Category: Financial Markets 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, November 01, 2017
Is a Year End Rally in Risk Markets Coming ? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The Bank of Japan left its massive monetary stimulus program unchanged even as it trimmed its inflation forecasts, signaling further divergence ahead from its global peers.
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Friday, October 20, 2017
GOLD Price Creates Bullish Higher Low / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
We had an interesting development in stocks today.
The market hit a no-bid 'air pocket' and the price dropped dropped 100 points right out of the gate.
This is not a good sign if you are a bull,
The price has recovered this evening but I am marking this one in my diary as the first shot across the bow.
I will elaborate on that later.
Wednesday, September 27, 2017
DOW Jones and CRUDE Oil Reaching the End of the Line / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Hi everyone.
All I have seen throughout the day was one article after the next speculating
on what Yellen may have meant when she said,
Well,
Whatever it is that she said!
I do not care what Jannet Yellen said,
Or what Jannet yellen thinks is going to happen in the future.
Tell me the last time a central bank actually got it right?
As far as I can see,
There is only one single thing that the FED has ever been good at doing,
And that is;
doing the WRONG THING at the wrong time,
pretty much all of the time.
Now is no different,
Saturday, September 23, 2017
Stocks, Gold, Dollar, Bitcoin Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
As always, I will be adding to this over the weekend and should have all my updates done by 2pm PST on Sunday so please check back then.
Stocks (SPX):
Cycle Status/Outlook: Short term bullish after another new ATH on the SPX this week on day 21. We are slightly lower on day 23 but a 21 day high shifts the odds in favor of a right translated cycle that will make a higher low.
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Friday, September 22, 2017
USDJPY Leads the way for a Resurgent Greenback / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
A very good evening to one and all.
Despite a shock to the system last night,
the sharp USD rally has not invalidated any of the operating wave counts.
Although it is a picture of what is to come for the USD in the near future,
The short term wave counts are pointing to one last push up before completing the larger structures.
Wednesday, September 20, 2017
The 5 Biggest Bubbles In Markets Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : Bubbles aren’t new—they’ve been around since Dutch tulips—but it’s only recently that they’ve worked their way into the average investor’s lexicon. That’s probably because bubbles happen much more frequently these days.
We never used to get a giant speculative bubble every 7–8 years. But that has been the case since the new millennia.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself...
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Monday, September 18, 2017
These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
For this week’s Outside the Box (subscribe here for free), we have a two-parter of short essays. They are unrelated but equally important. First, in “Time to Drain the Fed Swamp,” Brian Wesbury and colleagues at First Trust make the case that it was the private sector, not the federal government or the Fed, that saved the economy after the panic of 2008.
The Fed has outgrown its britches, they argue, and it’s time to fill the Board of Governors chair and vice-chair positions with people who will hold the Fed to account for its mistakes. They conclude with this trenchant line:
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Sunday, September 17, 2017
Stocks and Gold; Macro Pivot Window Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
On August 11 the potential and reasoning for anticipated pivots in the US stock market and the gold sector were noted in this article: Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and Gold
As for the stock market, several reasons were put forward in support of a 2nd half of September through Q4 danger period, for a correction (no need yet to talk bear market because that would be pure promotion of an agenda). Please note that standard technical analysis was not among those reasons. The stock market was then and is now, in an uptrend across all important time frames.
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Thursday, September 14, 2017
Capital Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Financial trading is a type of trading that is changing all the time. This is good news for the participants in this form of trading because according to many experts, they can expect better user experience compared to the situation that they could’ve expected a few years ago. Of course, the most important change in this field is the fact that the financial trading today is automated and electronic in its essence. In the past, the entire process of trading was manual. The role of modern technology is crucial for modern-day financial trading. But, just like financial trading, technology is changing too. It looks like this is one of the fastest changing industries in the world. All these changes have an impact on financial trading and ultimately on the capital market. Those who want to witness success must analyze the latest capital market trends. We will use this article to highlight the most important trends.
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Wednesday, September 13, 2017
5 Markets Ready to Move Before Year-End. Eexpert Analysis and New Trading Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
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Friday, September 08, 2017
Copper, Oil, Gold and US Stocks: Markets Big Picture Status / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Sometimes I like to trot these lumbering monthlies out so we can quiet everything down and see where various markets are slowly heading.
