Category: Financial Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, July 31, 2012
The Federal Reserve, Gold, Oil, and U.S. Dollar’s Demise / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Chris_Vermeulen
“We have, in this country, one of the most corrupt institutions the world has ever known. I refer to the Federal Reserve Board. This evil institution has impoverished the people of the United States and has practically bankrupted our government. It has done this through the corrupt practices of the moneyed vultures who control it”. ~ Congressman Louis T. McFadden in 1932 (Rep. Pa) ~
The above quote coming from the Honorable Louis T. McFadden is a quite prescient statement as it relates to arguably the most evil enterprise in American history.
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Friday, July 27, 2012
SP500, Russell 2K, Dollar Index and Gold’s – Fake out or Shakeout / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: J_W_Jones
Today has been quite a trading session with risk assets rocketing higher after Mario Draghi of the European Central Bank reiterated what has already been stated. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is posting some nice gains, but price has not taken out the recent ascending trendline illustrated in the daily chart of SPX shown below. Until that ascending trendline is taken out, the bears remain in control of the price action.
Monday, July 23, 2012
Financial Markets Forecasting is Looking Bleak / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I hope you had a great summer weekend.
This week could be a huge one for stocks and commodities. This morning the dollar index is taking another run at our weekly chart resistance level. If it can break out and start to rally this week then a possible 4-6 week sell off in stocks and commodities may be just starting.
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Friday, July 20, 2012
Why Won't Fine Art Market Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Adrian_Ash
What were once merely baubles are now being touted as investment necessity...
The ODDEST THING thing about today's Great Depression? asks Adrian Ash at BullionVault. The lack of a collapse in the art market.
Previously a bellwether for the global economy, turnover in fine art sank by three-fifths in the early '90s. It tanked again in the early Noughts, taking the revenues (and equity valuations) of the big auction houses down with it.
Thursday, July 19, 2012
Markets Kicking and Screaming, Gold Bottom in Place / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: HRA_Advisory
With summer doldrums well and truly upon us markets have been drifting lower on low volume and trying to hold their May lows. Most metals and certainly gold have performed better and seem to have bottoms in place.
After such a long bear run it's not likely we will get a huge bounce during the summer when so many are trying not to think about the market. Not every stock is falling however. As we note in the updates there are three companies on the HRA list that have been getting a lot more attention from traders and several others that are getting traction based on results to come. That isn't much but it is an improvement. We don't know yet how "real" any of these discoveries are, but new finds are the shortest route to renewed investor interest in the sector.
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Sunday, July 15, 2012
Beginning Sovereign Debt Crisis Endgame, Attack of the Zombie Banks and the New Religion of Europe / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: John_Mauldin
About this time two years ago I began to seriously work with Jonathan Tepper on our book Endgame: The End of the Debt Supercycle and How It Changed Everything. It came out the following March. I remember vividly that in November of that year, as crisis after crisis hit Europe, and the first of about 20 summit meetings which were supposed to solve the crisis was convened, that Jonathan and I worried that the book would not be out in time to actually catch the Endgame before it happened (at least in Europe).
Thursday, July 12, 2012
US-Economy on Brink of “Double-dip” Recession as Computer Cowboys Invade Commodity Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Gary_Dorsch
For most of Wall Street’s history, trading in equities was fairly straightforward: buyers and sellers gathered on exchange floors and haggled until they struck a deal. Computerized trading of stocks didn’t arrive onto the Wall Street scene until the 1980’s. Computer guided “Program trading,” - defined by the NYSE as an order to buy or sell 15-stocks or more, valued at over $1-million total, was blamed for the “Black Monday” Crash of October 1987. Then, in 1998, the internet opened-up markets to anyone with a desktop computer, and a trading idea. Since then, computer trading programs have grown vastly more powerful and the algorithms that guide their trading vastly more sophisticated.
Saturday, July 07, 2012
Markets, Economies, Central Banks - All Out of Power! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
Having topped out into corrections in March and April, most global markets rallied back some in June, fueled by hopes that June’s unusual schedule of promising events would provide rescues for the eurozone and the U.S. economy. As those events arrived, if one or two failed to produce results, the rally only paused momentarily as there were still remaining events that might produce results.
Friday, July 06, 2012
Measuring Global Econcomic Health, How is Dr Copper Feeling? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Casey_Research
Louis James and Andrey Dashkov, Casey Research writes:
Copper is sometimes referred to as "Dr. Copper," because the metal is used in so many industrial applications and is essential for many different sectors of the economy, from infrastructure to housing to consumer electronics. That usually makes its price action a good indicator of the state of the global economy.
Sunday, July 01, 2012
NO - A Profound Exercise of Freedom / Politics / Financial Markets 2012
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
From Dictionary.com, the word ‘no’ means ‘a negative used to express dissent, denial, or refusal, as in response to a question’. It seems to be such a simple word. But, the power of ‘no’ is lost on modern society. The ability to exercise the word ‘no’ is a profound exercise of freedom. If we can’t say ‘no’, then we have no freedom. Slaves cannot exercise the word ‘no’.
