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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct - Dec 2019 by Nadeem Walayat

Comparing Gold Producers to Main Stream Stocks

Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019 Sep 23, 2019 - 07:03 PM GMT

By: Peter_Degraaf

Commodities

Long term trends take a long time to reverse.  One such trend compares gold mining stocks to the S&P 500 stocks.  From 2002 until 2011 gold mining stocks outperformed generic stocks, as can be seen in the following chart.  (Charts courtesy Stockcharts.com).



    
The trend unmistakably featured mining stocks ($HUI) over the S&P 500 stocks.  From 2011 until recently, the trend reversed, putting Wall Street back in the lead.  Our next chart shows that we may be about to see a trend favoring miners again.


    
Featured is a chart that compares gold producers (GDX) to main stream stocks ($SPX).  The fan blades highlight incremental breakouts that show miners are outperforming generic stocks.  Breakout #4 inched above the 50 week moving average (blue line), #5 closed above the 200 week moving average (red line), for the first time since 2016.  The blue arrow points to the spot where another fan blade is likely to be drawn.  The moving averages themselves are rising for the first time in years!  Seasoned observers consider this a very bullish setup, resulting in money leaving generic stocks and moving into the gold sector!

    

Not to be overlooked is the silver producers sector, represented here by a chart of SIL the silver producers ETF.  Silver usually outperforms gold during a bull market, and SIL is breaking out from congestion, within the rising blue channel.  A close above the blue arrow will confirm the breakout, which could happen this week!.

DISCLAIMER:  Please do your own due diligence.  Peter Degraaf is NOT responsible for your trading decisions.

Happy trading!

By Peter Degraaf

Peter Degraaf is an on-line stock trader with over 50 years of investing experience. He issues a weekend report on the markets for his many subscribers. For a sample issue send him an E-mail at itiswell@cogeco.net , or visit his website at www.pdegraaf.com where you will find many long-term charts, as well as an interesting collection of Worthwhile Quotes that make for fascinating reading.

© 2019 Copyright Peter Degraaf - All Rights Reserved

DISCLAIMER: Please do your own due diligence. I am NOT responsible for your trading decisions.

Peter Degraaf Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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