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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Goldman Sachs's - Regulatory Climate is Chilling Deals; Hatzius Not Worried About a Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Bloomberg

Bloomberg Television talks to Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman Sachs and Gregg Lemkau, co-head of global M&A at Goldman Sachs at the Goldman Sachs Leveraged Finance Conference in Rancho Palos Verdes, CA.

Hatzius discusses the risks associated with the Federal Reserve overshooting full employment, why he's not worried about a U.S. recession, and corporate America's constructive view of the U.S. economy.

- "I'm not very worried about a recession. I think the risk of recession -- if I look at the indicators that seem to predict recessions the best -"

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Crude Oil Price Trend Forecast 2016 Implications for Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

At the start of the year the prevailing mood in the oil market was not just one of gloom and doom but of catastrophe as the oil price sunk below $30, skidding by the middle of February to virtually touch $25, a period during which many prominent analysts and investment banks such as Goldman Sachs all of whom were bearish on the prospects for oil prices this year some even suggesting that the oil price could sink to as low as $10 (Standard Chartered) which meant that the oil producers large and small, the frackers and even a string of nations such as Russia, Nigeria and Venezuela were on the fast track towards going bust as their oil profits that financed their state spending budget deficits evaporated.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Stock Market Retracement Rally May be Complete Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is lower this morning, but there may be some unfinished business to the upside. Due to the length of time that it has taken, I have assigned a higher degree Wave label to this Cycle. This morning it will have taken 129 hours from the April 20 high to possibly its Wave 2 high. A possible target may be 2075.00.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Stock Market Fooling Them Yet Again.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market loves to fake the masses. With the Dow closing decently below the 50-day exponential moving average on Friday, with the S&P 500 testing it, and with the small caps also closing well below the 50's, it seemed as if the bears had finally seen their time arrive. Most folks believed that today we'd see a big gap down, and run lower all day as the bears finally took control of this stubborn market. The bears also had some nice hope once the futures opened for trading last night.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Crisis Investing - Jim Rogers on “Buying Panic” / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

Editor's note: Successful crisis investing boils down to one skill. The ability to go against the crowd to buy beaten-down assets that have been left for dead.

Few people know as much about this subject as Jim Rogers. Jim is a legendary investor and a true “international man.” He has earned millions investing in crisis markets.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 16, 2016

Financial Armageddon Looms On The Horizon As The EURO UNION IMPLOSION Nears / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: I_M_Vronsky

History is testament that an ill-conceived fetus is doomed to a handicapped crippled adulthood. Thusly, many rational pundits perceive the hodge-podge jumbled union of many European nations, known as the Euro Union. But just as oil and water cannot be blended nor melded into a stable liquid, it logically follows that the haphazard mixture of many radically diverse nations are likewise immiscible…and will probably collapse in the not too distant future.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market One Big Inflection Point We Will Look Back On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This week will very likely be one we look back on as a big inflection point.  We will see that the bears are coming back.

It appears the market is forming a head and shoulders topping pattern. Thre are a couple different ways to trade this pattern depending on the level of skill and aggressiveness.

One can wait for a closing bar below the ‘neckline’ on the time-frame in which you have identified the pattern.  By operating on a closing bar basis you significantly reduce the risk of entering on a ‘false’ breakout. Entering prior to the close of the bar increases the risk of becoming part of the wick of a reversal candlestick should it close back above ‘neckline’ support.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market Rally Back to the 4.5-year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is above its 50-day Moving Average this morning. This has caused overlap in the decline and indicated something more bearish may result. Assuming that today’s Pi date is forecasting another Master Cycle low imminently, the overlap creates a (i)-(ii), i-ii scenario that suggests a flash crash may be in the making. This may be followed up by a plunge beneath the Head & Shoulders Neckline at 2040.00. The retracement may go as high as the 4.5-year trendline.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market Futures Flat. Mixed Signals Abound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX Premarket has been flat up until now. There may be a better indication of direction closer to the open.

The attempts at a bounce have been technical and haven’t had a large effect. ZeroHedge reports, “The main risk over the weekend was that markets, which have now dropped for three consecutive weeks the longest negative streak since January, would focus their attention on the latest batch of negative Chinese economic news released over the weekend, which missed expectations across the board, most prominently in Retail Sales (10.1% vs. Exp. 10.6%, down from 10.5%) and Industrial Production (6.0% vs. Exp. 6.5% down from 6.8%), an

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market Mixed Expectations Following Friday's Move Down - Will It Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 16, 2016

Stock Market First Support Level Re-Tested / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: May be in the process of forming a H&S bull market top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 15, 2016

Stock Market Cycle Low Next Week - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Transcript excerpt: in today's video I'm going to go over what i think is going to transpire next
week in a row also going to refute the notion that this is a daily cycle
so-called cycle experts calling this daily cycle low and they're claiming
that the intermediate cycle is rolling over that is correct in order to qualify
as a daily cycle oh yes to be deep enough for long enough to turn sentiment
at least modern Lee Parrish preferably extremely bearish one of the technical
signs of a daily cycle lows that it will be moving average down and you can see
this little three date did a dip in early April did not it was not deep enough for long enough to turn today

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 14, 2016

Beating Analyst Expectations Is All That Matters / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Read carefully. I just report what I read.

‘Zillow shares surge as quarterly loss narrows’.

CVS had a ‘healthy’ earnings report. Sales rose but earnings actually fell by 6%. How is that ‘healthy’? 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 14, 2016

Playing With A Breakdown... Stock Market At An Inflection Point... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market has been bifurcated for quite some time with froth leading lower while the S&P 500 and Dow try to hold up the market. Money has been rotating in to the S&P 500, because that's where lower froth, lower P/E and higher dividend stocks live. Big money hasn't made the big move, yet, of distributing out their plays. While they are acting more risk adverse, they still have been playing as if they want to spend more time with the world of the S&P 500 stocks. We know this, because, while the Nasdaq has long ago lost the 20-, 50-, and 200-day exponential moving averages, the S&P 500, before today, was above its 50-day exponential moving average. It had lost the 20's, but was still above the 50's, and well above the 200's, which lives at 2023. The 50's at 2048. So only if the S&P 500 were to lose 2048, and then 2023, would the market be in big trouble?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 13, 2016

Stock Market Confirmed Sell. Bounces Still Possible / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has crossed its 50-day Moving Average at 2055.10 and is headed for the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2040.00. I know that it is a shallow formation, but there is a potential for another neckline at 1967.85, where another support lies. The target for that formation appears to be nearer 1800.00. Fourth wave necklines are not as strong as those at a wave one. However, they can be equally valid. Let’s see how it follows through beneath the neckline.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 13, 2016

Stock Market Challenging the 50-day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket shows it challenging the 50-day Moving Average. How the market opens will tell us whether that support is broken. The odds of a break of the Cycle bottom and Head & shoulders neckline would be high once the 50-day is behind us.

ZeroHedge reports, “Global stocks have started Friday the 13th on the wrong foot, with not only Hong Kong GDP unexpectedly tumbling by 0.4%, the worst print in years while retail sales fell for a thirteenth straight month in March, the longest stretch since 1999 as the Chinese hard landing spreads to the wealthy enclave, but also following a predicted collapse in Chinese new loan creation, which will reverberate not only in China but around the globe in the coming weeks. The latest overnight drop in the Yuan hinted that should the recent USD strength continue, China will have no choice but to repeat its devaluation from last summer and winter.“

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 12, 2016

A Retest of Stock Market Resistance... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced back within ticks of its mid-cycle resistance at 2070.92 and within a point of its 50% retracement at 2069.99. We may see it decline back beneath its 4.5-year trendline this afternoon. Short positions should be in place, as it appears the next few days may be eventful.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 12, 2016

Charles Hugh Smith: "Why Our Status Quo Failed & Is Beyond Reform! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

The Financial Repression Authority is delighted to have Charles Hugh Smith, prolific writer on the web and author of the highly acclaimed book, Why Our Status Quo Failed and is Beyond Reform. FRA Co-Founder, Gordon T. Long delineates with Charles on the core topics that are mentioned in his book as well as go over key diagrams to supportive diagrams.

Charles Hugh Smith is the Publisher of the site “Of Two Minds”. From its humble beginnings in May 2005, Of Two Minds now attracts some 200,000 visits a month and has been listed No. 7 in CNBC’s top alternative financial sites. His commentary is featured on a number of sites including: Zerohedge.com. The American Conservative, Peak Prosperity and AOL’s Daily Finance site (www.dailyfinance.com. He has written eight books.  Charles Hugh Smith graduated from the University of Hawaii, Manoa in Honolulu. Charles Hugh Smith currently resides in Berkeley, California and Hilo, Hawaii.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 12, 2016

Stock Market Decline Makes a Tentative Beginning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is still on an aggressive sell signal. It has crossed the first support at 2077.76, but has several more to go. The Aggressive sell becomes a confirmed sell beneath the 4.5-year trendline or the 50-day Moving Average, now up to 2049.40.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, May 12, 2016

More Short-Term Stock Market Uncertainty As Stocks Hover Along Last Year's Medium-Term Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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