Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, February 16, 2012
Want to Know Who's Going to Be President? Ask the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / US Presidential Election 2012
By: EWI
What's the biggest influence on the outcome of presidential elections?
Many observers would identify the role of campaign spending by super PACs, a candidate's debate performance, and, of course, the health of the economy ("stupid").
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 16, 2012
Did the SP500 just peak at 1356? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: David_Banister
This is somewhat of a things that make you go hmmmmmm exercise, but lets examine this 1356 number for a second here. The SP 500 hit 1356 today and put on the brakes and reversed down to 1341 in a possible terminal top move.
1356 actually has fibonacci relationships. If we take the last major rally which was from the Summer 2010 lows:
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 16, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Complacency Morphs into a Bull Trap – It’s that time again / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
Like it or not, we are still in an equity bear market rally. In its maturing phase it is ditinguished by six month old upward wedges in key indexes and stocks all quietly edging up into their apexes on declining volume. This is also a time when you would expect to see signs of bullish expectations remerging from the earlier seas of despair. Last week it was an email from an excited technical analysis based equity market newsletter announcing to all, that there are and I quote . . . . “ ‘70 Stocks poised to make Big Moves’, Tuesday's Q1 Stock Picking Session turned into a Stock Picking. Love Fest! Xxx xxxxxx discussed 70 stock trading candidates of all shapes and sizes, along with the reasons WHY they could make big moves”. The date of this email was February 9th 2012. There was also the NAAIM Survey of Manager Sentiment illustrated below. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 16, 2012
Apple (AAPL) Reverses Hard... Stock Market Still In Good Shape...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
This has definitely been the most interesting day of the year so far. The market tried gapping up again today, but that gap up took all the major index charts into overbought territory once again on those daily charts. RSI's near 80, once again, on the Nasdaq, with the S&P 500 also joining the party into overbought, with readings in the lower 70's. You just can't have the market staying overbought time-after-time after some small selling episodes. It's not healthy. The rubber band, eventually, snaps, and down you go. Nothing was more overbought than both the daily, and 60-minute, charts of Apple. Scary overbought to be blunt. Apple's daily charts reaching 90-RSI, with the 60-minute chart reaching the unheard of mid-90's. I have warned when something becomes extreme--the price one pays can be devastating. Once again, that became a reality, with Apple snapping down nearly thirty dollars off the top. Look again. I said thirty (30$) off the top in, basically, an hour's time, if not less. That's a rubber-band snapping in two. The type of pain the average retail player felt on that stock today is unbelievable. The largest volume of the year on the reversal means the stock will struggle for consistent upside for a while to come.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 15, 2012
Next Stock Market Top Target Date 22nd February 2012 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: John_Hampson
Looking at the S&P500 on short term view with updated actual and forecast geomagnetism, this is what we see:
Wednesday, February 15, 2012
Financial Markets, Why We Are Headed to Where We Are Headed... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: David_Petch
...(More on the Theory and Reasoning of the Contracting Fibonacci Spiral)
My old history teacher in high school once said that "It is amazing that we live in a period of time where access to historical records have been thoroughly documented so that humankind can learn from mistakes of former civilizations. Instead we as a society tend to choose the easy way out, make the same mistakes and never learn from history". Governments throughout history have attempted to manipulate the masses so that the upper elite can have access to greater control. This has been done through propaganda etc. with no consideration for the future or examination of historical consequences.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Stock Market Staying Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
That's not necessarily good news as it's the second move back above 70 RSI on all the major index daily charts. It would have been, and would still be, a good thing if we sold harder in order to fully unwind those nasty overbought momentum oscillators. but for the moment, the bulls refuse to give in. The RSI's, all back over 70, with the Nasdaq heading towards 80, where it fell hard last time. The risk for new plays doing well is poor here, even if we stay overbought a bit longer. You have to be very nimble, if you're going to put new money to work here. At any moment in time, the market could snap lower.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 14, 2012
S&P500 Above 1350 Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: The S&P 500 surged at the open, presumably in celebration of the Greek parliament’s voting in favor of an additional package of austerity measures. The opening advance took the index above the 1350, a level it couldn’t maintain during the morning hours, but after an early lunch, the 1350 level held, and the index closed at 1351.77 for a 0.68% gain. Last Thursday the index had its first close above 1350 since the selloff from its interim high last spring. The index is up 7.49% year-to-date and is a mere 0.97% below its interim high at the end of April 2011.
Tuesday, February 14, 2012
There's Value Investing in Russia's Future / Stock-Markets / Russia
By: Frank_Holmes
As Americans ponder the merits of Obama vs. Gingrich, Paul, Romney or Santorum, Russia will be electing its own president on March 4.
Perhaps we should say "re-electing" since it's almost certain former president and current prime minster Vladimir Putin will be elected. While protests and vocal opposition likely won't prevent Putin's presidential return, they have forced some interesting changes to the political climate and we've observed some positive changes in Russia's investment landscape.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 13, 2012
What’s Wrong With China’s Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Sy_Harding
It wasn't just the U.S. and Europe that took on massive debt loads to provide the extraordinary global stimulus efforts that prevented the 2008 financial meltdown from morphing into the next 'Great Depression'. China also provided massive stimulus to its economy, and in the process is thought to have taken on much more debt than it has revealed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 13, 2012
The ECB's Long Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO) is Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Money_Morning
Jack Barnes writes:
If you listen to the talking heads, there is no end in sight to the Euro crisis.
Even with the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent Long Term Refinancing Operation (LTRO), Greece is still making all the headlines.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 13, 2012
Four Signs of a Short-Term Drop in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: DailyWealth
Jeff Clark writes: The stock market is showing multiple signs of a short-term top.
That doesn't mean stocks have to go down right away. Topping is a process – not a one-day event.
Monday, February 13, 2012
SP500 Deflated by Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jesse
Much of the recent rally, that nominally looks like a straight shot higher is really due to the monetization going on in the US and Europe.
Such distribution of money through asset bubbles can provide the appearance of vitality, but it is not self-sustaining.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 13, 2012
Stock Market Top Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top imminent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 12, 2012
Why Does The Stock Market Keep Rising? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: LongWave
This gigantic flood of extremely inexpensive high-powered money does have a major impact, not in the real economy, but in the liquid investment markets.
Free money sets a very low hurdle for a short-term investment and as long as the transaction has decent liquidity, why not do the trade. As a result, almost every equity, commodity, and credit market is moving higher.
High beta currencies are moving higher as well, as risk is clearly on the front foot. This positive mood began at the start of October, a bit more than a week after Bernanke announced the start of ‘Operation Twist,’ a subtle way to improve the profits of the banks and increase the risk of the Fed without expanding its balance sheet.
Read full article... Read full article...