Category: Agricultural Commodities
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, October 12, 2007
Wheat and Inflation Expectations As Wheat Bull Market Soars to $9 / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
With gold challenging $750 and oil quite comfortable north of $80, this young autumn trading season has already proven exceedingly exciting and profitable for commodities investors. But for students of the markets, today's price levels in the metals and energy complex are certainly not surprising. Over six years ago the fundamentals already pointed to an inevitable worldwide commodities boom.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 04, 2007
Your Next Big Profits from Gold, Agricultural, OIl Water Stocks / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Larry Edelson writes: On July 26, I told you the dollar's demise was going to dramatically affect you in myriad ways, not the least of which would be soaring commodity prices — especially gold — and falling stock prices.
Then, on August 23, I said the second phase of the inflationary commodity boom was about to explode higher, as the subprime mortgage crisis hit the U.S. economy hard, and that Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke would flood the economy with paper money.
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Thursday, October 04, 2007
Stagflation-Proof Yourself with Agriculture Commdodity Investments / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
In addition to monetary inflation, which I wrote about in part one of this series, another well known-driver for the higher prices in agricultural commodities has been the use of corn for the production of ethanol. That increase in the intrinsic value of corn has translated into higher prices for other agricultural commodities because land replanted for the growing of maize means less available for the production of wheat, soybeans, cotton, etc.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 03, 2007
AGRI-FOOD THOUGHTS - Chinese Consumption of Soyabeans Soars / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Grains prices continue to ride to historical highs on the shifting demand patterns around the world. Led by higher incomes in China and India, a consequence of rapid economic growth, consumption of food will set new records each year for the next two decades. Chart below shows the incremental annual demand for soybeans coming from several nations.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Soybeans October Market Secret / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Today I plan to share with you this market “secret”: Soybeans exhibit a very strong tendency to form a seasonal price bottom during the month of October. This bottoming tendency is the result of harvest selling pressure because many farmers sell their crop right out of the fields to generate cash.
This year, with soybean prices relatively high, this market behavior could be even more pronounced than usual. After the harvest selling pressure subsides, the soybean market usually exhibits a profitable post-harvest rally trading opportunity.
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Wednesday, September 19, 2007
AGRI-FOOD THOUGHTS - China Consumer Boom Means Higher Soft Commodity Prices / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
As incomes rise in China and India, their consumers will dictate prices for oil and food. Their preferences are setting relative prices of nearly all commodities. These preferences have shifted to reflect their higher incomes, and will continue to do so. Chart below portrays per capita consumption of beef and rice by Chinese consumers, per UN FAO. Beef is now a preferred item on the menu at Chinese homes. Magnifying this shift is number of consumers in China and India. Such preference shifts have caused prices of grains and meats around world to rise. Higher beef consumption means raising more beef. Raising more beef means using more grain. More grain is consumed to feed the beef than is freed up from eating less rice. Agri-Food growth cycle that has emerged is really that simple.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 12, 2007
Grain Bull Market - The Cartel in Your Cupboard / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Sean Brodrick writes :Russia has asked Australia (among others) to join a group of grain-exporting nations that would seek to regulate production, much as OPEC regulates the production of crude oil.
An OPEC of grain sounds a bit odd. Visions of sheiks riding camels through Kansas wheat fields immediately come to mind. But Russia knows there is a lot of money to be made from grains. Fortunately, if you make the right moves, you also stand to reap profits as high as an elephant's eye.
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Saturday, September 08, 2007
The Big Bull Market in Grains / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Sean Brodrick writes: Vampire bats and piranha scare the bejeezus out of me. So I probably won't be visiting an Argentinean cattle ranch anytime soon. See, the Argentineans are emptying out their world-famous cattle lands, driving their herds north into scrublands and swamps infested with vampire bats and piranha.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Investing in Groceries / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Sean Brodrick writes: You've probably heard plenty of talk about how rising demand for ethanol is driving up the price of corn. But that's just the tip of the iceberg lettuce.
Food prices of all types are rising at a fast clip around the world. In fact, they're up an average of 23% in the past 18 months, according to data from the International Monetary Fund.
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Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Agricultural Commodities The Next Great Inflation Hedge / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
The best way to protect your wealth from the ravages of inflation is to invest in a tangible asset whose supply cannot be increased at the same rate as the currency it is being measured in. Even better is to invest in an asset with growing demand and limited supply whose intrinsic value is increasing.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 06, 2007
Outraged At Oil Companies, But Not Chicken Farmers? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
As gas prices continue going up, the debates are getting more emotional. About a month ago I had an interesting discussion or should I say argument about escalating gas prices. My “friend” adamantly put the blame on the oil companies. My argument about a few billion new entrants into the global economy creating supply/demand imbalances fell on deaf ears.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 28, 2007
How I Made Eric Bollings Agricultural Commodities Stock Market Play My Own / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
On Thursday, June 15, the Admiral, Eric Bolling, of CNBC's Fast Money, presented an update to his Agricultural Stock trade (Ag Play). To capitalize on the trend of higher commodity prices allowing farmers to spend more money on new equipment, higher yielding seeds and better fertilizers – he constructed a four stock portfolio.
The stocks are Monsanto Company (MON), a seed producer, Agrium Inc. (AGU), a fertilizer supplier, Bunge Limited (BG), a grain and seed processor and Deere (DE), a farming equipment company. I have been trading energy as well as precious and base metal stocks for a number of years. The idea of playing soft commodities via the stock market was quite appealing. I wrote about it in “Eric Bolling's Agriculture Stock Play: Is it Too Late?”
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Thursday, June 21, 2007
Eric Bolling's Agriculture Commodities Stock Market Play: Is it Too Late? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
My jaw hit the ground last week when Eric Bolling, of CNBC's Fast Money, stated that his agriculture play was up 59% year to date. It hit the floor a second time when he mentioned how he was playing the sector. I have been trading commodity stocks for awhile, primarily gold, energy and base metal producers. The soft commodities (coffee, sugar, grains) have caught my attention on occasions. However, I couldn't figure out how to trade them via the stock market and I wasn't interested in the futures market.Read full article... Read full article...