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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 09, 2020

Stock Traders’ Dreams Come True – Big Technical Price Swings Pending on SP500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • A potentially critical price inflection point and technical pattern setup that has nearly completed and validated over the past few days, weeks, and months.
  • Potential flag/pennant formation on our Custom Valuations Index Weekly Chart shows a possible 11% to 16% (or more) downside price correction in SPY.
  • Fibonacci Price Modeling system’s projects SPY downside target level near $284.50 before a bounce.

Over the past few weeks and months, my team and I have published a series of research articles suggesting the continued market melt-up was driven by speculation and the US Fed’s policies and support for the markets.  We’ve also highlighted a number of technical patterns that have setup within various symbols that have generated strong warnings of a potential price reversal over the past few weeks.  The biggest pattern has been the Head-and-Shoulders price patterns.  The sudden downside price move in the NASDAQ, and other markets, last week caught many traders/investors off-guard.  One day after a very strong rally in the US stock markets, the price reversed and sold-off nearly 6% – a shocking reversal of trend.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 09, 2020

Should You Be Concerned About The Stock Market Big Downside Rotation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Don’t panic.  Technical Analysis does not confirm a deeper price correction at this time, nor does this appear to be the Bull-Trap we have been warning about… yet.
  • We are waiting until next week to see if price confirms any new trend.
  • Volatility should decrease if this is just a moderate price rotation.

Is this the “Bull-Trap” setup we have been warning about for some time now?  Should traders be concerned about deeper downside price trends or a collapse in the markets?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Options Traders Keep "Opting" for Even Higher Stock Market Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI

And this continued bullish behavior speaks volumes about the trend

What a rally!

After a swift and scary ride downward, the DJIA has climbed from a low of 18,213 on March 23 to near-record high territory.

Even so, many investors are still bullish, and they're backing up their conviction with a great enthusiasm for call options, which are bets on higher prices. (By contrast, as you probably know, put options are placed when market participants expect lower prices.)

This enthusiasm for call options has been on display for at least a couple of months now.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Gold & Silver Shine as Fed Targets Bondholders for Capital Losses / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

As the tech-heavy stock market indexes sold off on Thursday, many investors were forced to re-think their positions.

For the past few months, mega cap technology companies like Apple, Amazon, and Tesla have led the market higher. Yesterday they led the market lower.

Now the question is: Where can investors look for leadership going forward?

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Gold Stocks in Correction Mode / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are mired in correction mode, which isn’t surprising after their mighty post-stock-panic upleg.  Huge buying catapulting them higher left this sector extremely overbought.  Corrections are normal and healthy after prices get too stretched technically.  They eradicate upleg toppings’ excessive greed, rebalancing sentiment.  That paves the way for bulls’ next uplegs, and offers great buying opportunities.

The most-popular gold-stock benchmark today is the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  It includes the world’s biggest and best gold miners, dwarfing its peers in size.  Launched way back in May 2006, GDX’s first-mover advantage has grown insurmountable.  This ETF’s $17.9b in net assets this week are running 31.4x larger than its next biggest competitor’s in the 1x-long major-gold-miners-ETF space.  GDX is king.

Gold stocks have a well-deserved reputation for excessive volatility, which is a key reason they are so alluring.  When the stars align right for them, meaning a big and persistent gold upleg, their stock prices skyrocket!  We just witnessed that in this sector’s enormous upleg following March’s COVID-19-lockdown-fueled stock panic.  The subsequent gold-stock gains were among the largest out of all stock-market sectors.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

The law of long-term time preference and Gold ownership / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Michael_J_Kosares

“Those who plan, invest and execute long-term win,’ says long-time market analyst R.E. McMaster in A Layman’s Guide to Golden Guidelines for Wise Money Management. “Win-win decisions, looking to the long term with short-term work and sacrifice, are historically the tickets to success in all areas of life – short-term sacrifice for long-term benefits, deferred gratification rather than instant gratification. This is the difference between wealth and poverty, between class and trash. Those who make primarily fear-based, ego-based, selfish, win-lose, lose-lose, emotional and/or short-term decisions as their primary mode of operation in life nearly always end up miserable, often as losers in a comprehensive sense in life. Such people are walking tornadoes to be avoided.” [The Law of Long-Term Time Preference]

