Thursday, August 16, 2018
Large Caps Underperformance vs. Small Caps is Bullish for Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As you probably already know, large cap stocks (Dow Jones index) have underperformed small cap stocks (Russell 2000 index) in 2018.
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Thursday, August 16, 2018
“The Big Grab” - Failing Pension and Retirement System / Politics / Pensions & Retirement
By: Andy_Sutton
It has been quite some time since we last collaborated on an article, opting instead to chase other pursuits and let some of the hysteria going on in the world fade into some type of steady state. It hasn’t happened, but there are pressing matters that need attention regardless. The circus going on all around us makes for great theater and distraction – and that is its intent.
The topic at hand is the failing pension and retirement system. Americans are notorious for spending well in excess of what they make, saving nothing in the process. The only way most save are the deductions from their paychecks for a 401k or IRA. Or perhaps they contribute to an IRA at tax time, when they realize doing so will reduce their tax liability.
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Thursday, August 16, 2018
USD/CAD Approaching Crucial Break / Currencies / Canadian $
By: FXOpen
The daily chart of USD/CAD indicates a decent uptrend above 1.3000.
Key Points
- The US Dollar is in a major uptrend with a crucial support at 1.3000 against the Canadian Dollar.
- A significant contracting triangle is formed with resistance at 1.3150 on the daily chart of USD/CAD.
Thursday, August 16, 2018
How US Indo-Pacific Vision Forgot Asian Development / Economics / Asian Economies
By: Dan_Steinbock
The Trump administration’s Indo-Pacific Vision is not an alternative to Chinese and other development initiatives in the Asia Pacific. It is a geopolitical play that is likely to benefit mainly advanced economies. What the Asia Pacific needs is a sustainable, long-term plan for accelerated economic development – not new geopolitical divisions. On July 30, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo gave a highly-anticipated speech on “America’s Indo-Pacific Economic Vision”:
The Indo-Pacific, which stretches from the United States west coast to the west coast of India, is a subject of great importance to American foreign policy. This region is one of the greatest engines … of the future global economy, and it already is today. And the American people and the whole world have a stake in the Indo-Pacific’s peace and prosperity. It’s why the Indo-Pacific must be free and open.
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Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Impulse Moves in the Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Rambus_Chartology
For the last several months or so I’ve been showing you that many of the important currencies that make up the US dollar have been breaking down from large 2 1/2 year trading ranges. If you want to know what the US dollar is going to do the first thing you need to do is look at the important currencies that make up the US dollar as the US dollar is just a derivative of those currencies. Most of the time a stock, or in this case the currencies that make up the US dollar are trading within a reversal pattern, consolidation pattern, or are in an impulse move. It’s that impulse move that you want to be aware of and the earlier the better.
Tonight I’m going to update most of the currencies we’ve been following over the last several months because I believe they’re in the process of beginning an important impulse leg down which can have a profound affect on the PM complex and commodities in general. These types of moves don’t come around all that often, but when you begin to see an important setup maturing it’s usually worth the risk to try and take advantage of what the market will give you and impulse moves are what I live for as an intermediate term trader.
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Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Best Merlin UK Theme Park Summer Holiday 2018 - Thorpe, Alton Towers, LegoLand or Chessington? / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays
By: Anika_Walayat
We are now well into the UK school summer holidays so families are busy planning where to go next, which usually includes trips to Britain's Theme parks where the king of UK attractions is Merlin with it's 32 theme parks spread out across the UK. And so with so much choice many are asking which is Britians' best theme park as this video after multiple visits to Merlin's largest and most popular theme parks i.e. Alton Towers, Thorpe Park, Chessington World of Adventures and of course probably the best known LegoLand Windsor.
Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Controlled Virtual Reality by Algorithms / Politics / Virtual Reality
By: Submissions
The backlash against the high tech mob is so obvious that no sane person can deny that their version of acceptable thinking requires banning Free Speech. The genie is out of the lamp and the only way to prevent these demons from repeating their censorship is to cork the bottle of any product offered by these companies. Utopia for the authoritarian collectivists necessitates that they conjure up twisted and absurd content targets as hate speech in a desperate attempt to rationalize the purging of counter opinions to their orthodox "PC" Communist Manifesto. In essence, the "so called" left has become the model of fascism by and under Silicon Valley's techno plutocrats. Merging Fabian ideals with state/corporatist absolutism produces a deformed corporeality by algorithms in an artificial intelligence society.
Wednesday, August 15, 2018
The Essence of Writing an Essay that Must be Understood / Personal_Finance / Education
By: Submissions
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Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Is Solar Energy Rising From The Ashes Again? / Companies / Solar Energy
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, the Solar Energy sector has popped up on our watch-list of potential sectors to pay attention to. Over the past few weeks, the Solar Energy sector has been under some pricing pressure and has retraced nearly 50% of the previous trend across the sector. We, the research team at Technical Traders Ltd. understand the Trade War and uncertainty resulting from geopolitical tensions can sometimes create opportunities in the markets for all traders/investors. We just have to be smart enough to find them end execute them efficiently.
Wednesday, August 15, 2018
A Bullish Bond Argument That Hides in Plain Sight / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: F_F_Wiley
It’s been awhile since I advised anyone to load up on long Treasuries. The bearish bond narrative has been too strong for that, thanks largely to fiscal policy but also to near-4% unemployment rates, quantitative tightening and—maybe most threatening of all—tit-for-tat tariffs.
In fact, I challenge anyone to think of a time during the past two decades when bond bears (read: most mainstream commentators) have possessed a more compelling Powerpoint pack.
But maybe the powerful bear story has become overplayed, maybe it was fully or almost fully priced in by mid-May, when the 10-year Treasury yield reached a six-year high of 3.11%. If so, it might be a good time to revisit the argument that the secular bull is still intact, a time for contrarians to speak up.
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Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Saudi Arabia And Iran Reignite The Oil Price War / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
The rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran is becoming increasingly evident in the oil pricing policies of the two large Middle Eastern producers. The two countries are currently reigniting the market share and pricing war ahead of the returning U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil.
Saudi Arabia, OPEC's largest producer, has been boosting oil production to offset supply disruptions elsewhere, including the anticipated loss of Iranian oil supply after U.S. sanctions on Tehran return in early November. The Saudis are also cutting their prices to the prized Asian market to lure more customers as they increase supply.
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Wednesday, August 15, 2018
Jim Rogers on Gold, Silver, Bitcoin and Blockchain’s “Spectacular Future” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: GoldCore
Jim Rogers, legendary investor and “Adventure Capitalist” speaks with Mark O’Byrne, GoldCore’s Director of Research, in the Goldnomics Podcast (Episode 7).
Are the actions of the US administration making China great again? What currency is going to challenge the US dollar as the global reserve? What can we do to protect ourselves against the next financial crash?
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Wednesday, August 15, 2018
A Depressed Economy And A Silver Boom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Hubert_Moolman
Let’s take a look at silver priced in oil (WTI Crude), the Dow and US dollars:
Above, is silver priced in oil from 1983 to now. Price has moved in a large channel before it broke out at the end of 2014. This is really significant given the length of time involved.
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Tuesday, August 14, 2018
Moving Averages Help You Define Market Trend – Here’s How / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis
By: EWI
This simple moving average "works equally well in commodities, currencies, and stocksquot;
The "moving average" is a technical indicator of market strength which has stood the test of time.
Over 30 years ago, Robert Prechter described this indicator in his essay, "What a Trader Really Needs to be Successful." What he said then remains true today:
...a simple 10-day moving average of the daily advance-decline net, probably the first indicator a stock market technician learns, can be used as a trading tool, if objectively defined rules are created for its use.
So, what is a moving average?
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Tuesday, August 14, 2018
Anatomy of Hyperinflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
Two drones filled with explosives were recently deployed in a failed assassination attempt to take out Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Chaos filled the streets as the military ran for their lives. But this sort of pandemonium is commonplace in Venezuela today: Where citizens have run out of basic necessities such as toilet paper and have begun eating their pets in order to stay alive. The mainstream Keynesian-brainwashed media doesn’t talk much about Venezuela or hyperinflation; perhaps because they are viscerally aware that the seeds of intractable inflation on a worldwide basis have already been sown by the global elites--and they don’t want to frighten you.
Venezuela is currently in the throes of hyperinflation on a massive scale. The communist-led government has mismanaged its economy into a fiscal catastrophe. Among other things, skilled farmers were thrown off their land and replaced by government apparatchiks that are untrained and incapable of producing enough food to feed the people. Oil production also waned due to mismanagement and corruption. To smooth over the government’s mounting debt it printed massive amounts of money in response to rising budget deficits. The currency plummeted, and foreign denominated debts were defaulted on.
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Tuesday, August 14, 2018
It's Time for A New Economic Strategy in Turkey / Economics / Turkey
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Since President Tayyip Erdogan has been at the helm, the Turkish lira has tumbled. Today, it collapsed. At one point, it was down as much as 18.5% against the U.S. dollar. The chart below traces the ugly course the lira has taken against the greenback under Erdogan’s tutelage.
Tuesday, August 14, 2018
The Federal Reserve: Secretly Sticking It to Americans for Over 100 Years / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: MoneyMetals
In the aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis, the private Federal Reserve bank cartel was front and center as a target for public outrage.
Former U.S. Congressman Ron Paul’s "End the Fed" message suddenly resonated. Americans hated Fed officials bailing out the banksters – richly rewarding them for crooked and irresponsible behavior which helped create the crisis.
But years have passed. Americans have been enjoying the expansion stage of the next great bubble. The central planners at the Fed and their colleagues at the nation’s largest banks have been busy stimulating the real estate, equity, and bond markets.
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Tuesday, August 14, 2018
Gold Price to Plunge Below $1000 - Key Factors for Gold & Silver Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Briefly: Gold is likely to plunge below $1,000 this year and we’ve been writing about it for months. This article provides a list of critical long-term factors that one should be aware of if they want to invest in or trade gold, silver, and/or mining stocks. We include links to our previous premium analyses and we just made these analyses available to everyone.
But first, a quick short-term update.
There were a few important technical details that took place on Friday that confirmed what we had written previously. The USD Index broke above the rising wedge pattern and the medium-term reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, while silver closed (the daily and weekly close) below its July 2017 lows.
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Monday, August 13, 2018
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2018 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the 7th and final part of my stock market in-depth analysis that will conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
The whole of this analysis and concluding trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and future trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Monday, August 13, 2018
Stock Market Downtrend to Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks were declining on Friday, as investors reacted to the Turkey financial crisis, among other factors. The market reversed lower following global stock markets' rout. Will uptrend reverse or is this just a downward correction before another leg up?
The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.7-0.8% on Friday, retracing some of their early August advance, as investors reacted to global stock markets' rout. The S&P 500 index broke below its relatively narrow three-day-long trading range following bouncing off the resistance level of around 2,860-2,865. It currently trades 1.4% below the January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.8% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.7% on Friday.
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