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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Austrailia

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, May 08, 2018

Aussie Between the RBA Interest Rates and Trade War Talks / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Submissions

Australia’s central bank has kept their benchmark interest rate at record low 1.5%, and many Wall Street analysts believe that interest rates will remain on hold during 2018 and 2019. We are currently in the 19th consecutive month where interest rates have been held steady.
This continued hold on interest rates is why the AUD rate has continued to remain under pressure. The bearish trend established in 2011 is still intact despite the short rallies that have interrupted the trend.

Even though the RBA expects the Australian economy to grow faster, it also acknowledges that the weakening housing sector and the deflationary pressure themes are going to delay any prospects of normalizing the interest rates.

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Currencies

Sunday, April 01, 2018

AUDUSD Currency Trend Analysis / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

Latest Price – 76.82c

Pattern - recent high made a double top which rarely end trends. So, expect a move above that level.

Fibonacci – price down to 76.4% retracement level and the 88.6% angle, a very nice setup for a corrective low if that is to be the case.

RSI – triple bullish divergence in place at recent low. Nice.

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Currencies

Friday, October 06, 2017

AUDUSD Broke Below Major Support Level At 0.7807 / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Franco_Shao

After breaking below a bullish trend line on the daily chart, AUDUSD continued to break below an important support level at 0.7807 and extended its downside movement to as low as 0.7743, confirming that the bullish movement from 0.7328 had completed at 0.8124 already. Further decline would likely be seen over the next several weeks.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

AUDUSD Broke Below Trend Line Support At 0.7975 / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Franco_Shao

After failing in its two attempts to break above the resistance of the May 2015 high of 0.8162, AUDUSD pulled back from 0.8124 and broke below a major support trend line at 0.7975 on its daily chart, suggesting that lengthier consolidation for the uptrend from 0.7328 is underway.

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Currencies

Saturday, August 19, 2017

AUDUSD Rebounded From Trend Line Support / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Franco_Shao

AUDUSD rebounded strongly to 0.7960 area after approaching the bullish trend line on its daily chart, suggesting that the pair remains in the uptrend from 0.7328 and the pullback from 0.8065 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 23, 2017

Low Interest Rates Helping Australia Transition from the Mining Boom / Interest-Rates / Austrailia

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

Australia’s transition from its reliance on mining exports to other sectors appears to be gathering pace as more businesses continue to take advantage of the low interest rates.

The Reserve Bank of Australia reduced the base interest rate, popularly referred to as the cash rate, twice last year from 2% to 1.75% and again to 1.5%. The cash rate remains fixed at 1.5%, which when compared to many developed countries is still one of the highest.
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Currencies

Monday, July 18, 2016

Will AUD/USD Selling Continue? / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Richard_Cox

Currency markets have seen some interesting moves over the last few weeks and one of the better trading setups can now be seen in the AUD/USD.  These scenarios have come largely as a result of recent developments within the central bank. 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) recently announced that it would be willing to take extensive and unorthodox measures to right the economy, if the need arose. The current interest rate is 1.75%. If this turned out to be the case and the RBA opted to decrease the base interest rate to 1%, then options like government bond-buying would be likely considered. Such a measure would likely reduce the value of the Australian Dollar, which is presently trading near 0.76 USD.

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Currencies

Saturday, July 16, 2016

AUD-USD Wave B High  / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

The Aussie dollar looks to have made a reaction high today and I remain bearish about its short term prospects. Let’s review the daily chart.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Yen Strength Sends AUDJPY Towards Multi-Year Lows / Currencies / Austrailia

By: AnyOption

Sustained inaction from the Bank of Japan combined with another round of loosening by the Reserve Bank of Australia has seen the AUDJPY continue to tumble, trending back towards multi-year lows reached back in February during the risk-asset rout.  With Central Banks eagerly waiting on the Federal Reserve to act in order to alleviate pressure on local currencies, risk assets are likely to continue tumbling despite the extreme policies implemented by certain institutions.  However, with the BoJ not forecast to move on policy short-term and the RBA maintaining its accommodative stance, the stage is set for further losses in the AUDJPY pair as risks to the outlook mount.  Barring another round of direction intervention in the Yen from the BoJ, the current trend in the pair is likely to prevail over the medium-term amid worsening external conditions. 

