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How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Did TNX Cause the Fed to Pull the Plug on Stocks?

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 May 19, 2015 - 06:14 PM GMT

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Stock-Markets

ZeroHedge comments, “For the last 9 days in a row, no matter what is occurring in the markets, US Treasuries have begun to sell-off at 1330ET... Some have suggested this points to funding issues being a driver of recent weakness, with the USD up by the most in 2 days since oct 2011, we shall see if the need to sell down USTs is there for the 10th day in a row...”


It appears that the spike in yields may have the Fed worried as the 10-year yield approached its breakout point this morning. I can only guess that they will do anything, including their recent signaling about stocks being a little too pricey. Now we have the ECB jawboning about how they will be doubling down after finding out that what they had done so far wasn’t working. We could make a Keystone Cops movie about this one…

Whether this is a coincidence or not, the market peaked precisely at 1345 hours, ET. The turn came a day later than my Model forecast, but this appears to be the real thing.

There are no sell signals to employ here, other than what appears to be a completed Ending diagonal Wave structure, with a Megaphone ending.

The first serious warning of the decline may come at Short-term support at 2107.40. The sell signal will gather momentum beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2091.92. This is a very short distance away, so stay on the alert. Confirmation will further come beneath the Wave [iv] low at 2067.93.

We will start watching the VIX and Hi-Lo index tomorrow for evidence of the decline.

Regards,

Tony

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As a State Registered Investment Advisor, The Practical Investor (TPI) manages private client investment portfolios using a proprietary investment strategy created by Chief Investment Officer Tony Cherniawski. Throughout 2000-01, when many investors felt the pain of double digit market losses, TPI successfully navigated the choppy investment waters, creating a profit for our private investment clients. With a focus on preserving assets and capitalizing on opportunities, TPI clients benefited greatly from the TPI strategies, allowing them to stay on track with their life goals

Disclaimer: The content in this article is written for educational and informational purposes only.  There is no offer or recommendation to buy or sell any security and no information contained here should be interpreted or construed as investment advice. Do you own due diligence as the information in this article is the opinion of Anthony M. Cherniawski and subject to change without notice.

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