Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, May 06, 2010
Stock Market Investors In the Land of the Blind / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
The first five charts are all showing signs of weakness.
The following is a summary of what they show:
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Friday, April 23, 2010
Stocks Secular Bear Market Rally, Trees Meet the Forest / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Adam_Brochert
Many people like to look at Japan as instructive relative to the current situation facing the United States (and most of Europe). The current strong up move in stocks has been relentless. It has been no fun and of no use lately to eruditely point out how bad the underlying economy is and how bad the housing market and banking system is. There is little point of understanding the economy as an investor if you cannot make money using the information. Being a general stock market bear has been an incorrect and painful position since the March 2009 lows in many global stock markets.
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Looking Toppy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Claus_Vogt
From a big-picture perspective, the stock market’s advance off the March 2009 low is nothing more than a huge, bear market rally.
To understand how I come to that conclusion, just look at two classical valuation measures, price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields, in the chart below. You can easily see how this stock market bear, which started in 2000 at record overvaluations, still has a lot of work to do …
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
At the time of my late March article that was posted here, there was a short-term Dow theory non-confirmation at play. I explained that this non-confirmation had drawn less attention than the one that had occurred earlier in March, but that these non-confirmations only served as warnings and that it was what developed from that point that was most important. Since that time, the latest short-term non-confirmation has again been corrected.
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Update, Dissent with Authority / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Russo
One of the most essential elements present at the very founding of America was that of well-reasoned and persistent dissent.
A healthy and aggressive dissent against proclamations of those in authority often results in clearer perspectives on matters of substantial import.
Thursday, April 01, 2010
Stocks Are Still Down from 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Graham_Summers
Yesterday we pointed out how Gold and the US’s attaining of debt saturation have rendered Bernanke and the world central bankers’ attempts to re-flate the US economy and markets meaningless. Indeed, with stocks down 80%+ (when denominated in non-paper currency) and ever new $1 in debt issuance now acting as a drag on US productivity (incomes have dropped to the point that we can no longer finance our debt) any talk of recovery or bull markets is myopic at best.
Thursday, April 01, 2010
Why You CANNOT Re-Flate an Economy or Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Graham_Summers
I constantly receive emails asking me why I’m bearish with stocks breaking to new highs. The simple answer to this question is that I’m not bearish, I’m a realist. Stocks haven’t made a cent of money in over ten years.
I know what you’re thinking, “Graham’s just pointing out that the S&P 500 is still down from its 1999 levels.”
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Sunday, March 28, 2010
Stock Market Sentiment Indicates Investor Nirvana And New Paradigm / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
The sentiment indicators would suggest that this is not investing nirvana. While prices can certainly go higher, the lack of buying power should be obvious. Who is left to buy if everyone is all in? But judging by the emails I receive, most market participants believe that this is a new paradigm, where the Fed is engineering a new prosperity founded on gains in the market. Investing nirvana? I think not. This market environment is more like a high wire act. A new paradigm? Every era is new, but fear and greed never go away. I have yet to convince myself that "this time will be different".
Sunday, March 28, 2010
Dow Theory Stocks Bear Market Rally Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
As the averages advanced out of the February lows, it was the Transports that beat the Industrials back above the January highs. As a result, a Dow theory non-confirmation was born earlier this month. At the time of my last article posted here, I had received numerous e-mails about that non-confirmation as it seemed to draw a lot of attention and many were viewing it as a death sentence for the market. I warned that this non-confirmation was not necessarily as negative as it was being made out to be and that jumping to conclusions just because one average beat the other one back above its previous closing high was premature.
Friday, March 26, 2010
How to Protect Yourself and Prosper in the Coming Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: DailyWealth
Porter Stansberry writes: It's not easy being financially illiterate.
Over three years ago, I began researching and writing about the impossible debt problems faced by several of America's largest and most trusted enterprises: General Motors, Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac.
Tuesday, March 23, 2010
Stock Market Dow Theory Contrived Buy Signal or Paranoia? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Am I being paranoid? Was the spike in the Dow Jones Industrial Index – which took it to a new high thereby resulting in a Dow Theory buy signal – contrived?
Sunday, March 21, 2010
Is the Stock Market Rally Done? In the Final Stages! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Fresbee
Last week many commentators jumped on the Dow passing a key chart point as a bullish indicator. Rather fewer bears highlighted the equally prescient point that the rally now almost exactly matches the rally of 1929 in percentage gain.
Friday, March 12, 2010
Stocks Sucker Rally, Bear Market Trap and the Energy Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: The_Energy_Report
Rick Rule probably could draw an audience if he were talking about the weather, but combine his presence with knowledge, understanding, experience and a track record of success, particularly in the resource arena, and the crowd falls silent. Founder and chairman of Global Resource Investments, Rick recently made himself available for a brain-drain, the foundation of the piece that follows. . .
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Phase II Looms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
As I have repeatedly stated, my research indicates that the secular bull market top in equities occurred in October 2007 and that the decline into March 2009 was merely Phase I of the ongoing secular bear market. My research also continues to indicate that the rally out of the March 2009 low is the rally separating Phase I from Phase II of the ongoing secular bear market. My cyclical and statistical work suggests that 2010 should prove to be a pivotal year and that depending on exactly how the statistical and cyclical data unfolds, we could see the setup that is required to usher in the Phase II decline of the ongoing secular bear market.
Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Stock Market Correction or New Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes: With U.S. stocks down about 5% from their 2009-2010 rally peak, investors basically want to know one thing: Is this just a correction, or are they looking at a potentially long bear market?
That's no small question. U.S. stocks could be experiencing one of three scenarios at present. They could be:
Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Stock Market S&P 500 Bearish Black Cross Lurking? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andrew_Butter
My view on the S&P 500 is that right now it is 28% undervalued but it will keep on being undervalued until all of the detritus from the past seven years of fiscal insanity get’s cleared out. So basically it’s going to drift sideways for quite a long time with it’s value determined roughly by the ratio of nominal GDP divided by the yield of the 30 Year Treasury.
Sunday, February 14, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Resumes, Risk Aversion Final Wave / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bryan_Rich
Over the past months I’ve written extensively in my Money and Markets columns about the bubbling over of the risk trade. I also warned about the rising threats that would likely make a sustainable recovery, at this point, a low probability.
And as time passes, we’re beginning to see that these threats, including a growing sovereign debt crisis, rising protectionism, and threatening asset bubbles, are becoming ripe and dangerous.
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Saturday, February 13, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
As I have stated all along, my research suggests to me that the rally out of the March 2009 low has been a bear market rally. Nothing has occurred to change that point of view. As a result of the weakness that began a few weeks ago, I have received a number of e-mails asking about manipulation. Over the years I’ve noticed that every time the market makes a break, questions about manipulation and the ability of the powers that be to hold the markets up seem to surface. It is for this reason that I want to address the subject of manipulation in this article.
Friday, February 12, 2010
Get Used to Dow 10,000, Forecast for 10 More Years of Investor Famine / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson
After trading below 9900 intraday Friday, an afternoon rally left the index above the key 10,000 mark heading into this week. The Dow's comeback encouraged the bulls but is Dow 10,000 really something to be excited about? (The index was back below 10,000 early Monday.)
Thursday, February 11, 2010
Stock Market Cyclical Bear Should Not Be Feared If You Trade It Correctly! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: David_Banister
Back on January 18th, I wrote an article indicating that all requirements for a market peak had been met. Articles and prior forecasts can be read by clicking HERE.
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