Successful investors have a philosophy, usually carefully cultivated, that they rely upon in their investment decisions no matter what happens in the markets in the short-run. Too, successful investors, as R.E. McMaster points out above, are rarely shaken by short-term events and, rarer still, guilty of short-term thinking. USAGOLD has always nurtured the belief that gold should not be purchased principally as a speculative investment, but more as an asset accumulated for long-term wealth preservation in the form of coins and bullion. That, in fact, is a viewpoint it shares with the bulk of its clientele. Thus, when we have a sell-off like what occurred this past month, experienced gold investors usually view such events as buying opportunities and part of a normal, healthy market process.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Gold Bull Markets: History and Prospects Ahead / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Would you like to know one simple way of achieving investment successes and getting rich? That’s great, I will reveal this secret to you – and you even don’t have to click anything! The trick is to find a bull market and go long! And, what a coincidence, gold is right now in the bull market… If you don’t believe, then look at the chart below.

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Local

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Sheffield City Centre Coronavirus Shopping Opera Ahead of Second Covid-19 Peak / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

This video takes an operatic shopping tour of Sheffield city centre as we count down to Britain's second covid-19 peak that will likely be higher than that which triggered the panic lockdown's late March. Thus shop whilst you can because lockdown's loom for all of Britians major cities largely due to relaxed behaviour of most people who can't even be bothered to wear their masks properly! It's supposed to cover your nose and mouth and not hang under your chin you damn fools! As this video illustrates!

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Commodities

Monday, September 07, 2020

Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Hope you have all had good August holidays despite the fast materialising Covid-19 second peaks across the world with the United States leading the way by galloping ahead of the rest. Though much of Europe has also taken it's eye off the ball and is fast seeing it's 2nd peaks materialising with the UK managing to fair better largely due to intelligence of it's citizens rather than any actions from our inept government. Though it is still on a rising trend trajectory as new cases continue to climb with the opening of schools and universities set to feed the covid-19 monster going forward.

If the pandemic was not bad enough for August the UK has had atrocious weather to the extent where one wondered if it's better to lose the £1000 or so spent on bookings than to venture out in this miserable weather.

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Currencies

Monday, September 07, 2020

Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Bitcoin collapsed near Triple Fib Amplitude Arcs – is this a sign of pending reversal for other assets?
  • It is very likely that Bitcoin price levels will fall below the May through July levels, near $9k in an attempt to identify new support levels. The $8k level would be the next downside price target.  Beyond that, possibly $7k or even $6k.
  • Gold and Silver will move lower before going higher as a potential price collapse in Bitcoin suggests general market fear is hitting all global assets.
  • As other assets decline in valuation levels, the US Dollar will likely be viewed as the strongest currency to own and rise.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Politics

Monday, September 07, 2020

From Trump’s TikTok Mess to US Tech Cold War against China / Politics / China US Conflict

By: Dan_Steinbock

As the Trump administration is expanding trade wars, which could derail global recovery, the White House is targeting Chinese innovators thus fostering US national champions under the pretext of ‘national security.’         

In the early 2010s, an aspiring Chinese internet entrepreneur Zhang Yiming launched ByteDance, while developing a video sharing platform. After success in China, he began to internationalize TikTok.

To avoid conflict in national jurisdictions, Zhang had TikTok and its Chinese version Douying run on separate servers. TikTok's data collection is similar to that of major US social media and certainly less intrusive than Facebook’s.

By August, Douying had over 500 million active users, while TikTok surpassed 1 billion users worldwide in barely four years. To manage the global concern, Zhang hired a Disney executive to head TikTok and oversee its parent ByteDance. Backed by the largest US and Japanese financial giants, the parent was valued at $75 billion; the most valuable startup worldwide.

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Commodities

Monday, September 07, 2020

The Federal Reserve vs. Judy Shelton And Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Kelsey_Williams

Those in favor of Judy Shelton’s approval by Congress, pursuant to her nomination to the Federal Reserve Board Of Governors, should not be surprised by the torrent of criticism directed at her.

A letter published and signed by former Federal Reserve officials and staffers called on the Senate to reject her nomination, stating that “Ms. Shelton’s views are so extreme and ill-considered as to be an unnecessary distraction from the tasks at hand…”

Her “extreme” views were referred to in a general statement of condemnation:

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Commodities

Monday, September 07, 2020

Fed Dials Up Inflation Target…Own Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth discusses the Fed's inflation target and what that means for gold.

