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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Japanese Yen

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Here’s A Strong Case For A Strong Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: John_Mauldin

I am well-known for suggesting that Japan was a bug in search of a windshield and in predicting that the yen would go 200 to the dollar.

About four years ago, when the yen was at 100, I even purchased 10-year options, which were ridiculously cheap, with strike prices 20 to 30 yen higher. I was willing to be patient and wait for 10 years, if I had to.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 23, 2017

USDJPY Recoil Rally On The Cards / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: New Home Sales, Crude Oil Inventories.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

The Yen is Expected To Benefit From US Dollar Uncertainty Over Election Week  / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Submissions

Adam Teen writes: The US dollar enters a crucial week against its rivals, including the Japanese Yen, as the volatile sessions are expected because the USA is officially going into polls on Tuesday 8th.

Strong economic performance data released over the past week did not quite convince investors that it is safe to hold the green buck over the next few sessions.

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Currencies

Friday, September 09, 2016

USD/JPY Could Be Supported by BOJ Policy Stance / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Submissions

easyMarkets writes: When the Bank of Japan released its last monetary policy statement, many analysts expected that they would follow suit with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and the rest of the Japanese government by releasing a large stimulus plan. Prime Minister Abe’s plan gave a 28 trillion yen stimulus plan to bolster the economy. However, the Bank of Japan did not follow suit. Instead, they decided on increasing dollar-lending and exchange traded fund purchases. Despite negative interest rates, no changes were made to the base interest rate or to the current bond-purchase program.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 31, 2016

Bank of Japan Disappointment Sets Stage For Further Yen Appreciation / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: AnyOption

After the considerable fanfare that followed the Liberal Democrats sweeping victory in the upper house of Japanese Parliament, the monetary stimulus measures that have seen been unveiled have not been met with optimism as evidenced by the recent strengthening in the Yen.  In a sign that confidence in the Bank of Japan continues to fall, and recently announcement of expanded JPY 6 trillion in ETF purchases failed to move the needle lower for the Yen.  Anticipation of more aggressive stimulus measures including expanded easing and lower interest rates was not rewarded after the Central bank abstained from making serious adjustments to existing policy measures.  Despite the pessimism that surrounded the decision, it may have been the best move considering the ongoing deflationary pressures that have not budged and weaker consumption metrics.  However, with deteriorating economic fundamentals comes the added risk of another wave of Yen appreciation.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Forex Trading: Investors Await Inside Bar Breakout for Clear Direction in USD/JPY / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Richard_Cox

The US Dollar (USD) extended upside movement against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Thursday, increasing the price of USD/JPY to more than 105.00 as bulls gain strength. The technical bias however remains bearish because of a Lower Low in the recent downside move. The pair has formed a great inside bar trade setup after the emergence of a giant candle on 24th June amid Brexit vote. A breakout through the aforementioned candle will provide clear direction for the pair.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Brexit’s Big Loser? Japan / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: John_Rubino

One of the first results of Britain’s voting to leave the European Union was a sharply lower pound. Which means the UK is now winning the currency war. Henceforth its exports will be cheaper around the world, enabling its major companies to sell more stuff, make more money and hire more people. Inflation will pop, lessening the burden of government and consumer debts, and — other things being equal — growth will be faster.

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Currencies

Monday, May 23, 2016

Japan and US at G7 – Agree to Disagree / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Dan_Norcini

The big Pow-Pow taking place in Japan with the G7 ( Group of Seven) finance ministers yielded what most of us already expected – no agreement whatsoever.

I found Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso’s remarks quite revealing. His view is that the recent movements in the Yen have been “excessive”. “The movement seen over the past several weeks can’t be described as ‘orderly,” he noted.

He noted that “one-sided, speculative trades” have been behind some of the move higher in the Yen. The Japanese find such things undesirable.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 31, 2016

USD-JPY Back In Bullish Mode / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

Many years from now, the people of Japan will tell their children and grandchildren of a time long since past when interest rates were negative and you actually had to pay the bank to give them money. The kids will go "Wow" in amazement and disbelief.

The Bank of Japan announced this exact thing the past week and this is the present we currently live in and is likely to be the case for the foreseeable future. This should see the USDJPY now trade higher.

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Currencies

Monday, January 25, 2016

USDJPY: Big Correction Near Completion / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDJPY is falling sharply and very aggressively towards the levels of August of 2015, but it's still too soon to confirm if wave four will be a triangle or a flat. It can be both as long as wave A) holds, but we still think that sooner or later bears will slow down and that price will rally in three legs; either from here or from around 114.00. So for now, trend is still down, but key for bulls will be a bullish reversal in five waves on lower time frames. Only then we can start looking immediately higher again.

