Category: Commodities Trading
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, February 19, 2018
Inflationary Pressures Building / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Inflationary pressures have been on the rise since 2016. The U.S. Inflation Rate currently sits at 2.20 percent up from 1 percent in early 2016.
Increasing economic growth both globally and domestically have aided the rise of inflationary pressures.
The rise or fall in commodity prices are a good reliable gauge on inflation.
But the biggest driver of natural resource prices appears to be the U.S. dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 08, 2018
U.S. Dollar Appears to be Bottoming. Is this the End of the Commodities Rally? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The U.S. dollar appears to be finding a floor at $0.885 after six weeks of sharp declines. What does that mean to commodity prices?
The "Big dollar" slid almost six percent since mid-December aiding many commodity prices to stage a strong rally.
Gold bounced up 8.4 percent, silver soared 10 percent and WTI roar upward by 15 percent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 05, 2018
Best Commodity Trading Opportunities to See Now / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Special 5-day event (free): "Best Commodity Opportunities to See Now"
Dear reader,
Volatility is picking up steam -- and it's more than just Bitcoin and U.S. stocks that deserve your attention.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 25, 2018
A New Commodities Bull Market is Emerging / Commodities / Commodities Trading
We’ve all watched in amazement, while the equities markets around the world have risen to new highs. On Wall Street hardly a week goes by without a new record. There comes a time however when a sector becomes so overbought, that smart money begins to leave and search for a sector that has been overlooked. That moment is now at hand, as can be seen in our first chart – courtesy sources listed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 07, 2018
Commodities the Return To Inflation? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The headline in this Thursday’s Financial Times reads: “Commodities prices hit highest point since 2014”.
The FT article begins: “The Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index, which tracks price of 22 raw materials, has hit its highest level since 2014 when the oil market price crash started.”
A small problem might be that the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index does not include Energy or Precious Metals, which are in other Bloomberg indexes. In fact, in the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index is a grouping of Raw Industrials and Food Stuffs. The Raw Industrials includes burlap, copper scrap, cotton, hides, lead scrap, print cloth, rosin, rubber, steel scrap, tallow, tin, wool tops, and zinc. Foodstuffs include butter, cocoa beans, corn, cottonseed oil, hogs, lard, steers, sugar, and wheat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 06, 2018
Four Commodity Charts For the “There is No Inflation” Crowd / Commodities / Commodities Trading
I keep reading articles claiming that inflation is nowhere to be found.
If that is true, explain the following four charts.
Copper has broken out of a 10-year downtrend.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 31, 2017
Commodities, CRB, Oil & Gas, Gold, Silver... Markets Big Picture Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Some monthly charts of interest in the commodity sector, including precious metals.
CRB Index dwells below key resistance. A break of 200 would target around 250 in 2018.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 21, 2017
Some Commodity Charts are Breaking Out / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Today I would like to update some charts for the commodities complex as we are starting to see some action in this sector. Back in the summer months when we first started to get long some of the different commodities sectors, we got many breakouts from some very nice H&S bases. After the initial move up came the first consolidation phase that has been going on for nearly four months or so. We are now starting to see some of these consolidation patterns breaking out which should lead to the next impulse move higher in most cases.
Lets start with BHP, one of the biggest miners on the planet, that shows a good example of where we are at in the bull market. Today the price action broke out with a gap above the top rail of an almost 5 month triangle consolidation pattern. A backtest to the top rail would come in around the 43.50 area.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 21, 2017
GOLD AND CRUDE SETUP IS VERY BULLISH! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
My Bias: Long to a new all time high above 1827.
Wave Structure: Impulse structure to a new high.
Long term wave count: wave (3) above 1666.
Thursday, December 14, 2017
A Pivotal Week For Gold And Crude Oil / Commodities / Commodities Trading
My Bias: Long to a new all time high above 1827.
Wave Structure: Impulse structure to a new high.
Long term wave count: wave (3) above 1666.
Sunday, October 01, 2017
DBA, SOYB, JJG MOO Soft Commodites ETF's Update / Commodities / Commodities Trading
My last update on Soft’s was back in mid-April here: https://surfcity.co/2017/04/12/soft-commodities/
Are Soft commodities finding a major low here? Could be but it will vary by commodity and could take another few months to a year for some.
