Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Dow Long-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Triggering a Stocks Bear Market? - 27th Feb 20
Trump or Sanders? Both will pile up the Debt - 27th Feb 20
Oil Price Is Now More Volatile Than Bitcoin - 27th Feb 20
A Digital “Fedcoin” May Be Coming… And It Would Be Terrifying - 27th Feb 20
India's Nifty 50 Stocks: Does the Bad Jobs Outlook Spell Trouble for Stocks? - 27th Feb 20
How Crypto Currencies Are Helping Players Go Private - 27th Feb 20 -
Gold and Silver The Die Is Cast - 27th Feb 20
US Economy Permanently Addicted to Zero Interest Rates - 27th Feb 20
Has the Stock Market Waterfall Event Started Or A Buying Opportunity? - 27th Feb 20
Advantages of Enrolling in a Retirement Plan - 27th Feb 20 - LS
South Korea Coronavirus Outbreak Data Analysis Warning Rate of Infection is Exponential! - 26th Feb 20
Gold Price Long-term Trend Analysis Forecast 2020 - 26th Feb 20
Fake Markets Are on Collision Course with Reality - 26th Feb 20
Microsoft is Crushing the S&P 500, Secret Trait Of Stocks That Soar 1,000%+ - 26th Feb 20
Europe's Best Ski Resorts For The Ultimate Adventure - 26th Feb 20
Samsung Galaxy S20+ vs Galaxy S10+ Which One to Buy? - 26th Feb 20
Gold Is Taking on $1,700 amid Rising Coronavirus Fears - 26th Feb 20
Is This What Falling Through the Floor Looks Like in Stocks? - 26th Feb 20
Gold Minsky Moment Coming - 26th Feb 20
Why Every Student Should Study Economics - 26th Feb 20
Stock Market Correction Over? - 26th Feb 20
US Bond Market Yield Curve Patterns – What To Expect In 2020 - 25th Feb 20
Has Stock Market Waterfall Event Started Or A Buying Opportunity? - 25th Feb 20
Coronavirus IN Sheffield! Royal Hallamshire Hospital treating 2 infected Patients, UK - 25th Feb 20
Dow Short-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Trigger a Stocks Bear Market? - 24th Feb 20
Sustained Silver Rally Coming? - 24th Feb 20
Should Investors Worry about Repo Market and Buy Gold? - 24th Feb 20
Are FANG Technology Stocks Setting Up For A Market Crash? - 24th Feb 20
Gold Above $1,600 Amid FOMC Minutes and Coronavirus Impact - 24th Feb 20
CoronaVirus Pandemic Day 76 Trend Forecast Update - Infected 540k, Minus China 1715, Deaths 4920 - 23rd Feb 20 -
Ways to Find Startup Capital - 23rd Feb 20
Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020 - 22nd Feb 20
The Shanghai Composite and Coronavirus: A Revealing Perspective - 22nd Feb 20
Baltic Dry, Copper, Oil, Tech and China Continue Call for Stock Market Crash Soon - 22nd Feb 20
Gold Warning – This is Not a Buying Opportunity - 22nd Feb 20
Is The Technology Sector FANG Stocks Setting Up For A Market Crash? - 22nd Feb 20
Coronavirus China Infection Statistics Analysis, Probability Forecasts 1/2 Million Infected - 21st Feb 20
Is Crude Oil Firmly on the Upswing Now? - 20th Feb 20
What Can Stop the Stocks Bull – Or At Least, Make It Pause? - 20th Feb 20
Trump and Economic News That Drive Gold, Not Just Coronavirus - 20th Feb 20
Coronavirus COVID19 UK Infection Prevention, Boosting Immune Systems, Birmingham, Sheffield - 20th Feb 20
Silver’s Valuable Insights Into the Upcoming PMs Rally - 20th Feb 20
Coronavirus Coming Storm Act Now to Protect Yourselves and Family to Survive COVID-19 Pandemic - 19th Feb 20
Future Silver Prices Will Shock People, and They’ll Kick Themselves for Not Buying Under $20… - 19th Feb 20
What Alexis Kennedy Learned from Launching Cultist Simulator - 19th Feb 20
Stock Market Potential Short-term top - 18th Feb 20
Coronavirus Fourth Turning - No One Gets Out Of Here Alive! - 18th Feb 20
The Stocks Hit Worst From the Coronavirus - 18th Feb 20
Tips on Pest Control: How to Prevent Pests and Rodents - 18th Feb 20
Buying a Custom Built Gaming PC From Overclockers.co.uk - 1. Delivery and Unboxing - 17th Feb 20
BAIDU (BIDU) Illustrates Why You Should NOT Invest in Chinese Stocks - 17th Feb 20
Financial Markets News Report: February 17, 2020 - February 21, 2020 - 17th Feb 20
NVIDIA (NVDA) GPU King For AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Investing 2020 - 17th Feb 20
Stock Market Bubble - No One Gets Out Of Here Alive! - 17th Feb 20
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast 2020 - 16th Feb 20
SAMSUNG AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Investing 2020 - 16th Feb 20
Ignore the Polls, the Markets Have Already Told You Who Wins in 2020 - 16th Feb 20
UK Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic WARNING! Sheffield, Manchester, Birmingham Outbreaks Probable - 16th Feb 20
iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF IBB AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Investing 2020 - 15th Feb 20
Gold Stocks Still Stalled - 15th Feb 20
Is The Technology Stocks Sector Setting Up For A Crash? - 15th Feb 20
UK Calm Before Corona Virus Storm - Infections Forecast into End March 2020 - 15th Feb 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Coronavirus-bear-market-2020-analysis

Dubai Property Market Crash

Housing-Market / Middle East Mar 08, 2009 - 03:09 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Housing-Market Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhilst the US housing market crash enters into its third year with house prices down approaching 30%, and the UK house price crash fast approaching its second anniversary this August with average prices lower by more than 22%. The developing worlds housing bubbles have only more recently started to pop, especially following last Septembers financial markets crash in the aftermath of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy.