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Currencies

Saturday, September 12, 2015

Why the Japanese Yen's Bull Run REALLY Ended / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: EWI

Monetary "Yentervention" did not cause the currency's depreciation -- it only COINCIDED with it

Talk about "star" wars.

"Asia's biggest action star" Donnie Yen was just cast in the next installment of the never-ending Star Wars movie franchise. Mr. Yen, in case you aren't aware, is known as "the strongest man in the entire universe." (Huffington Post)

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Currencies

Monday, August 17, 2015

USDJPY At Critical Juncture / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

Previously, I thought the high for the USDJPY was in place and a correction was now underway. It still may be. Price is now at a critical juncture and the potential exists for one last marginal false break high. Let's examine the situation using the weekly chart.

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Currencies

Friday, July 10, 2015

USDJPY Correction Underway / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

The USDJPY currency pair has traded exactly as laid out in previous client analysis and a correction now appears underway. Let's analyse both the medium term and long term pictures using the weekly and yearly charts.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 16, 2015

USDJPY Rare 40-Month Cycle / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Ashraf_Laidi

While markets' attention is placed on the latest rumour from German tabloids and the habitual Greek denials, let's focus on the other USD pair.

When USDJPY hit the 125.86 high earlier this month, it was its highest level since June 2002. The 65% climb from the February 2012 lows of 76.03 lasted took 40 months to occur, matching the duration of the 85% rise from April 1995 low to this month's high.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 11, 2015

Japanese Yen – Is Kuroda trying to talk it up? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Dan_Norcini

Last night in the Asian trading session, Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda made some remarks, which I found rather unusual.

Here is the actual quote:
“Once an increase in the U.S. interest rate is priced into the market, the actual action won’t necessarily lead to a further rise of the Dollar again the Yen”.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Japanese Yen and U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: EWI

A different way to look at familiar forex markets

Elliott Wave International's Alexandra Lienhard recently sat down with the editor of our Currency Pro Service, Jim Martens.

Learn what Jim sees next for such popular forex markets as Japanese yen (USDJPY) as well as the U.S. dollar.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 26, 2015

USD JPY Shorts Break Down / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The charts below show net speculative shorts in JPY vs. USD have broken out of a 4-year channel (signifying a potential turn), while the chart on the right shows protracted yen weakness will inevitably restore the trade balance into surplus for the first time in 4 years.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 04, 2014

Japan Abenomics From Faith to Failure to Stop Deflation / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: EWI

Why the biggest monetary stimulus effort in the world did NOT stop deflation in its tracks

When Shinzo Abe became the Prime Minister of Japan in December 2012, he was regarded with the kind of reverence that politicians dream about. He was featured in a hit pop song ("Abeno Mix"), hailed as a "samurai warrior," and featured on the May 2013 The Economist cover as none other than Superman.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

How High Could USD/JPY Go? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Nadia_Simmons

Yesterday, official data showed that annualized Japan's gross domestic product dropped by 1.6% in the third quarter, missing economists‘ forecast of a 2.3% growth and following a 7.3% drop in the second quarter, which puts the country in a recession. In these circumstances USD/JPY extended gains and hit a fresh multi-year high of 117.04. How high could the exchange rate go?

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Currencies

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Potential Bounce in the Japanese Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: DailyWealth

Brett Eversole writes: When the Prime Minister of Japan says he's going to debase the yen, it's hard to be on the opposite side of the trade...

Governments aren't good at a lot of things. But they are good at creating inflation and pummeling their currencies. And that's exactly what we're seeing in Japan today.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

What's With the Japanese Yen? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Yen has morphed into a different pattern than I had originally portrayed. Not that there weren’t clues already there, but the first Triangle formation threw me off, thinking that the decline in the Yen was complete on January 10, 2014. Usually Triangles occur in fourth waves. However, they also occur in B waves.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 28, 2014

USD-JPY Japanese Yen Set For Big Reversal / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

Price is now at the key resistance area flagged in my last USDJPY report. So is it likely to turn back down or bust higher? Let’s have a look at the charts.

