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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

History Says Global Debt Levels Will Lead to Another Crisis / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017

By: GoldSilver

Jeff Clark : It may feel like we’ll escape a debt crisis since, well, the world hasn’t ended in spite of runaway debt levels. Some of us hard money people feel like we’re taking crazy pills; how the heck can debt be so out of control, so completely unpayable, and yet the financial system keeps chugging along as if nothing’s wrong?

Well, history has a message for us: the current calm won’t last forever, because there is a direct link between government debt levels and the number of financial crises that occur. And since global debt levels are high—the second highest level in the past 150 years—it’s not exactly a stretch to conclude that another financial crisis is coming.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

No more Stock Market cash Left on the Sidelines... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

We may have seen a truncated Wave (v) in the SPX this morning. The only way to know is when the SPX declines beneath the Micro-term trendline and mid-Cycle support at 2552.10. That may provide an aggressive short entry point.

The next focal point would be the Short-term support and 2-month trendline at 2443.32, as shown in the 2-hour chart which will be posted later.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Deflation Basics Series: The Quantity Theory of Money / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Here's our challenge.

In order to be aware of the investment pitfalls and opportunities that deflation can bring, we must first understand the basic elements of why it occurs. So our challenge is to try and make monetary economics, a subject that most people would find duller than watching paint dry on a wall, understandable and, dare I say it, fun! It's a big ask but we like a test, and so here is the first in our Deflation Basics Series -- The Quantity Theory of Money.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Attractive European Countries for Foreign Investors / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: Submissions

Foreign investment is encouraged throughout Europe and the EU and these types of entrepreneurs benefit from several advantages, as per the jurisdiction’s foreign investment laws. We talk about the main incentives for foreign investors in Germany, the Netherlands and Estonia.
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Companies

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Financial Transcription Services – What investors should know about them / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

Aron Abel writes: When you run a business, you have to build a trust relationship with your clients, especially if you work in the financial domain. They have to consider you trustworthy, because you are the one who manages their money and you help them achieve the plans they have for the present moment and for the future. However, because you are working with sensitive data you have to make sure that they are carefully transcribed, and this is why it is important to collaborate with a provider of transcription services.

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Politics

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

ISIS Is Now Aiming at Africa / Politics / ISIS Islamic State

By: John_Mauldin

As Islamist militant groups attempt to expand their operations into new areas, some have looked to the Sahel region in western and central Africa and seen opportunity.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Most Investors Don’t Realize That They Are Putting All Their Eggs In One Basket / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : On the grand scene of financial innovations, the exchange-traded fund was fairly innocuous at first. It took a good 15 years for people to figure out how disruptive they would ultimately be

I’d argue that the ETF revolution is less about ETFs and more about indexing; about how people have come to view stocks less as stocks and more as blobs of stocks.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Brexit UK Vulnerable As Gold Bar Exports Distort UK Trade Figures / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Brexit UK vulnerable as gold bar exports distort UK trade figures
– Britain’s gold exports worth more than any other physical export
– Gold accounted for more than one in ten pounds of UK exports in July 2017

– UK’s stock of wealth has collapsed from a surplus of £469bn to a net deficit of £22bn – ONS error
– Brexiteers argue majority of trade is outside EU, this is due to large London gold exports
– Single gold bar (London Good Delivery) is, at today’s prices, worth just over £400,000
– “There are few things you’ll ever touch which pack so much weight into such a small size”
– UK’s economic vulnerability means safe haven gold essential protection

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Palladium and Rhodium Are on Fire, Is Platinum Next? / Commodities / Platinum

By: MoneyMetals

By Clint Siegner : Platinum was once the most precious of metals. For decades, it traded at a premium to gold. The other platinum group metals – palladium and rhodium – barely registered on investors’ radar screens.

Platinum lost its crown to gold in 2015. It was overtaken by the other Platinum Group metals (PGM) metals in recent weeks.

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Politics

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Surge in UK Race Hate Crimes, Micro-Racism, Sheffield, Millhouses Park, Black on Asian / Politics / Social Issues

By: N_Walayat

The latest police statistics reveal a huge surge in hate crime in the year to March 2017, up 29% to 80,393 which is the largest annual rise since records began that comes in the wake of last years Brexit vote and a string of terror attacks with most of the hate crimes being racially motivated. However the statistics represent the extreme end of the spectrum of reported race crimes for the vast majority lower level hate crimes tend to go unreported. Also the statistics do not cover the further spike in hate crime in the wake of the most recent terror attacks of the past 6 months.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Bitcoin: A Tower of Monetary Babel / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Antonius_Aquinas

