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Gold And Silver Up, Down, Sideways, Up

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020 Sep 13, 2020 - 12:07 PM GMT

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Commodities

In mid-march, just as the coronavirus was gaining momentum, the price of gold began to rise.  After trading sideways from 2015 to 2019, gold rose from a low of $1,471 in mid-March to $2,069 on August 6th, a spectacular 40% rise in five months.

During that same period, silver rose from $11.94 to $29.14 on August 6th, an even more spectacular 114% increase.


Three days later, on August 9th, as gold and silver continued to trade close to their respective highs, I wrote, …In August 2020, gold and silver are both rising even as central bankers still hope to slow their ascent. Whether gold and silver will continue to ascend or be forced lower as they were in 2011 when central bankers flooded markets with gold bullion offered at negative interest rates remains to be seen.

The next day gold and silver prices plunged with central bankers reminding speculators and investors that they would battle to the death to keep their profitable franchise of credit and debt afloat; a 325-year old franchise whose demise is now within sight.

CENTRAL BANKING: THE PROBLEMS THEREOF

Much as medieval priests wrote in Latin to keep the general public ignorant of the true meaning of the scriptures, central bankers utilize mathematical equations to obfuscate the inner-workings of their obscenely profitable ponzi-scheme of credit and debt.

For example, from Wikipedia entry, Mathematical economics:

…Von Neumann's model of an expanding economy considered the matrix pencil  A - λ B with nonnegative matrices A and B; von Neumann sought probability vectors p and q and a positive number λ that would solve the complementarity equation

    pT (A - λ B) q = 0,

Also:

I believe that central banking and its present problems are more easily understood when a toilet represents the economy, instead of obtuse mathematical formulae.

Usually, when the toilet, i.e. economy, does not work, jiggling the handle, i.e. raising or lowering interest rates, is sufficient to restore balance.

If the water level rises in the toilet, it indicates too much money (circulating credit and debt) is being printed causing inflation.

If too much money continues to be printed, inflation is followed by hyper-inflation where the toilet overflows, prices explode upwards and money loses all value.                                      

However, if the water level is too low, it indicates deflation where money is no longer circulating as before. This often happens after speculative bubbles collapse, debts default and credit is scarce.

In a severe deflation, it becomes necessary to pour in water, i.e. quantitative easing, in order for the toilet to function, i.e. flush.

Quantitative Easing

Hyper-deflation is an even more extreme state when the water in the toilet completely drains and the toilet can no longer be flushed.

In 2020, we are in a severe deflation where central banks are printing more and more and even more money to replace that being rapidly lost. Whether this ends in hyper-deflation or hyper-inflation is not yet known. Soon, it will be.

On Sunday, September 13, I will be answering questions on a livestream Q&A at 4 pm (USA ET). The URL for the event is https://youtu.be/QTYY0CcDiX8

Buy gold, buy silver, have faith.

By Darryl Robert Schoon
www.drschoon.com

About Darryl Robert Schoon
In college, I majored in political science with a focus on East Asia (B.A. University of California at Davis, 1966). My in-depth study of economics did not occur until much later.

In the 1990s, I became curious about the Great Depression and in the course of my study, I realized that most of my preconceptions about money and the economy were just that - preconceptions. I, like most others, did not really understand the nature of money and the economy. Now, I have some insights and answers about these critical matters.

In October 2005, Marshall Thurber, a close friend from law school convened The Positive Deviant Network (the PDN), a group of individuals whom Marshall believed to be "out-of-the-box" thinkers and I was asked to join. The PDN became a major catalyst in my writings on economic issues.

When I discovered others in the PDN shared my concerns about the US economy, I began writing down my thoughts. In March 2007 I presented my findings to the Positive Deviant Network in the form of an in-depth 148- page analysis, " How to Survive the Crisis and Prosper In The Process. "

The reception to my presentation, though controversial, generated a significant amount of interest; and in May 2007, "How To Survive The Crisis And Prosper In The Process" was made available at www.survivethecrisis.com and I began writing articles on economic issues.

The interest in the book and my writings has been gratifying. During its first two months, www.survivethecrisis.com was accessed by over 10,000 viewers from 93 countries. Clearly, we had struck a chord and www.drschoon.com , has been created to address this interest.

Darryl R Schoon Archive

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