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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Personal_Finance

Friday, September 18, 2020

How to tell Budgie Gender, Male or Female Sex for Young and Mature Parakeets / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: Anika_Walayat

Virtually every budgie being sold in the pet shops are less than 3 months old, which means the usual brown nose / purple nose test for whether a budgie is male or female is not going to work. However, this video explains who you can increase the odds of selecting a budgie of the right gender, so that you end up with a male and female budgie if that is what you are looking for. As we compare 2 budgies when they were first bought at roughly 3 months age and then again about 9 months on to see how the colour of their cere has changed over time.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 17, 2020

Fasten Your Seatbelts Stock Market Make Or Break – Big Trends Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Although our modeling systems have recently switched into Bullish Trending mode, we are still very cautious of a Bull Trap pattern.
  • Bearish technical divergences between price and RSI with an election 50+ days away indicates market weakness and money rotating out of FAANG stocks. FAANGs are at make or break levels – it’s time to act not react.
  • 11% to 22% price rotation ranges are in play – are you ready?

My research team recently highlighted the current market trend setup over the past few weeks as cautiously bullish while watching for a potential Bull-Trap setup.  We have been warning our followers of the risks associated with a Presidential election year event as well as the continued disconnect between the market rally and the real-world economy.  These next few days and weeks will make or break the markets so we encourage you to pay attention to this article.

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Economics

Thursday, September 17, 2020

Peak Financialism And Post-Capitalist Economics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Steven_Vincent

Summary

The protracted malaise of the 1970s, with high price inflation and GDP recession, signaled the advent of Peak Industrial Capitalism.

The maturation of the industrial sector of the economy and the onset of demographic growth challenges required the offsetting growth of the financial sector.

The standard of living has declined under Financialism, but the technology revolution has offset some of the negative associated trends.

Financialization has increasingly skimmed Economic Value out of the economic system into the pockets of a smaller and smaller group of elites as larger and larger percentages of the population have become more and more dependent on government programs.

What comes after Peak Financialization? Where do we go from here? As I have said in previous segments in this series, an Information-Based Economic System, Technocracy, Structural Unemployment and Universal Basic Income are some of the likely outcomes we can expect.

This article is part of an ongoing related series that explores an ongoing long-term secular systemic shift in markets, economics, politics and society. Readers might also like to read:

The protracted malaise of the 1970s, with high price inflation and GDP recession, signaled the advent of Peak Industrial Capitalism. The creation of Economic Value from the transformational processes of industrial production (manufacturing, mining, utilities) began to reach its limits of expansion and growth.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, September 17, 2020

Challenges of Working from Home / Personal_Finance / Money Making

By: Justin_Weinger

Remote work has become a necessity for many, and it's likely that working from home will become an established norm in every sector. While there are many perks to being able to virtually tend to you work duties, there are also some setbacks that require some adjustment. If you're new to working from home, you might miss the companionship of your colleagues. You could also miss the sense of structure your morning commute provided; even though you can mimic a routine at home, it can easily become claustrophobic always being in your hours. Below are three other differences you'll face transitioning from the office to remote work along with some potential solutions.

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Local

Thursday, September 17, 2020

Sheffield Heading for Coronavirus Lockdown as Covid Deaths Pass 432 / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

The pandemic is on the rise once more with the number of UK cases per day now exceeding 3000! This video takes likely one of our last shopping trips of Sheffield city centre as we count down to Britain's next covid-19 lockdown's to culminate in a higher second peak than April 2020.

Thus shop whilst you can because lockdown's loom for all of Britians major cities largely due to relaxed behaviour of most people who can't even be bothered to wear their masks properly! It's supposed to cover your nose and mouth and not hang under your chin you damn fools! As this video illustrates!

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 16, 2020

What Does this Valuable Gold Miners Indicator Say Now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Some swear by price action, many others rely on indicators. There are actually many gold trading tips built around these techniques. Gold Miners Bullish Percent Index, is one of the rare ones that don't issue signals all that often. And it showed the highest possible overbought reading recently.

The excessive bullishness was present at the 2016 top as well and it didn’t cause the situation to be any less bearish in reality. All markets periodically get ahead of themselves regardless of how bullish the long-term outlook really is. Then, they correct. If the upswing was significant, the correction is also quite often significant.

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Politics

Wednesday, September 16, 2020

President Trump and Crimes Against Humanity / Politics / Pandemic

By: Dan_Steinbock

According to a new book, President Trump knowingly downplayed coronavirus risks.  As other critics have argued, his administration’s decisions represent crimes against humanity.  

