Category: Stock Markets 2013
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-drop, BKX May Lead the Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Pre-Market is mildly higher. SPX still has to finish Minute Wave [v] of Minor Wave 2. The entire Cycle from the 1811.52 top to today’s high will take 43 hours at 11:00 am. The larger degree Cycle Model agrees.
Tuesday, December 17, 2013
Stock Market Four Day Losing Streak Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: When the US stock exchange opened, world markets were a mixed bag. The Nikkei and Shanghai Composite had both closed with 1.6% losses, but the EURO STOXX 50 was up 1.7% on Markit’s strong Flash Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). The US followed the EU exemplar with an Industrial Production increase that substantially exceeded expectations. The S&P 500 rallied at the open and hit its 0.95% intraday high at 10 AM. The index then coasted to a trimmed gain of 0.63% for the day, snapping a four-day losing streak.
Monday, December 16, 2013
Start of Stock Market Intermediate Decline, Or...? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation may be in the making.
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Monday, December 16, 2013
Stock Market SPX Decline is More Complex, Possibly More Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We saw the SPX decline beneath its 50-day moving average in the overnight futures, only to be ramped up starting around 3:00 am. This is a sub-Minute Wave (iii) of Minute Wave [c]. The Model now calls for a pullback and a final sub-Minute Wave (v) to double overhead resistance at 1796.17.
The Cycles Model calls for a turn in SPX tomorrow, so it may be that today may be a slow day of bouncing between support and resistance.
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Monday, December 16, 2013
Stock Market VIX Shows Biggest Drop Since Mid-August / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Submissions
Richard Cox writes: The benchmark index that is used to price US stock options started to show declines on Friday for the first time in eight trading sessions, as positive economic data supported equity markets in the early part of the month. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 8.6% to 13.8, which was the largest single-session decline since Oct. 16. The VIX essentially measures appropriate costs for the use of options as protection against losses in the S&P 500. In the eight-session span prior to Friday, the VIX has risen 23%, after valuations in equity markets rose to their highest levels in four years.
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Sunday, December 15, 2013
Stock Market Primary Wave III Rally Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
After hitting a rebound high at SPX 1812 early Monday the market experienced its first real, (not a point or two), week over week decline since late September. And its largest weekly decline since the last downtrend. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.65%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.45%, and the DJ World lost 1.45%. On the economic front positive economic reports again outpaced negative ones. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, export/import prices, the monetary base, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the PPI, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week is FED week, plus we get reports on Capacity utilization, Housing and Q3 GDP. Should be an interesting week before the following holiday week.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
Stock Market Bummer! Losing Streak Now at Four Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: At one minute before the close, it looked like the S&P 500 would snap its three-day losing streak. But at the Friday 13th closing bell, the index had tipped into the red, increasing the streak to day four. And the 1.65% weekly decline gives us the second week of losses (although the previous one was a microscopic -0.04%). The Dow and Nasdaq fared a bit better, both closing with fractional Friday gains.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
Stock Market Upside Getting Tougher.....Complacency Soars....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Never a good thing to see complacency in anything we partake in during our lifetimes. It has a way of coming back to haunt us. Once we think there's only one outcome to things we get the lesson that there's another outcome sitting out there lurking and surprising us when we want no part of it. I mean, come on, things were so nice. Who needs this headache! When complacency hits the market you know there's trouble coming. We had a bull-bear spread coming in to this week at 43.9%. That is a very rare-reading indeed. You also know that we won't stay at those levels forever. There will have to come a time when we likely see levels back in the 20's again. So you have to ask yourself, how do we get there. How could we ever get back down to a spread with a 2 as the first number?
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Friday, December 13, 2013
Current Stock Market Euphoria a Carbon Copy of 2007? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Increasing optimism towards the key stock indices worries me. In the beginning of 2013, you would hear the bears’ opinions all over the financial news channels. Now, it seems they have all disappeared—or have turned outright bullish. No matter where I look, it’s pretty much the same opinion across the board in the mainstream: key stock indices are going higher, they say.
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Friday, December 13, 2013
Stock Buybacks at Market All-Time Highs: Poor Use of Corporation Capital / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: EconMatters
Era of Stock Buybacks
This has definitely been the era of stock buybacks with such low borrowing costs as companies are borrowing at very low rates not to expand the business, create innovative products, increase research and development but to buy back their own stock which isn`t cheap considering the multiple expansion in markets the last five years.
