has a favorite son been brought to his knees?
                  Take a close look at the following evidence.
                  We may have seen the end of this gold cycle.

The evidence presented in this report is not conducive to an ongoing gold bull market. However, the evidence is rather convincing that the gold bull market that began in 1999 has run out of steam in a less than explosive grand finale. Yes, a grand finale that may have wilted in spite of all the glowingly bullish reports dominating the internet and the nightly television news. The advertisements to buy gold and gold coins are a constant presence in most media forms.  Conservative talk show hosts consistently talk up the importance of owning gold for survival purposes. The death of fiat currencies and most importantly the U. S. Dollar is a foregone conclusion according to many die hard gold bulls and gold bugs. They may be correct but they also may have to wait another 30 years before the final curtain falls on this less than glorious episode in American history. One by one the clues fall in place.

CLUE # 1

“Time is the most important factor in determining market movements because the future is a repetition of the past and each market movement is working out time in relation to some previous time cycle.”

“In order to be accurate we must know the major cycles.”
30-Year Cycle
“This is the main cycle and the minor cycles are proportionate parts of the 30-year cycle or circle.


CLUE # 2

“The Commodity Super Cycles I have written about in past reports have been in existence for about 100 years. The peaks have occurred approximately 30 years apart. These cycles began after the Federal Reserve System and the Internal Revenue System were created in 1913. Since the Feds are still here and larger than ever, it is highly probable that the current Commodity Super Cycle is in the process of completing its fourth dynamic phase.”           Ron R.

CLUE # 3
The HUI has provided us with a warning notice on two occasions. The first warning told us of a disastrous collapse to follow. The warning came before the exact top but indeed the collapse was a disaster. The HUI, once again, in the month of November 2010 provided us with a similar warning. A decline below a previous peak was and is the warning.

Crude oil traded at $103.41 a barrel on February 24, 2011. This is a critical level and may represent a recovery or corrective top. The quarterly crude oil chart shows that crude oil has recovered 61.8 % of the decline from the $147.27 high to the $33.55 low when it reached the $103.41 level.


The big question now is; are there any clues that provide us with information about the future path of the stock indexes?
The answer is yes.
They are available to subscribers.

If you are interested in knowing what these clues are and what Welles Wilder’s Delta Turning Points are telling us, the ROSEN MARKET TIMING LETTER is available through Welles Wilder’s Delta Society International. Once there, click on Products and Services. The cost is modest.

Stay well,
Ron Rosen

Subscriptions to the Rosen Market Timing Letter with the Delta Turning Points for gold, silver, stock indices, dollar index, crude oil and many other items are available at:

By Ron Rosen


Simeon - A Picture of Patience

Ronald L. Rosen served in the U.S.Navy, with two combat tours Korean War. He later graduated from New York University and became a Registered Representative, stock and commodity broker with Carl M. Loeb, Rhodes & Co. and then Carter, Berlind and Weill. He retired to become private investor and is a director of the Delta Society International

Disclaimer: The contents of this letter represent the opinions of Ronald L. Rosen and Alistair Gilbert  Nothing contained herein is intended as investment advice or recommendations for specific investment decisions, and you should not rely on it as such. Ronald L. Rosen and Alistair Gilbert are not registered investment advisors. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and using methods believed to be reliable, but Ronald L. Rosen and Alistair Gilbert cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of your reliance on this analysis and will not be held liable for the consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or any omission. Individuals should consult with their broker and personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities. Do your own due diligence regarding personal investment decisions.

Ronald Rosen Archive

© 2005-2019 - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


25 Feb 11, 00:08
Track record

I advise everyone who thinks about selling his precious metals or shorting them after reading this article to read Mr. Rosen's track record (see 'archive' link on this page). You might consider not acting upon his forecasts.

25 Feb 11, 07:23
his cycle?

CLUE # 1

“Time is the most important factor in determining market movements because the future is a repetition of the past and each market movement is working out time in relation to some previous time cycle.”

His timing all these years has left a lot to be desired for and yet there is this banner above??

Says who about a so-called 30 year cycle? From that graph in blue, black and grey attributed to Reuters? With enough imagination, one can decipher cycles of various shades and color from that graph!!!

Go take Stan's advice on the track record.

Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in