Monday, June 25, 2012
Stock and Gold Bugs Remember It's Always Darkest Before The Dawn / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: David_Petch
The above proverb refers to the fact that it is always darkest one hour before the sun rises has metaphorical meaning, in that a situation may seem bleak or about as dark as it possibly could get...but soon is about to get better (i.e. Light will pour open and remove all feelings of despair). At present, I think it is safe council to state that every gold bug on the planet is probably sick and tired of waiting for the first glimmer of light on the horizon, hoping that it will soon illuminate and drive away all despair...many on the other hand probably feel a similar feeling to Charlie Loman in the Death of a Salesman who "Remembers the good ol' days" (2001-2003, 2005-2007) as he crashes his car. There are many "shades of grey" out there for how people feel at present (no, the reference has nothing to do about Anastasia or Christian).
Saturday, June 23, 2012
Major Market Hopes Were Dashed, What Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
Global markets have rallied for two weeks, which has investor hopes high that the rally marks the end of the market correction that began in March.
But the rally has run into serious problems in the news, as well as technical resistance on the charts that make the thought of the correction already being over questionable to say the least.
Monday, June 18, 2012
Lets Talk Stock and Commodity Market Cycles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I hope your weekend went well.
I wish to discuss how the cycles have played out and what we may expect in the following days. First, I must admit that I missed the Master Cycle low for FXE and the other ETFs that follow the “liquidity cycle.” Apparently it happened on May 31 for the euro. My Elliott Wave analysis called that low a wave (3) and the inability to rally forcefully caused me to continue waiting for the final wave (5) that didn’t come. Thursday, June 17 was day 254, which is the average duration of the Master Cycles that I have tracked for the past 10 years. The market ramp on June 8 may have been an intervention to stop the decline before options expiration. What followed was another ramp into options expiration and its final high that did not add any appreciable value.
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Sunday, June 17, 2012
Greece Elections Puts Fed On Deck..... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Those are two nice little events we can all go through together over the next several days. We will start, with the Greece elections over the weekend that will have a real impact on the markets. The market is clearly telling us it thinks, and believes, the party that wins will be the one that has promised to stay in the Euro-zone and not create chaos. If the party that gets in is the one that creates market uncertainty, the market will be very unhappy come Monday morning, but the opposite is true if the right party gets elected. Monday morning will have fireworks for sure.
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Sunday, June 17, 2012
Financial Markets And Governments Are Rolling The Dice! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Sy_Harding
Global markets had been plunging since March on worries about the dangerous eurozone debt and banking crisis and its threat to global economies.But over the last two weeks they’ve been rallying quite impressively, even as the crisis in Europe has taken another frightening turn for the worse, and as tomorrow’s Greek election neared, with its outcome just as critical and uncertain as before.
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Friday, June 15, 2012
EU vs US Markets – Inflation vs. Deflation: Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Brian_Bloom
That (perceptions that) the stability of the EU is deteriorating is indisputable. Nevertheless, that a breakup of the EU cannot be countenanced is equally indisputable. If the world’s banks were forced to crystallise losses from sovereign European bad debts – even it were confined to Greece only – there would be a domino ripple of bankruptcies, starting with the five US banks who dominate the derivatives industry, leading to a collapse of the world’s financial system. The following is a recent quote by Angela Merkel: “Germany – and I can say this for the whole country – is prepared to do more on integration but we cannot get involved in things which I am convinced will lead to an even bigger disaster than the situation we are in today,” she said. (Source: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/f29cdbf4-b4a8-11e1-aa06-00144feabdc0.html ) Further, although Mr Hollande of France is making loud socialist sounding noises, it was reported in the UK Financial Times of June 13th 2012, that: “He is expected to welcome Ms Merkel’s calls for closer political and fiscal union and signal his readiness to examine what competences would need to be transferred to Brussels to make the single currency function better, despite strong sensitivity in France to handing over more sovereignty.” (Source: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/a732fdbe-b553-11e1-ad93-00144feabdc0.html )
Wednesday, June 13, 2012
Euro FXE still holding Whilst Stock Market SPY Declining / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We still await the next installment of the decline on FXE (124.73). At the moment it si doing a final test of Short-term trend resistance at 124.74 and the Head & Shoulders neckline in the same location. Cycle Bottom support is at 124.19, but the bounces at that level are over, IMO.
Tuesday, June 12, 2012
Stocks And Bonds: The Two Terrible Twin Investments During Economic Depression / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Paul_Lamont
As Benjamin Graham stated in the Intelligent Investor; "The extreme depth of the depression of the early 1930's was accounted for in good part, this writer believes, by the insane height of the preceding stock-market boom."
It is easy to see the full cycle using the 1930's stock market as an example. During the Roaring 1920's stocks were bid up to 32 times earnings. This bubble ensured the Great Depression. Eventually, stocks fell 75%+ becoming cheap at 5 times earnings. Those that bought at these rock-bottom levels established or ensured their wealth for generations.
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Monday, June 11, 2012
How to Trade this Spanish Bailout this Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Spanish Bailout news has sparked market moves. Here's my 13 minute video on how to trade the news with the dollar, commodities, gold and stocks.
Monday, June 11, 2012
More Work Before Stock Market Intermediate Low? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX is working on an intermediate low.
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