Category: Stock Market 2017
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, October 21, 2017
Stock Market "Buy and Hold" ... and Investing is Easy / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
"Buy and Hold" ... and Investing is Easy
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Friday, October 20, 2017
Stock Investors Ignore What May Be The Biggest Policy Error In History / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
My good friend Peter Boockvar recently shared a chart with me.
The University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers have been tracking consumers and their expectations about the direction of the stock market over the next year.
We are now at an all-time high in the expectation that the stock market will go up.
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Friday, October 20, 2017
Stock Market Calm Before The Storm / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Peter_Schiff
In light of the 30-year anniversary of the Black Monday Crash in 1987 (when the Dow lost more than 20% in "one day", we should be reminded that investor anxiety usually increases when markets get to extremes. If stock prices fall steeply, people fret about money lost, and if they move too high too fast, they worry about sudden reversals. As greed is supposed to be counterbalanced by fear, this relationship should not be surprising. But sometimes the formula breaks down and stocks become very expensive even while investors become increasingly complacent. History has shown that such periods of untethered optimism have often presaged major market corrections. Current data suggests that we are in such a period, and in the words of our current President, we may be "in the calm before the storm."
Friday, October 20, 2017
Gold/Silver vs. Bitcoin Comparisons: A No-Brainer... or Brainless? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: MoneyMetals
By David Smith: For most of the year, as Bitcoin soared, crashed, and soared again, cryptocurrency vs. physical gold-silver talking heads engaged each other in heated rhetoric about which of these venues is here to stay.
Some of the biggest names in finance, government, and the newsletter analyst space have made comments that – to be charitable – appear less-than-fully informed. Comments like "Even though bitcoin could rise to $100,000, it's still going to zero!" don't offer much insight. Some other questionable assumptions:
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Friday, October 20, 2017
A 2-3% Stock Market Correction Could Wipe Out Most VIX Short Sellers / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Did you know that there have been 39 times since 1990 when the VIX has closed below 10, and that 30 of those times have happened this year? And 15 of those have been in the last 30 days!
Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research sent me recently an updated chart of the VIX Index. Notice that the all-time low of 9.19 was put in on October 5, 2017.
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Friday, October 20, 2017
The Runaway Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Savage
Runaway moves can last from 6-8 months. They are sustained by traders who try to pick tops and are forced to cover and by those who finally decide to buy into overbought conditions.
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Thursday, October 19, 2017
Stock Market Time to Go All-in. Short, That Is / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has challenged short-term support at 2548.77 and bounced off the Diagonal trendline at 2548.00.
A decline beneath 2548.00 is a confirmed sell.
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Thursday, October 19, 2017
Stock Market Super Cycle Wave C May Have Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures are starting the morning off with a bang as they decline beneath the smaller Ending Diagonal trendline and Short-term support at 2547.80. There appears to be a bounce as the algos kick in to save the day. However, the damage in Asia and Europe has been done and it appears that there may not be a recovery. The DJIA has already dipped beneath 23000.00 this morning, but appears to have bounced back above that level.
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Thursday, October 19, 2017
Negative Expectations, Will the Stock Market Correct? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Wednesday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index gained 0.1%, following higher opening of the trading session. The index traded within a relatively narrow intraday trading range once again. The market may retrace some of its recent rally. Therefore, intraday short position is favored. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,570 and potential profit target is at 2,530 (S&P 500 index).
Thursday, October 19, 2017
10 Years Ago Today a Stocks Bear Market Started / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Yes, much has recently been published about the 10-year anniversary of the 2007~08 credit market crash and many people are trying to make comparisons between then and now. Some of this information is valid and factual. For example, the amount of debt now is much higher than the debt levels in 2004~08. This would lead some to consider the scope of any global debt related issues to be much larger and more dangerous than in 2007. Additionally, the types of levels of debt have begun to froth back into the dangerous and risky derivatives markets, ARMs and MBSs. Although, we keep hearing, “this time it’s different”.
