Category: Financial Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, October 29, 2012
Nicole Foss And Max Keiser Talk Greed, Fear, Downward Spirals And Risk Divisions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The Automatic Earth's Senior Editor Nicole Foss talks to Max Keiser again, this time on PressTV's On The Edge with Max Keiser.
Nicole and Max discuss Europe's shrinking pie, Canada's bursting bubble, the ongoing global debt deflation, the eternal tug of war between greed and fear, the greater fool, and the similarities the demise of the banking system in 14th century Venice has with Washington DC today.
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Monday, October 29, 2012
Monday U.S. Financial Markets Closed Due to Sandy Mega Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Hurricane Sandy has cancelled the markets today.
Perhaps tomorrow as well as the storm, as you can see from the map, doesn't really hit us until Tuesday morning. So, unless it veers further south than projected, NYC and the exchanges will be smack in the middle of the storm tomorrow morning.
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Monday, October 29, 2012
The Free Market’s Slow Death / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Much has been made in the press of the manipulation of LIBOR, without much explanation of the consequences for prices of all things that depend on supply and demand for bank credit. Outrage focuses on the activities of avaricious bankers, which is why the connection never gets made between relatively minor manipulations of credit pricing by banks and far larger manipulations by central banks.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Why This is No Time to Borrow “On Margin” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Alexander Green writes: With stocks near a three-and-a-half-year high and interest rates dirt cheap, this might seem like a good time to borrow against your stock portfolio.
Then again… perhaps not.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Cross Correlations Between Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
If readers take a look at the chart below you can see how highly correlated the markets are and looking for that little edge can sometimes literally be the missing piece of the jigsaw puzzle that can make the difference to being on the right side of the trend.
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Sunday, October 28, 2012
Stock Market QED / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
There are many reasons to fear unhedged exposure in the U.S. stock market. Recent corporate conference calls have explored weak or falling revenues. Drooping trade among Asian countries has forewarned of weakness. In the U.S, Europe and Asia, reports describe slumping sales of necessities that may need to be reclassified as luxuries. To rub it in, investment by companies has been scaled back and large layoffs have not slackened.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
QE3, A Light on the Future For Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“The challenge for Ben Bernanke and the Fed governors since the 2008 bailouts has been how to deal with the backlog of fraud – not just fraudulent mortgages and fraudulent mortgage securities but the derivatives piled on top and the politics of who owns them, such as sovereign nations with nuclear arsenals, and how they feel about taking massive losses on AAA paper purchased in good faith.
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
The US Presidential Election, Gold, Dollar and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
With the US presidential election drawing near, it is beginning to look like Mitt Romney may actually have a shot at the white House. This prompts gold investors to wonder how such an outcome might affect financial markets and especially gold. What if Mitt Romney wins? The election may impact everything from mortgage costs to the cost of financing the U.S. debt. Trillions are at stake.
The theory goes that Romney will replace Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke whose current term will expire in any case on January 2014. He has said as much. This might slow down the perpetual money printing machine, which would be a bearish signal for gold. It would add uncertainty to monetary policy and increase market volatility.
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Friday, October 26, 2012
Why Hedge Fund Managers Are Scared / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Julian Robertson, founder of Tiger Management, appeared on "Bloomberg Surveillance" with Tom Keene and Sara Eisen this morning, saying that hedge funds that have positioned themselves for a "black swan event" are making a "mistake."
Robertson said, "I think right now they are all scared...They are really only going to be profitable in the event of a big disaster."
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Friday, October 26, 2012
Why You Shouldn’t Fear High-Frequency Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Alexander Green writes: I occasionally hear from readers who say they are fleeing stocks because they fear a market crash due to the prevalence of high-frequency trading.This is almost certainly a mistake. Here’s why…
Saturday, October 20, 2012
U.S. Dollar, Bonds, Gold, Commodities, and Stocks October Trend Forecasts / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2012
The Market Oracle NewsletterOctober 5th , 2012 Issue #15 Vol. 6
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Saturday, October 20, 2012
Trumping Tricks with No Treats = Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“I don’t see Silver going below $30…” David Morgan, Silver Guru
Understandably so, David Morgan.
Just a week ago 3.6 Million Ounces of Physical Silver were removed from the COMEX Registered Inventory – fully 17% of the Total Registered Inventory of Silver. There are Big Buyers of Physical Silver.
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Monday, October 15, 2012
Did Bernanke Bluff the Markets About QE3? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The markets roared from June to September, ever Fed mouthpiece Jon Hilsenrath of the WSJ penned an article calling for more QE in June. Fast-forward to mid-September and the Fed did indeed announce QE3, a plan that will see the Fed monetize $40 billion worth of Mortgage Backed Securities in addition to its plans to Twist $45 billion worth of Treasuries per month: a total monetization scheme of $85 billion.
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Monday, October 15, 2012
Gold And The Disappearing Yield, Death of Equities? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Traditionally, when economies expanded stocks outperformed bonds; but these aren’t traditional times and although economies have expanded, over the past 30 years bonds have outperformed stocks.
Since 1981 the return on long-term government bonds averaged 11.5 %. The S&P stock index averaged 10.8 %; and, since 2000, the returns of stocks over bonds have widened. A major reason why bonds have done better is that since 1982 government bond yields have been declining; and when bond yields decline, bond profits rise.
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Friday, October 12, 2012
Goldman Sachs View on the Election, Economy and Euro-zone Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Goldman Sachs President Gary Cohn told Bloomberg Television's Sara Eisen today that he will "probably read" Greg Smith's tell-all book, "Why I Left Goldman Sachs," which comes out on October 22nd.
Cohn also discussed the global economy, saying that "I understand what the [Federal Reserve is] trying to do and I will tell you this, this is going to be difficult to stop or to exit.
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Saturday, October 06, 2012
Surmounting Budgetary Crystal Meth and the Ring of Fire / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“…when it comes to debt and to the prospects for future debt, the U.S. is not a ‘clean dirty shirt.’ The U.S., in fact, is a serial offender, an addict whose habit extends beyond weed or cocaine and who frequently pleasures itself with budgetary crystal meth….
“The International Monetary Fund, the Congressional Budget Office and the Bank of International Settlements compute a ‘fiscal gap’, which is a deficit that must be closed either with spending cuts, tax hikes or a combinations of both which keeps a country’s debt/GDP ratio under control…
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Saturday, October 06, 2012
Once In A Lifetime Cracker Jack Investment Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Conclusion
Looking at a brief list (<1 page) of looming crises coupled with the best investment strategy for each, I come to this even shorter conclusion. The common Denominator is going long Gold and Silver. Secondary Strategies would be shorting a) The Dollar, b) Bond Markets and c) Mega Banks (could be bailed out?) in that order.
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Saturday, October 06, 2012
Global Economic and Political Evaluation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
WHAT WE KNOW – AND WHAT IT TELLS US
This is not an exhaustive list, but enough to make you sit up and think.
This is a Global Evaluation and South Africa may be less badly affected, but, when the rest of the world catches a cold, South Africa catches Double Pneumonia.
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Friday, October 05, 2012
U.S. Dollar, Bonds, Gold, Commodities, and Stocks October Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Over the past year we have had some really interesting things unfold in the market. Investing or even swing trading has been much more difficult because of all the wild economic data and daily headline news from all over the globe causing strong surges or sell offs almost every week.
For a while there you could not hold a position for more than a week without some type of news event moving the market enough to either push you deep in the money or get stopped out for a loss. This has unfortunately caused a lot of individuals to give up on trading which is not a good sign for the financial market as a whole.
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Thursday, October 04, 2012
Investment Poker: Nightmare in the Danger Zone / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
You just took $500,000 (half your net worth) and sat down at a no-limit Texas Hold ‘em game in the Wall Street Casino. You are anxious but feel confident, based on good intelligence and planning. Then you look at the other players at the table:
•A prominent Washington D. C. lobbyist.
•A TBTF (Too Big To Fail) banker with deep political connections.
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