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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Friday, November 11, 2016

US Stock Market Update: Trump Towers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

There are more Trump Towers being erected by certain indexes (ref. Uncle Buck’s pants tent noted yesterday in an HUI update).  As an aside, say what you will about the man, but the name and the persona are a natural for we financial writers and others not tasked to be sensitive about politics or politicians.  I mean, how much fun could one make of Obama, a person who comes across as dignified and idealist?  Bush was a little better, but even he was no Trump.  The Clintons?  Getting warmer.  But Trump is a new thing all together, almost transcendent; more concept than man.  I like this, speaking as a writer.  Love it, actually.

On a more serious note, I think he is eventually going to be seen in a lesser light, as the true believers who thrust him upon their tired shoulders find out that promises are one thing and reality is quite another; if anything, he will deliver inflation, which adversely affects… anyone?  Bueller?…  the middle and lower classes.  Asset owners – like Trump – always win and those who go paycheck to paycheck, always lose in inflationary/reflationary regimes.  So if the hype proves true and exported jobs are repatriated, roads, bridges and walls are erected, tax breaks for big corporations are implimented and yet more deficit spending is enacted, it is not the true believers who are going to benefit.

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Commodities

Friday, November 11, 2016

Japanese Tales of Common Insanity and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Einstein allegedly once claimed that insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. It turns out that central bankers are really insane. Their loose, unconventional monetary policy has not worked in Japan for the last quarter-century, but it did not prevent the Bank of Japan from adopting zero interest rates targets for ten-year Japanese government bonds and from the commitment from overshooting its inflation target. But let’s leave the analysis of the central bankers’ denial of reality to psychologists and focus on the short summary of the Japanese economy in the last quarter-century. Such an analysis would outline the necessary context for the examination of the relationship between the BoJ’s actions, the USD/JPY exchange rate and gold.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 11, 2016

Financial Markets, Gold, Stocks Full out “RISK ON” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Financial markets are becoming absolutely giddy with delight as they are now firmly looking beyond their “dark night of captivity” to the Obama administration’s growth killing regulatory scheme with all its oppressive mandates to a “new morning” of a business friendly Trump administration.

Wall Street is sensing growth and investors are responding by unceremoniously trash-canning the safe haven or defensive categories of stocks.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 11, 2016

Stock Market Higher into Next Week Then... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I mentioned that it was possible that Y of B could make a new high into next week then we go down hard. I had 2214 (or so) on the SPX as a maximum upward target and that could be the case by Tuesday next week.

On Tuesday, at the close, we went short expecting a Trump victory and a plunge. Wow! The futures plummeted down about 100 and then came back with a vengeance! It sure caught us by surprise (the strong comeback, not the plunge).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

What Stock Market Investors Can Expect from the Trump Revolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

They’re calling it the Great Revolution, and rightfully so.  Donald Trump’s earth-shattering victory over Hillary Clinton on Nov. 8 must surely rate as one of the greatest political upsets in U.S. history.  It stretches the mind to recall the last time a true political outsider won the Oval Office.  The prospects of what an independently wealthy and politically unattached President can do for the country are tantalizing to consider. 

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Politics

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Midnight in America / Politics / US Politics

By: Peter_Schiff

Stunned political analysts are missing the most plausible argument explaining Donald Trump's unexpected victory. The misreading of the American electorate stems from the political class' acceptance of mistaken (and increasingly insane) economic dogma that has arisen over the past generation. Based on their flawed understanding of economics, the pundits could simply not understand why the electorate had become totally disillusioned.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Gold Just Waiting on the US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Gold is resisting the bounce in the dollar, as it has done in the past. Once the dollar is ready to roll over into an intermediate cycle low gold will be ready to fly.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Uncertainty Drives Central Bank Gold Purchases / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Dedollarization and Uncertainty drive Central Bank Demand for Gold

  • Central banks added 81.7t to their gold reserves in the third quarter
  • Total central banks purchases in the year-to-date reach 271.1t.
  • Fellow-SCO member Kazakhstan and Belarus also had to holdings
  • 90% of reserve managers intend to increase or maintain gold reserves.
  • “The case for gold remains compelling for reserve managers” state WGC
  • Unconventional monetary policies will underpin gold demand in coming years.
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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

President Trump and Americas Brexit; The Stock Market Crash That Never Was / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Sol_Palha

"Come to the edge," He said. They said, "We are afraid. "Come to the edge," He said. They came. He pushed them, and they flew. ~ Guillaume Apollinaire

In early October when the pollsters were all busy proclaiming that Hilary was going to win, we stated in an article titled Mass Psychology states Trump win Equals stock market buying opportunity that from a financial perspective a Trump win would present an excellent opportunity for the astute investor. We had made the same comments before Brexit became a reality, and it has been our theme that as long as the trend is up, all sharp pullbacks should be seen through a bullish lens. In other words the more substantial the deviation, the better the opportunity. Here is a small excerpt from the above-stated article:

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Commodities

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Trump to Send Gold Price to $10,000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

Trump is going to the White House…

Just as I called on ABC Australia two weeks ago.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Modi Heats Up Indian War Against Cash / Personal_Finance / War on Cash

By: Jeff_Berwick

The battle for a cash-only world is getting hotter. The latest battlefront? India.

The latest rupee news? Outrageous.

Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi – beloved of Western elites for a variety of reasons – has just announced that all 500 Indian rupee Notes ($7.50) and 1,000 Indian rupee ($15) notes will no longer be considered legal tender.  The 500 and 1,000 rupee, by the way, are the two largest denominations in India.  Equivalent to the US banning the $100 and $50.

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 10, 2016

President-elect Trump: The beginning of an Era? Or the End of one? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Michael_T_Bucci

Everyone was so certain. The pollsters and poll watchers almost uniformly predicted a Trump defeat – among them the celebrated Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight who gave Trump only a thirty-eight percent chance of winning heading into Election Day.

Of the eleven national polls to be released in the final week of the race, only two – a Los Angeles Times/USC survey and one from IBD/TIPP – showed Trump with the lead (TheHill, Nov. 9). These polls proved the most accurate for two consecutive presidential cycles.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

The Most Hated Stocks Bull Market in History / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

I know some of you are wondering why I didn’t post many charts today. The reason being, when there is extreme volatility one can get whipsawed to death getting caught on the wrong side of the whipsaw. My experience has been to let things settle down for a day or two and see what happens. I always look for how the price action is interacting with a potential strong support or resistance line. Normally, whatever the direction the big trend is in, when you get a day like today, after the volatility subsides, the big trend will reassert itself again. It may take a few days or a few weeks but the big trend is your friend.

Earlier today I showed you a daily chart for the INDU which showed several small blue consolidation patterns forming on top of a one year black triangle consolidation pattern. There is another daily chart I haven’t shown you yet that shows the two small blue consolidations forming in a rising wedge formation. Until today I had the lower black rail of the rising wedge parallel to the top rail. With the big reversal taking place I adjusted the bottom rail up to catch this weeks low, which is now giving us a rising wedge formation. I’ve shown you many times in the past how bigger patterns can be made up from smaller patterns. This is now the case with the rising wedge formation.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Trump Win Signals $1,500 Gold and $24 Silver, predicts Nick Barisheff / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Nick_Barisheff

According to Nick Barisheff, President and CEO of Bullion Management Group Inc. (BMG), "A Trump US presidential victory signals US$1,500 an ounce for gold and US$24 for silver in the intermediate term."

"Trump voters have now injected an unprecedented level of uncertainty into global financial markets," continued Barisheff. "Investors prefer clarity, and until President-elect Trump fully clarifies his economic, trade and foreign policy positions, investors will be in a high-alert state of uncertainty. Roiling markets will compel investors to purchase safe-haven assets, especially precious metals."

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ElectionOracle

Thursday, November 10, 2016

How Terminator Donald Trump Won the US Presidency and What He Will Do in Office / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

How Terminator Donald Trump Won the US Presidency and What He Will Do in Office

Shock and horror on the faces of Democrats and many republican establishment politicians is real and so is that which the Donald Trump Terminator Presidency represents for them. For Donald really is the TERMINATOR, this guy does NOT know how to stop, How to back down, he is NOT a politician. Those who think he will calm down and it will be business as usual are deluding themselves.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 10, 2016

And Of Course, No One is Talking About the US National Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Rodney_Johnson

I’m beaten down.

Worn out.

Punch drunk.

I’m not moonlighting as a cage fighter. I’m a registered voter in a swing state.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Trump Win and Brexit - What the Two Biggest Events of 2016 Are All About / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Harry_Dent

Like Brexit, Trump staged a surprising win last night, proving every poll wrong.

This is a sign of an underlying trend more massive than the winter economic season that began in 2008. It’s clear evidence of the end of globalization (at least for now). And that’s an important point to take away from the election… and from Brexit.

People are angry. They’re discontent. They’re sick and tired of how small the world has become and they’re ready to revolt. This brings us to the heart of my 250-Year Revolution Cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

After the U.S. Election, Where is the Stock Market Strength? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Donald_W_Dony

The surprise U.S. presidential victory of Donald Trump caused shock waves through the futures markets last night. However, as the next trading day opens, there are clearly sectors that are winning and those that are losing.

The biotech, drug, banks and broker/dealer sectors are the strongest performers out of the gate with a 7.50%, 4.70%, 4.60% and 5.40% leap respectively.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Carl Icahn left Trump victory party to bet $1B on US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Bloomberg

Carl Icahn, Founder and Chairman of Icahn Enterprises, told Bloomberg TV that he left Donald Trump's victory party early Wednesday morning to bet about $1 billion on U.S. equities.

"I thought it was absurd that the market, the S&P was down 100 points on Trump getting elected," Icahn said in a phone interview. "I tried to put a lot more to work, but I couldn’t put more than about a billion dollars to work," he said.

Icahn, one of Trump's earliest supporters, spoke to Erik Schatzker this afternoon and weighed in on the market reaction to the U.S. presidential election results and the economic plans of President-Elect Trump. Icahn said Trump's victory was "a positive for our economy, not a negative" but noted that the U.S. economy is not out of the woods just yet.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Bill Gross: Trump Election Victory Won't Lead to More Economic Growth / Economics / US Economy

By: Bloomberg

Bill Gross of Janus Capital was interviewed by Erik Schatzker on Bloomberg Markets this morning.

Gross discussed market reaction to the U.S. presidential election, telling Schatzker that Trump's victory won't lead to more economic growth.

SCHATZKER: "Well, let's consider those things for a moment.  Let's consider demographics. Let's consider some of the structural obstacles. Can you envision a scenario, all of those things considered, in which the economy grows four percent a year, and in which we add 25 million jobs over who knows what period?"

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