Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Best Cash ISA Savings Account for Soaring UK Inflation - February 2018 - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Gold Price Forecast 2018 - February Update - Nadeem_Walayat
3.Bitcoin Crypto Currencies Crash 2018, Are We Near the Bottom? - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Trump Bubble Bursts, Stock Market Panic Dow 1175 Point Crash Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Gold Corrects, Bitcoin Markets Crash, Whilst Stocks Plunge - Nadeem_Walayat
6.US Treasury Bonds: Fuse to Light the Bonfire - Jim_Willie_CB
7.Dow Falls 666 Points As Cryptocurrencies Crash And Krugman Emerges From His Van - Jeff_Berwick
8.Stock Market Roller Coaster Crash Ride Down to Dow Forecast 23,000 - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Trading the Shadows - Oil, Dollar, Stocks, Gold Trend Analysis - B.R. Hollister
10.Stock Market Analysis: Baying for Blood - Abalgorithm
Last 7 days
5 Reasons Why Commodities Are the Investment Place to be in 2018 - 18th Feb 18
1 Week Later, Stock, Bond Market Risk Remains ‘On’ as 2 of 3 Amigos Ride On - 17th Feb 18
Crude Oil Prices: A Case of Dueling Narratives? - 17th Feb 18
Free 1000 Youtube Subscribers Services - YTpals, Subpals, SubmeNow Test - 17th Feb 18
How to Trade as We Near March Stock Market Top - 16th Feb 18
Bitcoin as Poison - 16th Feb 18
GDX Gold ETF Weathers Stock Market Selloff - 16th Feb 18
Casino Statistics and Demographics - 16th Feb 18
IS Today Thee Stock Market Turn Day? - 16th Feb 18
Huge SMIGGLE Shopping HAUL, Pencil Cases, Drinks Bottles, Back Packs, Toys.... - 16th Feb 18
Tesla Cash Keeps Burning at $320 a Share - 15th Feb 18
Big Conflict Ahead in the Financial Markets - 15th Feb 18
Stocks Extend Rally Off Friday's Low, But Short-Term Exhaustion Near - 15th Feb 18
Stock Market Out on a Limb... - 15th Feb 18
Things Only a True Friend Would Say About Gold - 14th Feb 18
Global Debt Crisis II Cometh - 14th Feb 18
Understanding Crude Oil Behavior - 14th Feb 18
Stock Market is Getting Scary... - 14th Feb 18
Stock Market - This Time is Different. Really?! - 13th Feb 18
Gold and Silver Long-term Buy, Short-term Sell Signal - 13th Feb 18
SPX Futures Are Sliding... - 13th Feb 18
Stock Market Topping Process Begins. The Bubble Finds its Pin - 13th Feb 18
Math Behind the Stock Market Crash and What’s Next – PART2 - 13th Feb 18
Gold Stocks Groundhog Week - 13th Feb 18
Platinum Looks Poised for Surprising Gains This Year - 12th Feb 18
Friday's S&P 500 Stock Market Bounce To Continue, But Selling May Resume - 12th Feb 18
The Inflation Trade and Bond Yields Rising Result in Equities Correction - 12th Feb 18
February 2018 Stock Market Crisis – What Next? - 12th Feb 18
How To Profit From The Bitcoin Bloodbath - 12th Feb 18
The Philippine Economic Dream Could Be Within the Reach  - 12th Feb 18
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? - 12th Feb 18
What Does the Stock Market Decline Mean for Gold - 12th Feb 18
Addicted to SMIGGLE Mega Review, Pencil Cases, Stationary, Back Packs, Drinking Bottles, Toys... - 12th Feb 18
Best Cash ISA Savings Account for Soaring UK Inflation - February 2018 - 11th Feb 18
The Fed’s Impossible Choice, In Three Charts - 11th Feb 18
US Stock Market, Gold, Silver and the Macro Backdrop - 11th Feb 18
After Two weeks of Stock Market Decline, People Are Ssking, “Are We There Yet?” - 11th Feb 18
How to Grow Tomatoes From Seeds, Homegrown Organic Money Saving Gardening - 11th Feb 18
Youtube KILLS ALL Small Channels with New DeMonetization Rules - 11th Feb 18
Lot of Stock Market Damage to Be Caused before New the Fed Chief Will React - 10th Feb 18
Best Ways to Make Money - 10th Feb 18
Stock Market Selling Unleashed! - 10th Feb 18
How to Get Free Youtube Subscribers to Get to 1000, YTpals, Subpals, SubmeNow, Do they Work? - 10th Feb 18
Stock Market Buy or Sell? This Insight May Help You Decide - 9th Feb 18
Stock Market Roller Coaster Crash Ride Down to Dow Forecast 23,000 - 9th Feb 18
What Is Stock Market Volatility Telling Us Now? - 9th Feb 18
Crude Oil $100 Price in 2019? - 9th Feb 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Urgent Stock Market Message

Syrian Refugee Crisis to Result in UK Council and Social Housing Waiting Lists Freeze Catastrophe

Politics / Immigration Sep 08, 2015 - 07:28 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Politics

Whilst David Cameron plucks figures out the air such as for the relocation of 20,000 Syrian refugees over the next few years, the reality will probably be nearer 20 times that figure, 400,000 Syrian refugees as evidenced by David Cameron's other immigration promises to cut net immigration to the tens of thousands per year where instead each data release shows net migration soaring to a new record high, as evidenced by the most recent data of over 330,000 per year.


"Overall, net immigration would be kept in the tens of thousands, rather than the current rate of hundreds of thousands”. - David Cameron 2010

The bottom line is that the UK government has no control over Britain's immigration crisis which is ACCELERATING and is EXPONENTIAL where the Conservative Government has failed to do anything to control what remains out of control immigration. And remember that the official statistics do not include illegal immigration totaling at least 1 million.

Therefore it can be taken as granted the actual number of Syrian refugees to enter the UK will be a figure that is well north of 400,000, but one that the UK government facing a May 2017 EU referendum will desperately attempt to hide from the general public, hence the gross disparity between David Cameron's 20k and what actually will come to pass. In fact the magnitude of the migrant crisis is such that it may prompt the Cameron government to bring forward the EU Referendum to May 2016 so as to better hide the truth from the public.

The crisis is such that there are already over 4 million Syrian refugees in the economically poor bordering countries of Syria as illustrated by the below map, all of whom are living in squalid refugee camps and are desperately trying to find a means of making their way to the likes of Germany and the UK, in which respect Germany has recognised this fact and promised a place for upto 800,000 Syrian refugees this year alone.

However,all of those jumping on the bandwagon such as the Scottish Nationalist leader Nicola Sturgeon and other usual suspects who are demanding a similar response from the UK are ignoring the fundamental fact that in terms of population density England is by far the most over crowded major european nation as the table below illustrates based on House of Commons, UK and EU statistical agencies data.

  Population Density / sq km New Migrants to Match England's Density
England 419  
Holland 408 .45mill
Belgium 370 1.5mill
Wales 258 1.8mill
Germany 226 68.8mill
Italy 205 62.6mill
Poland 130 85.6mill
Portugal 116 27.4mill
Hungary 108 28.8mill
France 105 197mill
Spain 94 161mill
Romania 89 74mill
Greece 82 44.3mill
Scotland 67 32.5mill
Bulgaria 66 38.8mill

What stands out from the table is the overwhelming disparity in capacity to accommodate migrants, especially for depopulated eastern european nations many of whom are demonstrating ZERO inclination to offer asylum to refugees despite having exported many millions of their own people westwards. For instance Poland would need to experience an influx of 85 million migrants to equal the population density of England.

Meanwhile the finger wagging Germans could allow 68 million migrants to settle in Germany and still be less densely populated than England. Whilst France would need to increase its population by near 200 million! Even a constantly bleating Greece would require a 44 million jump in its population to equal the state of over crowding in England.

Whilst Nicola Sturgeons Scotland, rather than letting in 1,000 refugees would need to let in 32.5million migrants, increasing the population six fold for Scotland to equal the population density of England, which once more shatters SNP propaganda that do not match reality.

In fact politicians such as Sturgeon and Yvette Cooper are playing games with the electorate when they make statements of wanting to offer their homes to refugee families. We'll why have they never offered their homes to homeless British families? Pure smoke and mirrors propaganda.

Therefore the migration crisis debate needs to seriously take into account the huge disparity in population density that has brought public services such as health, housing and education in many areas of southern England to the brink of collapse, something that works in the interests of Scottish nationalists whose primary objective is to sow chaos throughout the UK so that they can convince ordinary Scots that they are better off being Independent from an over populated collapsing UK.

The obvious solution to the migration crisis is for the migrants to be settled in the depopulated eastern Europe with Hungry being a good starting point as it is a primary transit route and could easily accommodate several tens of millions before reaching the same level of population density as England and then there is the mega empty space called Poland that could take 85 million and still not be as densely populated as England. For instance 4 million Poles have recently migrated westwards therefore Poland could easily be repopulated by the 4 million Syrian refugees.

Saudi Arabia and the Illusion of the Muslim Brotherhood

Meanwhile whilst Germany, a christian nation is going to let in an estimated 800,000 muslims, instead the home of Islam, Saudi Arabia is deaf, dumb and blind to the suffering of fellow MUSLIMS and thus will not let a single refugee cross its borders. Which illustrates the fundamental fact that Islam has always been a tool of Arab empires to rule over the dumb non arab slave masses of empires past, present and future. The arabs have distilled in the conquered and converted over many generations to be obedient slaves to Arab masters in this life so as they can gain freedom in paradise after they die. In fact most of the non arabs do not even understand the arabic words that they spend a life time reciting and memorising.

UK Council and Social Housing Freeze Catastrophe

The crisis in social housing is such that the waiting lists are literally about to become permanently frozen under the weight of the need to house the large influx of refugees / migrants over the coming months and years. Waiting lists will literally be frozen where no one will be able to move property no matter how many decades they may have spent on the waiting lists for the primary objective of local councils right across the UK will be to house Syrian and other migrant families which given the weight of numbers will continuously stream into the UK for at least the next 3 years which means that the housing waiting lists will be FROZEN for at least the next 3 years.

My best advice to those in social housing is that if you are contemplating moving then the time to act is NOW for you will NOT be able to move in just a few months or even weeks time.

A freeze on social housing waiting lists is just one example of the consequences of continuing out of control immigration that is similarly resulting in a freeze right across the public sector as services such as health and education (schools) are being brought to the point of completely freezing where waiting lists are such that the services may as well not exist! And even if patients do make it to the appointments, that the service they are likely to get will be far below that which the people of Britain deserve and pay for in high taxes.

The bottom line is that whilst the likes of Germany has the capacity to house as many as 500,000 refugees per year, Britain does not have the capacity to house even 5,000 per year!

Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter for my next in-depth analysis and concluding detailed trend forecasts that include the following planned newsletters -

  • US Dollar Trend Forecast Update 2015
  • Islam 3.0

Also subscribe to our Youtube channel for notification of video releases and for our new series on the 'The Illusion of Democracy and Freedom', that seeks to answer questions such as 'Did God Create the Universe?' and how to 'Attain Freedom' as well as a stream of mega long term 'Future Trend Forecasts'.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2015 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules