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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Demographics

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Friday, March 09, 2018

Best 7 Worst U.S. Population Change / Politics / Demographics

By: Harry_Dent

The Dems shut down government because of the ongoing immigration impasse.

Only for a couple of days, sure.

But it’s THAT big of an issue across the political spectrum right now.

Trump wants a wall.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Friday, March 09, 2018

The Middle Class Might Nearly Disappear in the Next Decade / Politics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

Patrick Watson: At the Strategic Investment Conference 2018, Karen Harris from Bain & Company gave a thought-provoking keynote titled, “Labor 2030: The Collision of Demographics, Automation, and Inequality.”

She sees a big economic shift that began in the 1980s. Driven by demographics and automation, the world is gradually moving from a supply-constrained to a demand-constrained economy.

Harris said the combination of a demographically shrinking workforce and increasingly cost-effective automation will aggravate inequality, curb demand, and put a cap on economic growth.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, February 22, 2018

The Fastest Growing State Populations / Housing-Market / Demographics

By: Harry_Dent

One of the buzzwords since Trump became president is “growth.” He’s made ridiculous promises about economic growth that he can’t possibly make good on.

But let’s take a look at another type of growth that affects us all: population growth, specifically in the continental U.S.

It should be no surprise that very high-cost states like New York, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, California, and Hawaii are NOT growing very fast.

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Economics

Thursday, November 16, 2017

A Generational Reset That Will Redistribute Wealth to the Bottom 60% Is Near / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

Billionaire founder of top hedge fund Bridgewater Associates Ray Dalio got where he is by having keen insight into both human nature and economic trends.

Occasionally, he shares some of his wisdom publicly.

In one of his recent articles, Dalio argues that it is a serious mistake to think you can analyze or understand “the” economy because we now have two of them.

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Economics

Monday, October 16, 2017

Boomers Are Not Saving Enough for Retirement, Neither Is the Government / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : Wall Street endlessly gushes about retirement. Its TV commercials show how wonderful life will be in our golden years—when we are old, yet still healthy and wealthy enough to go hang-gliding every day.

Meanwhile, out here in the real world, most working-age Americans don’t want to talk or even think about retirement. Often this is because they know they aren't saving enough and probably will have to work until they drop dead.

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Economics

Saturday, September 16, 2017

Predicting the Future of the U.S. and the World / Economics / Demographics

By: Harry_Dent

Predictability.
People.

Those are the two keystones of my research and forecasting successes: cycles and demographics.

It can all be traced back to the day I was studying several charts that I’d laid out on my desk. I’d been looking at the Dow Jones Industrial Average adjusted for inflation when I glanced up and spotted the Baby Boomer’s birth wave.
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Companies

Saturday, July 29, 2017

Baby Boomers Are Aging Quickly and Here’s How You Can Benefit / Companies / Demographics

By: Charles_Sizemore

If you’ve followed my writing for any length of time, you know how much respect I have for Harry and his demographic work.

Believe it or not, Harry, and his approach to forecasting, gave me the confidence to help launch Peak Income – an income newsletter – at a time when most investors were terrified of yield-focused investments.

The consensus two years ago was that inflation and higher bond yields were just around the corner, which would’ve meant a rough ride for the kind of investments I recommend.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

These 2 Charts Show Why Aging is Greatest Threat to US Budget and Deficits / Economics / Demographics

By: GoldCore

BY PATRICK COX : In its 2017 “Long-Term Budget Outlook,” The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) paints a dire picture of US deficits and debt. It shows that the largest single contributing factor to our rising debt and deficits is aging.

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Economics

Thursday, June 08, 2017

This Is The Most Profound Shift The US Economy Has Ever Seen / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

By Stephen McBride : This year, the first Baby Boomers turned 70, and that spells trouble for the economy and financial markets.

Speaking at Mauldin Economics’ Strategic Investment Conference, chief economist and strategist for Gluskin Sheff, David Rosenberg, dissected the wide-ranging implications of the wave of Baby Boomers now retiring.

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Economics

Friday, April 21, 2017

Median US Household’s Wealth Has Declined by 40% Since 2007 / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

Nominal US household wealth is at an all-time high. But my friend Marc Faber (publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report) says that's mostly an illusion.

Below, Marc looks at the relationship between asset prices and US household wealth, and the effect of that relationship on the economy.

It seems the wealth of the top 0.1% has vastly improved in recent decades (and the top 10% haven’t done at all badly). But “the median household’s or asset owner’s wealth has declined by close to 40% in real terms (adjusted by the CPI) from its peak in 2007.”

Median household increases in wealth are also illusory because the main component of household wealth is pension fund assets (approximately US$22 trillion).

