Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, March 05, 2020
Fed Coronavirus Reaction Was Not What Most Expected / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
Early Tuesday morning, I put out an update to our members of ElliottWaveTrader.net that noted that the 3135 region as the top of our resistance region, which can point us lower once struck.
Now, we all know that the “surprise” rate cut by the Fed should have been viewed as a positive to the market. In fact, most expected the Fed to act soon, and were certain how this would send the market soaring again.
However, I continue to reiterate that when the market is in a positive sentiment trend, the Fed action will always be viewed as positive. Yet, when the market is in a negative sentiment trend, the Fed will not likely be able to stem the tide of negative sentiment. They simply cannot change the sentiment of the market, despite the common misconception to the contrary.
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Thursday, March 05, 2020
See Market Opportunities in the Coronavirus Chaos - Here's How / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
The Fed has cut rates, but stocks barely noticed. And you may be getting particularly worried right now.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International would like to help -- free.
Their research shows that -- contrary to what everyone else thinks right now -- China's recent epidemic outbreaks have marked market bottoms, not tops.
In fact, they've just put together a free, on-demand webinar "Coronavirus: Opportunities in the Chaos" shows you the full evidence.
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Thursday, March 05, 2020
How Much More Can the Stock Bulls Add to Their Gains? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Stocks opened on a strong note yesterday, and the bulls have been adding to their gains throughout the day. Forcing a close above the nearest resistance, does it mark the end of selling? In other words, have we seen a lasting turnaround?
Let’s check the weekly chart for whether the current price action fits the bullish interpretation (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Wednesday, March 04, 2020
Stock Market & Coronavirus Breakdown Metrics – Where’s The Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The end of February was brutal for traders that were not prepared for the breakdown in the US stock markets. The breakdown in price actually started on February 20th and 21st. Most traders didn’t pay attention to these minor downside price rotations in the Technology sector (NQ) and the Financial sector. The early downside price rotations in key sectors gave traders a bit of a warning that the markets were starting to shift away from the earnings-driven rally that had set up the recent peaks.
The other item that concerned the markets was the spread of the Corona Virus into Italy, Iran and other areas without known contact to areas of the virus origin. Obviously, there had to be some process of contact for the virus to spread – but there are concerns now that the virus could be active within various societies throughout the incubation period and spreading to people in densely populated cities in these areas. The idea of a “super spreader” event becomes very real if societies are not able to identify and contain the sources of these transmissions.
The fear that gripped the markets last week had been telegraphed for many weeks with the news and speculation that China and Asia were going to be hit with much weaker economic data in Q1 of 2020. Almost anyone with a bit of common sense should understand the economic complications associated with quarantining millions of people for well over 30+ days would destroy economic activity in China. Even environmental data (NASA) suggests the Chinese economic activity has collapsed in 2020.
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Wednesday, March 04, 2020
The Problem Is the Stock Market Bubble, Not the Pin / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Peter_Schiff
With the markets shell shocked by of the worst weeks on record, analysts are split on whether investors are simply overreacting to the coronavirus epidemic or if we are confronting an actual existential threat to the global economy. While most epidemiologists caution that the virus will be nearly impossible to contain, the good news is that it may be far LESS lethal than many of the contagions that we have comfortably lived with for years. When the panic and uncertainty subside, we may just end up with a new strain of influenza that will harass humanity seasonally, but will not meaningfully alter the course of global economics. But this is not really a story about a new biological disease, it's one about an old financial disease that is finally becoming symptomatic.
The truth is that the Dow at nearly 30,000 had been priced to perfection and was particularly vulnerable to any surprise "black swan" event, no matter how virulent. In this case, it's not the size of the pin that is causing the damage, but the size of the bubble the pin has pricked.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2020
As COVID-19 Rocks Markets, Uncertainty Rises in ASEAN / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Dan_Steinbock
As the virus momentum is shifting from China to other countries, Southeast Asia faces new economic pressures and indirect collateral damage, due to outbreaks in Japan and South Korea, and inadequate international preparedness.Worldwide, the number of confirmed novel coronavirus (COVID-19) cases could exceed 100,000 in a matter of week or so. The momentum of the outbreak has shifted, however.
In early February, I predicted a turnaround in the growth rate of new virus cases in China, but acceleration internationally. That's now the new normal. Until then, the cases in China were increasing exponentially. Now the momentum is increasingly outside China. In terms of the timeline, the number of confirmed cases outside China is now about the same as it was in the Chinese mainland about a month ago (Figure).
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Monday, March 02, 2020
Will Stocks Keep Cutting Through Supports Like a Hot Knife Through Butter? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
During the first half of yesterday’s session, the bulls were in the driving seat after repelling sellers at the open. Yet again, their gains have evaporated, and stocks not only broke to new lows, but also closed there. Will today’s session be any different?