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Currencies

Friday, July 18, 2014

USD-JPY Rally Set To Fizzle / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

In my last article on the USDJPY back in May, I identified a double bottom formation. Double bottoms in an uptrend are generally great buy opportunities and can leady to large move higher. However, the double bottom in the USDJPY at 100.76 has been quite flat. Let’s take a look at the daily chart to see what we’re dealing with.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

USD/JPY Trapped In Corrective Price Action? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

The USD/JPY is turning into a temporary recovery, and the reason is slow and overlapping price action at the late stage of recent decline that looks like an ending diagonal placed in wave C position, final leg of a three wave fall from 104.11. Therefore, we suspect that the USD/JPY is trapped in some bigger corrective price action, probably a triangle, and that pair will continue sideways or even slightly higher in the next couple of days. We expect a three wave rise up in wave C), back to 103.00.

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Currencies

Friday, May 23, 2014

USDJPY Set For New Highs / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Submissions

Austin Galt writes: Let’s begin by taking a look at the big picture, the yearly chart.

YEARLY CHART

Here we can see a powerful up move started in 2012, went full bore in 2013 and seems to have stagnated in 2014. It appears that a longterm bear market is in force consisting of lower lows and lower highs and so far the last few years of trading hasn’t damaged that technical picture.

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Currencies

Monday, May 19, 2014

USD/JPY: Downtrend Continuation In View / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD/JPY has turned down last week and fell beneath 101.42 after broken channel line (circled zone). As such, corrective rally up to 102.36 appears complete which means that traders should be aware of a downtrend continuation in days ahead, ideally close to 100. Invalidation level is now at 102.36, but break above 102.00 would already threaten the bearish look.

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 07, 2014

USD/JPY Ignition / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Ignition...liftoff! USD/JPY rose from 101.43 at the low to 101.75 at 8:00 am. At 8:00 am SPX futures started to ramp. SPX pre-market is up 7 points and may go to Short-term resistance at 1876.00 or 17-day resistance at 1878.00 (not shown).

There is some concern that the decline so far is not impulsive. The best explanation why is that the shallow clustering of supports temporarily prevent the declines from making the longer declines typical in an impulse. Another explanation is that SPX may be making a Leading Diagonal wave. Something else may be happening if the ramp goes above 1885.51.

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 12, 2014

USD/JPY: Temporary Recovery / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD/JPY found a support at the end of last week around 100.74 from where pair recovered for around 200 pips so we suspect that pair completed first five wave decline from 105.34 labeled as leading diagonal. As such, we believe that pair is in bearish mode, but before downtrend may resume we expect a three wave pullback, ideally up to 103.30/60 resistance area. We see pair now moving sideways in irregular wave (b) that may test 101.40/60 zone and then send price up in wave (c).

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 12, 2014

EUR/JPY: Yen Crosses Rallying Nicely / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

Yen crosses are rallying nicely for the last few days since the S&P500 has turned up last week. We can see very tight correlation between these two markets where structures on both suggests more upside. For FX traders, the EUR/JPY will definitely be interesting for longs as pair reversed in five waves from the lows. However, patient traders will wait on pullbacks and better price entries. Ideal scenario would be a three wave set-back to 138.10-138.90 area before market turns up for wave C.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

When Will the Japanese Yen be Ready to Fall Again? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Submissions

Adam Lemon writes: The biggest story in Forex over the past 12 months – or to put it another way, the most profitable story in Forex over the past 12 months – was the dramatic weakening in both the JPY and the AUD.

Leaving the AUD to one side and focusing on JPY, which is more liquid and at the heart of the story, the narrative went something like this: Japan is in trouble, facing a future with an ageing, shrinking population and a frightened, unproductive younger generation traumatized by years of stagnation. Constitutionally unwilling to countenance mass immigration, Japan has no choice but to try to inflate away its problems by engineering a dramatic depreciation of its currency.

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Currencies

Friday, November 01, 2013

USD-JPY Could Be A Good Buy If US Bonds Will Be Trading Lower / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

On the 5 year US notes we can count five waves up from the lows so sooner or later larger downward pullback will occur in three legs. This means that US yield will should be moving to the upside which is supportive for the USDJPY.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Rally For USD/JPY While 10 Year US Treasuries Move Lower / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

US Bonds were trading lower in the last two sessions after the minutes of the Federal Reserve showed that most policymakers still favor a tapering program this year. But sell-off on bonds came on news that QE could end in mid-2014. USD was firstly down on the news, but then it recovered during the Asian trading hour. However, EUR/USD is again finding some bid, so no real direction at the moment. Meanwhile the S&P Futures are rallying.

