Monday, December 16, 2019
Precious Metals, Copper, CRB Commodity Markets Step By Step , Inch by Inch / Commodities / Gambling
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to update some commodities charts we haven’t looked at in a while. There have been some subtle changes taking place that need to be addressed. Just like the PM complex that topped out in 2011 many commodities also topped out that same year and have been correcting ever since. With the US dollar at an important inflection point it may be time for commodities in general to show some relative strength which they haven’t done for a very long time.
Lets start with this very long term monthly combo chart which has the CRB index on top with the US dollar in the middle and gold on the bottom. Back in April of 2011 the CRB index topped out while the US dollar bottomed out exactly at the same time with gold topping out 5 months later in September. As you can see there is a mild correlation between the CRB and gold with their 2011 trendline both sloping down while the US dollar is sloping up.
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Monday, December 16, 2019
Stock Market Market Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – There are no signs that the bull market is over.
Intermediate trend – Most likely approaching an intermediate top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, December 15, 2019
Gold Stocks Vs Gold – Not A Good Bet / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Kelsey_Williams
Earlier this year, various gold stock indices (XAU, HUI, GDX) gained more than fifty percent in just three months. Most of the negativity associated with the sector was brushed aside and replaced by positive expectations for the future.
Of course, the 90-day rush to this year’s highs did not occur in a vacuum. The price of gold rose by twenty percent over the same three-month period. The mining shares, however were considerably stronger.
Going back to the fall of 2018, the price of gold increased by thirty percent and gold mining shares increased by about sixty-five percent. The resulting differential of more than 2-to-1 in favor of the mining shares lends possible credence to the argument for shares over bullion.
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Sunday, December 15, 2019
Silver Price Remains in 'Corrective Downtrend' / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts the longer term picture for silver.
Like gold, silver has been in a corrective downtrend following its peak early in September, and it looks like it has further to run before its done, partly of course because we have a downside target for gold in the $1360–$1400 area before it turns up.
On the 6-month month we can see how it has been stumbling lower within a downtrend and it looks like it will break down through the lower boundary of this downtrend to drop to a final downside target probably at support in the $15.30–$15.60 area. It outperformed gold during the summer run up and has underperformed on the subsequent reaction, which is normal, and as we know, silver is weaker than gold during the early stages of a bull market, so this near-term downside target seems reasonable.
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Sunday, December 15, 2019
Amazon - Snow Falling Effect Christmas Lights Outdoor Projector Review / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: HGR
With Christmas just around the corner we have been on the hunt for various types of christmas lights to brighten up our home for the festive season. And this snow flurry projector sold by UKEER on Amazon for £29.99 (https://amzn.to/2BcpUu7) caught our attention as it appeared to offer a much wide coverage than the usual animated projectors.
Firstly the projector was delivered very quickly in about half the original estimated delivery time.
Secondly, it's main powered with 5 metres of cable.
Thirdly comes with two attachments to set it in place, a stand to attach to a wall and a ground spike.
Fourthly it is water proof to IP65, so should be fine for outdoor weather.
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Sunday, December 15, 2019
How to FIX Dirty Disk Windows Hard Drive Volume Error 0X80071AC3 / Personal_Finance / How to Guides
By: HGR
Eventually virtually every Windows user is going to come across the Dirty Disk error message that basically locks a hard drive from being able to write to it as a protection. Which ususally coincides with an unexpected loss of power be it your computer being switched off without shutting down or more usually an external hard drive being unpligged whilst data is being writtne to it. Nine times out of ten, your drive will be fine, but there will evertnaully be that one time when you find that you are no longer ablto to write data to the drive.
What's basically happened is that Drive has had it's Dirty Bit set, and to get to write again that dirty bit needs to be cleared. Which can prove more difficult to do than many web sites and youtube suggest to run CHECKDISK and the problem will be fixed. Instead in reality you will find that you have less than a 50% chance of Checkdisk working.
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Sunday, December 15, 2019
Raffaele Riva and AUREA Are Breaking New Ground in Financial Services Across Europe / Companies / Corporate News
By: Sumeet_Manhas
AUREA Multi Family Office is a company that offers international financial services, helping clients navigate various financial terrains such as pRivate investment, wealth and asset management, trusts, and estate planning. Under the leadership of renowned international businessman Raffaele Riva, AUREA tailors individual services for wealthy clients managing diverse assets.