For instance the financial capital of the middle east Dubai that saw house prices during the whole of 2008 soar by 40%, however this masks the fourth quarter reversal that saw an 8% drop that has continued to accelerate during the first two months of 2009 into a full blown crash in property prices. The pace of decline is put at an eye watering 7% per month which is prompting panic amongst many foreign investors that bought into the Dubai property bubble including many of the worlds celebrities as the Mirror reports CELEBS LOSING £80K A WEEK ON THEIR DUBAI MANSIONS

Stars including David and Victoria Beckham, Michael Jackson and Brad Pitt are losing £80,000 A WEEK as their luxury Dubai villas crash in value.

Celebs who bought the properties in their droves over the last few years have seen prices halve, with pads worth £3.2million in October now on the market for £1.6million.

Already some of the mainstream press's property sections are implying the fall in prices is a great time to buy i.e. the Property Times Online - " For Dubai's fans, this makes it a great time to buy."

A warning to those investors being swayed, the Dubai property crash has only just begun which seeks to correct a 6 year property boom. The Dubai construction boom is expected to come to an imminent halt with many partially finished projects littering the landscape as investors walk away from the off plan deposits in the wake of the ongoing crash in property values. It remains to be seen how much of this excess supply will eventually be reclaimed by the desert as many foreign investors in off plan Spanish properties are painfully experiencing. My expectations are for an average 50% retracement in Dubai property prices from the peak, with many of the more over-leveraged high end properties possibly crashing by as much as 75%.

Dubai Real Estate Crash

Youtube - Dubai Real Estate Crash

Dubai realtors report a non existent market as buyers evaporate, thousands of apartments remain empty with little sign of a recovery for at least another 9 months. The option of renting out expensive properties has also evaporated which puts developers and landlords under extreme pressure. Desperate developers have embarked on a publicity campaign in regional press and media in an attempt to attract buyers.

The crash in property values is just another manifestation of the ongoing crash in Dubai's economy which barely a week ago required a $10 billion bailout by the United Arab Emirates to prevent a government debt default as parts of the $80 billion of debt come up for refinancing. The huge over leveraging borrowing spree helped fuel the property boom and global investments that sought to turn Dubai into a world financial centre. The property crash follows hard on the heels of the stock market crash of more than 75% as the economic gains of recent years turn out to be a mirage.

Britain is expected to be especially hard hit as the property bug bit Briton's more than many other foreign investors that amount to some 65% of the Dubai real-estate market. For the indepth UK house price analysis and forecast see - UK Housing Market Crash and Depression Forecast 2007 to 2012

By Nadeem Walayat
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-09 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 250 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Attention Editors and Publishers! - You have permission to republish THIS article. Republished articles must include attribution to the author and links back to the http://www.marketoracle.co.uk . Please send an email to republish@marketoracle.co.uk, to include a link to the published article.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments

mcash@sify.com
08 Mar 09, 23:45
dubai property

I think it is the temporaray factor.


mongrelpuppy
09 Mar 09, 13:34
Dubai

temporary?

that has the risk of dysfunctional investment thinking.

my first comment was perhaps too strong for the audience. moderation in moderators..

i used to advise governments on this stuff..gave up..introverted cultures of the rich and distracted..but still loveable cuteness if not frustrating..

but a small word of advice.. if those Dubai Empire builders were to consider the investment potential in design-building a space age eden, food-energy-shelter sufficiency..eg. Eden project in Cornwall Britain..

greenhouses in the desert, solar power..

space age technolgy to do so has been building for the last 40 years..geodesic domes, living water systems..it's all there..use it..

at the edge of the desert perhaps the investment could lead the way for the entire middle east where all these internecine family arguments could use some hope. those movie stars would buy into it in spades..

go for it.


Nadeem_Walayat
10 Mar 09, 15:46
Crashing markets

Yep, the greater the bubble the greater the collapse. It's why chinese and indian stocks crashed far ,more than western markets



26 Nov 09, 19:45
The banks who sponsored this madness

Shelly's poem Ozymandias springs to mind

OZYMANDIAS

"My name is Ozymandias, king of kings:

Look on my works, ye Mighty, and despair!"

Nothing beside remains. Round the decay

Of that colossal wreck, boundless and bare,

The lone and level sands stretch far away.

The banks who sponsored this madness are now going to pay a horrendous price, some will be bankrupted. It was their job not to sponsor the construction of "shipping hazards" in the seas off Dubai but of course that would have meant having a modicom of common sense.


sumaira
03 Dec 09, 10:33
its not temporary facter. its alarming!

dubai property crash is not temporary. look three year back, same crash begun in USA which didnt get end yet. i just hope it dont go that bad as it was in USA.


susana
30 Jun 10, 01:06
It's just temporaray

This real estate crisis in in fact global and no place in this world is safe from this global real estate crisis then why only to blame Dubai real estate and I think that Dubai real estate business is in much better condition than others as I have recently read an article about it at


Susana
08 Aug 10, 23:38
Hi,

I do agree that it is the most severs bust and depression for Dubai real estate industry but I don't agree that investors in Dubai Property will suffer for long as I believe that Dubai has a very economic strong basis and Dubai authorities are trying their best to recover the previous position of Dubai real estate industry.

http://www.bayut.com


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules