Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, December 15, 2017
Stock Market Decline Signals are Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have begun its decline. However, it may bounce at the two trendlines intersecting with Short-term support at 2644.74. Relief may be coming for those who have remained short the past two weeks.
While I will be discussing the signals from the VIX and Hi-Lo, I wish to point out that the best short entries are often at a bounce. Aggressive short entries will be subject to whipsaw. Thus, smaller portions are recommended until fully confirmed.
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Wednesday, December 13, 2017
Stock Market Elliott Wave Forecasts - Is the World coming to the end? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
We now live in an interesting time. Every day we wake up with the news about either World Indices make all-time records or bad news about terrorist attack and nuclear test. Historically, humans have gone through these stages and we were able to withstand all these events. At ElliottwaveForecast.com, we try to ignore all these events because, at the end, we believe in the Market Nature or code.
The Market or World Indices is not ready for a crash and we have been saying that for a while. $SPX had a chance for a major correction when it reached the 100% extension at 2234.00 area, but the Index hasn’t done anything and keeps going higher. We believe that the Market works as a whole and that looking only at the $SPX or an individual Index is not enough. For the last 6 years, many Elliott wave Theory participants have been calling for a 50% crash and the crash has never happened.
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Tuesday, December 12, 2017
Epic Stock Market & Fixed Income Bubble Will Not End Well / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Michael_Pento
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Michael Pento, President and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book, The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market. Michael is a well-known and successful money manager and has been a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business News, and also the Money Metals Podcast, and shares is astute insights on markets and geopolitics from the perspective of an Austrian School economist's viewpoint.
Monday, December 11, 2017
Have Stocks Reached A Permanently Rigged Plateau? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Brady_Willett
A painting recently sold for a record $450 million, a blanket recently sold for $1.5 million, Bitcoin has gone ballistic, and Cramer thinks there are ‘bubbles’ everywhere except stocks. Are these the types of signals that bears have been waiting for? In a word, maybe.
The problem with calling for an end to the good times is that there has been so many false contrarian signals in recent years it is as if the very idea of “risk/reward” has been temporarily laid to waste. To use a quick example, in early 2016 alarm bells were ringing as junk bonds were imploding, confidence was sliding, and technical market levels were being struck. At the time it looked like the big bad bull was done.
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Monday, December 11, 2017
Investors Why Do You Keep Doing This To Yourself? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
As I am known to do, I will peruse articles on the web to find some interesting tidbits. And, I found one in one of Lance Robert’s recent posts.
Within this article, he cited a Doug Kass note, which stated:
“Despite many who are suggesting this has been a 'rational rise' due to strong earnings growth, that is simply not the case as shown below . . . Since 2014, the stock market has risen (capital appreciation only) by 35% while reported earnings growth has risen by a whopping 2%. A 2% growth in earnings over the last 3-years hardly justifies a 33% premium over earnings.
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Sunday, December 10, 2017
Evidence of a Stock Market Top Mounting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Possible top at 2665.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, December 09, 2017
Stock Market Bull/Bear Ratio: Is "More Leverage" Better? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
Bull/Bear Ratio: Is "More Leverage" Better?
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Friday, December 08, 2017
SPX Make a 61.8% Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has been challenging the Cycle Top at 4649.38 which is very close to the 61.8% retracement at 2649.68. This may be the final probe with a reversal to follow. From there a panic decline may develop. A 4.3 day decline may take the SPX until Thursday to find a bottom.
While even some bears are expecting another push higher, the Model says a nasty decline may be imminent.
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Friday, December 08, 2017
Stock Market Bounce May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have completed a 38.2% retracement of its decline from the top. Yesterday’s 23.6% apparently allowed room for one more push higher. This is what I had originally expected.
Thursday, December 07, 2017
Stock Market Tops Look Like This / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
The signs of crazed speculation just keep pouring in these days.
We another Doozie from the Bloomberg wire today!