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Currencies

Monday, October 07, 2013

Japanese Yen USD Elliott Wave Forecast : Bullish Reversal Could Be Near By / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDJPY did not accelerate to the upside yet, so it seems that we will have to wait on a bullish price action a little longer, As such, we adjusted the wave count and suspect that pair is in final stages of a wave (4) now. We however are still observing a triangle that should be near completion. We see wave E) down that could look for a bottom around 97.00 area from where we could reverse up in wave (5). An impulsive rally from current zone would be a confirmation for a new bullish period on USDJPY.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Elliott Wave Analysis: USDJPY Is Showing a Bullish Structure / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDJPY has made three waves of a pull-back from latest high that could be near completion as price tested and already reversed from very important 61.8% Fibonacci support level. We expect to see a move higher from here, ideally in impulsive fashion back to 98.64.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Japanese Government Green Light to Crush Yen, How High Will U.S. Dollar Fly? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Gary_Dorsch

The Wise Sages of Ancient days used to say, “The fate of a Liar, is that nobody believes him, - even when he’s speaking the truth!” Such is the predicament of Japan’s propaganda artists, including the Prime Minister, the Finance minister, and central bank chief, who are all trying to cover-up their boldest scheme yet, to crush the value of the Japanese yen, against the currencies of its major trading partners. On May 11th, the finance chiefs of the Group of Seven (G-7) gave Tokyo the green light to continue with its radical QE scheme, which has already led to a -24% devaluation of the yen against the US-dollar, and a -33% devaluation against the Euro, since market savvy traders first got wind of the plot in late November.

In an age when ruling coalitions of every political stripe distort the truth to promote their self interests, it’s hardly surprising that Japan’s ruling LDP party is steadfastly denying that it’s engaging in a “beggar thy neighbor” devaluation of its currency. By the same token, Tokyo’s fraudulent claim that its economy is still plagued by a negative rate of inflation (deflation), is so wildly at odds with reality that it’s routinely regarded with cynicism and disbelief.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

USD/JPY Could Be In Final Stages Of An Uptrend / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: ForexPros

The USD/JPY broke higher last week, out of a triangle pattern that we have been tracking since mid-April. This triangle has been placed in wave four, so we must be aware of a bearish reversal in the next few days/weeks; this type of patterns always occurs prior to the final move of the larger trend. So current leg up should be our final leg; most-likely wave 5 of an ending diagonal.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 04, 2013

Is Now the Time for Japanese Yen Bears To Get Back In? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Simit_Patel

We've been making the bear case for the Yen for some time now -- see our Japan archive, and our Guide to the Japanese Debt Crisis. Over the past three weeks -- since March 11 to be precise -- the Yen has been strengthening. Which begs the question: when will be a good time for Yen bears to speculate on the resumption of a downwards trend? Or is a larger move to the downside still to come?

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Currencies

Monday, January 28, 2013

Has 2013 Currency Crisis Begun? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Toby_Connor

As many of you who have read my work in the past know, I expect the eventual endgame to this whole Keynesian monetary experiment that has been going on ever since World War II to finally terminate in a global currency crisis. I'm starting to wonder if we aren't seeing the first domino start to topple.

I'm talking about the Japanese Yen of course.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Is the Japanese Yen FINALLY Ready for a Pullback? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Simit_Patel

Many of us here on InformedTrades have been waiting for a pullback in the Yen, under the belief that the Yen is headed much lower. Our infographic on Japan as well as this video from ShortJapanDebt, explains all the rationale for the belief in a sustained devaluation of the yen; to summarize, here are the key reasons:

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Is the Japanese Yen Heading for a Big Fall? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_Morning

Jeff Uscher writes: The Japanese yen has already fallen by more than 12% against the U.S. dollar since Nov. 1, 2012 - and it could still have further to fall.

That's mainly because the Bank of Japan appears likely to go along with the wishes of the Liberal Democratic Party, led by newly elected Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and step up its attempts to eliminate deflation by using "unlimited easing" and setting a 2% inflation target.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 13, 2013

The Japanese Yen Trade Is Exporting Inflation to China / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: EconMatters

3-Month Depreciating Yen Trade

The 3 month Japanese Yen trade which every fund manager from San Diego to Hong Kong has taken part in will sure help Japanese exporters and help spur more economic activity in what has been a real laggard in both business competiveness, and the race to weaken their currency that has occurred during the last five years.

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Currencies

Friday, December 14, 2012

Elliott Wave Analysis of USD/JPY / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: WavePatternTraders

The relentless moves in the JPY pairs, is impressive to say the least, truly a remarkable run we have seen in some of the JPY crosses, some pairs like the EURJPY and GBPJPY have seen massive gains.