Thursday, October 19, 2017
1987 Stock Market Crash 30th Anniversary Greatest Investing Lesson Learned / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest day of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October 19th, the 30th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday that saw the stock market crash by an unprecedented 22% in one day that few saw coming but ever since many prophesise the repeat of each October, regardless of what the stock market has actually done thus far each year as the perma bear crowd can always be seen literally jumping up and down like demented rabbits proclaiming that a crash is once more imminent, pointing to a myriad of harbingers of the imminent stock market apocalypse. Against which the historic record paints a picture of a coin toss having proved infinitely more accurate than the perma crash is coming calls awaiting their broken clock moment to proclaim their success.
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
The Passive Investing Bubble May Trigger A Massive Exodus from Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JAKE WEBER : The ETF market has experienced astounding growth over the last decade. There are now 5,000 ETFs traded globally with over $3.5 trillion in assets, a more than threefold increase since 2007.
Wednesday, October 18, 2017
No more Stock Market cash Left on the Sidelines... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We may have seen a truncated Wave (v) in the SPX this morning. The only way to know is when the SPX declines beneath the Micro-term trendline and mid-Cycle support at 2552.10. That may provide an aggressive short entry point.
The next focal point would be the Short-term support and 2-month trendline at 2443.32, as shown in the 2-hour chart which will be posted later.
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Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Most Investors Don’t Realize That They Are Putting All Their Eggs In One Basket / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : On the grand scene of financial innovations, the exchange-traded fund was fairly innocuous at first. It took a good 15 years for people to figure out how disruptive they would ultimately be
I’d argue that the ETF revolution is less about ETFs and more about indexing; about how people have come to view stocks less as stocks and more as blobs of stocks.
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Tuesday, October 17, 2017
The S&P 500 Is Headed Over 3000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
By Avi Gilburt : Many will simply read the headline to this article, and use it as support for their belief in the market striking a multi-year top right now. I mean, aren’t headlines like this proof that the market is overheated?Well, the answer is a definite “sometimes.” You see, back in 2015 and 2016 I was writing articles with headlines saying that we are going to target the 2500SPX region. And, if you thought that those headlines were portending the end of the bull market, then you were clearly wrong. So, consider, maybe this headline is prescient rather than a contrarian signal.
Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Stock Market Lindsay 12 Year Interval / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
The failure of the 15-year interval high (counted from the 9/21/01 low) to appear on time does not mean the bulls are out of the woods yet. A 12-year interval is sufficient to pull the Dow down into its forecast low without the help of a 15-year interval. A 12-year interval forecasts a low in a time period extending from 12yrs, 2mo to 12yrs, 8mo. from a significant high. The 12-year interval counted from point B of the long cycle on 3/7/05 is active until approximately 11/7/17.
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Tuesday, October 17, 2017
Warren Buffett Predicting Dow One Million - Being Bold Or Overly Cautious? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Dan_Amerman
In a recent speech, Warren Buffett came down boldly on the side of optimism when it comes to both the economy and financial markets. What he said was "being short America has been a loser's game... And it will continue to be a loser's game."
And to throw down the gauntlet against some the current negative talk in the markets, Mr. Buffett boldly predicted something quite extraordinary - which was that in 100 years "the Dow will be over a million."
Is that even remotely believable, or is Mr. Buffett getting carried away by his own optimism?
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Monday, October 16, 2017
Stock Market Trading Dow Theory / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Christopher_Quigley
In the last Market Brief on the 1st October I outlined that the markets were now back on “full bull”. Since then the Dow Industrials have risen 466 points. The main reason I felt confident expressing this opinion was that while the Dow 30 had not experienced much of a pullback since mid-May (and therefore was very much “overbought”) the Dow Transports had corrected back to its 200 Daily Moving Average but was beginning to show renewed technical strength. This indicated that the main trend, as defined by the Dow Theory system, had remained in full force.
Monday, October 16, 2017
Stocks Slightly Higher as They Set New Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index gained just 0.1%, and the index continued to trade within relatively narrow short-term consolidation. The market may retrace some of its recent rally. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,570 and potential profit target is at 2,530 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Monday, October 16, 2017
Stock Market Only Minor Top Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long term trend: Continues to make new highs with no sign of a major top in sight.
SPX Intermediate trend: A re-accumulation phase at the 2500 level has produced higher counts which should provide higher prices before a reversal takes place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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