Recently, Bob Woodward, associate editor at the Washington Post and one of the legendary Watergate journalists, published Rage, a new book on President Trump’s first term, which draws on 18 interviews that Woodward conducted with Trump between December 2019 and last July.

Here’s its key message: President Trump knowingly downplayed coronavirus risks.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Slow Economic Recovery from CoronaVirus Unlikely to Impede Strong Demand for Metals / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Richard_Mills

Daily coronavirus cases may be down in the United States, but that is no reason to be complacent, especially given that cold and flu season is only a few weeks away, says the nation’s top doctor. 

In a roundtable discussion Thursday at Harvard Medical School, Dr. Anthony Fauci warned that “we need to hunker down and get through this fall and winter, because it’s not going to be easy.” He compared the pandemic to the early days of HIV in terms of how quickly it escalated, and how it might continue to escalate, if current trends of low mask-wearing and social distancing continue. “We've been through this before,” he said. “Don't ever, ever underestimate the potential of the pandemic. And don't try and look at the rosy side of things.”

On Friday Dr. Fauci went against President Trump, who in a White House news briefing Thursday told MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell, “I really do believe we’re rounding the corner,” referring to new cases having declined substantially since July. 

According to data from John Hopkins University, over the past seven days the country has reported an average 35,200 cases per day, which is 12% lower than a week ago, and around half compared to 70,000 cases per day peak in late July. 

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Politics

Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Why the Knives Are Out for Trump’s Fed Critic Judy Shelton / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Judy Shelton, one of President Trump’s nominees for the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, has faced unprecedented criticism from former Fed employees and academic economists. The denunciations say more about the critics than they do about Shelton, whom I have known for many years.

Shelton is a nominee for one of the two unfilled positions on the twelve-member Fed Board. The other nominee, Christian Waller — an executive vice president and director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — has attracted little attention. On July 21, the Senate Banking Committee approved his nomination by a bipartisan vote of 18-7, whereas Shelton’s nomination saw a party-line vote of 13 Republicans to 12 Democrats. The full Senate has not yet set a date to debate and vote on the nominations.

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Politics

Wednesday, September 16, 2020

Operation Moonshot: Get Ready for Millions of New COVAIDS Positives in the UK! / Politics / Conspiracy Theory

By: Jeff_Berwick

Nineteen years ago, they pulled off the world’s first Big Lie.

"The United States government and their lackeys in the corporate media put forth a version of the events of September 11th, 2001 that are laughable, disjointed, and totally impossible. Scientifically impossible. Criminally impossible. Physically impossible."

"In order for the official story to be true the laws of physics would have had to have been suspended on that day, especially when reviewing the 9/11 Commission Report, more accurately known as the 9/11 Omission Report, which may as well have been written with crayons to reflect the total lack of anything resembling science, truth, or seriousness."

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Stock Market Approaching Correction Objective / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.

SPX Intermediate trend:  Potential intermediate correction in progress.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Look at This Big Reminder of Dot.com Stock Market Mania / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: EWI

Here’s when a surge in IPOs tends to occur

Let's pretend for a second we're trying to explain to an alien how the weather works on planet Earth.

When the sky turns dark and cloudy, we might tell him, this indicates rain -- perhaps even thunderstorms. However, cloudy skies do not necessarily signal when a downpour will start or how long it will last if it does start. After all, the sun could break through before an umbrella is needed. All that said, when the sky turns ominous, it's a good idea to have your umbrella handy -- just in case.

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Companies

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Three Key Principles for Successful Disruption Investors / Companies / Investing 2020

By: Stephen_McBride

In this essay, I’ll share my top three “disruption investing” principles for building lasting wealth.

Principle #1: Great Disruption Investors Know Timing Trumps All

Disruptors invent the future. For example, Amazon created the online marketplace. Netflix pioneered video streaming. And Apple is the main reason 85% of Americans have a smartphone. Disruptors figure out how to accomplish things that have never been done before. This often leads to big stock market profits. But it can also lead to irrational excitement. And irrational excitement can lead to dangerous situations in the stock market.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Billionaire Hedge Fund Manager Warns of 10% Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

Over the past month, gold has traded in a range with support around $1,900. Bulls have made a couple unsuccessful attempts to retake and hold above the $2,000 level following the sharp plunge below it on August 11th.

But we are likely to see a more decisive move in the gold market one way or the other in the days ahead.