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Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Stock Market Decline Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
VIX has lifted above its 50-day moving average at 14.23 and its mid-Cycle support/resistance at 14.43. The sell signal is re-confirmed.
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Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Stock Market Hindenburg Omen and the Titanic Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
With the reporting of a Hindenburg Omen last week, like Pavlov's dog I rushed to check my charts for evidence of the Titanic Syndrome. The creator of the indicator, Bill Ohama, wrote that after the Titanic Syndrome, all major averages/indices will drop at least 10% from their highs. The Syndrome warned of the October 19, 1987 stock market crash as well as others.
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Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Why a Serious Stock Market Correction is Overdue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes:
There is going to be considerable pressure on interest rates and the Federal Reserve very soon, and it’s very likely that we’re going to get some choppy trading action in stocks. The reason for this is, of course, positive economic news, which is increasing the likelihood of a decrease in monetary stimulus. As contradictory as it may seem, good economic news is actually bad news for stocks; that’s just the way the counterintuitive system of the stock market works—buy on rumor, sell on news. But what’s transpired recently goes more like buy on expectations, sell on hints of growth.
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Stock Market Flat...Still No Splat... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Poor bears. Even at the final bell they had to watch the Dow go from -5 to plus 6. Meaningless, of course, but it seems like a slap in their face as the market just won't give the bears even a sliver of a good vibe. Each sector was up a drop, refusing to go red seemingly in spite of the bears. This is why we have the sentiment problem we're dealing with now for a few weeks. The bears just can't gain any traction, and, of course, the moment the market sells even just a little bit the sentiment seems to be a rousing here we go. It hasn't happened with the bears growing increasingly frustrated. I can't even imagine how bad it has been for these bears the past many months as overbought has stayed that way while sentiment is flashing an outright sell signal.
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Monday, December 09, 2013
The Best and Worst Investment Strategies to Battle Coming Inflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: The S&P 500 may be entering bubble-like territory: that’s what I’ve been writing for the past few months.
Now, it appears as though I’m not the only one who’s worried about asset classes beginning to form bubbles from the excess money printing. 2013 Nobel Prize-winner Robert Shiller also recently stated that he is concerned that prices have risen far too quickly across many asset classes, from real estate to stocks.
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Monday, December 09, 2013
Stock Market Rally Expanding the Distribution Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, December 08, 2013
Stock Market Christmas Rally Starts Monday! - ETF Trading Strategies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Tis the Season for the most powerful seasonality trade of the year!
Seasonal ETF Trading StrategiesWith the stock market up big in 2013 and most participants are speculating on a pullback in the next week or two, I have to say I am on the other side of that bet. Being a technical trader I focus on patterns, statistics and probabilities to power my ETF trading strategies. So with 37 years of stats the seasonality chart of the S&P 500 index paints a clear picture of what is likely to happen in December.
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Sunday, December 08, 2013
World Stocks Markets Rally Takes a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: Six of the eight indexes in my international focus group posted losses over the past week, and for the three European indexes and the Japan’s Nikkei, the declines were relatively step. The two winners were India’s SENSEX, topping our list for the second week after four weeks at the bottom of the heap, and China’s Shanghai Composite. The S&P 500 logged a fractional loss, ending an eight-week streak of gains. France’s CAC 40 fared the worst with its 3.86% selloff.
Sunday, December 08, 2013
Stock Market Big Friday Rally But Down Fractionally for the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The big November Job Report posted headline numbers that beat the expectations of even the most optimistic analysts, especially the plunge in the unemployment rate. And then the Michigan Consumer Sentiment followed suit surprising surge. The S&P 500 opened at its intraday low, up 0.18%, and rallied to the 1800 level, where it struggled for a couple of hours. It then rose to its 1.18% intraday high around 2 PM. Some afternoon selling reversed in the final minutes, and the index posted a 1.12% gain for the day, thus snapping a 5-day losing streak. But today’s rally was a tad shy of logging a gain for the week, which thus ended an eight-week winning streak — the longest string of weekly gains in 2013.
Saturday, December 07, 2013
Stocks Rise On Peachy U.S. Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jesse
Stocks rose sharply on better-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls report.
What happened to all the fear about the taper?
The tape will be painted into the year end. There are a lot of hedge fund and trading desk bonuses at stake.
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