Here is update with charts on DBA, SOYB, JJG MOO and I may add Sugar and Coffee later if I find time. The first three charts are DBA which covers a broad mix of various softs. Also charts on SOYB for Soybeans and JJG, an ETF that buys Futures in Soybeans, Corn and Wheat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 28, 2017
Copper, Oil, Commodities Bottom as Emerging Markets Breakout / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Tonight I would like to update some of the different commodities and emerging markets we took some positions in back in late July of this year. First, let me say that as investors we like everything to line up in perfect harmony so we can make some sense out of what is actually happening in the markets. It’s just human nature. For example, if the US dollar is doing this then the PM complex or the commodities should be doing that. There is a general rule that there is an inverse correlation between the US dollar and the PM complex or commodities, but it’s not always accurate.
Many times we can get bogged down trying to make everything fit perfectly before we make a trade. This can sometimes lead to missed opportunities as what we were expecting didn’t take place. For the most part this is one of the reasons why I prefer Chartology. When a pattern is building out the bears and bulls are making their side known by the battle they’re having with each other, which eventually creates a consolidation or reversal pattern. All the fundamentals that a stock has is also priced into the chart pattern.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 04, 2017
When and how to invest in the commodity market – Taking a balanced step forward / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Commodity prices usually soar higher during inflationary periods. There are times when the economy goes through soaring levels of inflation, just like it happened in 1970s. During that period, interest rates surged up to 18% to fight against the levels of inflation and the prices of commodities reached their record high levels. However, it is not that all periods of inflation have to be so extreme but at the same time it is true that commodities usually perform well when there is mild inflation in the country.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 28, 2017
Sugar Commodity Investors: "Desperately Seeking..." Clarity and Objectivity / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Congratulations, Elliott wave analysis is your ideal match
Over the last two years, sugar futures have crashed and spiked and crashed again -- much like a diabetic without insulin.
After plummeting to an 8-year low in September 2015, sugar prices then doubled in a stunning rally to a 4-year high in September 2016, only to turn back down in a 40% sell-off to19-month lows in late June 2017, where they linger to this day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 27, 2017
Gold and Oil - 3 charts, 3 forecasts, in 7 fast minutes / Commodities / Commodities Trading
See just how much you can learn from three simple charts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 22, 2017
Crude Oil, Gold, ETFs & more: Pro-grade Market Forecasts / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Dear Investor,
Are you paying attention to commodities? You should be.
Major moves in oil, gold and other commodities have offered up huge opportunities for traders in 2017.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have kept our subscribers ahead of many big commodity moves.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 22, 2017
LOG 0.786 support in CRUDE OIL and COCOA / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Originally written in the Wednesday JUN 21 MRI 3D Report,
CRUDE OIL GROUP- CLQ 17 (4253): (W.D. GANN): Today is 19 trading days down from 52.00. 52×19= 988 Subtract 988 from 52.00 = 42.12 = the square of TIME and PRICE. Today’s low = 42.05.
TIME: Today is 33a/May04 LOW, 7×7(G)d/APR12 TOP and 120(G)d/55.24 Jan03 TOP
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 16, 2017
Heating Oil Bottom Is In.(probably) / Commodities / Commodities Trading
MRI Trading Signals has identified a high probability of a HEATING OIL LOW, at least for awhile. It may be a stretch to see the nearby HON 17 (141.13) close above the previous week’s close 143.70, requiring a 2.57+ net change on Friday. IF that happens then HO is confirming the WEEKLY TIME SETUP in the ACL and LCL Closing Line Chart Frames- 3D, 5(F)A, 13(F)a and 30(G)a to WK 07 NOV’16 and 45(G)a to WK 25 JUL’16.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 09, 2017
Is The Great Commodity Bear Finally Over ? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
There is something happening in the commodities complex that has been going on for awhile now that needs to be addressed tonight. A subtle change actually started earlier this year and has been gaining momentum especially in the energy sector. I know for a lot of you, with the weak US dollar, you are thinking, “how could commodities be declining,” which goes against everything you have learned about how the markets are supposed to work. If the markets always behaved like everyone thinks they should then there would be no markets, because everyone can’t be right. That’s the nature of the beast we’re trying to tame.
Tonight I would like to show you some bearish rising wedges which have formed all over the place in the commodities complex. Many of the rising wedges took over a year to build out so that sets up a healthy decline. The bigger the pattern the bigger the move.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 09, 2017
Commodities Trading and Investing: Inside Look at 18+ Top Markets / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Dear reader,
Our partners at Elliott Wave International, the world’s leader in Elliott wave analysis since 1978, have some exciting news!
Read full article... Read full article...