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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Housing-Market

Monday, October 23, 2017

First-time Home Buyers Already Facing Interest Rates Rrise Shock / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The latest research from moneyfacts.co.uk shows that while the average two-year fixed mortgage rate has experienced an increase at all loan-to-values (LTVs) in the past month, rates at 95% LTV have been the hardest hit, showing a 0.10% increase from September compared to a 0.03% increase in the average rate at 60% LTV.

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Currencies

Monday, October 23, 2017

USDCHF Broke Above Major Bearish Trend Line / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Franco_Shao

USDCHF extended its upside movement from 0.9420 to as high as 0.9863, breaking above a major bearish trend line on the daily chart, confirming that the downtrend from 1.0343 had completed at 0.9420 already.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 23, 2017

Another Minor Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

 

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.

 

 Intermediate trend –  Soon coming to an end.

 

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Currencies

Sunday, October 22, 2017

Bitcoin Hits $6,000, $100 Billion Market Cap As Helicopter Ben and Jamie Demon Warn The End Is Near! / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

Bitcoin rose more than 6% today to surpass, for the first time ever, the $6,000 US mark.

More interestingly, bitcoin just surpassed $100 billion in total market capitalization. Or, as Coindesk puts it, $0.1 trillion.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 22, 2017

China and Ratings Agencies’ Double Standards / Stock-Markets / China Credit Crisis

By: Dan_Steinbock

Or why is China being penalized for its debt problem, but advanced economies aren’t?

Today, rising debt is one of China’s key challenges. Recently, it led to the mainland’s rating cut by ratings agencies. Yet, many advanced economies have higher credit ratings than China, though their leverage ratios are worse.

In May 2017, Moody’s Investor Service downgraded China’s credit rating. In September, Standard & Poor’s, too, cut China’s credit rating, citing the risks from soaring debt.
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Politics

Sunday, October 22, 2017

The Xi Decade: New Thought for the New Era  / Politics / China

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the Xi decade, Chinese transition to the post-industrial society will accelerate, despite the new normal in the world economy.
As the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China opened in Beijing, General Secretary Xi Jinping delivered a report about “building a moderately prosperous society” for a new era.

In his speech, Xi delivered a blueprint for China’s development for the next 5-15 years. In the process, he defined new thought for a new era.
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 22, 2017

Warning A Crash is Coming: the Stock Market Rally is on VERY Thin Ice / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Jeff_Berwick

The market is on the verge of something serious.

For months we’ve been climbing steadily in a tighter range. Stocks have been BEYOND overbought having gone 300 days without even a 3% pullback.

This latest move has formed a sharp rising wedge pattern that has just broken out to the downside. Stocks need to SERIOUSLY reverse and go parabolic here or the trend has changed.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 22, 2017

Time for Caution in Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we noted the likely negative impact of a sustained rebound in the US Dollar on Gold. Recent weakness in precious metals has not been much of a surprise considering the sector’s relative weakness months ago amid a weak US Dollar. While the greenback has bottomed, it has yet to push above resistance at 94. Nevertheless, Gold and in particular the gold stocks are threatening more losses even before a push higher in the greenback. It is time to be defensive and cautious.  

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 21, 2017

“Great Rotation” Ahead; Will it Be Inflationary or Deflationary? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_Tanashian

[edit] This article ultimately leans toward the view that the reasons for a rising curve will be inflationary. But I woke up in the middle of the night and my thoughts drifted to the components of the article (yeah, that’s pretty sad, I know), and with further consideration I am leaning toward neutral or even a bit into the deflationary camp. The reasons will be the stuff of another article.

Think back to the blaring headlines about the Great Promotion Rotation in the financial media in 2013. Perhaps the media circus started in January of that year when The Economist asked the question of whether the rise in bond yields signaled a “flight” out bonds and into equities. It was probably an earnest and right minded question asked by The Economist, but you know our friends in the greater financial media; get a good story and flog the hell out of it to harvest eyeballs. Reality be damned, man, it’s the eyeballs that matter!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 21, 2017

The Trigger for Volatility, Rates and the Next Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017

By: Harry_Dent

If you’ve read any of my work, you know I think the iceberg that will ultimately sink the global Titanic is China. It has the greatest overbuilding and debt bubble in history, not to mention the obvious real estate and stock market bubbles.