Although not one to be outdone the USDJPY has followed in sync, only now I think it’s nearing a potential high that should yield a decent pullback of 200-250 pips.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Is the Japanese Yen Doomed? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Axel_Merk

Because of Japan’s massive public debt burden, pundits have called for the demise of the Japanese yen for years. Are the yen’s fortunes finally changing? Our analysis shows that the days of the yen being perceived as a safe haven may soon be over. Let us elaborate.

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Currencies

Friday, November 18, 2011

Japanese Yen Set For Major Reversal / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Colin_Twiggs

This is a 20-year (monthly) chart of the US dollar against the Japanese yen. The dollar has declined in a primary down-trend since early 2008. Long-term support at 80 failed to halt the fall and the greenback is now ranging between ¥75 and ¥80.

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Currencies

Friday, August 05, 2011

Will Japan Currency Intervention Work? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Asha_Bangalore

The yen closed at 78.74 per dollar on March 17 following the earthquake and tsunami on March 11; a similar strengthening occurred with respect to the euro also at this time. The yen was trading around 82 yen per dollar prior to the natural disaster. The strengthening of the yen led to a massive coordinated intervention of central banks in currency markets by March 18. The intervention was successful in bringing about a depreciation of the yen and the yen/dollar exchange rate closed at 85.26 on April 6.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Japanese Yen Big Surprise / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs a followup to our recent long term report on the Japan Nikkei equity index we present our a long term analysis on the JPYUSD. The Yen is a western economy currency which generally follows the CHFUSD long term currency cycle model, as opposed to commodity sensitive currencies like the AUDUSD, CADUSD and ZARUSD. The CHFUSD model displays Cyclical tops and bottoms every 16-17 years, with the bottoms occurring only 6-7 years after the tops. The long term charts of the JPYUSD display this currency cycle quite well with a slight variation at the lows.

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Currencies

Friday, March 25, 2011

Recent Blow-off Move in USD/JPY? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

After some of the dust has settled since last week’s sharp, brief sell-off some initial ideas have formulated. These might begin to excite the bulls, but it is too early to draw conclusions yet.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 23, 2011

Japanese Currency Intervention, How Does Disaster Promote a Strong Currency? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter the catastrophic earthquake, the tsunami, and the nuclear-reactor scares, the Japanese currency ironically strengthened quite sharply. In response, the Bank of Japan and other major central banks last week launched a coordinated "intervention" into the currency markets in order to intentionally weaken the yen.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 20, 2011

Japanese Yen: G7 Intervention vs Laissez-faire / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe world's fifth-largest 9.0 magnitude quake and the resulted tsunami not only devastated Japan, but also wreak havoc in the Japanese stock market. The worst two-day rout in 40 years caused a 6.2% drop in Nikkei share index, wiping £90 billion (roughly $145.45 billion) off stocks and shares traded there, reported The Telegraph.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 19, 2011

Quake Response Puts Yen on the Line / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Peter_Schiff

One of the immediate financial consequences of the catastrophic Japanese earthquake is that Japan needs to call on its huge cache of foreign exchange reserves to rebuild its shattered infrastructure. To pay for domestic projects, Japan will require yen - not dollars, euros or Swiss francs. As a result of these conversions, the yen rallied considerably after the quake struck.

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Currencies

Friday, March 18, 2011

Eye on the Yen, Watching ProShares UltraShort Yen (YCS) / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Indeed, as we told subscribers to expect, the G-7 (US, Japan, Germany, France, the UK, Italy and Canada) decided to intervene with the Bank of Japan on Thursday to "stabilize" the Yen.

Now the real battle begins, but as I have mentioned lately, the plight of the Yen since 2008 (its relentless climb, that is) in defiance of otherwise dismal Japan fundamentals, which were negatively exacerbated by the recent earthquake and tsunami damage, desperately calls for a lower currency to enable the Japanese economy, the Japanese Government, and its dynamic people to recover.

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Currencies

Friday, March 18, 2011

G7 Yen 'No-Buy' Zone, UN Libya No-Fly Zone / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Before we get into today's yen action, our regular readers and followers on Twitter were warned of a potential China tightening action at 7:24 am GMT (over 3 hours before it materialized) when most pundits were mulling the details of the yen intervention. The PBOC raised its reserve requirement ratio by 50-bps to 20% as part of its gradualist approach to reining in lending and combating inflation.

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Currencies

Friday, March 18, 2011

Japanese Banking Crisis is Inevitable Despite G7 Currency Market Intervention / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The United States and Canada today (Friday) joined other Group of Seven (G-7) nations to intervene as a means of weakening the Japanese yen in an effort to help Japan deal with last week's catastrophic earthquake and tsunami.

