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Category: Economic Recovery

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, December 04, 2012

Phony Global Economic Recovery is an Illusion / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Michael_Pento

Many investors still hope that the global economy will experience a significant rebound in 2013. I guess it is human nature to assume the optimistic position that our economic fate will turn to the upside with each new calendar.

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Economics

Tuesday, July 03, 2012

Factories Across the World Shift Gears / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey results for June were disappointing; with the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) at 49.7 in June, down from 53.5 in the prior month. This is the first monthly reading below 50.0 since July 2009 (see Chart 1). Index readings above 50 denote an expansion, while those below 50.0 point to a contraction in activity.

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Economics

Thursday, June 28, 2012

Forget QE3, America Needs a Real Road and Job Stimulus / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: EconMatters

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHow is the condition of roads that you drive On? Well, the roads that I drive on are so bad that they require a large truck or SUV to navigate at anything close to normal speeds. The potholes are alignment killers, and the horrible patches were slapped on so poorly that they become uneven speed bumps. And I reside in one of the top 5 largest cities in the U.S. with a lot of petro money that has done much better than most of other cities (e.g., the newly bankrupt Stockton, CA) during the financial downturn in the economy. It gets better yet; I'm talking about the better part of town instead of the lower revenue districts. So the question is how did we get to this state? And what are the likely solutions?

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Economics

Sunday, May 20, 2012

Economic Recovery Is an Illusion When Adjusted or Inflation / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: The_Gold_Report

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Williams, author of the ShadowStats.com newsletter, shines light on his interpretations of the GDP, CPI, unemployment and other government statistics in this exclusive Gold Report interview from the recent Recovery Reality Check conference. Highlights include what the money supply measures tell him and why QE3 will be a hard sell.

The Gold Report: John, at the recent Casey Research Recovery Reality Check conference you described the economic recovery heralded by the Obama administration as an illusion based largely on skewed inflation data. Can you walk us through why, based on your calculations, a recovery is impossible?

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Politics

Saturday, April 21, 2012

U.S. Economic Recovery Debate, Still on the Fence? / Politics / Economic Recovery

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLost among never-ending talk in the mainstream media about the ‘modest recovery’ being experienced in America have been some rather poignant headlines that are telling a completely different story. I’ve used up many weeks to outline the flaws regarding how our economic growth is measured and suggest more responsible alternatives. I don’t expect Washington to change, however. Those suggestions are for ‘We the People’ as we navigate our own individual situations and seek to do the things necessary in order that we are better prepared to deal with the undeniable consequences of gross mismanagement by our government.

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Politics

Thursday, April 05, 2012

Don't Catch Economic Recovery Fever / Politics / Economic Recovery

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold has been holding steady in the the $1,600-$1,800 band since early October. This could be attributed to consolidation after last summer's historic run up to $1,895, but I think this wait-and-see attitude reflects current market sentiment toward the US dollar.

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Economics

Thursday, March 01, 2012

Private Sector vs. Government Sector in the Current Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

Real GDP of the economy is estimated to have grown at an annual rate of 3.0% in the fourth quarter, an upward revision from the advance estimate of a 2.8% increase. Upward revisions of consumer spending, outlays of structures, residential investment expenditures and government spending more than offset downward revisions of exports and equipment and software spending to yield a slightly higher reading of real GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2011.

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Economics

Saturday, February 11, 2012

Widening U.S. Trade Gap Reflects Relative Economic Strength / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe trade deficit widened to $48.8 billion in December, putting the 2011 trade gap at $558 billion, the largest since 2008. Exports of goods and services advanced 0.7% in December, while imports of goods and services grew 1.3%. The advance estimate of fourth quarter real GDP contains assumptions about the trade deficit in December; the actual trade data for December suggest an upward revision of the 2.8% increase in real GDP, everything else the same.

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Economics

Friday, January 20, 2012

The U.S. Economic Recovery Is Producing Surprises / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Sy_Harding

In 2008 it was a sure thing the bursting of the real estate bubble, the collapse of the sub-prime mortgage market, the freeze-up of the banking system, the ravages of the ‘Great Recession’, collapse of the auto industry, bailout of mortgage- insurance giant AIG, bankruptcy of General Motors and Chrysler, etc., would wind up with the economy in the next Great Depression.

It was then a sure thing that the massive stimulus and bailout efforts would not work, and the costs would bankrupt the country and drop it into third-world economy status.

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Economics

Friday, January 20, 2012

The World Economy Stalls; Meanwhile Dubai Bounces Back: So what’s The Secret? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the few interesting things about Dubai is that it serves as a barometer for economic activity that happens largely outside of government and outside of OEDC.

I’m not talking blood diamonds or drug money, Dubai services a region that extends thousands of miles in all directions and the only thing that happens there that doesn’t happen elsewhere and is “illegal” in many of the places it services, is economic freedom. What’s interesting is that you can measure the pulse the global free-market by measuring the pulse of Dubai.

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Economics

Saturday, January 07, 2012

Can The U.S. Economic Recovery Overcome Europe’s Drag? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn an October column I wrote, “For the first time this year the trend of U.S. economic reports is potentially bottoming and turning positive. And after being bearish in the spring and summer, I like what I see in the technical charts of many markets. If only we could ignore Europe.”

That pretty much still defines the situation as we enter the new year.

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Economics

Saturday, October 22, 2011

Why the U.S. Recession Forecasters Are Wrong (For Now) / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSpeculation over the direction of the economy continues to take center stage. With the presidential election coming up in 2012, the economy will undoubtedly be the central issue on the campaign trail and will receive even more attention than it has up until now. Many analysts have made waves lately in forecasting a "double dip" recession, with at least a couple of high profile analysts claiming the recession has already arrived.

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Economics

Friday, October 21, 2011

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, Index of Leading Indicators, Small But Noteworthy Positive Signals / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims dropped 6,000 to 403,000 during the week ended October 15. The 4-week moving average of initial jobless claims (403,000) is the lowest since the week ended April 23, 2011. That said, initial jobless claims are still holding at a worrisome level. In other words, a large drop in initial jobless claims is necessary to say that the worst is behind us. Continuing claims, which lag initial claims by one week, rose 25,000 to 3.719 million.

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Economics

Saturday, July 23, 2011

U.S. Real GDP in the Economic Current Recovery, How Does it Compare? / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

The current economic recovery is eight quarters old.  The first estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter will be published on July 29.  Chart 1 is an index chart where real GDP data are set equal to 100 at the trough of each recession and real GDP for subsequent quarters are computed accordingly to enable comparisons of real GDP growth across recoveries.  For example, a reading of 104 would mean that real GDP increased 4.0% from the trough.  In 2011:Q1, the seventh quarter of economic recovery, real GDP rose 4.95% from the trough of the current recovery.  At a similar stage of economic recovery after the 2001 recession, real GDP recorded a 4.88% gain. 

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Economics

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

The Disintegrating U.S. Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: John_Kozy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe word 'recover' always has the connotation of "getting back." But who is going to get back what when the economy "recovers"? Few at most. So what does an economic recovery look like? No one knows. The word 'recovery' can not be applied to objects willy-nilly. A sick person goes into the hospital to recover; a broken automobile is taken to a shop to be repaired. Automobiles do not recover. Neither do economies; they can only get better or worse, and specific information is needed to determine which. Few people realize just how close to the edge of disintegration America is. The Congress meets for one purpose and one purpose alone—to get reelected. The political posturing begins the day after each election, while the nation's problems go unaddressed, and our media aid and abet the posturing. Such is America today. This recession/depression will never "recover." Neither will America.

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