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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Demographics

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

These 2 Charts Show Why Aging is Greatest Threat to US Budget and Deficits / Economics / Demographics

By: GoldCore

BY PATRICK COX : In its 2017 “Long-Term Budget Outlook,” The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) paints a dire picture of US deficits and debt. It shows that the largest single contributing factor to our rising debt and deficits is aging.

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Economics

Thursday, June 08, 2017

This Is The Most Profound Shift The US Economy Has Ever Seen / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

By Stephen McBride : This year, the first Baby Boomers turned 70, and that spells trouble for the economy and financial markets.

Speaking at Mauldin Economics’ Strategic Investment Conference, chief economist and strategist for Gluskin Sheff, David Rosenberg, dissected the wide-ranging implications of the wave of Baby Boomers now retiring.

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Economics

Friday, April 21, 2017

Median US Household’s Wealth Has Declined by 40% Since 2007 / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

Nominal US household wealth is at an all-time high. But my friend Marc Faber (publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report) says that's mostly an illusion.

Below, Marc looks at the relationship between asset prices and US household wealth, and the effect of that relationship on the economy.

It seems the wealth of the top 0.1% has vastly improved in recent decades (and the top 10% haven’t done at all badly). But “the median household’s or asset owner’s wealth has declined by close to 40% in real terms (adjusted by the CPI) from its peak in 2007.”

Median household increases in wealth are also illusory because the main component of household wealth is pension fund assets (approximately US$22 trillion).

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Politics

Friday, April 07, 2017

What Makes Millennials Disturbingly Different? / Politics / Demographics

By: Gordon_T_Long

In Stealth Fashion Millennials Are Rapidly Transforming Society

Something had mysteriously changed during the 2016 US Presidential primaries when an unlikely democratic candidate burst on the national scene with an unquestionable allure for the Millennial generation. How was it that a 'left wing' Bernie Sanders, who was of an age that he would be considered as a very old grandfather by this young generation, could draw such rousing support? What was it about this grey haired unknown senator from Vermont who so clearly represented the expectations, aspirations and frustrations of this new 'coming of age' generation?

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Politics

Wednesday, March 08, 2017

The US Is Going Through a Profound Demographic Shift That Will Affect Everyone / Politics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK COX : The US fertility rate fell again last year, marking the lowest rate of reproduction since the CDC started keeping records in 1909. This prompted the amusing Bloomberg headline, “Make America Mate Again.”

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Politics

Tuesday, February 07, 2017

America’s Aging Demographics / Politics / Demographics

By: Rodney_Johnson

It was a long time ago, way back in 1950.

The United States was recovering from World War II while facing down a new enemy, China, on the Korean Peninsula. We were an exporting powerhouse that fortunately escaped the war with all of our production capacity intact. And, our population was experiencing a baby boom.

We were growing our wealth, expanding our military capabilities, and increasing our population. Even after the ravages of war, we had a tremendous group of workers 20 to 49 years old, and an explosion of babies on the way.

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Economics

Friday, December 02, 2016

Macroeconomic Cycles & Demographics - A Fuse, An Explosive and The Igniting Catalyst / Economics / Demographics

By: Gordon_T_Long

Investors need to focus on the two key long term structural changes now underway which are going to ignite destructive global dislocations through early 2020. To better understand why this is going to occur we need to place them in context by first examining the major economic cycles currently underway.

Harry Dent's Macroeconomic Cycles & Demographics

This initial cycle chart is from an in-depth discussion I had with Harry Dent earlier this year. Since leaving Harvard, Harry has spent most of his adult working life  studying demographics and cycles.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Demographics Are the Biggest Drag on the US Economy / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

BY SAMUEL RINES: The US economy has slowed, and the reasons for the sluggish growth cause heated arguments among market participants and economists alike. There are two outspoken camps: “the good ole days are coming back” and “this is normal.” The camps have little in common, except yelling at one another. 

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Economics

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

The Influx of Female Professionals is Changing Consumer Spending / Economics / Demographics

By: Rodney_Johnson

I recently dropped off my youngest at college for her freshman year. She’s finally free of the prison rules of high school, and can explore life as a young adult. I’ve given her a few pointers. OK, maybe a few thousand tips on what to do and what to avoid over the next four years.

I think I’m qualified. Her two older siblings are navigating college life just fine, with no police records and their online dignity still intact. I’m sure our parental guidance had a lot to do with this… or at least a little something.

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Politics

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Millennials Are Doomed Face Existential Crisis to Define the Rest of Their Lives / Politics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

Psychologists from Sigmund Freud forward have generally agreed: our core attitudes about life are largely locked in by age five or so. Changing those attitudes requires intense effort.

Neil Howe and William Strauss took this obvious truth and drew an obvious conclusion: if our attitudes form in early childhood, then the point in history at which we live our childhood must play a large part in shaping our attitudes.

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Politics

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

This Demographic Shift Makes Our Social Security Useless / Politics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK COX: The 2008 financial crisis delivered a TKO to the global economy. Since then, the media has been reassuring us that the US economy is recovering.