Founded by Riva in 2008, AUREA regulates various subsidiaries, including Swiss firms Aurea Gestioni Patrimoniali SA, and Aurea Consulenti Associati SA; the London-based BGB AUREA Ltd; and Milano Fiduciaria S.r.l. in Italy. Riva maintains active participation in these subsidiary companies, overseeing important negotiations and transactions and managing special pRivate investments.
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Saturday, December 14, 2019
Canadian Cannabis Stocks CRASH as Canopy Growth Hits a Dead End / Companies / Cannabis
By: Stephen_McBride
It was supposed to be a routine police raid…
But when the cops stormed an illegal pot operation in California earlier this year, even grizzled veterans were shocked by what they found.
They went in expecting to confiscate marijuana plants from a farm. Instead, they found a pot factory cranking out 500 pounds of pot a day. That’s nearly enough pot to supply all legal pot shops in California!
As you may know, California legalized recreational pot in 2018… an act that was supposed to put an end to the illegal pot black market. Instead, the total opposite has happened. Black market pot is thriving.
Saturday, December 14, 2019
Australian Dollar At an Important Juncture / Currencies / Austrailia
By: Nadia_Simmons
It can be certainly said that AUD/USD has surprised on the upside recently. Having reached several important resistances, and attempting breakout above them, what else can be said about the pair’s current and upcoming performance?
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Saturday, December 14, 2019
Retail Sector Isn’t Dead, and These 6% Dividend Paying Stocks Prove It / Companies / Retail Sector
By: Robert_Ross
I’m sure you’re familiar with the “retail apocalypse.” Brick-and-mortar retailers are dying off as people buy more stuff online, or so the story goes.
This trend has taken out household names like Circuit City, Blockbuster Video, and Payless ShoeSource. Even luxury retailer Barneys filed for bankruptcy this year.
All told, about 9,000 brick-and-mortar stores closed in 2019. Meanwhile, e-commerce sales are growing around 5% per year. But there’s more to this story...
Despite the headline-grabbing bankruptcies, about 90% of US retail sales still happen in person.
Saturday, December 14, 2019
Top 5 Ways to Add Value to Your Home / Housing-Market / Home Improvements
By: Justin_Weinger
How can you add long- and short-term value to your house? Here are what experienced real estate professionals say are the five best ways to ramp up the potential resale price of your dwelling:
Redo the Bathrooms
At the top of home-shoppers’ lists, fresh, newly redone bathrooms are a key selling point for old and new houses. It’s not the cheapest value-adding task you can opt for, but you will definitely get your money back in the selling price, and then some. If your place has more than one bathroom, try your best to budget for both to be redone. Choose a contractor based on a combination of experience and price and be clear that you want the renovated bathrooms to match.
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Friday, December 13, 2019
Beware Gold Stocks Downside / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks have largely been consolidating high following last summer’s powerful upleg. That resilience has left sentiment relatively bullish, with traders mostly expecting this sector to soon start surging again. But the jury is still out on whether gold stocks will be lucky enough to evade a bigger correction. Major downside risks still abound, primarily in gold which dominates gold-stock price trends.
The reversal in gold-stock fortunes this year has been radical. This is readily evident in their leading benchmark, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF. Comprised of the world’s largest gold miners, GDX is this sector’s most-popular trading vehicle. The gold miners weren’t faring well for most of the first half of 2019, with GDX down 4.4% year-to-date in early May. Traders wanted nothing to do with gold stocks.
That sector slump reflected a lack of enthusiasm for gold, which was down 0.9% YTD. The gold stocks are effectively leveraged plays on gold, as their earnings really amplify changes in prevailing gold levels. But as May ended, some surprising news started sparking life back into the moribund gold realm. Trump threatened to impose big tariffs on Mexico until it stopped illegal immigration across the US southern border.
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Friday, December 13, 2019
Fed Says No Interest Rate Hikes In 2020. What About Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Fed kept the interest rates unchanged in December. The statement was rather hawkish, while the dot-plot rather dovish. What does such a mix imply for the yellow metal?
Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged
Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on December 10-11th. In line with expectations, the U.S. central bank left the federal funds rate unchanged at 1.50 to 1.75 percent:
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Friday, December 13, 2019
The ABC’s of Fiat Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Rob_Kirby
The machinations and bravo sierra excuses that are being “served up” attempting to explain the onset of massive Fed liquidity “adds” are fogging up my glasses. As a savant I once worked with in the institutional capital markets told me many, many years ago when I first parked my butt in a chair on a trading desk fresh out of University told me, “Kirby, what happens in here is really quite simple – we deal with money and the only things you can do with that are: buy it, sell it, borrow it or lend it. It isn’t rocket science”.When the Fed adds “liquidity” [aka fresh fiat money] they purchase debt – either on a temporary basis [repo] or a permanent basis by outright purchases [expanding their balance sheet]. Fresh fiat money is the oil that greases the wheels of our debt based money system. When the Fed purchases debt they are signalling concern that the wheels of our money system are seizing up.
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Friday, December 13, 2019
Why Jo Swinson and the Lib Dems LOST Seats General Election 2019 - Sheffiled Hallam Result / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019
By: N_Walayat
According to the pollsters such as Yougov, the Lib Dem's were supposed to hoover up seats in REMAIN constituencies from at least Labour if not the Tories. But that's not what happened! They FAILED to win seats where they were ahead in the polls such as in the Sheffield Hallam constituency. Even Jo Swinson the Lib Deam leader lost her seat to the SNP! Resulting in the Lib Dems dropping from 20 MP's to just 11!
Find out why in this precient video posted the day BEFORE polling day for why the Lib Dem's had burned their support in many consituencies across Britain, such as in Sheffield Hallam where the polls said they were ahead by 4% i.e. 36% to 32% Labour. Instead Labour held onto the seat by 700 votes.
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Thursday, December 12, 2019
UK General Election 2019 BBC Exit Poll Forecast Accuracy Analysis / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Over 50,000 polling stations are open today across the UK to cope with the expected demand from an estimated 34 million voters out of a total of approx 49 million eligible to vote. With all eyes turned to the next big event of election night, the BBC EXIT POLL to follow within minutes of the polls closing at 10pm. Which unlike the multitudes of daily opinion polls that have been all over the place during the past month, the exit poll should provide an accurate gauge of what is the probable outcome of the general election some 5 hours before enough seats have been counted to make the actual result clear.
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Thursday, December 12, 2019
Technical Analysis Update: Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) - Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
By: MarketsToday
Summary
- TASI / KSA break out of bull head & shoulders bottom trend reversal pattern.
- Indicates continuation of long-term upward sloping trend channel.
- Key Fibonacci zone targets marked on enclosed charts.
Thursday, December 12, 2019
Silver Miners Pinpoint the Precious Metals’ Outlook / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Very little happened in the precious metals market both yesterday and in today’s pre-market trading – at least so far. We will take this opportunity to discuss something that we haven’t done in a while – silver stocks. To be clear, we’re not going to discuss the silver mining stock selection, as that’s something our proprietary algorithms do on a daily basis. And yes, during the recent long trade, the gain on the individual gold and silver miners was bigger than the one from the GDX ETF.
Instead, we’re going to take a look at this sector’s performance and compare it to one very similar case from the past. Yes, just one, which may not looks like an appropriate base for drawing conclusions, but the level of similarity makes it definitely relevant to the current situation. So, without further ado, let’s take a closer look at the SIL ETF – the proxy for silver miners.
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Thursday, December 12, 2019
How Google Has Become the Worlds Biggest Travel Company / Companies / Google
By: Stephen_McBride
For decades travel agents had a “lock” on vacations. Before the internet it was near impossible to find cheap fares yourself. And choosing the perfect hotel involved a lot of flicking through glossy brochures.
The “do it yourself” approach was a huge hassle. It was a lot easier to hire a knowledgeable travel agent. Then disruptor stocks like Booking.com (BKNG) and Expedia (EXPE) blew up the old model forever. With a few clicks, you could compare any flight or hotel in the world.
Thursday, December 12, 2019
UK Election Seats Forecasts - Tories 326, Labour 241, SNP 40, Lib Dems 17 / ElectionOracle / General Election 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here's a quick summary of my general election seats per party forecasts ahead of the polls opening.
- Conservatives 326
- Labour 241
- SNP 40
- Lib Dems 17