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Why 95% of Traders Fail

Stock Market – Bears Shmares. Where Is It?

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Feb 04, 2013 - 02:29 PM GMT

By: Michael_Noonan

Stock-Markets

Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

We cannot count how many times, over the past 4 years, the number of people who
have been salivating for a bear market, and not a few going short in “anticipation.”
This is not a bull market. This is a central planner’s market, and with Pinocchio Ben’s
backing, there is no one with pockets deep enough to counter the fiat-fueled up move.


The one thing that gave pause throughout every call for a bear market just being a
whisper away, including those faux-pundits declaring one is imminent, is the trend.
It never turned down. Such a simple, no brainer. Let’s see what the market says.

Since the 2009 low, what has unfolded is a uptrend, defined by higher highs, higher
lows. Nothing more need be said.

The net gains from one swing high to the next have gotten smaller, but there are no signs
of stopping the move up.

A slow and steady move up is a market with no resistance, and there is not a single wide
bar with increased volume to the downside. One thing we know for sure, it takes time to
turn a trend around. Even the 2008 disaster took a few months from the high before its
dramatic decline.

Ironically, there were very few bears prepared for what followed, and now many are
prepared for what does not exist.

The simple factor of a defined trend should keep the bears in hibernation until central
planners give up funding the market, and that does not appear to be any time soon.

Know the trend; don’t fight the tape. Anyone who thinks he can divine the future is a fool.

Been there.

By Michael Noonan

http://edgetraderplus.com

Michael Noonan, mn@edgetraderplus.com, is a Chicago-based trader with over 30 years in the business. His sole approach to analysis is derived from developing market pattern behavior, found in the form of Price, Volume, and Time, and it is generated from the best source possible, the market itself.

© 2013 Copyright Michael Noonan - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Michael Noonan Archive

© 2005-2016 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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