Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast 2016 Implications for Stock Market - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Odds of Winning Walkers Crisps Spell & Go olidays K, C and D Letters - Sami_Walayat
3.Massive Silver Price Rally During The Coming US Dollar Collapse - Hubert_Moolman
4.Pope Francis Calls For Worldwide Communist Government - Jeff_Berwick
5.EU Referendum Opinion Polls Neck and Neck Despite Operation Fear, Support BrExit Campaign - Nadeem_Walayat
6.David Morgan: There Will Soon Be a Run to Gold Like You've Never Seen Before - Mike Gleason
7.British Pound Soars on BrExit Hopes Despite Remain Establishment Fear Mongering - Nadeem_Walayat
8.Gold Price Possible $200 Rally - Bob_Loukas
9.The Federal Reserve is Not Going To Raise Interest Rates and Destroy Gold - Michael_Swanson
10.Silver Miners’ Q1’ 2016 Fundamentals - Zeal_LLC
Free Silver
Last 7 days
EU Referendum - British People vs Establishment Elite, Vote LEAVE an Act of Defiance! - 31st May 16
Gold - Mr. Cool Cucumber is starting to Sweat - 31st May 16
AMAT Chirps, b2b Ramps, Yellen Hawks and Gold’s Fundamentals Erode - 31st May 16
Stock Market Re-Testing Overhead Resistance - 30th May 16
David Cameron Questioned on Out of Control Immigration at TEN TIMES Conservative Election Pledges - 30th May 16
Bitcoin Price Skyrockets And Is Now Up More Than 100% This Jubilee Year - 30th May 16
This Is Not The America My Parents Immigrated To In 1957 - 30th May 16
“Debt, Not The Economy, Reaches Escape Velocity” With Graham Mehl - 29th May 16
EU Referendum, Black Vote LEAVE or REMAIN? Which is Worse for Racism for Britain's Ethnic Minorities? - 29th May 16
Billionaire Gross: Jubilee Debt Relief as Prelude to New Global Economic Order - 29th May 16
Wargaming North Korea - Assessing the Threat - 29th May 16
EU REMAIN Population Forecasts - England 4.1 million Explosion, London Migration Crisis - 28th May 16
A Guide to the Trump-Sanders Debate - 28th May 16
Gold And Silver – At Significant Support. New “Story” Developing - 28th May 16
The Next Systemic Lehman Event - New Scheiss Dollar & Gold Trade Standard - 27th May 16
Energy and Debt Crisis Point to Much Higher Silver, Metals Prices - 27th May 16
Gold Junior Stocks Q1 2016 Fundamentals - 27th May 16
These Crisis Markets Are Primed to Deliver Big Gains, Platinum Never Cheaper! - 27th May 16
Operation Black Vote BrExit Warning for the Wrong EU Referendum - 27th May 16
UK Immigration Crisis Hits New Extreme, Catastrophic ONS Migration Stats Ahead of EU Referendum - 27th May 16
Many of the World’s Best Investors Made Their Fortunes This Way…And You Can Too - 27th May 16
The Ugly Truth About Stock Market Manipulation and Gold Prices - 27th May 16
Gold Price Looking Vulnerable While Gold Stocks Correct - 27th May 16
The 5 Fatal Flaws of Trading - 27th May 16
The Next Big Crash Of The U.S. Economy Is Coming, Here’s Why - 27th May 16
A New Golden Bull or Has the Market Gone Too Far Too Fast? - 27th May 16
It Feels Like Inflation - 26th May 16
Negative Interest Rates Set to Propel the Dow Jones to the Stratosphere? - 26th May 16
S&P Significant Low has Occurred – Not Likely! - 26th May 16
Statistics for Funeral Planning in UK Grave - 26th May 16
Think Beyond Oil And Gold: Interview With Mike 'Mish' Shedlock - 26th May 16
Hard Times and False Mainstream Media Narratives - 26th May 16
Will The Swiss Guarantee 75,000 CHF For Every Family? - 26th May 16
Is There A Stocks Bear Market in Progress? - 26th May 16
Billionaires Are Wrong on Gold - 26th May 16
How NOT to Invest in the Gold Market - 26th May 16
The Black Swan Spotter...Which Saw the Oil-Crash coming; now says the “Invisible Hand” will push Brent to $85 by Christmas - 26th May 16
U.S. Household Debt Still Below 2008 Peak - 25th May 16
Brexit: Wrong Discussion, Wrong People, Wrong Arguments - 25th May 16
SPX is at Strong Resistance - 25th May 16
US Dollar, Back From the Grave? - 25th May 16
Gold : Just the Facts Ma’am - 25th May 16
The Worst Urban Crisis in History Could be Upon Us - 24th May 16
Death Crosses Across The Board Are IRREFUTABLE Stock Market Sell Signals - 24th May 16
Bitcoin Trading Alert: Bitcoin Price Stays below $450 - 24th May 16
Stock Market Crash Death Cross Doom Prevails - 23rd May 16
Did AMAT Chirp? Implications for the Economy and Gold - 23rd May 16
Stocks Extended Their Rebound On Friday - Will They Continue Higher? - 23rd May 16
UK Treasury Propaganda Warns of 3.6% Brexit Recession, the £64 Billion Question? - 23rd May 16
Stock Market Support Breached, But Not Broken! - 23rd May 16
George Osborne Warns of 18% Cheaper House Prices - BrExit for First Time Buyers - 22nd May 16
Gold Bull-Phase I Continues to Confound (The Trek to “Known Values”) - 22nd May 16 r
Avoiding a War in Space - 22nd May 16

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Why 95% of Traders Fail

Stocks New Bull Market High's Leaves Bears Foaming at the Mouth

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Jan 26, 2013 - 04:30 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock-Markets

The stock market has so far put in a spectacular bull run for January 2013, which has surprised both bulls and bears as all of the major stock market indices set new bull market highs, including the index which I track and trade, the Dow Jones Industrial Averages which is now within touching distance of 14,000.

Meanwhile delusional bears right across the globe can literally be seen foaming at the mouths as illustrated by the diatribe that continues spew out of commentary of an always imminent bear market, crash, collapse etc... When the reality is as the following charts illustrate that not only have they and everyone who listened to them missed out on what is a stocks bull market that is approaching the END of its FOURTH YEAR ! But that have actively been betting against an exceptionally strong recent bull run that is the exact mirror image of the crash that they have been so furiously proclaiming as always being imminent.


FTSE - Up 12% in 2 Months

DAX - Up 13% in 2 Months

DOW - Up 11.5% in 2 Months

What Is the Big Picture

The big picture remains as I have iterated countless times over the years (The Inflation Mega-trend Ebook of Jan 2010 (FREE DOWNLOAD), and as illustrated by the below graph that asset prices tend to be LEVERAGED to Inflation, which is precisely the trends that have subsequently transpired from stocks to commodities such as Gold and as I have been flagging during 2012 for the US housing market going into 2013.

Note that the Inflation Mega-trend is EXPONENTIAL, and no matter how loudly the delusional deflationistas scream for always imminent DEFLATION, it is just NOT going to happen, if anything government actions i.e. QE-4EVer is going to result in the ratcheting higher of the the Inflation Mega-trend going forward.

Frankly, I just do not understand why so many people that purport to be experts on the financial markets can remain so blind to what is blatantly so obvious. The only logical conclusion is that they never put their own money on the line and thus never face the financial consequences (PAIN) for being wrong, for had they followed their advice such as betting against a near 4 year bull market then they would have already bankrupted themselves several times over by now, but instead merrily go around spouting what amounts to nothing more than verbal diarrhoea.

Trading the Stocks Stealth Bull Market

My investing strategy for the duration of the bull market has been fairly simple, as I have repeated countless times over the years, which is that the greater the deviation from the bull market high then the greater the buying opportunity presented. See the Stocks Stealth Bull Market ebook (Free Download) for examples of how one should perceive price action during multi-year trends, as my analysis during 2012 has concluded as illustrated by Mid year trend forecast -16 Jun 2012 - Greece Election Eurogeddon Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast

Where Next ?

The new year bull run has now put the Dow within touching distance of the psychologically important 14,000 level and my long standing target of 14,200 as illustrated by the March 2011 Stocks Stealth Bull Market ebook (FREE DOWNLOAD). However, as subsequently expected the stock market marked time during 2012 as it sought to unwind speculative interest built up during the preceding 3 year bull run which has resulted in the Dow taking much longer than originally expected to home in on my 14.2k target. Therefore my next in-depth analysis will seek to map out an up-to date trend for the Dow for the whole of 2013 and possibly beyond, ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get this in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecast in your email in box.

In the meantime check out my other recent concluding trend forecasts for 2013.

Also check out my recent video on Trading Chaos Theory Market Fractals

Original text of Chaos Trading

Also Ensure you are subscribed to our new youtube channel for video versions and educational material.

Source and Comments: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article38697.html

Your analyst wondering if he should use cheap money to further leverage his portfolio to Inflation.....

Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2013 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of three ebook's - The Inflation Mega-Trend; The Interest Rate Mega-Trend and The Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 that can be downloaded for Free.

Stocks Stealth Bull Market Ebook DownloadThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend Ebook DownloadThe Inflation Mega-Trend Ebook Download

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 600 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife