Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Shanghai Gold Trading Jumps as US Gold Derivatives Shrink to 3-Year Low

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013 Jan 07, 2013 - 08:43 AM GMT

By: Adrian_Ash

Commodities

SPOT GOLD PRICES traded in a $10 range Monday morning, rising above last week's finish at $1656 per ounce as European stock markets cut earlier losses.

Silver prices also whipped in a tight range, holding at $30.25 per ounce by lunchtime in London.

Major currencies and government bonds were also little changed, as were broader commodity prices.



Looking at the broader commodities sector, "In 2012 we had a lot of liquidating by hedge funds," says Rob Haworth, senior investment strategist at US Bank Wealth Management in Seattle, "but there's an incentive to reverse that because of growth in emerging markets and especially China.

"It's going to be a good year for commodities."

US data show speculators raising the size of their bullish commodity bets for the time since November last week.

Speculative betting on the gold price, known as the "net long" position of bullish minus bearish bets, rose 3.1% to the equivalent to 609 tonnes of gold by New Year's Eve.

That was below the 2012 average of 633 tonnes however, and well below the 5-year average of 722 tonnes.

Overall, the total number of US gold futures and option contracts shrank last week to a 3-year low, dropping below 600,000 for the first time since September 2009.

With the Chinese New Year now 5 weeks away, in contrast, the Shanghai Gold Exchange today reported a sharp jump in physical gold trading, with volume breaking more than 22 tonnes.

"For 2013, an unreliable economy compels us to prefer supply-constrained commodities, especially the precious metals," says investment bank Morgan Stanley, forecasting average gold prices of $1853 per ounce this year.

"With loose monetary policy and low real interest rates, we believe that gold and silver will likely continue to perform."

But "I think America will sort itself out and the economy will start moving again positively," reckons Rene Hochreiter, CEO of Allan Hochreiter Ltd. in Johannesberg and winner of the London Bullion Market Association's 2012 price forecasting competition.

"As gold declines, as the world economy improves, so platinum, palladium and silver will start to pick up...Platinum may take another year or so before it beats gold and then it's going to stay above gold for the next upward cycle which could be five or six years," Hochreiter is quoted by Bloomberg News.

Gold prices will now average $1600 per ounce in 2013 believes Hochreiter, after averaging $1669 last year. His 2012 forecast was for $1650 per ounce.

The price of platinum has now been below the price of gold since September 2011, the longest such period in at least three decades.

Western policymakers meantime extended by 4 years today the deadline for new banking regulations, aimed at avoiding a repeat of the 2007-2009 credit crunch.

"The new liquidity standard will in no way hinder the ability of the global banking system to finance a global recovery," said Mervyn King, the UK's chief central banker and head of the Basel committee's oversight group.

Requiring banks to meet just 60% of the new liquidity requirements by 2015, with the full deadline pushed back to 2019, "It's a realistic approach," King said.

By Adrian Ash
BullionVault.com

Gold price chart, no delay   |   Buy gold online at live prices

Formerly City correspondent for The Daily Reckoning in London and a regular contributor to MoneyWeek magazine, Adrian Ash is the editor of Gold News and head of research at www.BullionVault.com , giving you direct access to investment gold, vaulted in Zurich , on $3 spreads and 0.8% dealing fees.

(c) BullionVault 2012

Please Note: This article is to inform your thinking, not lead it. Only you can decide the best place for your money, and any decision you make will put your money at risk. Information or data included here may have already been overtaken by events – and must be verified elsewhere – should you choose to act on it.

Adrian Ash Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in