This G-7 intervention is a substantial development, although there are precious few details, since none of the world's central bankers (a list that includes the U.S. Federal Reserve) have commented on exactly what "intervention" entails. Nor have they identified what currencies will be involved.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Why the Yen Should Become Stronger, Not Weaker, Japan Government Faces Debt Crisis / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: ECR_Research

Renate van Ginderen writes: Japan’s Economics Minister Kaoru Yosano stressed that damage from last week's devastating earth quake and tsunami to the country's economy would be limited. However, what he did not mention was that the adverse effects from damaged nuclear plants are likely to be much bigger.

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Currencies

Saturday, February 19, 2011

Japanese Yen Bear Run Begins? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Justin_John

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Thomas, Mad Hedge Fund Trader, loathes YEN. He has been negative for over 6 months. I do not disagree with him. I think YEN is putting in a major top in place for maybe years and we can see a near 30-40% correction in YEN over the next 24 months. The return could be higher against the EURO which is probably going to be the best performing currency in the next 24 months with constant rate hikes to fight a surging commodity inflation.

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Currencies

Monday, February 14, 2011

Currency Trading Update, Yen is the Pick to Short / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Justin_John

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYEN and Nikkei Trade: Where is YEN going?

Yen is at 120 levels which represent a multi decade high. There are very few things out there which are hitting a multi decade tops. Yen was 120 levels in 1995 after which it took a wild swing down to hit a bottom at 1998. After nearly 9 years of consolidation, YEN broke out and ran away to 120 levels in the last 4 years. It has been an extraordinary run, one which has confused many. Bill Gross has been on record saying that Japan is worthless piece of crap. Yen needs to be shorted against every high yielding currency.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Explaining Japanese Yen Strength Despite Weak Economy / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Kieran_Osborne

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor many, the strength of the Japanese yen is a conundrum. How can the currency of a country with such a weak economy, such a high level of debt, weak leadership, poor demographics, combined with an ever deteriorating economic outlook be so strong? Many market participants did not anticipate that the yen would demonstrate such strength 24 months ago. Now, many commentators focus on Japan’s “safe haven” status as a key reason why the currency has appreciated.

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Currencies

Sunday, September 19, 2010

Biggest Ever Yen Intervention, 25% Over Valued Agains the Dollar / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, I pointed to the challenges facing Switzerland and Japan’s currencies. As for the yen, I said that nothing short of actual intervention would relieve the pressure on its exporters. I also said that I expected it to happen.

And it did.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Currency Intervention Madness, Japan Intervenes to Weaken the Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter months of attempting to talk the Yen down, Japan Intervenes First Time Since ’04 to Rein in Yen.

Japan intervened in the foreign-exchange market for the first time since 2004 after a surge in the yen to the strongest against the dollar in 15 years threatened to stunt the nation’s economic recovery.

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Currencies

Saturday, August 07, 2010

Japanese Yen on Central Bank Intervention Watch / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs major global economies are beginning to feel the threat of another bout with recession, Japan is dealing with an extra challenge: An unwelcomed strong currency.

Weak structural economic fundamentals around the world and tough austerity are proving to squash the feeble recovery. And the likelihood of central banks returning to, or intensifying, the easy money policies are growing.

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Currencies

Saturday, July 17, 2010

Japanese Yen Draws Safe Haven Share / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs long as US economic data shows fresh round of deterioration, and the Eurozone is able to supress event risk on the sovereign front, the Japanese yen shall cotinue to draw the lion's share of risk-aversion flows away from the USD. But let's first go over the USD's recent decline before further dissecting the yen flows.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Selling the Japanese Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Apart from the fact that apparently the equity market never goes down anymore, the potentially most exciting technical set-up is selling YEN (buying USD/YEN) or being long, or adding to longs, in the UltraShort Yen ProShares (NYSE: YCS).

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Japanese Yen's Kamikaze Flight Trajectory / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleForget about the flight to the dollar at the peak of the financial crisis: the yen was the ultimate beneficiary. The endlessly quoted unwinding of the carry trade was a factor, but there may have been a more important force at play. As that force may now be under increased pressure, the yen may be in trouble. The force we are talking about is the free market.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 05, 2009

Has the Japanese Yen Topped? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Japanese yen has been the best performing currency over the past two-and-a-half years. Since the unraveling of the subprime mortgage market and the subsequent peak in the carry trade, the yen has soared 38 percent against the U.S. dollar, 21 percent against the euro, 41 percent against the British pound and 23 percent against the well-loved high-yielder, the Australian dollar.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Japanese Yen Reaches 14 Year High Against U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: LiveCharts

The US dollar continues to find major low points to reach against major foreign currencies and other speculative investments. Gold is now over $1,200 with some top analysts calling for a quick move through the $2,000 level in the near future. Oil remains near $80.