First of all, as I go down with my ‘strengthening US dollar’ ship*, I also mal-projected copper’s upside. I’d felt that $3/lb. would cap Doctor Copper because it is very clear lateral resistance at a handy 38% Fib retrace.**
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Saturday, August 26, 2017
Could the Total Eclipse Sign a Major Financial Markets Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Were you one of the lucky ones able to witness the total eclipse yesterday, as it moved on its west to east path across the middle of the U.S.? Whether you did or not, there’s probably something about this event that you HAVEN’T heard…My friend Andrew Pancholi, cycle whiz from London and creator of the Market Timing Report, recently told me that yesterday’s path of totality across the U.S. looked eerily similar to the one that occurred at the beginning of the Civil War… and that this could signal America as the starting point to broader civil wars and political restructurings around the globe.
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Friday, August 25, 2017
Here’s What Matters And What Doesn’t Matter In The Markets Right Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
In this week’s Outside the Box, good friend and at various times business partner Steve Blumenthal reveals a very useful character flaw and follows up our shared experience at Camp Kotok with some perceptive observations about things he heard there that matter.
He also shares his notes on a recent interview of Ray Dalio by Bloomberg’s Tom Keene and Mike McKee. Here, he says, is the stuff that matters most!
I really liked the theme he developed about matters and does not matter. When he writes the line, “As I sift through research, my head clicks doesn’t matter, doesn’t matter… matters!” I find myself nodding in agreement. Exactly!
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Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Sleeper Issues Poised to Rattle Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
Investors have been well-trained in complacency. They have spent the past few years watching markets shrug off momentous geopolitical events – each more quickly than the last. Brexit’s impact faded within days. Trump’s election faded within hours.
Stocks traded at all-time highs this summer and volatility made all-time lows. That is the set-up as we head into the fall...
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Wednesday, August 16, 2017
Stocks, Bonds, Interest Rates, and Serbia, Camp Kotok 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
I went to Camp Kotok, an invitation-only gathering of economists, market analysts, fund managers, and a few journalists. I go every year, and I always learn more than I can manage to remember.
It’s a three-day economic thought-fest (and more rich food and wine than is good for me or anyone else at the camp). For me, that’s about as good as life gets.
Come along with me as I share some of my main takeaways and consensus forecasts from this year’s camp.
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Tuesday, August 15, 2017
North Korea Showdown: Pivotal Market Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
The next two weeks could be a make-or-break period for President Trump, says Lior Gantz, founder of Wealth Research Group.
We're witnessing a classic political attention diverting operation.
Like many before him, President Trump is provoking a foreign affair crisis in order to take our minds off of the problematic U.S. domestic economic and political tensions and focus on matters the government can blame on others instead of themselves.
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Saturday, August 05, 2017
CABLE leads the way in a major turn for USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
My Bias: short below parity in wave (5).
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: N/A. USD: Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance.
Cable took a beating today with the first bearish action in two weeks.
We got a slight new high overnight as expected,
And then a very impulsive looking decline this morning.
Friday, August 04, 2017
Every Investor Is One Misstep Away From Losing Everything—And It Has Nothing To Do With Crashes / Portfolio / Financial Markets 2017
BY OLIVIER GARRET : The US has become a very unfriendly place for successful people.
Not just for the uber wealthy, but entrepreneurs, investors, and the family next door. Anyone with even a modest net worth is a potential target.
Our country has just 5% of the world’s population yet is home to 80% of its lawyers. The US spends 2.2% of its GDP on legal costs. That is an eight-fold jump per capita (inflation adjusted) since the 1950s.
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Friday, July 28, 2017
Could USD/JPY go into Freefall? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
SPX futures are down, but have not exceeded yesterday’s intraday low.
Today being Friday, there may be an effort to keep the decline from going too low. That suggests a probable bounce at Short-term support at 2457.17 to rally back to breakeven by the end of the day. Should this take place, it may offer another short entry opportunity by the end of the day. But this is only one outcome out of several possible scenarios. A second scenario may be an immediate launch into a Wave three scenario with a minimum 8-12% decline in the next three days. Yesterday may have been day one of a 4.3-day panic Cycle.
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