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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Economic Recovery

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Monday, January 11, 2010

U.S. Unemployment Numbers Illustrate Retarded Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Gerard_Jackson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the official unemployment figure dropped by 0.2 per cent to 10 per cent the so-called media were quick to claim it as evidence that the economy was now moving in the right direction. But how could this be if firms were not hiring? To any reasonable observer of the economic scene it was obvious that the number of discouraged workers must be rising. The jury is now in, making this conclusion official: The Labor Department has reported that 929,000 "discouraged workers" ceased looking for work.

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Economics

Saturday, January 09, 2010

Is The US At An Extreme Risk Of A Double Dip Recession? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSafari Investment Research write: One of the major concerns at the end of 2008 and beginning of 2009 was how much the average U.S. consumer has to de-lever in order to reach a sustainable debt level that could be supported in a declining asset price environment. As we all know, the environment changed quickly in the 2nd quarter of 2009 when all asset prices began to rise in value and the national savings rate continued to climb (See Exhibit 1).

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Economics

Saturday, January 09, 2010

Economy Forecast 2010 the Uncertain Statistical Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article2010: A Year of Uncertainty
"Rocking Even Me"
Prisoners of Our Preconceptions
The Statistical Recovery
The Great Experiment
Whither the Fed?

"Lying here, during all this time after my own small fall, it has become my conviction that things mean pretty much what we want them to mean. We'll pluck significance from the least consequential happenstance if it suits us and happily ignore the most flagrantly obvious symmetry between separate aspects of our lives if it threatens some cherished prejudice or cosily comforting belief; we are blindest to precisely whatever might be most illuminating." - from Transition, by Iain M. Banks

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Economics

Thursday, January 07, 2010

How Long Will the Economic Recovery Continue? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere's no denying that the economy is getting better, but will it last? Many economists don't think so, including experts at opposite ends of the ideological spectrum, like Paul Krugman and Martin Feldstein. They think the economy will begin to fizzle sometime in the latter part of 2010 when Obama's $787 billion fiscal stimulus runs out and consumers are forced to pick up the slack in demand. That's a safe bet, too, considering that unemployment will still be somewhere in the neighborhood of 9 percent and households will still be digging out from the $13 trillion they lost during the crisis. And the fact that the Fed is planning to end its quantitative easing (QE) program in early April, doesn't help either.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 01, 2010

Stock Market the Best Indicator for Economic Recovery 2010 / Stock-Markets / Economic Recovery

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith the commencement of a New Year comes the usual barrage of analyst predictions for what the year ahead will look like. This is the time when economists present their year-ahead forecasts and when investors anxiously contemplate what the next 12 months will hold in store for them.

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Economics

Thursday, December 31, 2009

UK Economy GDP Growth Forecast 2010 and 2011, The Stealth Election Boom / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe British Economy as with other developed economies entered 2009 in recession and on the brink of Depression, after unlimited bailouts , hitting the Quantitative Easing panic button and running a huge 15% of GDP budget deficit, the UK economy has managed to claw its way back out of recession as the Q4 data will show when released during late January 2010.

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Economics

Friday, December 25, 2009

UK Retail Sales Signal Debt Fuelled Election Consumer Boom / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is the next in a series of analysis as part of my unfolding inflationary mega-trend scenario towards the formulation of an inflation forecast for 2010 and beyond. I aim to complete the whole scenario including interest rates, economy and implications of before the end of December which will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the latest analysis in your email box and check my most recent analysis on the probable inflation mega-trend at http://www.walayatstreet.com

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Economics

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Staggered Return to Global Economic Growth For 2010 / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Victoria_Marklew

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe are ushering in 2010 on a note of guarded hope, unlike the dawn of 2009 when great apprehension about the global economy was the predominant theme. Three broad aspects stand out as the curtain closes on 2009. First, recession is now a matter of history. Second, massive financial sector blowups are mostly behind us, but smaller yet significant tempests cannot be ruled out. Third, an arduous economic recovery is nearly certain. Against this backdrop, we think the world economy will move ahead with mixed economic momentum but mostly tilted toward a positive economic growth trajectory. We begin with predictions of economic growth, inflation, and unemployment, then take a look at fiscal challenges, currency issues and potential asset valuation problems in selected countries.

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Economics

Saturday, December 19, 2009

Revising U.S. Q4 Economic Growth Higher but 2010 Will Still Be Weak / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLargely because of some recently-released economic reports, we have bumped up our real GDP forecast significantly for Q4:2009 and much less so for all of 2010. But we have not changed our fundamental view of the 2010 economic outlook. That view is that the recovery will continue through 2010, but will not be vigorous. Because we expect growth in the first half of 2010 to be slower than it was in the second half of 2009, we would not be surprised to hear the talking heads on CNBC start yapping about a "double dip." They are likely to be wrong, as usual.

