Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, February 12, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Bear Market Countertrend Rally Ending? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The pattern developing in the PowerShares QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQQ) since the 11/21 low at 25.05 is a mess, which in and of itself indicates to me that it represents a countertrend rally within an as of yet incomplete larger downmove that should revisit and test the November low in the upcoming days/weeks. If such a scenario proves correct, then the 2/10 recovery high at 31.69 ended the entire countertrend recovery, and the subsequent decline into today's low at 29.64 represents the initial decline of a new downleg.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Stock Market Reversion to the Mean and the Risk of Ruin / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The Silver Bullet Band - Groping in the dark for the golden gun with silver bullets, should they get their hands on it- the Fed, Treasury, and the political bodies at large, may soon discover they have been on their knee's pleading to engage in a willfully ignorant round of Russian roulette with a fully loaded revolver.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Bearish Stock Market Base Building / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Investing in the financial markets requires the assessment of probabilities for both positive and negative outcomes. You should approach the market with neither a bullish nor a bearish bias. The S&P 500 has been holding up relatively well since the November 20, 2008 low. A sideways pattern in the markets is often referred to as a base. Wall Street, as a whole, is predisposed to view the markets with a significant bullish bias. Consequently, the S&P 500's recent basing pattern has been met with almost a universally positive reaction.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Stock Market Still In Bear Mode / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Make no mistake about it, this is still a bear market. It has been quite some time since the market has experienced such a violent decline. Any dreams about the rally continuing were violently doused as the market did not appreciate the comments of Mr. Geithner.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Protect Your Stocks Portfolio From the ongoing Asset Value Destruction / Portfolio / Stocks Bear Market
Sharon Daniels writes: We are in the midst of an epic financial and economic CRISIS not seen in a generation…
This crisis has ALREADY resulted in an historic loss of wealth — with more than $13 TRILLION of our collective net worth now GONE !
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Monday, February 09, 2009
Stock Market to Fall AT LEAST Another 40%! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Martin Weiss writes: With the U.S. economy now reeling from the fastest job collapse since the Great Depression …
With the Treasury Secretary ready to introduce yet another bank bailout plan this week …
And as we suffer through the uncontrollable bust of the largest-ever speculative bubble of all time …
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Sunday, February 08, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Gathers Strength / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when
expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply
that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The lows appear to have been tested successfully. Bullish indications suggest another up-wave is starting. It needs to be confirmed by a further advance.
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Sunday, February 08, 2009
Financial Markets Analysis: Stocks Bounce, Where Next? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Stock Markets continued their strong rally on Friday from early week lows that had threatened to break below the recent tight trading range and target fresh bear market lows.
Where Next ?
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Saturday, February 07, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Dow Theory Non-Confirmation Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
On November 21, 2007 the primary trend, in accordance to classical Dow theory, was confirmed as bearish. To date, nothing has occurred to invalidate that setup. According to Dow theory, once the primary trend is established, that trend must be considered intact until it is “authoritatively” reversed, which in this case would require a joint move by the averages back above their previous secondary high points. Since that has yet to occur, the primary trend must still be considered bearish.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Will Run into 2012 Targeting S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The S&P had an impressive move up off the lows yesterday…however, as the Elliott Wave counts will suggest, market action subsequent to the bounce over the coming few days is important for validating either the bullish or bearish scenario.
The CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio Index is shown below, with the S&P 500 Index in the background and accompanying full stochastics shown below. For this chart, the %K rising above the %D indicates broad stock market weakness, while falling beneath the %D indicates broad stock market strength. At present, the %K is above the %D, indicating broad market weakness.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
How to Profit from the Global Recession Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Tony Sagami writes: Dozens of the world's leaders gathered in Davos, Switzerland for the World Economic Forum last week. The main topic was gloom … the spreading global recession … and whose fault it was.
Almost universally …
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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
Stock Market Trends February 2009: Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This is a free monthly newsletter on stock market trends to help you to learn to invest. Following the trend is a proven way to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the market trends using the S&P 500.
To identify the stock market trend, it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2009
New Upleg for UltraShort SPY? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
My extreme near-term work is starting to give me very preliminary indications that the ProShares UltraShort SPY (SDS) has seen its worst levels of the session and that it is in the process of turning up after the conclusion of the decline from Monday's high at 84.27 into this morning's low at 76.16.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock Markets Register Worst January Performance in History / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
We've seen this movie before and unfortunately it doesn't end well. With the decline of over 8% for the month of January, the SP500 has cemented the worst January in the history of the index. Nothing like piling on! Economically speaking, the markets took their cue from the very poor reports. Although the GDP figure was better than expected, once the details were pulled apart, there really was nothing to get excited about going into the first quarter. Housing figures also indicated that there is no improvement in housing.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Dangerous Time to Stay Invested in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The terrible price action in the stock market raises the question, ‘are we on the right track expecting seasonals and the multiple post-crash historical patterns that have proven reliable in forecasting higher prices moving forward from here to repeat; or, is the market condition so far advanced that these things are known by the investing population, potentially altering the outcome?' This, in essence, is the question of the hour all good speculators are asking themselves right now.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock Markets at Major Bear Tipping Point: Protect Your Wealth / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
2008 and 2009: Years of return OF capital, not necessarily return ON capital. We are close to a major turning point in the stock market and during the weekend I considered very carefully what action to take.
Clients may recall that there is a greater than 90% correlation between all major stock markets. So, whether this is the FTSE in London, or the DAX in Frankfurt or the Nikkei in Tokyo, the movement in stock prices has been almost identical. For us, the S&P is the leader of world markets. Hence we focus on it rather than, for example, our own FTSE100. Look at the following chart of the S&P 500.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Stock Market Investors Becoming Overly Complacent and Gold Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
A routine I have always kept to is listening to market news on the radio every morning. Recently it has felt as if the morning market news has morphed into the morning job losses report. It is no longer tracked on a monthly or weekly basis but rather the consortium of job cut announcements have been a routine part of the morning news. This Thursday morning, we were confronted with 12,000 jobs cuts lead by Eastman Kodak, Wednesday brought us 15,000, Tuesday 11,500 and kicking off the week on Monday we recorded 71,000 jobs losses.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Catching the Stocks Bear Market Elliott Wave / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
When we last spoke you discussed how you use investor sentiment indicators ("dumb money") and institutional volume indicators ("smart money") in your analysis. But we'd like to understand more about your third component -- technical analysis -- specifically Elliott Wave?Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
How to React to the Bad Stock Market News / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
We had a lot of new people join the site earlier this month and I've been getting lots of emails and questions from them. One thing that stands out though is a lot of people asking about news items. For instance going into last week I had someone email and ask about the earnings for airline stocks. They wanted to know if they should buy or sell because of the earnings. How to game the news so to speak.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 26, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Imminent Intermediate Term Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - We are testing the former lows. They look as if they are going to hold, but ...!
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