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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 06, 2016

Markets Not Much Action but Don’t Get Careless / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

The payrolls report came in pretty much as expected and thus seems to be a non-event for the most part.

The Dollar is slightly weaker, bonds are higher, oil is lower and gold is a tad higher. Mining shares are showing weakness today.

I honestly do not think we are going to get much in the way of any CONSISTENT direction in these major markets ( with the exception of crude oil) until after the election results become clear.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 06, 2016

A Most Important Gold Ratio Chart… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight is a good night to post one of the ratio combo charts we’ve been following for a very long time , which compares the TLT:GLD ratio to the GLD. Below the ratio chart is a ten year weekly bar chart for GLD. There are many ways to analyze a ratio combo chart like this which can help one look for the intermediate to longer term trends.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 06, 2016

US Election Uncertainty Now Influencing Gold & Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Most of us consider this year’s presidential election as the wildest and most unpredictable we’ve ever seen, but you wouldn’t know it by looking at the markets. Gold and silver spent most of the past three weeks going nowhere fast. Between Oct. 6th and Oct. 27th silver traded within ten cents of $17.60/oz. – an extraordinarily tight range. Precious metals generally thrive on uncertainty, but the markets have been unfazed and instead have appeared to be paralyzed.

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, November 06, 2016

Breaking News : Donald Trump Assassination Attempt / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Within seconds of Donald Trump appearing on stage in Nevada, he was rushed off the stage by the secret service as others in the crowd could be seen apparently wrestling a man to the ground, who was later escorted out by armed police.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, November 05, 2016

Hillary Halts Trumps Polls Surge, But Trump Advance Continues in BrExit Swing States / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

With just 3 days to go until the polls open Hillary Clinton has finally managed to halt the Trump FBI emails polls surge as the average of recent national opinion polls show a small widening of Hillary's lead over Trump to +1.6% from +1.3% yesterday, against 1.7% the day before and +2.2% on the 1st of November, that compares against +6% of less than 2 weeks ago.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 05, 2016

More Weakness Ahead for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The gold stocks continue to correct their epic +150% rebound that began in January and ran into the summer. Last week it was the poor relative strength in the miners that hinted the correction had more to go in both time and price. This week, it was the miners failure at a confluence of resistance, even with Gold trading above $1300, that argued for more weakness ahead. While most of the damage has already been done, our work argues for more weakness before a buying opportunity.

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Currencies

Saturday, November 05, 2016

Bitcoin Trading Alert: Bitcoin at Long-term Resistance / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

Bitcoin is now getting more attention as the currency has shot up in the last couple of weeks. In an article on Bloomberg,we read:

It's happening again. Bitcoin has locked step with gold and taken to the skies as uncertainty about the U.S. election increases volatility in global markets. It is, in short, acting as a haven.

(…)

Aside from facing obsolescence and the threat of competing with actual currencies, the volatility of Bitcoin has to be off-putting for serious investors. During any given period, the digital currency swings three to five times more violently than gold, hardly the behavior expected from a haven asset.

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, November 05, 2016

Mosul, US Elections, and Other Madness / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: David_Galland

Dear Parader,

I’m pleased to report that the shakedown cruise on my latest folly, Bad Brothers Wine Experience, has come to an end, and we are now officially open regular business hours.

Over the last week, we welcomed our first guests off the street (from London, no less) and discovered just how much goes into running a wine bar/restaurant, thanks to upwards of 250 people passing through the front door.

Happily, our guests seem to have enjoyed the place, helping us quickly zip from the 49th to the 9th highest-ranked restaurant in Cafayate on Trip Advisor, a good start.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 05, 2016

Gold Will Win US Presidential Election 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

  • Gold could rise to at least 8% following election
  • Trump victory will push gold up 10%
  • Uncertainty pre and post election likely to support the gold price
  • Election jitters are one of several drivers for the gold price
  • Trump win will release a ‘wave of risk aversion’
  • Safe-haven demand maybe set to rise in coming weeks
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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 05, 2016

Stock Market Forecasts Donald Trump Election Win! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

With 2016’s contentious US presidential election just days away now, traders are still trying to game the outcome of this tightening race.  With a Hillary Clinton victory long priced in, the mounting odds Donald Trump will prevail have big implications for major markets.  One critical place traders should look for clues to how Americans will vote is the stock markets.  Recent stock performance really sways election results.

This assertion certainly sounds dubious.  When Americans are asked what the most-important issues for determining their votes are, the stock markets wouldn’t even make the list.  But interestingly a recent Pew Research poll found that the economy was the number-one issue in this election.  90% of Trump supporters, 80% of Clinton supporters, and 84% of all registered voters rated the economy at the very top.

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Politics

Friday, November 04, 2016

Here’s the Proven Model That Could Save Health Care and the US Economy / Politics / Healthcare Sector

By: John_Mauldin

Millions of Americans are learning just how much their Obamacare premiums will be next year. But even if you have health coverage through your employer—or you’re 65+ and on Medicare, like me—you’re going to see severe inflation in the healthcare part of your budget.

But there’s a possible solution to the healthcare problem. The Cleveland Clinic has achieved remarkable results with its 100,000+ employees and dependents. They are making people healthier and reducing medical costs. And it’s a model that I think could work on a much broader scale.

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Politics

Friday, November 04, 2016

This US Election is a Chance for the Republicans to Build a New Coalition / Politics / US Politics

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : The election is far from over, and given the pattern of this election, nothing can be taken for granted. So while (at the moment) Hillary Clinton appears to be winning, less than two weeks remain.