The promoters of crypto currencies have gushingly touted them as the mechanism by which the present central banking cabal and the system of nation states which derive much of their power from will be brought down and replaced by digital money. Despite their meteoric rise as speculative “assets,” there are fundamental economic reasons why they will never act as a general medium of exchange despite the wild enthusiasm for them by the crypto-currency cultists.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

USDCHF Is Now In Uptrend From 0.9420 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Franco_Shao

USDCHF recently broke below the bottom support trend line of the price channel on its 4-hour chart, suggesting that the upside movement from 0.9420 had completed at 0.9836 already. Near term support is at 0.9704, a breakdown below this level could trigger another fall towards 0.9564.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Comfortably Numb: Surviving the Assault on Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the current state of the precious metals markets. In the late 1960s and most of the 1970s, an English rock band named Pink Floyd dominated the world of progressive and psychedelic music with such memorable albums as "Dark Side of the Moon," "Wish You Were Here," and "The Wall." One of their greatest hits was a song entitled "Comfortably Numb" and as I was listening to it the other night, the refrain in the middle of the song—"Gotta keep it going through the show; c'mon it's time to go"—reminded me of the current state of the precious metals markets in the sense that the bullion bank criminals really are doing their utmost to "keep it (the price caps and interventions) going through the show". That silver investors have been rendered "comfortably numb" by way of serial price assaults is a testimonial to the sentiment out there for silver equities, coins, and the like. In case you hadn't noticed, sentiment for gold and particularly silver is outright putrid.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

USD Intermediate Cycle update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: SurfCity

I need to see a bit more follow through confirmation in the days ahead, but it sure looks to me that the USD found support at the 50ma and found a short term Trading or Daily Cycle Low (TCL/ DCL) last Friday on day 24.

If I am correct, we are on day 1 of Trading Cycle #2 and this also means that the USD has found its longer term 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL) back in early September near the 7 month mark. My first chart is a close up daily that shows the price action.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Are Amey Street Tree Felling's Devaluing Sheffield House Prices? / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Sheffield City Council's Streets Ahead PFI Contract with the multinational Amey apparently also means that many of the Sheffield's tree lined suburbs are being stripped of virtually all of their big trees that have taken over 100 years to grow to their current magnificent house prices boosting splendour.

The big question is does felling of these community assets valued at approx £50k each (CAVAT method) also mean that the properties on these streets are also being felled / devalued?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

The S&P 500 Is Headed Over 3000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

By Avi Gilburt : Many will simply read the headline to this article, and use it as support for their belief in the market striking a multi-year top right now. I mean, aren’t headlines like this proof that the market is overheated?

Well, the answer is a definite “sometimes.” You see, back in 2015 and 2016 I was writing articles with headlines saying that we are going to target the 2500SPX region. And, if you thought that those headlines were portending the end of the bull market, then you were clearly wrong. So, consider, maybe this headline is prescient rather than a contrarian signal.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Stock Market Lindsay 12 Year Interval / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

The failure of the 15-year interval high (counted from the 9/21/01 low) to appear on time does not mean the bulls are out of the woods yet. A 12-year interval is sufficient to pull the Dow down into its forecast low without the help of a 15-year interval. A 12-year interval forecasts a low in a time period extending from 12yrs, 2mo to 12yrs, 8mo. from a significant high. The 12-year interval counted from point B of the long cycle on 3/7/05 is active until approximately 11/7/17.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

12 Real-Life Techniques That Will Make You a Better Trader Now / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Dear Trader,

If you invest in the markets -- or better yet, if you're an active trader -- this is something to get excited about.

Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) have just released a free video-based resource, "12 Real-Life Techniques That Will Make You a Better Trader Now." Over 5 free videos, EWI's Master Instructor Jeffrey Kennedy gives you 12 battle-tested trading tips -- 100% free. These free lessons will help you understand the steps you should always take to capitalize on new market opportunities.

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ConsumerWatch

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

How I Broke My Hand on Alton Towers Dangerous Rides! / ConsumerWatch / Theme Parks

By: N_Walayat

It's SCAREFEST October at Alton Towers again when Britain's most popular theme parks stays open until late, well past nightfall. Just becareful on the rides especially in the dark because it is very easy to get injured if one lets ones guard down. For instance even going into a ride such as the HEX could prove dangerous as was my experience, going in all smiles, coming out with a fractured hand!

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

What Happens When the Fed FINALLY Reduces Its $4.5 Trillion Balance Sheet? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: EWI

So, there we have it. Deflation has started.

The Federal Reserve announced last month that they would start to reduce their $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October, thereby starting the process we call Quantitative Tightening (QT). As expected, they are aiming to do it gently and quietly, by not reinvesting bonds as they mature, starting with sums of around $6 billion of Treasuries and $4 billion in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). The scale of non-reinvestment will gradually increase. Once in full swing, the Fed's balance sheet could reduce by up to $150 billion each quarter.

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