With the sizable daily volatility, it’s well worth checking the downswing on the weekly chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Monday, March 02, 2020
Stock Market Post Bubble Contraction Finally Arrives / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Plunger
I would like to put out a quick special report to update you on the big picture in light of all of the market turmoil and provide some of the concepts which may suggest where we are going from here.
First off I you were reading these reports in the late summer of 2018 I put out a 3-part series on the Post Bubble Contraction (PBC). Well the PBC has now arrived. Of course it was virtually impossible to predict when it would finally get triggered since it was the FED fueling the bubble for as long as they could. But it appears the bubble has finally been pricked by a black swan from left field.
The below concepts you have all heard from me before, but now we see them actually unfold, so let’s review them again.
The Stock Market Top is in…But the Bear Market actually began on December 14th 2018.
December 14th, 2018, according to Dow Theory Methodology, was the date that a bear market sell signal was triggered, announcing that we were now in a bear market. This valid signal only occurs in Phase III of a bull market. Since then, despite the wild blow off top to new Dow highs the sell signal was never reversed and remained valid. To reverse the signal would require the transports going to new highs along with the Dow. Since this never occurred the signal remained in affect.
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Monday, March 02, 2020
Stock Market 20-week Cycle Low ? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend from the 2009 low continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate correction underway
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
Monday, March 02, 2020
Stock Market Dow, Three Strikes and your Out! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: readtheticker
The Dow has topped out with major events, the current virs could be the third strike!
2001 - 9/11 Twin Towers
2007 - Bear Sterns
2020 (?) - C19 Virus
Chart explains all. Dow Jones Industrial's comparing market tops 2000, 2007 and 2020.
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Saturday, February 29, 2020
Dow Stock Market Coronavirus Trend Forecast Conclusion - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
This video is part 4 of a series of analysis that warned of the increasing probability for a Coronavirus stocks bear market that was first made available to Patrons who support my work. Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger a Stocks Bear Market 2020?. Which illustrates that the key driver for the stock market trend for much of 2020 is not going to be fundamental, or technical but rather VIRAL!.
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Saturday, February 29, 2020
Is This A Repeat of February 2018 Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Back in early 2018, after a dramatic rally in early January 2018, the US stock market collapsed suddenly and violently – falling nearly 12% in a matter of just 9 trading days. Our researchers asked the question, is the current collapse similar to this type of move and could we expect a sudden market bottom to setup?
Although there are similarities between the setups of these two events, our researchers believe there are two unique differences between the selloff in 2018 and the current selloff. We’ll attempt to cover these components and setups in detail.
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Saturday, February 29, 2020
Stock Market Trend and Elliott Wave Analysis - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Market Coronavirus Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Market SPX to Rise back to 3350 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: MEHABE
Global stocks tumbled to four-month lows, government debt yields sunk to unprecedented levels and crude oil extended declines as anxiety over the spread of the coronavirus surged. While climbing from the lows of the day, the six-day slide has still pushed the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average indexes down by more than 10% from all-time highs set this month, a so-called correction. The drop of as much as 10% since Friday puts the S&P on pace for its worst week since the 2008 global financial crisis. The MSCI All-Country World Index fell to the lowest since October, while the Stoxx Europe 600 also entered a correction.
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Performance in the Rising Coronavirus Fever / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The bulls didn’t really get their act together yesterday, and the early gains evaporated a few hours into the session. As stocks closed near their daily lows, what chances of invalidating Tuesday’s breakdown below the important support do the buyers have?
Let’s briefly check what kind of progress the bears made yesterday on the weekly chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Market SPY Breaks Below Fibonacci Bearish Trigger Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team wanted to share this chart with our friends and followers. This dramatic breakdown in price over the past 4+ days has resulted in a very clear bearish trigger which was confirmed by our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system. We believe this downside move will target the $251 level on the SPY over the next few weeks and months.
Some recent headline articles worth reading:
On January 29, 2020, we issued this research post about a potential WaterFall selloff
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger Stocks Bear Market 2020? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
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Thursday, February 27, 2020
Dow Long-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Triggering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
- Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020
- QE4EVER
- As Goes January So Goes the Year
- Short-term Trend Analysis
- Long-term Trend Analysis
- ELLIOTT WAVES
- Formulating a Stock Market Trend Forecast
- Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion
- TRADING THE DOW
- Will Trump Win US Presidential Election 2020?
TREND ANALYSIS
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Thursday, February 27, 2020
India's Nifty 50 Stocks: Does the Bad Jobs Outlook Spell Trouble for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / India
By: EWI
India's "employment outlook" just reached its lowest level in 14 years.
There are a lot of mouths to feed in India -- north of 1.3 billion.
That means a lot of jobs are required to put food on the table for a lot of people. But there's a problem: the jobs picture in the world's second most populous nation isn't pretty.
As far back as a year ago, the Washington Post said (Feb. 1, 2019):
**India's jobs crisis is worse than people thought ...
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