But the Chinese government has too much control over its economy to just let it slide. No. China won’t be the first domino to fall. Rather, the dubious honor may go to lovely and charming Italy.
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Personal_Finance

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Perks to Consider an Agent for Auto Insurance / Personal_Finance / Insurance

By: Submissions

Aaron Abel writes: If you have a car, you will have to purchase auto insurance, and no one wants to do it with happiness. It cost us a lot of money on a monthly basis to be insured. If you are going to insure your first ever car and you are a new driver the higher premium rates will hurt you a lot.

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ConsumerWatch

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Emerging Megatrends Hurting Consumers / ConsumerWatch / Shopping

By: Rodney_Johnson

I think Dilbert is hilarious. The comic strip’s creator, Scott Adams, has incredible insight into everyday life.

More than a decade ago, he showed the cartoon’s title character in a grocery store. A clerk asked Dilbert, a white-collar, micromanaged engineer by day, if he wanted to sign up for the store’s loyalty card so he could save on purchases.

His reply went something like this: “So you want my personal information, which you’ll then use to track me and market to me, and in return I get the manufacturers’ rebates that I’ve always received? And if I don’t give you my data, then you keep the money?”
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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 21, 2017

A Catalyst of the Stock Market Bubble Bust / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Dent

Brexit. Markets up.

Shock election of President Trump. Markets up.

Drum beats of war with North Korea. Markets up.

Hurricanes Irma and Maria. Markets up.

Wild fire incinerating Northern California. Markets up.
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Personal_Finance

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Choosing Your Path in This Financial Landscape / Personal_Finance / Investing 2017

By: Rodney_Johnson

I just turned off the television. There wasn’t anything wrong, there was just… nothing. As I go through my day, I stay tuned to CNBC, albeit with the sound down low, simply to have background activity. But today, I just can’t get there. I keep asking myself the same question when I hear their comments… so what?

Usually I enjoy some of the banter, and I recognize that most of the people floating across the screen are very smart and accomplished. But I don’t feel edified. In my head I’m playing an endless loop of old quotes and comments that ends up sounding like a game of “Pick a Platitude.” It goes something like this:
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Commodities

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Silver Stocks Comatose / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The silver miners’ stocks have mostly drifted sideways this year, looking vexingly comatose.  Such dull price action repels speculators and investors, so they’ve largely abandoned this lackluster sector.  That weak trader participation has led to silver stocks’ responsiveness to silver price moves decaying.  What can shock silver stocks out of their zombified stupor?  And how soon is such an awakening catalyst likely?

Silver stocks’ flatlined behavior so far in 2017 is surprising and odd.  Silver-stock prices are ultimately driven by silver-mining profits, which are overwhelmingly driven by prevailing silver price levels.  Silver in turn is slaved to gold’s fortunes, the yellow metal is the white metal’s dominant primary driver.  With gold faring quite well this year despite the euphoric record stock markets, silver and its miners’ stocks should be shining.

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Currencies

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Bitcoin Tests $5,100 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

There’s been some talk of gold becoming an alternative to gold. Goldman Sachs doesn’t seem to agree. In an article on CNBC, we read: Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin are not the "new gold," Goldman Sachs said in a note, advising investors that precious metals "remain a relevant asset class" in portfolios.

In a note to clients earlier this week, Goldman detailed the benefits of holding gold in a portfolio.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Stock Market "Buy and Hold" ... and Investing is Easy / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

"Buy and Hold" ... and Investing is Easy

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 20, 2017

Stock Investors Ignore What May Be The Biggest Policy Error In History / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

My good friend Peter Boockvar recently shared a chart with me.

The University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers have been tracking consumers and their expectations about the direction of the stock market over the next year.

We are now at an all-time high in the expectation that the stock market will go up.

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Commodities

Friday, October 20, 2017

Gold Up 74% Since Last Stock Market Peak 10 Years Ago / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– 10 year anniversary of pre-Global Financial Crisis market peak in S&P 500 on October 9th
– Gold up 74% since the last market peak a decade ago; 11% pa in USD, 9.4% pa in EUR and 12.4% pa in GBP
– Precious metal has climbed $736/oz on Oct 9th 2007 to $1278.75 ten-years later
– S&P 500’s 102% climb is thanks to asset-pumping policies by central banks, rather than value
– Gold’s performance is slowly forcing mainstream to re-consider gold
– “Notion of gold as a hedge against serious risk aversion is true… ” – Bloomberg analyst

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Commodities

Friday, October 20, 2017

Chinese Economy and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the 2015 October edition of the Market Overview, we analyzed the impact of the Chinese slowdown, as well as the stock market crash and the devaluation of yuan, on the gold market. Two years later, it is worth providing investors with an update about the second biggest economy in the world, especially since the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will be held in October.

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