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Politics

Wednesday, February 04, 2015

Australia Coming Apart at the Seams, Government on the Brink of Collapse / Politics / Austrailia

By: Mike_Shedlock

With the huge spotlight on Europe, Greece, the US Dollar, Canada, Switzerland, and China, it's easy to lose track of major things outside of mainstream attention.

Like what? Like Australia.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 01, 2015

Australian Stock Market Index ASX200 Technical Analysis  / Stock-Markets / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

I have been calling for new rally highs in the Australian stock index, the ASX200, and nothing has changed my view on that. The only thing that has changed is my confidence - it has increased. Let’s find out why beginning with the weekly chart.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

2015 – Is the Aussie Dollar Going Down ? / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Submissions

Badre Bouarich writes: At a time where oil prices are hitting the ground driven by a high supply - low demand environment, several market actors are getting to expect a depreciation of the so called commodity currencies. As defined by the financial dictionary ( ) and studied by IMF Senior Economists ( ), commodity currencies are currencies whose exchange rate is highly correlated to the price of a commodity.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 03, 2014

AUD/USD Approaches Solid Support / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Nadia_Simmons

The Reserve Bank of Australia left its benchmark interest rate at a record-low of 2.50%, which pushed the Australian dollar higher against the greenback. As a result, AUD/USD bounced off yesterday’s fresh 2014 low, but will we see further rally?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 05, 2014

AUD/USD - Double Bottom / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, official data showed that retail sales in Australia increased by 1.2% in September, beating expectations for a 0.4% rise. As a result, AUD/USD bounced off a one-month low and came back above the short-term support. Will we see a post-double bottom rally?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

ASX200 Stocks Index False Break Low? / Stock-Markets / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

I don't normally put out a report so soon after an in-depth report as was put out just last weekend but some important price action has taken place that I feel warrants a quick follow up. That is the potential for a false break low setup. Let's have a look.

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Currencies

Friday, June 13, 2014

AUD NZD Uptrend Channel / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

Since my last report on the AUDNZD there has been some interesting action take place. Let’s look at the daily chart to see exactly what is going on.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 06, 2014

How to Collect 4.4% Dividends in the Safest Country on Earth / Stock-Markets / Austrailia

By: DailyWealth

Australia could be near-debt-free by the end the decade.

It's nearly impossible to believe in our debt-fueled world. But it's true.

Last week, Bloomberg reported that Australia's national debt could "decline to just over 5% of GDP."

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Housing-Market

Sunday, April 06, 2014

Australia House Prices Bubble 'Flashing Red', Debt to Income at Record Level / Housing-Market / Austrailia

By: Mike_Shedlock

Australia's housing bubble is back in full swing. Prices rose almost 11 percent over the past year to record levels in absolute terms and near-record levels as a share of household income.  Prices in Sydney rose 15 percent.

Household debt as a percent of income surpassed the previous record.

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Companies

Friday, August 23, 2013

Investing in Australian Stocks for Faster, Asset-Backed Growth / Companies / Austrailia

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: I like Australia's stock market right now. I think it provides you with a ton of upside potential.

Virtually every analyst on Wall Street disagrees, of course. They hate Australia. But they didn't like Chile, either, where we're up 46%. And they weren't crazy about Indonesia - another market that's making us good money.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 30, 2013

What The Rising Australian Stock Market Could Mean For The AUD/USD / Stock-Markets / Austrailia

By: ForexPros

Decided to look at the Australian stock market today: there's a pretty strong impulsive rally that should move even higher, as we need five waves from early April low. Are you wondering how this will impact the AUDUSD? We suspect that if investors will keep their money in shares; which is expected based on the price action, then there will be no demand for cash (AUD) which may keep the AUD/USD below resistance.

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