Category: EU_Referendum
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, June 24, 2016
EU Referendum Shock Results Putting BrExit LEAVE in the Lead Hitting Sterling Hard / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Results at 1am BST are reversing the REMAIN camps earlier complacency that following the polls closing had many congratulating themselves after YouGov's 10pm poll that gave REMAIN a commanding 4% lead over LEAVE. We even even saw Nigel Farage effectively throw in the towel, apparently after talking to his friends in the city who assured him that REMAIN had won.
Thursday, June 23, 2016
Final Opinion Poll Gives REMAIN 52% Lead, Bookmakers, Markets and Pollsters ALL Back REMAIN Win / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The final opinion poll of the EU Referendum campaign by YouGov was released at 10pm just as the polls closed and the counting began, putting REMAIN in a clear 4 point lead on 52% against LEAVE on 48%, which is what the story that the mainstream press is running with given that the first significant results won't be known for at least another 3 hours.
Thursday, June 23, 2016
Keep Calm and Vote BrExit - Last Chance to Break Free of EU Superstate / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
In February Prime Minister David Cameron defacto surrendered virtually every point of his already heavily watered down non binding deal with the European Union who stated would only legislate the laws AFTER the the UK had voted to remain within the EU. Which the EU Parliament President clarified as implying that virtually every aspect of the deal would be subject to debate and resistance from the dozen or so eastern european benefits claiming states, who would likely decide to reject most of the so called UK deal, that effectively has been repeatedly used as a smoke screen to hoodwink the British people into giving up their democracy and freedoms.
Wednesday, June 22, 2016
BrExit Looks Set to Win EU Referendum, Final Opinion Polls Give LEAVE Lead Over REMAIN / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Latest opinion polls taken today (22nd of June) both put LEAVE marginally ahead of REMAIN, TNS (online) 43% LEAVE against 41% for REMAIN and Opinium (online) 45% LEAVE against 44% for REMAIN. Which illustrates that whilst leave as the advantage nevertheless given the margin of error then both camps are virtually neck and neck, literally balanced on a knife edge going into voting day that compares against the dramatic shifts in the poll leads of the past 10 days.
Wednesday, June 22, 2016
Will Brexit Be Used as Scapegoat for Global Financial Reset? - Video / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Mario_Innecco
hi minako 64 here home of alternative economics and contrarian views
so we've got one day to go to the EU referendum here in the UK or Brax it as
it's more colloquially known and i usually don't buy the newspapers but I
went down to the shop around near my house and i bought the Sun today which
is the biggest tabloid newspaper in the UK and as you can see it says what Queen
asked dinner guests give me three good reasons to stay in Europe
so apparently the Queen has been asking doing the guests that question and they
the press has contacted buckingham palace for you know an explanation and
they've they not confirmed it nor denied and they said we don't comment on the.
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
Hong Kong’s Richest Man Warns Against Brexit as Vote Looms / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Bloomberg
As one of the U.K.’s largest investors, Li has much at stake
U.K. accounts for 37 percent of profit at Li’s main company
Hong Kong’s richest man stepped up his calls for Britons to vote in favor of staying in the European Union as the world braces for the outcome of this week’s vote.
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Tuesday, June 21, 2016
EU Referendum Latest Opinion Polls Show LEAVE Halting REMAINs Surge / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Latest opinion poll shows REMAINs lead is already crumbling as YouGov now puts LEAVE back in the lead on 44% against REMAIN on 42% and therefore bringing REMAINs strong momentum in the wake of the last Thursdays horrific events to a shuddering halt that had seen LEAVEs commanding lead quickly evaporate to resolve in a series of polls that put REMAIN ahead.
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
British Pound Outlook - BREXIT, Europe and You - Does your vote matter? / Currencies / EU_Referendum
By: Marc_Horn
The BREXIT vote is only a few days away and will have a profound impact on the future of the globe we are lead to believe.
Stalin's first criteria has been met - the illusion that the people are involved in the outcome suffices.
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
Don't Let George Soros and Lord Rothschild Scare You into Staying in the EU - Video / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Mario_Innecco
In this video I talk about a fear mongering campaign by George Soros,
Lord Jacob Rothschild and George Osborne trying to get the UK public to vote to remain in the EU on June 23, 2016
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
EU Referendum Opinion Polls Analysis Shows Strong Momentum in REMAINs Favour / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Last Thursdays killing of Pro-REMAIN Labour MP Jo Cox by a right wing extremist has had a dramatic effect on the EU referendum, where a poll lead for LEAVE has evaporated to give REMAIN a marginal lead that this momentum analysis of the most recent polling data attempts to illuminate.
Monday, June 20, 2016
The Economic Reality of BrExit / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Frank_Hollenbeck
The United Kingdom will shortly vote either leave or remain in the European Union. This is the most important European event of this century since a vote to leave will likely have important domino effects for the rest of Europe.
A recent poll showed that if the UK could keep free trade with EU nations, the British people would vote overwhelmingly to leave the EU. To drum up support for staying in the EU, The UK Government and quasi government agencies, like the IMF and OECD, have issue continuous warnings about the costs of such a divorce. The IMF recently reiterated its forecasts that BREXIT would have a significant negative effect on the UK economy with a drop in GDP anywhere between 1% and 9% over the long term. The reality is that Brexit would probably only have a minor initial impact on trade or GDP and, on the contrary, would open up vast possibilities for the UK to exploit trade relations with other faster growing regions of the world without having to reach complex trade agreements that satisfy the vested interests of the other 28 members of the EU.
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Monday, June 20, 2016
Words Still Mean Things – Brexit With Graham Mehl / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Andy_Sutton
Last time our piece focused on what has come to be known as 'escape velocity' and how an aeronautical term has come to be used to provide some boost to the perception of the USEconomy when in fact it actually has noelocity whatsoever. This week we're going to take a look at another term, and even though it is an amalgam of two words, it still has profound meaning.
Monday, June 20, 2016
Baroness Warsi the Manchurian Candidate Quits LEAVE for REMAIN, Boris Johnson Next? / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Baroness Warsi, a mostly from the sidelines LEAVE campaigner has now apparently abandoned the cause for FREEDOM for Britain from an emerging european super state because of that naughty Nigel Farage's poster of last week that highlighted the migration crisis that Europe faces. However, as I have often voiced that these converts to the BrExit cause could well turn out to be 'manchurian candidates' who in the last days of the referendum campaign would publically switch in an attempt to do fatal damage to LEAVEs cause.
Monday, June 20, 2016
Brexit Would Trigger Devolution of Europe / Politics / EU_Referendum
By: John_Mauldin
UK citizens will vote on June 23 whether to leave the European Union. The latest polls suggest that the vote is very close and the “Leave” side has a slight edge.
The poll I saw recently, however, showed “Leave” ahead by a full 10 points—55 to 45. More importantly, the trend over the past few weeks has seen the spread in favor of “Leave” widen.
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Monday, June 20, 2016
Brexit Rules The Week / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: John_Rubino
The Brexit vote is this Thursday, so nothing else matters until then. And polls, just to make it even more stressful, have it neck and neck. See Brexit poll tracker back to even at 44-44.
While we’re waiting, let’s consider some related questions:
Would leaving the EU be good or bad for Britain in the short run? A lot of definite-sounding opinion is being tossed around on this count — see ‘Negative and substantial’ impact on UK if it leaves EU: IMF — but it’s important to take such things with a grain of salt. No one has the slightest idea how such a divorce would go and if its immediate impact would be positive or negative.
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Sunday, June 19, 2016
Brexit Fear-Mongering / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Stephen_Lendman
Sunday, June 19, 2016
Reason Brexit Debate Has Gotten So Out of Hand is Nobody Understands What it’s About / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Raul_I_Meijer
The Brexit campaigns have started anew in the UK, and from what I’ve seen here from left field barely a thing has changed since the murder of MP Jo Cox. Neither side has any qualms about using her death to make their respective points. The main, and perhaps only real, point is that nobody understands what the vote is about. Jo Cox, bless her soul, didn’t either.
This lack of understanding is also, at the same time, the reason why the debate has gotten so out of hand. Nobody seems to understand it’s not about Cameron or Nigel Farage, or Michael Gove vs Boris Johnson, it’s about voting for or against the EU, for or against Juncker and Tusk and five other unelected presidents having a say in one’s life.
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Friday, June 17, 2016
Brexit: "The Vote Heard Around the World" / Stock-Markets / EU_Referendum
By: EWI
Our new free report gives you our well-researched opinion on Brexit -- and the markets
The campaign for the June 23 referendum on whether or not Britain should remain a member of the European Union has just hit a horrific milestone. CNBC reports that,
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Thursday, June 16, 2016
Why People are Migrating to the UK, Illegal Immigration, Housing Crisis Consequences / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Contrary to press stories of civil wars, most of the migration (90%) into the UK has been purely economic that includes to study, many of whom turn out to be bogus students who instead are here to work illegally and for permanent settlement.
Wednesday, June 15, 2016
EU Referendum: Have the Bookmakers Got it Wrong? LEAVE Opinion Polls Lead / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
A string of recent opinion polls such as Opiniun giving LEAVE a 19 point lead or ORB's giving LEAVE a 10% lead are not being reflected by the bookmakers betting odds. And even if we ignore some of these more extreme polls because there is no way LEAVE is going to win by 19% or even 10%, then still as my recent analysis illustrates that LEAVE have been nudging into the lead which is just NOT being reflected by the betting that is still heavily skewed in favour of REMAIN.