I generally focus on the broad geopolitical forces that shape and reshape the world. But, there are two reasons to be interested in this US election.

First, shifts in the behavior of the US affect geopolitics globally. Second, this election has revealed some profound changes in the underlying dynamics of American politics.

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Politics

Friday, November 04, 2016

Russia–US Tensions Likely to Rise in 2017 / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: John_Mauldin

There will be increased tensions between Russia and the US in the near future. That is the opinion of Jacob Shapiro, director of analysis for Geopolitical Futures. He argues that a Clinton win means the relationship between the US and Russia is going to worsen.

In an interview with Mauldin Economics, Shapiro begins by calling the Clinton campaign email leaks a “political sideshow.” He does not think it is a big deal, even if it was done by Russian hackers.

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Commodities

Friday, November 04, 2016

Will BoJ’s New Framework Become a Turning Point for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Bank of Japan announced in September a cocktail of new monetary policy measures, called “QQE with Yield Curve Control”. Let’s analyze these innovations in detail and discuss their potential implications for the gold market. As we have already noted in the Gold News Monitor, the package consists of two components:

  • The promise to keep expanding the monetary base until inflation “exceeds the price stability target of 2 percent and stays above the target in a stable manner”;
  • The pledge to cap 10-year government bond yields at zero percent.
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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 04, 2016

Lifting the Veil on the 2016 US Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Greg_Tomlinson

The Essential Point
   The 2016 Presidential Election has certainly kicked up its share of dust and debris in the hearts and minds of thoughtful voters in the US. While this appears on the surface to be a contest between two very different and polarizing figures, from day one it was a referendum against the highly effective Liberal Statist* avalanche we've seen for eight straight years. This avalanche is actually Obama's far more refined approach to implementing the entire kitchen sink of modern leftist principles in government - his unique aggregation of everything they have learned in the past five decades. That's right, it is a tested, reproducible, market-ready product on shelves right now for voter consumption. We see it clearly in Clinton's campaign and we'll be seeing it again in future campaigns, because this new plan is better than all before it. This fact will remain true whether or not Clinton is indicted after the election, simply because Tim Kaine, or any other future replacement will be nearly identical in policy and approach, or even further left. Considering that universality, I'd like to shift focus away from the immediate election campaign, and instead consider a bit of how we got here, then move on to larger and more dangerous strategies and conflicts that are profoundly more impactful than this one election cycle.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 04, 2016

The Stock Market Grand Illusion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tim_Wood

Many know that the economy is not good.  Fact is, the economic issues actually began in 2000 and have only been made worse.  The world economy is in a systemic crisis and I am going to show you the stock market bubble that has resulted from the attempts to resuscitate the underlying economy. 

In spite of equities’ push to a new high in 2007 and again in 2015/16, I have maintained all along that the secular bull market peaked in 2000, along with the underlying economy.   The first attempt at stimulating the economy and resurrecting the secular bull market came in the wake of the decline into the 2002 4-year cycle low.   Those efforts resulted in what was at the time the longest cyclical extension since the inception of the averages in 1896, which in turn resulted in a banking crisis, a commodity bubble and a housing bubble. Then, when the extended cycle finally began to roll over the end result was the worst financial crisis since the great depression.    Yet, the response to the worst financial crisis since the great depression was an even more extreme version of the same policies that created the problem in the first place.  

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Politics

Friday, November 04, 2016

Very Tough Session for Wall Street / Politics / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a tough session again. The day started out on the downside, they formed some morning consolidation bear wedges, dropped late morning, and continued down for the rest of the session, finishing near the lows for the day going away.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 28.97 at 17,930.67. The S&P 500 was down 9.28 at 2088.66. The Nasdaq 100 was down another 47.80.10 at 4679.10.

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Commodities

Friday, November 04, 2016

Silver Price Discovery and The Illusion of Progress / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

As of the close of trading Tuesday, silver spot prices have rise through the key 50 day moving average, most likely the result of short covering by the managed money traders - along with new shorts added by the commercial traders.

In other words, the lock-down pattern of price discovery driven by these two speculative classes continues unabated and disconnected from physical reality.

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ElectionOracle

Friday, November 04, 2016

US Election Campaigning - Please Make It Stop / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Walter_Brasch

Pennsylvania, which had been a no-contest state in presidential primaries because of its late balloting, is a now a swing state with less than a week until the election. Just about every voter by now has received dozens of robocalls, e-mails, letters, postcards, and exposure to almost-uncountable TV, digital, satellite, and social media ads. Most are attack ads, with similar messages.

The ads focus upon homeland security, taxes, immigration, pro-life/pro-choice, and bringing jobs back to America. The conservatives have thrown in the phrase “liberal extremists” in many of their ads in an effort to shock all America to believe that liberals are somehow tied to Muslim extremists. The liberals are pushing an agenda that defines the conservatives as greedy plutocrats who have little thought for the middle class. This election, from local offices to the presidency may be the dirtiest since 1800 when Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams.

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Politics

Friday, November 04, 2016

American Civil War II - Fourth Turning Intensifying (Part I) / Politics / US Politics

By: James_Quinn

"History offers even more sobering warnings: Armed confrontation usually occurs around the climax of Crisis. If there is confrontation, it is likely to lead to war. This could be any kind of war - class war, sectional war, war against global anarchists or terrorists, or superpower war. If there is war, it is likely to culminate in total war, fought until the losing side has been rendered nil - its will broken, territory taken, and leaders captured." - The Fourth Turning - Strauss & Howe -1997

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