Unfortunately, it has been the weakest post-recession recovery in modern history. Some people have seen no recovery whatsoever, and most Americans are losing ground and hope.

Why have so many people been so wrong?

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Economics

Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Can You Actually Live Too Long? / Economics / Demographics

By: Rodney_Johnson

The mainstream media has your number. You make too much money, you don’t pay enough in taxes, and you get too many tax deductions.

Now there’s a new charge to add to the list – you live too long.

We all know that Social Security favors low-income workers. As the graph illustrates, for those at the low end of the average wage scale, Social Security replaces a little more than 50% of their income.

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Economics

Sunday, May 08, 2016

Demographics and the Protein Ladder / Economics / Demographics

By: Richard_Mills

In 1800, three percent of the world's population lived in urban areas. By 1900, roughly 14 percent of the world's population were urbanites and 12 cities had 1 million or more inhabitants.

In 1950, 30 percent - 746 million people - resided in urban centers and the number of cities with over 1 million people had grown to 83.

In 1975 three cities had populations of 10 million or more. In 1990, there were ten “mega-cities” with 10 million inhabitants or more, which were home to 153 million people or slightly less than seven per cent of the global urban population at that time. Megacities (minimum population of 10 mil to qualify) numbered 16 in 2000.

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Politics

Saturday, April 16, 2016

Human Population Explosion - Our Day of Reckoning / Politics / Demographics

By: Richard_Mills

The second half of the 20th century saw the biggest increase in the world’s population in human history.

Our population surged because:

  • Medical advances lessened the mortality rate in many countries 
  • Massive increases in agricultural productivity because of the “Green Revolution”

The global death rate has dropped almost continuously since the start of the industrial revolution - personal hygiene, improved methods of sanitation and the development of antibiotics have all played a major role.

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Economics

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

The Millennial Moment and the Global Crisis / Economics / Demographics

By: Clif_Droke

It's a trite saying but a profound one all the same: "History always repeats." We've all heard this bromide countless times, yet how many of us have truly pondered its significance?

The truism that history tends to repeat itself over time is the basis of the cyclical view of human affairs as applied to the financial market. Cycle investors believe that by studying past episodes of a similar character they can divine the outcome of currents events. It's not surprising then that the cyclists among us have turned their attention toward the global financial market slowdown and tepid pace of the U.S. economy recovery.

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Politics

Monday, April 04, 2016

The Boomer Retirement Meme Is A Big Lie / Politics / Demographics

By: James_Quinn

As the labor participation rate and employment to population ratio linger near three decade lows, the mouthpieces for the establishment continue to perpetuate the Big Lie this is solely due to the retirement of Boomers. It's their storyline and they'll stick to it, no matter what the facts show to be the truth. Even CNBC lackeys, government apparatchiks, and Ivy League educated Keynesian economists should be able to admit that people between the ages of 25 and 54 should be working, unless they are home raising children.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

China Boasts Most Billionaires in the World and Makes For a Great Long Term Investment / Economics / Demographics

By: Sol_Palha

"An ounce of patience is worth a pound of brains." ~ Dutch Proverb

Our Asian edge Index and trend indicator clearly stated back in 2005, that China would lead the way in economic growth and eventually overtake the US in many areas. China now boasts the World's Largest Middle Class, and it is growing much faster than our Middle-Class.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 01, 2016

U.S. Demographics - The Affluent Market Is Fading FAST / Economics / Demographics

By: Harry_Dent

About 30 years ago, I was able to predict the U.S. would see a major generational spending peak in 2007, all from my demographic indicator, the Generational Spending Wave.

On a 46-year lag from the time they were born, that’s when the peak number of baby boomers would peak in spending for the average household.

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Politics

Tuesday, December 01, 2015

The Demographic Nightmare Caused by Gender Selection / Politics / Demographics

By: Rodney_Johnson

I took a year off after college. I don’t remember it having a cool name like “gap year” back then. Most people considered it goofing off. I spent the summer and fall on the coast in Florida waiting tables, then moved out west to Jackson Hole, WY for the ski season. I worked at a hotel at night and skied during the day. It was a modest existence, no doubt, but it was also just as awesome as it sounds.

Back then Jackson Hole was still a hole. The airport had not been expanded, so there was no large jet service. However, changes were already happening. It was clear the place was about to explode. The owner of the hotel at which I worked called me into his office at the end of season. He offered me a job as a real estate agent, working with him selling vacation properties to tourists.

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Politics

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Undeniable Social Security Demographics / Politics / Demographics

By: BATR

What are the consequences for Social Security in an economy where fewer and fewer workers have a job? Add in the tax burdens that come to comply for Obamacare coverage and it is difficult to see where all the needed new employment will come from to keep funding the government Ponzi scheme? Government apologists will just compose a new “Washington Two Step” routine to dance around empirical facts, but just maybe part of their next choreography will be to allow even more illegal’s pay into Social Security so that the transfer system can continue.

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