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Politics

Friday, April 07, 2017

What Makes Millennials Disturbingly Different? / Politics / Demographics

By: Gordon_T_Long

In Stealth Fashion Millennials Are Rapidly Transforming Society

Something had mysteriously changed during the 2016 US Presidential primaries when an unlikely democratic candidate burst on the national scene with an unquestionable allure for the Millennial generation. How was it that a 'left wing' Bernie Sanders, who was of an age that he would be considered as a very old grandfather by this young generation, could draw such rousing support? What was it about this grey haired unknown senator from Vermont who so clearly represented the expectations, aspirations and frustrations of this new 'coming of age' generation?

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Politics

Wednesday, March 08, 2017

The US Is Going Through a Profound Demographic Shift That Will Affect Everyone / Politics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK COX : The US fertility rate fell again last year, marking the lowest rate of reproduction since the CDC started keeping records in 1909. This prompted the amusing Bloomberg headline, “Make America Mate Again.”

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Politics

Tuesday, February 07, 2017

America’s Aging Demographics / Politics / Demographics

By: Rodney_Johnson

It was a long time ago, way back in 1950.

The United States was recovering from World War II while facing down a new enemy, China, on the Korean Peninsula. We were an exporting powerhouse that fortunately escaped the war with all of our production capacity intact. And, our population was experiencing a baby boom.

We were growing our wealth, expanding our military capabilities, and increasing our population. Even after the ravages of war, we had a tremendous group of workers 20 to 49 years old, and an explosion of babies on the way.

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Economics

Friday, December 02, 2016

Macroeconomic Cycles & Demographics - A Fuse, An Explosive and The Igniting Catalyst / Economics / Demographics

By: Gordon_T_Long

Investors need to focus on the two key long term structural changes now underway which are going to ignite destructive global dislocations through early 2020. To better understand why this is going to occur we need to place them in context by first examining the major economic cycles currently underway.

Harry Dent's Macroeconomic Cycles & Demographics

This initial cycle chart is from an in-depth discussion I had with Harry Dent earlier this year. Since leaving Harvard, Harry has spent most of his adult working life  studying demographics and cycles.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Demographics Are the Biggest Drag on the US Economy / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

BY SAMUEL RINES: The US economy has slowed, and the reasons for the sluggish growth cause heated arguments among market participants and economists alike. There are two outspoken camps: “the good ole days are coming back” and “this is normal.” The camps have little in common, except yelling at one another. 

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Economics

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Influx of Female Professionals is Changing Consumer Spending / Economics / Demographics

By: Rodney_Johnson

I recently dropped off my youngest at college for her freshman year. She’s finally free of the prison rules of high school, and can explore life as a young adult. I’ve given her a few pointers. OK, maybe a few thousand tips on what to do and what to avoid over the next four years.

I think I’m qualified. Her two older siblings are navigating college life just fine, with no police records and their online dignity still intact. I’m sure our parental guidance had a lot to do with this… or at least a little something.

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Politics

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Millennials Are Doomed Face Existential Crisis to Define the Rest of Their Lives / Politics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

Psychologists from Sigmund Freud forward have generally agreed: our core attitudes about life are largely locked in by age five or so. Changing those attitudes requires intense effort.

Neil Howe and William Strauss took this obvious truth and drew an obvious conclusion: if our attitudes form in early childhood, then the point in history at which we live our childhood must play a large part in shaping our attitudes.

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Politics

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

This Demographic Shift Makes Our Social Security Useless / Politics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK COX: The 2008 financial crisis delivered a TKO to the global economy. Since then, the media has been reassuring us that the US economy is recovering.

Unfortunately, it has been the weakest post-recession recovery in modern history. Some people have seen no recovery whatsoever, and most Americans are losing ground and hope.

Why have so many people been so wrong?

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Economics

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Can You Actually Live Too Long? / Economics / Demographics

By: Rodney_Johnson

The mainstream media has your number. You make too much money, you don’t pay enough in taxes, and you get too many tax deductions.

Now there’s a new charge to add to the list – you live too long.

We all know that Social Security favors low-income workers. As the graph illustrates, for those at the low end of the average wage scale, Social Security replaces a little more than 50% of their income.

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Economics

Sunday, May 08, 2016

Demographics and the Protein Ladder / Economics / Demographics

By: Richard_Mills

In 1800, three percent of the world's population lived in urban areas. By 1900, roughly 14 percent of the world's population were urbanites and 12 cities had 1 million or more inhabitants.

In 1950, 30 percent - 746 million people - resided in urban centers and the number of cities with over 1 million people had grown to 83.

In 1975 three cities had populations of 10 million or more. In 1990, there were ten “mega-cities” with 10 million inhabitants or more, which were home to 153 million people or slightly less than seven per cent of the global urban population at that time. Megacities (minimum population of 10 mil to qualify) numbered 16 in 2000.

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