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Currencies

Friday, November 27, 2009

The Yen's Perfect Storm / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The Yen's Perfect Storm escalated overnight amid the combination of unexpected decline in Japanese unemployment and falling global equity futures following the Dubai fallout. FX traders shall be eager to find out how Japanese officials will follow up on their threats to stabilize their soaring currency in the midst of the latest bout of global risk aversion, which was bound to emerge considering equity indices' largely-dollar driven gains (see previous notes on unsustainability of currency-driven stock rallies).

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Don't Forget the Yen, Especially During Risk Aversion / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMuch has been said about the US dollar's role as a funding currency for carry trades and its well publicized rebound during the most recent episode of risk aversion (Oct 21-Nov 2). But once again, it was the Japanese yen that outperformed the US dollar as well as all major currencies. This helps explains why the emerging gains in non-USD currencies (EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD etc) remain limited against the JPY when equity markets are on the rise and are quick to lose ground vs. JPY than against USD. Both USD and JPY pay ultra low interest rates, with 3-month LIBOR at 0.27% and 0.32% respectively. But the medium term future prospects remain brighter for JPY relative to USD.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

Will Japanese Government Intervene to Weaken the Strong Yen? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the summer of 2007, Bear Stearns confessed it had spent $3.2 billion bailing out two of its funds that were exposed to the sub-prime market. At the same time, the yen carry trade marked its top. Soon thereafter, Bear Stearns went belly up, and the needle on the world’s sentiment shifted towards risk aversion.

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Politics

Thursday, October 01, 2009

Japanese Politics and the Yen / Politics / Japanese Yen

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe U.S. dollar has been getting a beating from all sides, but its woes may be far from over – recent developments in Japan, China, Germany and the United Kingdom, not to speak of domestic developments in the U.S., are pointing to a rocky road ahead. Today’s focus is on Japan and, more specifically, how a country on a downward economic spiral can have a strong currency.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Japanese Yen, JPY Moving Higher / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Frederic_Simons

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter having remained in a seemingly directionless trading range within the last few weeks, the price of the Japanese Yen is currently behaving in a bullish way, as evidenced by its rising prices in the last days (rising prices in the Japanese Yen Future are mirrored by falling prices in USD/JPY).

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Currencies

Friday, July 03, 2009

Japanese Yen: Resumption of the Bull Market ? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Frederic_Simons

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUntil the middle of 2007, the Japanese Yen was notoriously weak, as the selling of this low yielding currency was funding the purchase of higher yielding currencies, ranging from the British Pound to the Australian and New Zealand Dollar and many emerging market currencies. The so-called carry trade yielded investors the interest rate difference between what they paid for borrowing Yen, and what they earned for the investment in high-yield currencies, ie between 3 and 10 percent annually. And since the carry trade was mostly done at a high leverage, the carry trade became a fantastic cash-cow during the days of easy money and complacency. 

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Yen Could Crash Following Collapsing Japanese Economy / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Historically speaking, the Japanese yen has proved to be a safe haven against global turmoil. Right now, however, Japan's economy is among the worst hit of all the global powers. It is ill prepared to weather the global storm and it's falling like a rock.

That's why, this time around, as Japan's economy falls away, I think there's a very good chance the yen could drop as well.

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Currencies

Friday, December 19, 2008

Japan Announces Currency and Stock Market Intervention / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCountries are now playing a game of "Top This" to see who can do the dumbest things. Please consider the following: Japan plans to buy $227 billion in shares to boost market Japan's government said Thursday it is submitting a bill to parliament allowing for the purchase of 20 trillion yen ($227 billion) in stock to help stabilize the Japanese stock market, Kyodo news reported.

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Currencies

Sunday, November 09, 2008

Jump on Board the Global Capital Stampede to the Japanese Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: Last year I dedicated several Money and Markets columns solely to my expectations for the Japanese yen carry trade to unwind. But since that trend took a breather in the middle of this year, I haven't been keeping you up to speed.

Let me get you caught up today.

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Currencies

Friday, July 11, 2008

US Dollar / Japanese Yen Homing in On Break Below 105 / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA subscriber recently emailed us the other day and asked, “What happened to the Japanese yen?”

There was nothing else written in the email except that. And since nothing notable has really happened to the Japanese yen in the last few months, I can only assume he was asking why the Japanese yen disappeared from our radar.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Yen vs. SPU– Break down of Inverse Relationship / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Black_Swan

Give your risk thermometer a good shaking because mine are giving me conflicting readouts. Stocks, the primary measure of risk-taking levels in the financial system, are tumbling. The Japanese yen, now a secondary measure of risk-taking levels in the financial system, is also tumbling.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Housing Bubble Bursts, Subprime Loans Implode, Recession Coming - Buy the YEN! / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: I wish I had a dollar, or maybe a euro, for every time an analyst equated the current subprime mortgage crisis to the Asian financial crisis, and every time the housing bubble was likened to the tech bubble.

With the "R" word threatening in 2008, analysts and economists find themselves turning to earlier events for guidance.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Japanese Yen Will Surge Higher Than Most Think Possible! / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_and_Markets

The Japanese yen is like a global risk thermometer. When it's going up, investors are nervous.

And now, not only has the yen been going up ... but I think the mercury will soon break through the top of the glass.

Reason: The yen carry trade is reversing.

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Currencies

Friday, October 26, 2007

Sovereign Wealth Funds Are A Booster Shot for the Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: It's often been said that when the U.S. sneezes, economies around the world catch a cold.

But even as health warnings of a 'superbug' staph infection spread across the U.S., our weakened economy appears much less contagious to the outside world than it has in years past.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 18, 2007

US Dollar Continues to Give Way Against Japanese Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The dollar is very weak in general today versus both the euro and even the yen, which could be a change of profile, as in a more generalized, global exodus out of the greenback that will get the attention of the G-7 monetary authorities. Be that as it may, today's up-gap in the CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (NYSE: FXY) reflects yen strength as the currency heads for a test of the 114 Aug-Oct support line. Right now the dollar is trading at 115.60/65, and my work argues for downside continuation against the yen, which will lift the FXY over the 86.70 level on the way to 88.00 immediately thereafter.

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Currencies

Friday, September 14, 2007

US Dollar / Yen - One of the Greatest Market Moves of All Time / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin here with a change in our line-up that will make a lot of readers very happy: The dollar's decline is now so critical — and surging foreign currencies so potentially profitable — that we have decided to add a tremendous new resource for Money and Markets readers:

Our currency expert, Jack Crooks, will be here for you each Friday morning with his timely insights on the dollar, foreign currencies, international markets, and everything they impact.

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Currencies

Friday, August 24, 2007

Japanese Yen The Biggest One-Way Bet of All Time / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Jack Crooks writes: Since Mike Larson is off today, he's asked me to fill in for him. And his request couldn't have come at a better time: My specialty is foreign currencies. Foreign currencies have been surging against the dollar. And we're on the verge of a very specific currency explosion that could generate one of the greatest profit opportunities in a quarter century.

Here's the scoop:

The world's largest hedge funds and the world's richest institutions have been borrowing massive amounts of cheap Japanese money to fund some of the riskiest bets of all time. And now, that whole mountain of debt and risk is starting to crumble.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 02, 2007

US Dollar to Fall to 115.60 Japanese Yen by the End of August / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The 48K seen in the ADP National Employment report on private payrolls for July, was well below expectations of 100K following 150K in June and 98 in May. Considering the ADP's 66% track in predicting the direction of (up or down) in private payrolls reported by the US Department of Labor, today's disappointing figure causes us to downgrade our forecast for non farm payrolls to 80K from June's 132K. Consensus of forecasts currently stands at 124K.

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Currencies

Monday, July 09, 2007

Will Japan Destroy the yen to save the US Dollar? / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Peter_Schiff

As the Japanese government continues holding short-term interest rates near zero while printing yen like it is going out of style, getting out of the yen has now replaced pachinko as the national pastime for rank and file Japanese. With housewives and cab drivers debating the best techniques to exchange their yen savings for higher yielding non-yen assets, the Japanese monetary authorities are facing the prospect of the complete destruction of their own currency, subjecting their citizens to the horrors of hyperinflation.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 11, 2007

Japanese Yen Forecast - The Yen Carry Trade: Global Removal of Liquidity and Deflation / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Francois_Soto

How does the carry trade work?
It's actually very simple. Here is a fictive example from Wikipedia depicting the process:

Bank ABC is borrowing X billions of Yen at 0.0% interest rate in Japan.
Bank ABC is converting X billions of Yen in $USD.
Bank ABC is investing the amount of $USD at 4.5% interest rate in USA with 10x leverage.
Bank ABC profit is (4.5%-0.0%) * 10 = 45.0%

Seems too good to be true! What is the catch?
If the Yen appreciates in value vs. the $USD, Bank ABC may lose a significant amount of money.

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