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Economics

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Bernanke's Faux Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Economic recovery" is a term that has no fixed meaning. But it's worth mulling-over to determine whether aggregate demand is strong enough to keep the economy from tipping back into recession. In normal times, the Fed slashes interest rates to increase the flow of capital to the markets and to consumers via lending at the banks. That's the traditional method of "jump starting" the economy. The Fed has never initiated policies which provide unlimited guarantees for underwater financial institutions. Nor has it ever poured more than a trillion dollars directly into the financial system by creating excess reserves at the banks and direct purchases of long-term assets. (Quantitative Easing) All of this is new.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Auto and Gasoline Sales Help Boost November Retail Growth / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: LiveCharts

Despite initial reports from many retailers that the start to the holiday season has been relatively sluggish, the Commerce Department reported Friday (December 11) morning that retail sales climbed by 1.3 per cent in November. This follows a 1.1 per cent boost in retail performance during October.

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Bernanke Blamed, U.S. Economy Lost Revenues and Inflation /Deflation Fears / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the words of one of my favorite singer-song writers, Willie Nelson (another one of my favorites is Marisa Kasriel), I am on the road again. Forthwith are some thoughts that came to me as I listened to Willie on recent flights.

Did Bernanke Get Grilled for the Sins of Others?

Before hitting the "send" button on the hate email, let me tell you that Ben Bernanke is not an indispensable Fed chairman. I have no doubt that there are many people who could do a better job than he (but no one has called). Having said that, I was amused by some of the haranguing he was subjected to at his Senate confirmation hearing last week. Okay, now you can hit the "send" button.

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Economics

Monday, December 07, 2009

Where Is the U.S. Economy Heading? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Frank_Shostak

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomists are currently divided on the issue of how strong the US economic recovery is going to be. Some are of the view that as a result of the stimulus policies of the Fed and the Federal government, the recovery is going to be quite strong. Some others are more pessimistic given still-rising unemployment, which they believe will keep consumer spending subdued. In October the unemployment rate jumped to 10.2% from 9.8% in the previous month and 6.6% in October last year.

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Economics

Friday, December 04, 2009

The Economic Recovery Is Looking Stronger Every Week / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe stimulus efforts were expensive for sure, and the cost, like the cost of two 7-year wars that were supposed to be three-month skirmishes, will be with us for years to come. But the stimulus efforts at least seem to be working even faster than expected.

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Economics

Thursday, December 03, 2009

China Will Continue to Drive the Global Economic Recovery in 2010 / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: China isn’t just leading the global economic recovery – it’s lapping the field.

China’s gross domestic product (GDP) expanded at an 8.9% annual rate in the third quarter – the fastest pace in a year and up from 7.9% in the second quarter And the median projection of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News is for China’s GDP to jump more than 10% in the final three months of 2009, setting the stage for double digit growth in 2010.

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Economics

Monday, November 30, 2009

A Faith-Based Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: TheDailyReckoning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJoel Bowman writes: Today we have something extraordinary for you to ponder. We call it, in the prescribed, politico-doublespeak of the times, a “recovery.” Allow us to elaborate for just a moment…

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Economics

Thursday, November 26, 2009

While Economic Pundits Play "Gotcha," the Unemployment Situation Improves / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe best measure of the current condition of the labor market is the state unemployment insurance data. These data are not samples or surveys with guesstimates of how many new jobs were created by new businesses, but the head count of actual people standing in actual unemployment insurance lines. Too be sure, because a government entity is doing the counting, the first count is not always the most accurate count. But after four weeks of counting and recounting, the number that emerges is the one that remains for all times. The monthly labor reports from the Establishment and Household surveys get revised over and over, literally, for years.

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Politics

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Will Christmas Shopping Save the Economic Recovery as Black Friday Nears? / Politics / Economic Recovery

By: Danny_Schechter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFunny how, back in 1929, we had black Thursday and then Black Friday as the market crashed, plunging the country into a depression. Now we have every retailer in every mall in America on their knees praying for a prosperous black Friday this week.

Here’s the scenario as Thanksgiving rolls around.

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Economics

Friday, November 20, 2009

The Pro-Free-Market Program for Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: George_Reisman

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGood afternoon, ladies and gentlemen: As you all know, we are in a severe economic downturn. The official unemployment rate now exceeds 10 percent and according to many observers is actually substantially higher. Within the last year or so, our financial system has been rocked to its foundations. The collapse of the housing bubble and the numerous defaults and bankruptcies connected with it brought down major financial institutions, such as Bear-Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Merrill Lynch. It also brought down numerous small and medium-sized banks and threatened to bring down even such banking giants as Citigroup and Bank of America.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Will Consumer Spending Really be Different This Time? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost analysts believe the American consumer has changed their free spending ways. Every article on the state of the consumer indicates they have cut their spending, are saving more, and paying off their enormous debt. Everywhere you go, they expect this pattern will continue as the consumer had fundamentally changed their ways. But have they really?

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