The near-term outlook for precious metals markets may be determined by where the U.S. Dollar Index heads next. It has been basing out since August after trending lower earlier in the summer.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Gold Price Reaches $2,000 Amid Dollar Depreciation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

$2,000. Think about this number. Theoretically, it’s just a number, one of many. But… somehow we feel that jumping above this level was a big event in the gold market. After all, gold surpassed this psychologically important point for the first time in history, reaching record high, as the chart below shows.

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Commodities

Monday, September 14, 2020

GLD, IAU Big Gold ETF Buying MIA / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The big gold-ETF buying that catapulted gold higher into early August has gone missing in action.  That’s why gold stalled out since, drifting sideways flirting with a correction.  To continue powering higher, gold needs these major stock-market-capital inflows via exchange-traded funds to resume.  The near-term fortunes for the precious-metals complex are heavily dependent on how American traders position in gold ETFs.

For better or worse, exchange-traded funds are increasingly dominating gold’s price trends.  Their relative importance has been mounting for years, and cannot be overstated.  Major gold ETFs are becoming the global gold market.  Despite lingering concerns about gold ETFs’ physical bullion holdings, speculators and investors keep flocking to them.  They are the easiest way to get gold portfolio exposure, quick and cheap.

The World Gold Council’s latest quarterly fundamental data on global gold supply and demand yet again revealed gold ETFs’ dominance.  The WGC’s Q2’20 Gold Demand Trends report showed global demand being gobbled up by gold ETFs like Pac-Man!  Gold surged 12.9% in Q2, which enjoyed one of the most-bullish psychological backdrops ever.  A worldwide pandemic raged, which had just spawned a stock panic.

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Companies

Monday, September 14, 2020

Why Bill Gates Is Betting Millions on Synthetic Biology / Companies / BioTech

By: John_Mauldin

By Justin Spittler: Beyond Meat (BYND) was one of last year’s hottest stocks. Shares of the plant-based meat company exploded 859% during its first three months out of the gate.

“Fake meat” was all the rage: an instant favorite with Millennials (I personally prefer the real thing). And the industry’s still booming today. It’s already worth $12 billion. By 2025, it’s projected to double again!

But here’s the thing: While most people have heard of Beyond Meat and the plant-based meat mania by now, they don’t realize that this is all part of a much bigger opportunity. In fact, many of the wealthiest investors on the planet have been going “all in” on this obscure megatrend.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 14, 2020

Stock Market SPY Expectations For The Rest Of September / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Over the past 28 years, the SPY has gained an average of 3.45% in 15 of those years; it has fallen by 6.42% in the other 13 years.
  • The critical support level for SPY is 332.85. If the SPY finds support at this level then you can expect continued, moderate price increases.
  • Prepare for a moderate increase in volatility for the rest of September – watch the VIX.

My research team and I have been pouring over the charts in an effort to attempt to identify any support or weakness related to the increase in volatility over the past 7+ trading days.  The VIX is currently at 29.71 after reaching a high of 38.28.  We believe the increased price volatility is here to stay – at least through the end of 2020.  This means skilled technical traders should prepare for some potentially large and aggressive price swings over the next few weeks and months.

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Commodities

Monday, September 14, 2020

Gold Price Gann Angle Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: readtheticker

Golds bullish trend has worked well in 2020, so what is next over the immediate 3 to 6 months? Will we continue to see a golden future.

The US dollar had been strong into COVID 19, since then the FED has printing a lot of money, and they are also considering YCC (Yield Curve Control), last seen during WW2. [Note YCC lasted 9 years over WW2. WOW, that is a lot of money printing.]

The FED is now forecast to over take competing central banks balance sheets in size, and the release valve will be a falling US dollar. Therefore we should continue to see the US dollar maintain is slow leak down over the next 3 to 6 month, say on the DXY 82 to 88.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 14, 2020

Stock Market Recovery from the Sharp Correction Goes On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Paul_Rejczak

The bulls responded with an upswing, which I saw as probable to happen. Is the sharp correction over now? Thus far, my answer remains the same as yesterday – in terms of prices, the worst is likely behind us, in terms of time, we have a way to go still.

So, what about the key juncture stocks are at? Let's get and feel the pulse via a few selected charts.

As for narratives, the tensions around China are back in the spotlight. Otherwise, my yesterday's comments still apply:

(…) Unless the Democrats raise up a notch their existing calls for Biden not to concede defeat under any circumstances, unless rioting ramps up, unless the Fed takes away the punch bowl, and finally unless Americans happily march into another lockdown that who knows when it would really end and on what terms (Cuomo's conditions serve as a great, sorry, terrible example), the stock bull run can go on in September before meeting the October headwinds.

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