TD Ameritrade tracks its clients inflows and outflows from retail accounts on a monthly basis.
you can follow it here
November saw the largest inflow into stocks in the index's history,
surging the index to a new all time high.
Monday, December 04, 2017
Stock Market Positive Expectations, But Will S&P 500 Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved accurate because the S&P 500 reached our intraday profit target level of 2,615 (daily low at 2,605.52). the index fell sharply following relatively neutral opening of the trading session. The market has managed to close neutral (-0.2%). We still can see some short-term technical overbought conditions. However, there have been no confirmed negative signals so far. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market today, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Monday, December 04, 2017
Stock Market Classic Short Squeeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures have peaked higher than the Thursday haigh at 2657.74. This means Wave c of (v) isn’t finished yet. That may mean a final probe to 2670.00 to 2682.00. A possible target. Wave (v) at 1.382 times Wave (i) equals 2670.14. Wave (v) at 1.5 times Wave (i) gives a possible target of 2675..68 while Wave (v) at 1.62 times Wave (i) yields a target of 2581.18.
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Monday, December 04, 2017
Stock Market Top Distribution Starting / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Coming to an end at anytime!
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, December 03, 2017
Signs That This Stocks Bull Market Is On Its Last Leg - Part2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In this post we want to share two interesting sets of data that we find are interesting and add to the case of a stock market top is highly likely to take place in 2018. Be sure to read Part I “How to Know When A Bull Market Is About to End”.
First, let’s take a look at the “Hindenburg Omen” which was developed by Jim Miekka as an early warning of a stock market correction. While it’s not super effective in terms of timing market turns it can be very useful in assessing the overall strength of an uptrend.
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Sunday, December 03, 2017
SPX Throws Over Two Trendlines, NDX Reverses From New High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX challenged its mid-Cycle resistance at 14.54 this week, breaking out above its November 15 high at 14.51. It has since made a 62% retracement. A further breakout above the Ending Diagonal trendlne suggests a complete retracement of the decline from January 2016, and possibly to August 2015.
Saturday, December 02, 2017
A Stock Market Reset May be Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I had a chance to compare my long-term charts with a couple other analysts’ charts of the DJIA and SPX over the past 8 years. While there are some differences in interpretation, we all seem to agree that the rally may be over.
The big curve ball was the errant Wave (B) in 2011 that threw off the analysis for a long while. The second curve ball was this year’s Wave structure. It turned out that Wave (4) bottomed in August instead of March, as I had been suggesting. The corrected pattern makes much more sense and appears complete.
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Friday, December 01, 2017
Is a Stock Market Tax Bill Surprise Coming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures declined to 2631.25 in the overnight session, but appears to have recovered the majority of its decline. We may have seen the completion of an a-b-c correction that may probe the upper trendline or go to 2650.00 before reversing back down.
ZeroHedge reports, “Markets were thrown for a loop in the past 24 hours, with the Dow first soaring nearly 400 points on Thursday on expectations that tax reform was a done deal, when drama emerged just after the close when the Senate tax bill came this close to falling apart when the proposed "Trigger" was ruled as invalid, pushing a Thursday tax vote to this morning, and as of this moment the bill appears in limbo with the GOP scrambling to find ways to appease the sudden loud opposition among budget hawks.”
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Friday, December 01, 2017
Stock Market Parabolic Beginning? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
The price action in the Dow and S&P suggest the parabolic phase may have begun.
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Friday, December 01, 2017
Capital Repositioning Driving Stock Market Volatility Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent moves in the FANG stocks shows that capital is starting to reposition within the global market. As the end of the year approaches, expect more of this type of capital control to drive greater volatility within the markets. At this time of year, especially after such a fantastic bullish run, it is not uncommon to see capital move out of high flying equities and into cash or other investments.
Thursday, November 30, 2017
SPX Giving Back its Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX went parabolic this morning, nearly undoing my Wave analysis. The current Wave structure is invalidated at 2660.13. That was a close call. By 1:00 pm it was over.
Equities are at a spike high which makes it hard to go short, especially after this terrific short squeeze.
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