Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Climate Change Mass Extinction - Birds, Bees and Bugs: Going Going Gone - Richard_Mills
2.A Purrrfect Gold Price Setup! - Peter_Degraaf
3.Who Finances America's Borrowing? Recession Indicator for Independent Thinkers Part 2 - F_F_Wiley
4.America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War - Raymond_Matison
5.Gold Price Summer Doldrums - Zeal_LLC
6.Two Key Events Will Unleash Gold - Jim_Willie_CB
7.Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks - Richard_Mills
8.Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners - Jeb_Handwerger
9.Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish - Troy_Bombardia
10.G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week - Chris_Vermeulen
Last 7 days
The Death of the US Real Estate Dream - 22nd Jul 18
China is Now Officially at War With the US and Japan - 22nd Jul 18
You Buy the Fear in Gold - 22nd Jul 18
Trumponomics Stock Market 2018 - The Manchurian President (1/2) - 21st Jul 18
The Death of Japan's Real Estate Dream - 21st Jul 18
SMIGGLE Amazing Mega Shopping Haul, Pencil Cases, Smigglets and Giant Back Packs! - 21st Jul 18
Cayton Bay Beach Caravan Park Holiday - What's it Like? - 21st Jul 18
Gold Stocks Investment Wanes - 20th Jul 18
Diversifying Your Stock Investing Strategies is Smart Investing - 20th Jul 18
Custom Global Stock Market Indexes May Be Sounding Alarms - 20th Jul 18
S&P 500 Just 2% Below Record High, But There's More Stock Market Uncertainty - 19th Jul 18
Stock Market Technical Picture - 19th Jul 18
Gold Market Signal vs. Noise - 19th Jul 18
Don’t Get Too Bullish on Gold - 19th Jul 18
Bitcoin Price Rallies to Upper Channel – What Next? - 19th Jul 18
Trump Manchurian President Embarrasses Putin By Farcically Blowing his Russian Agent Cover - 19th Jul 18
The Fonzie–Ponzi Theory of Government Debt: An Update - 19th Jul 18
Will the Fed’s Interest Rate Tightening Trigger Another Financial Crisis? - 18th Jul 18
Stock Market Investor “Buy the Dip” Mentality is Still Strong, Which is Bullish for Stocks - 18th Jul 18
Stock Market Longer-Term Charts Show Incredible Potential - 18th Jul 18
A Better Yield Curve for Predicting the Stock Market is Bullish - 18th Jul 18
U.S. Stock Market Cycles Update - 18th Jul 18
Cayton Bay Hoseasons Caravan Park Holiday Summer 2018 Review - 18th Jul 18
What Did Crude Oil - Platinum Link Tell Us Last Week? - 17th Jul 18
Gold And The Elusive Chase For Profits - 17th Jul 18
Crude Oil May Not Find Support Above $60 This Time - 17th Jul 18
How Crazy It Is to Short Gold with RSI Close to 30 - 16th Jul 18
Markets Pay Attention Moment - China’s Bubble Economy Ripe for Bursting - 16th Jul 18
Stock Market Uptrend Continues, But... - 16th Jul 18
Emerging Markets Could Be Starting A Relief Rally - 16th Jul 18
(Only) a Near-term Stock Market Top? - 16th Jul 18
Trump Fee-Fi-Foe-Fum Declares European Union America's Enemy! - 16th Jul 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse

Stock Market S&P Upside In Question. Watch The Nasdaq

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013 Sep 08, 2013 - 06:02 PM GMT

By: Michael_Noonan

Stock-Markets

The point of reading developing market activity, as seen in charts, is to eliminate any need to “predict” what may develop next day, week, or month. There is no more reliable a source of information than the market itself. Everything one needs to know is found within price and volume activity, over time. If you know the market trend, and you have some solid rules of engagement, profitable success is almost assured.

The stock market has made historic highs, but there are questions regarding its ability to sustain the upward drive during the natural market-aging process. Last time, there was a discussion about rules and a need for caution, [S&P And NAS - Best Offense Is A Good Defense, click on http://bit.ly/1dAUwUB, if you missed it].


That has not changed within the question of, in the past week, has the market changed?

The answer has to be yes because there has been more activity, but recognizing how the market has changed did not get any easier. The purpose of first identifying the trend is to be in a position of knowing which trading rules to use as a guide. There are times when clarity is lacking, and it is best to wait for the market to confirm its intent before getting overly committed to the upside, or too defensive on the downside.

The overall structure of the weekly chart remains positive, and continuation higher should be the norm until there is something more to assess otherwise.

In trending markets, one wants to see synergy of various time frames, but it is not there in this daily chart, relative to the weekly. The daily trend has weakened. As an index, it is a warning for individual stocks that are not showing profits, a was discussed last week. For those stocks that are profitable, protective stops are still advised.

Friday was an important day for the up trend to reassert itself here. There was a lot of volatility, and at the end of the day, price was little changed from Thursday’s opposite performance of a very tight range. The close was in the upper half of the bar, a plus, but there needs to be follow-through on Monday because of where recent activity lies… just under 1670 resistance, and also under a 50% range rally from the recent high lot low. A market is considered weak when a rally cannot rise above a half-way correction area. These are negative signs and if not erased by upside activity, the market can correct even further to the downside.

Perhaps the best hope for the S&P lies in the stronger tech-oriented market, the NASDAQ. When price gaps up to establish is higher trading level, it is a sign of strength, and that gap has never been challenged. The entire market, since mid-July, has been consolidating and not correcting. The difference is a sign of relative strength, for a correction takes price lower in retracing recent gains from the last swing low.

Taken on its own, the NAS looks higher, and it may be the best barometer for the S&P.

Trade accordingly.

By Michael Noonan

http://edgetraderplus.com

Michael Noonan, mn@edgetraderplus.com, is a Chicago-based trader with over 30 years in the business. His sole approach to analysis is derived from developing market pattern behavior, found in the form of Price, Volume, and Time, and it is generated from the best source possible, the market itself.

© 2013 Copyright Michael Noonan - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Michael Noonan Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules