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Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct - Dec 2019 by Nadeem Walayat

Syrian Refugee Crisis to Result in UK Council and Social Housing Waiting Lists Freeze Catastrophe

Politics / Immigration Sep 08, 2015 - 07:28 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Politics

Whilst David Cameron plucks figures out the air such as for the relocation of 20,000 Syrian refugees over the next few years, the reality will probably be nearer 20 times that figure, 400,000 Syrian refugees as evidenced by David Cameron's other immigration promises to cut net immigration to the tens of thousands per year where instead each data release shows net migration soaring to a new record high, as evidenced by the most recent data of over 330,000 per year.


"Overall, net immigration would be kept in the tens of thousands, rather than the current rate of hundreds of thousands”. - David Cameron 2010

The bottom line is that the UK government has no control over Britain's immigration crisis which is ACCELERATING and is EXPONENTIAL where the Conservative Government has failed to do anything to control what remains out of control immigration. And remember that the official statistics do not include illegal immigration totaling at least 1 million.

Therefore it can be taken as granted the actual number of Syrian refugees to enter the UK will be a figure that is well north of 400,000, but one that the UK government facing a May 2017 EU referendum will desperately attempt to hide from the general public, hence the gross disparity between David Cameron's 20k and what actually will come to pass. In fact the magnitude of the migrant crisis is such that it may prompt the Cameron government to bring forward the EU Referendum to May 2016 so as to better hide the truth from the public.

The crisis is such that there are already over 4 million Syrian refugees in the economically poor bordering countries of Syria as illustrated by the below map, all of whom are living in squalid refugee camps and are desperately trying to find a means of making their way to the likes of Germany and the UK, in which respect Germany has recognised this fact and promised a place for upto 800,000 Syrian refugees this year alone.

However,all of those jumping on the bandwagon such as the Scottish Nationalist leader Nicola Sturgeon and other usual suspects who are demanding a similar response from the UK are ignoring the fundamental fact that in terms of population density England is by far the most over crowded major european nation as the table below illustrates based on House of Commons, UK and EU statistical agencies data.

  Population Density / sq km New Migrants to Match England's Density
England 419  
Holland 408 .45mill
Belgium 370 1.5mill
Wales 258 1.8mill
Germany 226 68.8mill
Italy 205 62.6mill
Poland 130 85.6mill
Portugal 116 27.4mill
Hungary 108 28.8mill
France 105 197mill
Spain 94 161mill
Romania 89 74mill
Greece 82 44.3mill
Scotland 67 32.5mill
Bulgaria 66 38.8mill

What stands out from the table is the overwhelming disparity in capacity to accommodate migrants, especially for depopulated eastern european nations many of whom are demonstrating ZERO inclination to offer asylum to refugees despite having exported many millions of their own people westwards. For instance Poland would need to experience an influx of 85 million migrants to equal the population density of England.

Meanwhile the finger wagging Germans could allow 68 million migrants to settle in Germany and still be less densely populated than England. Whilst France would need to increase its population by near 200 million! Even a constantly bleating Greece would require a 44 million jump in its population to equal the state of over crowding in England.

Whilst Nicola Sturgeons Scotland, rather than letting in 1,000 refugees would need to let in 32.5million migrants, increasing the population six fold for Scotland to equal the population density of England, which once more shatters SNP propaganda that do not match reality.

In fact politicians such as Sturgeon and Yvette Cooper are playing games with the electorate when they make statements of wanting to offer their homes to refugee families. We'll why have they never offered their homes to homeless British families? Pure smoke and mirrors propaganda.

Therefore the migration crisis debate needs to seriously take into account the huge disparity in population density that has brought public services such as health, housing and education in many areas of southern England to the brink of collapse, something that works in the interests of Scottish nationalists whose primary objective is to sow chaos throughout the UK so that they can convince ordinary Scots that they are better off being Independent from an over populated collapsing UK.

The obvious solution to the migration crisis is for the migrants to be settled in the depopulated eastern Europe with Hungry being a good starting point as it is a primary transit route and could easily accommodate several tens of millions before reaching the same level of population density as England and then there is the mega empty space called Poland that could take 85 million and still not be as densely populated as England. For instance 4 million Poles have recently migrated westwards therefore Poland could easily be repopulated by the 4 million Syrian refugees.

Saudi Arabia and the Illusion of the Muslim Brotherhood

Meanwhile whilst Germany, a christian nation is going to let in an estimated 800,000 muslims, instead the home of Islam, Saudi Arabia is deaf, dumb and blind to the suffering of fellow MUSLIMS and thus will not let a single refugee cross its borders. Which illustrates the fundamental fact that Islam has always been a tool of Arab empires to rule over the dumb non arab slave masses of empires past, present and future. The arabs have distilled in the conquered and converted over many generations to be obedient slaves to Arab masters in this life so as they can gain freedom in paradise after they die. In fact most of the non arabs do not even understand the arabic words that they spend a life time reciting and memorising.

UK Council and Social Housing Freeze Catastrophe

The crisis in social housing is such that the waiting lists are literally about to become permanently frozen under the weight of the need to house the large influx of refugees / migrants over the coming months and years. Waiting lists will literally be frozen where no one will be able to move property no matter how many decades they may have spent on the waiting lists for the primary objective of local councils right across the UK will be to house Syrian and other migrant families which given the weight of numbers will continuously stream into the UK for at least the next 3 years which means that the housing waiting lists will be FROZEN for at least the next 3 years.

My best advice to those in social housing is that if you are contemplating moving then the time to act is NOW for you will NOT be able to move in just a few months or even weeks time.

A freeze on social housing waiting lists is just one example of the consequences of continuing out of control immigration that is similarly resulting in a freeze right across the public sector as services such as health and education (schools) are being brought to the point of completely freezing where waiting lists are such that the services may as well not exist! And even if patients do make it to the appointments, that the service they are likely to get will be far below that which the people of Britain deserve and pay for in high taxes.

The bottom line is that whilst the likes of Germany has the capacity to house as many as 500,000 refugees per year, Britain does not have the capacity to house even 5,000 per year!

Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter for my next in-depth analysis and concluding detailed trend forecasts that include the following planned newsletters -

  • US Dollar Trend Forecast Update 2015
  • Islam 3.0

Also subscribe to our Youtube channel for notification of video releases and for our new series on the 'The Illusion of Democracy and Freedom', that seeks to answer questions such as 'Did God Create the Universe?' and how to 'Attain Freedom' as well as a stream of mega long term 'Future Trend Forecasts'.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2015 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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