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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Friday, February 12, 2016

Can the U.S. Fed Drop Interest Rates Below 0%? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: EWI

This question is not as preposterous as it may seem.

For the financial markets, the biggest event of the week starts tomorrow: On Wednesday and Thursday (Feb. 10-11) Fed chair Janet Yellen will appear before Congress to deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report.

"It's huge." That's how one strategist put it this morning, in a CNBC interview about the importance of Yellen's testimony.

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Commodities

Friday, February 12, 2016

Will Harry Dent Eat Crow on His $700 Gold Price Prediction? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

Investment guru Harry Dent has made quite a few predictions since his start in the 1980’s. He has certainly been correct a few times and had to backtrack several other times. In early 2013, he predicted a financial crash will begin between the end of 2013 and the first half of 2014. This prediction was incorrect or maybe just early by a few years.

In 2014, while promoting his book, he predicted a major Australian housing market correction beginning in 2014 after an even bigger one in China. While the housing market is cooling in both countries, we have yet to see a major correction.

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Commodities

Friday, February 12, 2016

Cartel Buster Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Denali_Guide

CARTEL~BUSTER ! - A hasty post for all who want to see !! I think this one tells a story.
all the red circles cover critical zones that are now stalling.
Needing more frequent and reliable updates, subscribe to Peak Picks and I will make sure you get periodic updates and Reversal Alerts.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 12, 2016

Where to Hide Your Money From Reckless Governments / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

A major central bank just made a desperate move…

If you’ve been reading the Dispatch, you know we’re living through a gigantic “global monetary experiment.”

In short, global central banks cut interest rates to zero to fight the 2008 financial crisis. They’ve held interest rates near zero ever since.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 12, 2016

Why the Federal Reserve Always 'Happens' to Be Wrong / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

"The last duty of a central banker is to tell the public the truth." - Alan Blinder, former Federal Reserve Board Vice Chairman

The Federal Reserve Board finds itself back in a quandary of its own making. When Fed chair Janet Yellen pushed through an interest rate hike this past December, she confidently cited an "economy performing well and expected to continue to do so."

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Commodities

Friday, February 12, 2016

Why is Gold Price up Nearly $60 this Morning? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_J_Kosares

It has something to do with Yellen’s not dovish enough Congressional testimony.  It has something to do with global financial system problems associated with low interest rates.  It also has something to do with emerging countries at the doorstep of penury.  And last but not least, it has something to do with disinflationary pressures that threaten the financial system and world economy as a whole. However, these things, albeit good reasons to own gold, would normally play out in the price over an extended period of time.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 11, 2016

The War on Cash is About to Go into Hyperdrive / Interest-Rates / War on Cash

By: Graham_Summers

The global Central Banks have declared War on Cash.

Historically, one of the safest things to do when the markets begin to collapse is to move a significant portion of your holdings to cash. As the old adage says, during times of deflation, “cash is king.”

The notion here is that cash is a safe haven. And while earning 1-2% in interest doesn’t do much in terms of growing your wealth, it sure beats losing 20%+ by holding on to stocks or bonds during their respective bear markets

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 11, 2016

More Bankruptcy For Your Retirement Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement

By: Rodney_Johnson

There’s an old saying that if you owe the bank $1 million, you have a problem. But if you owe the bank $100 million, then the bank has a problem.

That’s the situation we’re in today.

States around the country have racked up outrageous unpaid balances for their pensions. Few of them have any plan for digging out of the hole. Since they have no plan, they’re creating issues for everyone who might be called upon to help them make good on their obligations.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Negative Interest Rates: Their Devastating Impact on Our Economy / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Harry_Dent

Since late 2008, central banks around the world have used unprecedented QE to try and stoke the global economy.

Then in June 2014, the ECB took it a step further. They went negative.

Zero short-term interest rates apparently weren’t enough. The ECB realized that if they couldn’t get banks to loan or consumers to spend, why not really light a fire under their ass and tell them: “if you’re not going to spend, you have to pay to keep your money in the bank!”

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Commodities

Thursday, February 11, 2016

2016 - Gold & Silver Rising: A Gold And Silver Bottom May Be In / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

We see the surface yet think it the whole; then discuss for hours what we think that we know

If a stock has "bottomed out", it means it might have reached its low point and could be in the early stages of an upward trend. Investors usually see a bottom as an opportunity to purchase securities when they are potentially underpriced…The bottom is used in technical analysis by defining the lowest level of support when charting a stock, commodity, index or economic cycle.  http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/bottom.asp

Last July, über market-timer Martin Armstrong predicted a gold bottom could happen between November 30th and December 7th or, during a certain week in early 2016 (known to his subscribers); and because I believe silver is subject to the same market forces as is gold, i.e. manipulation by the paper money cabal vs. free market supply and demand, a silver bottom would be in as well.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Stock Market Progress on the Downside... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced from a lower low and retraced to challenge its Cycle Bottom at 1931.58. The bounce may be over. The next target is the Head & Shoulders neckline near 1798.00 to complete Wave [i] of C. This may be accomplished later today, with a Wave [ii] bounce at the close. I expect Wave [ii] to challenge the hourly Cycle Bottom again before the next big decline. Notice the opening gap wasn’t closed, denoting weakness and distribution.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Janet Yellen, the Japanese Yen and the Dead Cat Bounce / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

Transcript excerpt: Thursday February 11 2016 it's nine o'clock London time so 4 a.m. New York
time with eastern standard time very interesting developments this morning in
the financial markets mostly I think in response a bit in response to chairwoman
Janet Yellen testimony to the U S Congress to the house and the markets
prior to that testimony yesterday I think it was around the morning New York
time the market prior to that works stronger dollar was up almost 200 points
you know people expect and Janet Yellen 2012 the market and admit that the
economy was weakening and that imply that they would start raising rates but
she didn't do any of that she basically said that yeah we still we are watching

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Stock Market Gap Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is down below the Wave A low at 1828.45. The Elliott Wave pattern has morphed into another A-B-C, due to overlap in the Wave structure. What we are looking at is a hybrid Wave pattern that I have not seen before…but it is consistent and repeating. There is not enough time to complete an impulse down to the bottom of Wave (3). However, there is enough time for a Wave C. It appears that a gap down open is in the cards.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Gold Price Surges 3.2% To $1,241/oz As Deutsche Bank, Stocks Fall Sharply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold has surged over 3% today on increased safe haven demand as stocks and in particular bank stocks see sharp falls. German shares have nose dived again and German colossus Deutsche Bank has fallen over 8%.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Australian Stocks Bear Market Just Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: AnyOption

The selloff in global equity benchmarks has been swift and punishing for long only investors as asset reallocation comes after the hangover of accommodative monetary policy.  Australia in particular has not been immune from these developments, between dealing with a downturn in trade across the Asia-Pacific region and softer commodity prices.  Aside from external factors, domestically, uneven growth and slowing inflation have seen the Reserve Bank of Australia ease policy multiple times in an effort to make conditions more attractive and insulate the region.  However, as evidenced by the reaction in the Australian ASX 200 over the last week, global conditions and sentiment remain a key driver of momentum.  With circumstances only set to worsen, the bearish outlook facing the Australian ASX will likely prevail over the medium-term.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 11, 2016

British Pound Rising Despite Negative Data / Currencies / British Pound

By: MBM_Research

Trends in many of the financial markets have started to reverse course over the last few weeks with a few notable examples that have yet to be fully discussed.  Some of the more closely watched examples here include things like gold and oil, which have come off sharply from their recent lows.  But there are other examples that should be on the radar of UK traders, as the British Pound (GBP) is making some interesting reversals in its own right. 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Stock Market Sells Yellen's 'Deer in Headlights' Congressional Testimony / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mike_Shedlock

Saxo Bank CIO and chief economist Steen Jakobsen phrased Fed Chair Janet Yellen's testimony before Congress this way: "The politicians were rude and pretty much clueless ... and Yellen often looked like a deer in headlights. Her performance today is probably the worst I have ever seen from seasoned central banker!"

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Gain Trading Confidence by Improving Your Elliott Wave Analysis Skills - Video / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

A lesson from Elliott Wave International's Jeffrey Kennedy

How do you distinguish between a "good" Elliott wave count and a "bad" wave count?

In this lesson from our educational service for traders called Trader's Classroom, editor Jeffrey Kennedy walks you through the steps you should use to achieve a quality Elliott wave count.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Stock Market Positive Divergences...Market Wants Higher....Banks Atrocious....Fed Scary.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market is begging to move higher based on how far it has fallen in such a short period of time. Quite the intense move lower, but what makes it look so technically bullish short-term is the very powerful positive divergences that exist in many areas of the market. While the S&P 500 and Dow didn't make new lows you can see by the MACD's, if they had, they would have created massive, positive divergences. The Nasdaq has been lagging badly and did make a new low. That new low has the potential for a positive divergence to kick in. The divergence is nowhere near as powerful as those of the S&P 500 and Dow, but a divergence is a divergence, and the Nasdaq has one, smaller in size though it may be.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 11, 2016

With A Gloomy Start To 2016, A Bust Seems Just Around The Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Submissions

Taki Tsaklanos submits: Markets have corrected substantially since the beginning of the year as most of the gains of the past two years have been erased. According to Bloomberg, 40 out of the largest 63 markets have dropped over 20%! The image below shows the performance of markets word-wide since their last peaks. Most markets are in a bear market phase or at best are experiencing a market correction. The world is red!

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