Saturday, November 12, 2016

Donald Trump’s March to the Presidency / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Walter_Brasch

The near-impossible has happened, and Donald Trump is three months from being President Trump. From local elections to the presidency, this general election may have been the most vicious since Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams in 1800. Both major candidates turned to attack ads to enhance their own campaigns.

Saturday, November 12, 2016

Copper Price Forecast – Is Copper Ready To Start A New Bull Market In 2016? / Commodities / Copper

By: InvestingHaven

We have covered the copper market extensively in recent weeks. As the price of copper has truly gone balistic this week, it justifies another commentary with our view on where exactly copper stands, and where it can go from here. In other words, is the copper price forecast that bullish that it suggests a new bull market has started in 2016?

MarketWatch is one of the few media outlets that provided some (positive) coverage on copper today. Their article implicitly suggests a bullish copper price forecast for the remainder of 2016: “Copper futures, meanwhile, saw a weekly climb of nearly 11%, which was the largest in over five years, as traders bet that policies expected to be pursued by Republican Donald Trump’s administration could feed demand for industrial metals.” Though fundamental data, as brought forward in their piece, does not carry too much value in our opinion, we agree with their viewpoint.

Saturday, November 12, 2016

Stock Market Outlook For 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: InvestingHaven

The stock market is behaving quite volatile again. Moreover, an intermarket rotation has started recently: some underperformers start leading, and former leaders show first signs of suffering.

That said, did our stock market outlook for 2017 change compared to our previous bullish outlook?

First and foremost, in order to determine the answer to this question, we remain focused on key price levels on the chart(s), combined with sentiment, both fundamental components of our thesis. As outlined in a recent piece, we do not expect a stock market crash in 2017. On the contrary. But we should always be on the outlook for changes in trends; a bearish scenario would kick in if the S&P 500 would breach the 2000 level and, ultimately, the 1850 level. Moreover, a failed breakout to new highs in the coming few months would invalidate our bullish view for 2017.

Saturday, November 12, 2016

The Future Price Of Gold Will Drop Below $1000 In 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: InvestingHaven

As the price of gold and silver came down sharply, many investors are asking what the future price of gold will be. Although we do not pretend to have a crystal ball, we observe sufficient signals in the charts to make a make a call about the future price of gold into 2017.

In general, the precious metals market has turned very sour. Gold registered it largest loss on a weekly basis since it crashed in 2013. Moreover, gold and silver miners, said to lead the precious metals complex, have truly crashed this week.

Saturday, November 12, 2016

The Revolution of the Deplorables / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

“I look to a day when people will not be judged by the color of their skin, but by the content of their character.” - Dr. Martin Luther King

Amen.

Unfortunately, we live in an age of profound ignorance and stupidity. Students of color attending UCal-Berkeley decided they needed a ‘safe place’ on campus so they have prevented students not of their same color from passing into their selected zone. They shouted, ‘Go around!’. Isn’t that the same message Rosa Parks heard on buses until she decided to raise her own rebel flag and take a seat. It seems that those who claim to abhor racism are the racists. Bigots come in every color.

Saturday, November 12, 2016

Did U.S. Treasury Bonds Just Get Stumped by Trump? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

The answer to where T-Bonds are headed is not in the news headlines about Trump. It's in the Elliott wave pattern

On November 9, the United States woke to the biggest political shock since Harry Truman defeated "shoe-in" Thomas E. Dewey in the 1948 U.S. presidential election.

For U.S. bond investors, the 2016 election has been head-spinning too.

Saturday, November 12, 2016

A Good Time To Be Buying Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Richard_Mills

There's a lot going on in the world - from Trump being elected in the U.S. to turmoil in the middle east, the China Sea and Turkey, Russia is flexing it’s still considerable might, North Korea’s flinging it’s nukes helter skelter, Japan’s rearming, disease runs rampant and fear escalates about virus mutation, there’s shortages of fresh water with many rivers not reaching their former endpoint and of course climate change is rearing its head to destabilize natural rhythms or cycles. It’d be hard to go back in history and pick a period of time when things weren’t so combustible.

Your author believes gold and silver have never been better safe-haven investments. Inflation, world events, diversification

Saturday, November 12, 2016

Delirium - The Real Reason Why Donald Trump Won the US Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

All those who failed to see Trumps election coming are now busy pumping out reams and reams of worthless drivel. They don't have a clue, they don't get it and never will, because the answer is not in text on printed and web pages. It's not even in spoken words, none of that! THIS IS the real reason why Donald Trump won! DELERIUM, waves and waves of delirium washed over the electorate to galvanise them into losing touch with reality and entering Donald Trumps altered reality. Don't believe me ? Then watch this video -

Friday, November 11, 2016

Gold, Miners Under Trump / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Donald Trump’s epic underdog victory climaxing the US presidential race was radically unexpected by the great majority of the world.  Equally if not more surprising was the subsequent days’ market reaction.  Stock markets, gold, and gold-mining stocks did exactly the opposite of what was universally forecast for a Trump win.  This has left contrarian traders wondering how gold and gold stocks will likely fare under Trump.

Personally I’m thrilled and filled with hope for America with Donald Trump being our next president!  We desperately needed someone to overthrow Washington’s stranglehold on our lives.  In both our monthly and weekly newsletters published before Trump’s apparent upset, I took the contrarian stance explaining why Trump had far greater odds of winning than widely assumed.  The stock markets predicted a Trump win too!

Friday, November 11, 2016

Only Winners of the US Presidential Election Are… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

HSBC,(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HSBC), is projecting gold to rise to $1,500 an ounce, since the ‘real-estate magnate’ triumphed up from behind in the election results (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-01/buy-gold-no-matter-who-wins-the-election-hsbc-says). It is protection against everything!

The U.S. Debt-to-GDP ratio is 125% and will be growing. ‘Main Street America’ has been told that these are measures required to stimulate economic activity, to prevent crises, increase employment, and soothe the financial markets.

Friday, November 11, 2016

Trump & The Fed / Politics / US Politics

By: Dan_Amerman

There is critical information in the first 45 seconds of the Donald Trump campaign video below. Now the election is over, and this nonpartisan analysis is not about campaigns, politics or who should have been elected - but some absolutely fundamental changes that could be on the way.

The video was Trump's closing argument for his election, and was released on November 6th.

Friday, November 11, 2016

Trump, Brexit - Democrazy / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

I began writing this week’s musings on a small notepad while sitting in the Homeowners Association Meeting here in La Estancia de Cafayate.

For the record, I have a near phobic dislike of sitting in meetings that ranks right up there with filling in government forms.

To my way of thinking, business that could be handled efficiently by a couple of well-intentioned and reasonably intelligent individuals in 15 minutes takes a larger group several hours to reach either the same conclusion or something less efficacious.

Friday, November 11, 2016

Hillary, Obama and Media -- the Victims of Their Own Illusion and Propaganda and Making Trump the President / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Dr_R_M_Mathew

The credit for the ‘stunning’ or ‘unbelievable’ victory of Donald Trump goes to Hillary Clinton, Barak Obama and their bribed or obedient Medias and above all their Quixotic Propaganda. Hillary propaganda can be considered as the most strategically idiotic and blunder-some political exercise leading to her own self-defeat and the uneasy victory of Donald Trump. They made Donald Trump the real hero and savior of the American Dream and Interest.

Friday, November 11, 2016

US Stock Market Update: Trump Towers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

There are more Trump Towers being erected by certain indexes (ref. Uncle Buck’s pants tent noted yesterday in an HUI update).  As an aside, say what you will about the man, but the name and the persona are a natural for we financial writers and others not tasked to be sensitive about politics or politicians.  I mean, how much fun could one make of Obama, a person who comes across as dignified and idealist?  Bush was a little better, but even he was no Trump.  The Clintons?  Getting warmer.  But Trump is a new thing all together, almost transcendent; more concept than man.  I like this, speaking as a writer.  Love it, actually.

On a more serious note, I think he is eventually going to be seen in a lesser light, as the true believers who thrust him upon their tired shoulders find out that promises are one thing and reality is quite another; if anything, he will deliver inflation, which adversely affects… anyone?  Bueller?…  the middle and lower classes.  Asset owners – like Trump – always win and those who go paycheck to paycheck, always lose in inflationary/reflationary regimes.  So if the hype proves true and exported jobs are repatriated, roads, bridges and walls are erected, tax breaks for big corporations are implimented and yet more deficit spending is enacted, it is not the true believers who are going to benefit.

Friday, November 11, 2016

Japanese Tales of Common Insanity and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Einstein allegedly once claimed that insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. It turns out that central bankers are really insane. Their loose, unconventional monetary policy has not worked in Japan for the last quarter-century, but it did not prevent the Bank of Japan from adopting zero interest rates targets for ten-year Japanese government bonds and from the commitment from overshooting its inflation target. But let’s leave the analysis of the central bankers’ denial of reality to psychologists and focus on the short summary of the Japanese economy in the last quarter-century. Such an analysis would outline the necessary context for the examination of the relationship between the BoJ’s actions, the USD/JPY exchange rate and gold.

Friday, November 11, 2016

Financial Markets, Gold, Stocks Full out “RISK ON” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Financial markets are becoming absolutely giddy with delight as they are now firmly looking beyond their “dark night of captivity” to the Obama administration’s growth killing regulatory scheme with all its oppressive mandates to a “new morning” of a business friendly Trump administration.

Wall Street is sensing growth and investors are responding by unceremoniously trash-canning the safe haven or defensive categories of stocks.

Friday, November 11, 2016

Stock Market Higher into Next Week Then... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I mentioned that it was possible that Y of B could make a new high into next week then we go down hard. I had 2214 (or so) on the SPX as a maximum upward target and that could be the case by Tuesday next week.

On Tuesday, at the close, we went short expecting a Trump victory and a plunge. Wow! The futures plummeted down about 100 and then came back with a vengeance! It sure caught us by surprise (the strong comeback, not the plunge).

Thursday, November 10, 2016

What Stock Market Investors Can Expect from the Trump Revolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

They’re calling it the Great Revolution, and rightfully so.  Donald Trump’s earth-shattering victory over Hillary Clinton on Nov. 8 must surely rate as one of the greatest political upsets in U.S. history.  It stretches the mind to recall the last time a true political outsider won the Oval Office.  The prospects of what an independently wealthy and politically unattached President can do for the country are tantalizing to consider. 

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Midnight in America / Politics / US Politics

By: Peter_Schiff

Stunned political analysts are missing the most plausible argument explaining Donald Trump's unexpected victory. The misreading of the American electorate stems from the political class' acceptance of mistaken (and increasingly insane) economic dogma that has arisen over the past generation. Based on their flawed understanding of economics, the pundits could simply not understand why the electorate had become totally disillusioned.

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Gold Just Waiting on the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Gold is resisting the bounce in the dollar, as it has done in the past. Once the dollar is ready to roll over into an intermediate cycle low gold will be ready to fly.