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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Thursday, February 16, 2017

Silver, Gold Stocks and Remembering the Genius of Hunter S. Thompson / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger ponders the timelessness of Hunter S. Thompson's "blistering attacks on the status quo" and their applicability to today's political landscape. He also reminds us of the "incredibly bullish" fundamentals for silver and lays out the evidence for why this precious metal is on its way to $25/ounce by mid-year.

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Forecasts

Thursday, February 16, 2017

SPX Wave Structure Solved. VIX is Positive / Forecasts / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

My earlier estimates of the SPX targets were based on Wave [c] being impulsive, not in a zigzag Diagonal format. Had I stepped back earlier, it may have been more evident. In any event, the natural target for Wave [c] appears to be 2354.36, which is no far from the earlier 2350.00 limit I had put on it.

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Politics

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Maps That Show The US’ Strategy In Asia-Pacific / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN AND JACOB L. SHAPIRO : Secretary of Defense James Mattis recently wrapped up his first international trip whose purpose was to “listen to the concerns of South Korean and Japanese leaders.”

The two countries are crucial US allies in Asia, and both face serious threats in their near abroad.

Discussing security threats, though, wasn’t the main goal of Mattis’s trip. He was there to assure both countries that the Trump administration will not abandon the US alliance structure in the Pacific.

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Politics

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Iran’s Strengthening Economy Is A Threat To The US—Not Nukes / Politics / Iran

By: John_Mauldin

BY KAMRAN BOKHARI : There is a great deal of noise over the fate of the Iran nuclear deal which we wrote about last year. It is going to be very hard to roll back the agreement announced a year ago. Thus, it’s unclear what Trump can do to limit Iran’s benefits from the respite in sanctions.

The issue is not a nuclear Iran or one with ballistic missile capability, but rather an economy that is improving because of the nuclear deal.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

The Trump Stock Market Rally Is Just Getting Started! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Have you ever been presented with an opportunity and missed out on it?  Well, here is an opportunity you Do NOT want to miss out on.

Based upon my unique “Cycle Analytical” work combined with my “Proprietary Predictive Analytics Model, I can assure you that there are new highs to be made in the U.S. stock. Appling my unique metric, which are not available to the public, I can inform you that the stock markets are not overbought or overextended, at present. The market remains in a clear bullish trend!  This next new leg is very sustainable!

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Companies

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Tesco Crisis - Fake Prices, Brexit Inflation Tsunami to Send Food Prices Soaring 10% 2017 / Companies / Tesco

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Its now well over 3 years since I first started warning that there is something seriously going wrong at Tesco, Britains supermarket giant and that stock investors should take note and sell out, at what was then a stock price trading near its all time high of £3.83, at the time I was criticised for basing my views purely on anecdotal evidence. However, as an experienced investor I WELL UNDERSTOOD that to truly know how a company is performing then one has to experience its service and products first hand as a consumer!

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

A Snapshot of My Retirement Strategy and Why it’s Not Like Yours / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement

By: Harry_Dent

I think most of you intuit that I’m not like the normal guy out there. I think outside the box, analyze everything, respect and revere cycles as much as I hate them for their downside and discipline.

The truth is, I’m an entrepreneur, more than I am an economist. In fact, I think economics is mostly a load of B.S., and there are only three classical economists I pay any attention to: Dr. Lacy Hunt, Steve Keen, and Robert Shiller.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

How Trump Border Adjustment Will Affect Your Wallet / Personal_Finance / Money Saving

By: Rodney_Johnson

Economic theories don’t get much play at cocktail parties, and there’s a good reason.

They’re boring.

Who wants to talk about the Phillips Curve, the Taylor Rule, or Triffin Dilemma? They might have cool names, but once you dive into the details, the emotion goes flatter than a day-old beer.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Stock Market Indexes Appear Ready to Roll Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The key to the markets is still the USD. The futures have hit 101.75 thus far this morning, which is a 55% retracement of the decline. The structure appears to be a Diagonal. Whether it is a Leading or Ending Diagonal is yet to be determined. Today it will have completed 8.6 days from its February 2 low.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Jim Rogers Reiterates His Call For A Crash Of Epic Proportions / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Jeff_Berwick

Last year we covered a number of big name investors’ warnings regarding the future of financial markets. Many had quite a stark view including George Soros’ Quantum Fund co-founder, Jim Rogers.

This past May, Rogers had such a dismal outlook that he warned “A $68 trillion ‘Biblical’ collapse is poised to wipe out millions of Americans.”

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Gold Intermediate Cycle Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: SurfCity

NOTHING is certain or guaranteed in Markets.... ever. Anyone who tells you otherwise is a charlatan.

That said, within Bressert's Cycle framework the norm is that a new Intermediate Cycle in any asset should test or breach the Intermediate Cycle downtrend before topping and those are my expectations based on my current analysis on both Gold and the USD.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Gold Bull Market? Or was 2016 Just a Gold Bug Mirage? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Plunger

The consensus view in the precious metals sector is that we have embarked on the next great bull market in gold and silver. The story is gold and the entire mining sector bottomed in early 2016 and launched into its first leg up into early August. The sector then underwent a stiff correction from August to December, and has now finally found its legs and the upward advance has resumed. Money is now flowing into exploration and development plays reflecting the belief in this narrative.

I have an alternative interpretation of the markets action and I would like to share it with you. Intellectual integrity requires me to remain objective and skeptical of the market action since Jan 2016 due to various reasons we will discuss. As an investor I participated in last year’s colossal rally from start to finish, however I am NOT convinced the epic gold bear market which began in 2011 ended in early 2016.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Here’s How Germany Buys Time From China / Economics / Germany

By: John_Mauldin

BY JACOB SHAPIRO : As we’ve written before, Germany’s economy has avoided problems besetting most export-dependent countries in the last two years.

In 2015, Germany accomplished this by compensating for decreased demand from China by substantially increasing its exports to the United States and the United Kingdom. In 2016, the situation was reversed. Exports to China increased while exports to the US and UK declined significantly.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

The Stock Trader’s Actionable Guide to Trump / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: David_Galland

There are aspects to Trump’s public comments that concern me. He says stuff that makes me sit up and take notice, especially on the military front.

Yet, rather than blindly accepting the “news” that best supports my biases, I try to view each new Trump “event” objectively.

By contrast, the progressives/liberals unfailingly fall for every bit of click-bait that reinforces their view that Trump is a detestable, woman-hating, earth killer and the epitome of a capitalist pig.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

This Chart Shows an Economic Anomaly That Investors Can’t Explain / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : Nineteenth-century writer Frédéric Bastiat, in his classic “Broken Window” parable, warned that economic thinking requires us to see what isn’t happening as well as what is.

This yield curve chart from Macquarie Research provides a good example.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

How to Easily Win a PS4 Games Console in Walkers UEFA Snap and Share Promo / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps

By: Sami_Walayat

The Walkers Crisps UEFA Snap and Share promotion is proving to be an relatively easy to win competition as so far just 12 days into the promotion we have already won 1 of 7000 footballs and also just won 1 of 500 PS4 games console plus soccer games! The promotion is proving to be very easy to enter and win a prize, so find out in our latest video of how you too could win a PS4 in this promotion that still has well over 2 months to run! And also maybe even win one of the top prizes which is 1 of 40 UEFA match tickets.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

The Stocks Bull Market No One Believes In / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Clif_Droke

The stock market continues to make new highs, yet none of the signs which accompany a market bubble are evident.  Investors are asking, “When will the Dow finally correct?”  By “correct” they mean “decline.”  However, a market correction doesn’t always entail a decline for the major averages and can sometimes take the form of a lateral consolidation or trading range.  That appears to be the case for the 2-month period from December through early February when the Dow and S&P made little headway.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

What is Trump's US Dollar Policy? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

The United States Treasury Department has supported a strong dollar policy since its inception in 1789. Period. There were no qualifications or equivocations with that stance, especially since the ascendance of the dollar as the world's reserve currency. That's why it was so highly unusual when the newly confirmed Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, uttered this quote recently: "From time to time an excessively strong dollar could have a negative short-term effect on the economy."

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Bitcoin Price Dancing around $1,000 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

Needham & Co., an investment firm, has issued a new report on the potential success of three prospective Bitcoin ETF. In the report, we read:

Given elevated interest in the bitcoin ETFs that are going through the regulatory approval process we're revisting the subject with a deeper dive to take a look at the factors that may affect approval, differences between the three filings, market indicators of approval odds, and the effect of approval/disapproval on price. Overall, we maintain our estimates that the likelihood of approval is less than 25% but that, if it were approved, such an ETF would be extremely successful. That said, there are some market indicators that seem to suggest higher odds than our own estimates. Ultimately, while we don't see any specific reason to disapprove the Winklevoss Bitcoin ETF, we think the SEC is likely to disapprove out of an abundance of caution around bitcoin itself (as opposed to something specific to the filing).

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Politics

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Bankrupt US and Venezuelan Regimes Barring Travel to Citizenry Attempting to Flee / Politics / Social Issues

By: Jeff_Berwick

Over the past few years we have watched the situation in Venezuela continually deteriorate as the country’s socialist regime led by Nicolas Maduro has helped to hyperinflate the nation into oblivion.

For Venezuelans, this runaway inflation has come with a number of awful consequences.
The situation is especially dire in Caracas where people often have to kill and eat stray animals to survive since the bread lines which stretch blocks, oftentimes run out of food.

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