I was amazed this afternoon to see the top come in 61 days from the high on May 21, very close to 3:30 pm on both days. Due to the July 4 holiday, this turned out to be precisely 43 market days, to the hour, from top to top.

This is no guarantee of a top, but as I mentioned earlier, today was indicated by the Cycles Model as an important Cycle high. In fact, my earlier prognostications suggested that today might be a lower high in SPX, which it was. But I am marking it as a slightly truncated Wave 5 of (5) high, since it is only 190 ticks lower than the previous high.

VIX closed higher, at 12.25, but no buy signal, yet. It may come rather suddenly if the SPX futures continue to drift lower overnight.

VIX made a new low today, but it may qualify as a new Master Cycle low. If correct, this suggests the VIX may be making new highs through November!

The Hi-Lo Index closed lower today. At this juncture, I would call it a confirmed sell signal on the Hi-Lo.

Gold burst through the combination Head & Shoulders/Cup with Handle trendline at 1145.00. This should have been no surprise as I had been warning about this. The Cycles Model now suggests a continuation of the decline through the first week of August.

To bolster this view, ZeroHedge reports, “Minutes after the cash equity close, gold prices tumbled, having leaked lower all afternoon, breaking back below $1100. Overnight flash crash lows were $1080.”

I have a seriously overscheduled week, so my commentaries, including the Mid-Week Report, may not be available. I simply hope to catch events as they are happening and report back in brief emails.

Regards,

Tony

Our Investment Advisor Registration is on the Web

We are in the process of updating our website at www.thepracticalinvestor.com to have more information on our services. Log on and click on Advisor Registration to get more details.

If you are a client or wish to become one, please make an appointment to discuss our investment strategies by calling Connie or Tony at (517) 699-1554, ext 10 or 11. Or e-mail us at tpi@thepracticalinvestor.com .

Anthony M. Cherniawski, President and CIO http://www.thepracticalinvestor.com

As a State Registered Investment Advisor, The Practical Investor (TPI) manages private client investment portfolios using a proprietary investment strategy created by Chief Investment Officer Tony Cherniawski. Throughout 2000-01, when many investors felt the pain of double digit market losses, TPI successfully navigated the choppy investment waters, creating a profit for our private investment clients. With a focus on preserving assets and capitalizing on opportunities, TPI clients benefited greatly from the TPI strategies, allowing them to stay on track with their life goals

Disclaimer: The content in this article is written for educational and informational purposes only. There is no offer or recommendation to buy or sell any security and no information contained here should be interpreted or construed as investment advice. Do you own due diligence as the information in this article is the opinion of Anthony M. Cherniawski and subject to change without notice.

Anthony M. Cherniawski Archive

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.