Make no mistake, higher gold prices are coming.

By pulling yet another arrow from its quiver, the Fed's just helped move us closer that target.

The Fed wants inflation, so it's going to get it. Problem is, we the people, will have to live with it.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell told us last week they will let inflation run higher than "normal" to make up for stubbornly "below average" inflation for some time.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, September 07, 2020

Does Gold Still Have Plenty of Potential? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

According to the WGC, the latest leg of gold’s 2020 bull run has come too fast, but gold has still potential for further upside.

The World Gold Council has recently published a few interesting reports. Let’s analyze them and draw important conclusions for the precious metals investors!

I’ll start with the July Investment Update: “Gold hits record high: sprint or marathon?” about the summer’s rally in gold that elevated the price of the yellow metal to the new record high. According to the WGC, the combination of high uncertainty, easy monetary policy, very low interest rates, positive price momentum, the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, and fears of higher inflation fueled record flows of 734 tons into gold-backed ETFs in the first half of the year and the gold’s price appreciation:

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Politics

Monday, September 07, 2020

CDC Shock Admission - THERE IS NO PANDEMIC! Over 90% of Deaths nOT From COVID19 / Politics / Pandemic

By: Jeff_Berwick

There seems to be a black hole swallowing flu, pneumonia, cancer, diabetes, old age and stroke fatalities in 2020.

Every year, millions of people around the world die of these causes, none related to the Serial Killer From China plandemic. Yet, this year, all these illnesses have been used as “comorbidity” excuses to label people as ‘Covid’ victims.

And finally, the CDC has admitted it. Right there, on its website, for anyone to read.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, September 07, 2020

Stock Market SPX to Gold/Silver Ratios Explored – What To Expect Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • A Phase II rally in metals is just getting ready to start.
  • Phase II rallies are very explosive and tend to enter Parabolic trends.
  • Gold could rally 250% to 350% over the next several years.
  • Silver could rally 550% to 750% over the next several years.

My research team and I started exploring the relationship between the Gold-to-Silver ratio and the S&P 500 to find trends in Metals and the US Stock Markets.  We called the collapse in the Gold-to-Silver ratio accurately back in March 2020, and we believe the current setup in the S&P to the Gold-to-Silver ratio shows the move in Precious Metals is far from over. 

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Commodities

Monday, September 07, 2020

Is the Precious Metals Market really Overwhelmed and Chaotic / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Robert_Singer

August 13, the Market Oracle  publishes my article on Gold, Silver, the Black Rock and the Twins. I claim something is going on that can’t be explained without knowing what happened in 2015 that changed the precious metals and mankind’s destiny.

I am still waiting to see if Silver tests the $21 resistance but what happened yesterday (August 11) and the next day is perplexing.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 06, 2020

Stock Market Divergent Top - Are Fangs Going To Breakdown Soon? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • FANG Index may begin to peak/top as RSI Divergence pattern sets up.
  • Dow Theory trend divergence confirmation suggests the end of the “Excess Rally” is near.
  • The VIX moving higher suggests greater concerns of increased volatility.
  • Dow Jones Utility Index moving lower on increased volume may be the key in a multiple-pattern set up that will confirm larger market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, September 06, 2020

Pension Funds Start Looking to Gold to Avert Disaster / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Public and private pension plans face a dual crisis.

The first and most obvious threat to pensioners is that defined-benefit vehicles are severely underfunded. By one estimate, pension systems taken as a whole are $638 billion in the red.

Some are in better shape financially than others. But all pension plans will have to reckon with a second huge challenge going forward.

Namely, they are already entirely unable to meet their stated return objectives by owning conventional “safe” interest-bearing instruments such as Treasury bonds.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 06, 2020

Fed Embraces Higher Inflation. Will It Embrace Gold, Too? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Fed adopts a new strategy that opens the door for higher inflation. The change is fundamentally positive for gold prices.

So, it happened! In line with market expectations, the Fed has changed its monetary policy framework into a more dovish one! This is something we warned our Readers in our last Fundamental Gold Report:

the Fed could change how it defines and achieves its inflation goal, trying, for example, to achieve its inflation target as an average over a longer time period rather than on an annual basis.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


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