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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 07, 2014

Stocks, Housing and Bond Market Castles in the Air / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Fred_Sheehan

The word "bubble" is suffering from overuse. Still, with money for nothing inflating markets around the world, we are seeing how prices inflate to enormous proportions where the prospect of pushing those prices even higher draws a crowd. When such artificial stimulants to bond, mortgage and tea-cup enthusiasm reaches a peak, the switch from green to red is often quick.

A reminder comes by way of "Run, Run, Run, Was the Financial Crisis Panic over Institution Runs Justified?" by Vern McKinley. Published on April 10, 2014, by the Cato Institute, McKinley writes: "Countrywide's [a premier sub-prime lender when the going was good - FJS] second-quarter 2007 financial results indicated no significant weaknesses and the major rating agencies assigned it strong ratings with a stable outlook. [Although, a MarketWatch headline on July 24, 2007: "U.S. Stocks Close Sharply Off on Credit Woes, Dow Slides 226 points; Countrywide Says Risks Extend Beyond Subprime." This is a reminder that "the market" quickly forgets what it does not want to know, as we see on May 1, 2014. - FJS]

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 07, 2014

Stock Market Experiences A Bit of May Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Tuesday was a light day for economic news. The trade balance for March was down slightly more than expected, but not enough to contribute significantly to the Second Estimate of Q1 GDP. The S&P 500 opened fractionally lower and sold off to about the 1876 level, which provided support until after the lunch hour. It then sold off to a lower level and accelerated its losses in the final 20 minutes. The index closed at it -0.90% intraday low.

The popular press (e.g., Bloomberg and CNBC), always eager to explain the market, attributed today’s bad mood to AIG’s weak earnings, its stock losing 4.14%, and Twitter, its stock plunging 17.81% after a lockup expiration.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 07, 2014

Stock Market Supports Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

After several attempts, SPX broke through its Short-term support at 1876.07 and is headed for its combined Intermediate-term and 50-day Moving Average at 1864.91. It has passed through that area so many times it is a wonder whether it may even stop.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 06, 2014

Massively Long Tech Stocks Smaller Bubble, Bernanke's Frightening Answers / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Bloomberg

David Einhorn, president of Greenlight Capital, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle and Erik Schatzker today about technology stocks, investment strategy, Federal Reserve policy, and activist investing and high-frequency trading.

On a March 26 dinner conversation with Bernanke, Einhorn said: "I got to ask him all these questions that had been on my mind for a very long period of time, right? And then on the other side, it was like sort of frightening because the answers weren’t any better than I thought that they might be. I asked several things. He started out by explaining that he was 100 percent sure that there’s not going to be hyper inflation. And not that I think that there’s going to be hyper inflation, but it’s like how do you get to 100 percent certainty of anything?"

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 06, 2014

How to Collect 4.4% Dividends in the Safest Country on Earth / Stock-Markets / Austrailia

By: DailyWealth

Australia could be near-debt-free by the end the decade.

It's nearly impossible to believe in our debt-fueled world. But it's true.

Last week, Bloomberg reported that Australia's national debt could "decline to just over 5% of GDP."

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 06, 2014

Elliott Wave Analysis of the Dow Transports / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

The advance from the 2009 lows appears to be showing a 3 wave move, although that potentially could morph into a 5 wave move later on. The price action from the Oct 2011 lows is what I personally watching.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 06, 2014

Gazprom, Puerto Rico and Ackman / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Bloomberg

Jim Grant, Editor/Founder of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, spoke with Bloomberg Television anchor Stephanie Ruhle from the Sohn Investment Conference in New York today.

Grant talked about why he's long Gazprom when many are shying away, saying, "the beginning, middle and end of the bull case on Gazprom is that good things happen to cheap stocks. Gazprom is by acclimation the world's worst company managed by the worst kleptocrats ever assembled on one continent. So - and - and Jay Carney, the president's own press secretary, advised us all as a nation, regardless of individual suitability, to go short this stuff, Russia. So how can one not at least investigate the contrary side of that proclamation."

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 06, 2014

Stock Market Reverses Off Decent Gap Down.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

A big gap down occurred today across the board. It looked like the bears finally had their gap down. All they had to do was hold this gap down and run lower all day. That would create a huge technical headache for the bulls and market nirvana for the bears. Within the first couple of hours those gaps were filled. The opportunity was lost. This doesn't mean things are hopeless for the bears, but it was a great opportunity wasted to be sure. When you get something you desperately need, and let it go so easily, it has to be somewhat deflating. The gap down was nearly a ten handle on the S&P 500 and that's not small.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 05, 2014

Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis - German DAX and S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

German DAX is still moving sideways within wave 4) which we think it represents a triangle. We see prices at the upper side of a range so ideally a downward retracement will follow in wave E to complete the pattern around 9200-9300.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 05, 2014

Stock Market Sentiment Worsens But No Confirmation of Trend Reversal Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 05, 2014

Stock Market Critical Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 05, 2014

Stock Market Megaphone Top, Gold, Oil Commodities Down into Mid Year Correction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Toby_Connor

So far my 2014 expectations are playing out pretty much as planned, with a few adjustments. With the threat of war in the Ukraine I think the final bubble phase in stocks is now off the table. I doubt we can get the euphoric buying pressure necessary to generate a parabola as long as tensions in Eastern Europe continue to escalate. No bubble phase in stocks = no capitulation phase in gold. The Ukraine event was a game changer.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 05, 2014

Stock Market Choppy Earnings Season but the Bull Remains Firmly Intact  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Christopher_Quigley

It was a choppy earnings season but despite its volatility the bull trend remains very much intact.

The Dow Transports and Dow Industrials both are trending upward with higher highs and higher lows and both indices are in congruence. (Though it must be noted that the Transports Index is significantly stronger than the Industrials). In addition The VIX remains at historically low levels and the Advance/Decline line shows no sign of any technical stress what-so-ever.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 04, 2014

Elliott Wave Analysis of Dow Stock Index 5th Wave Terminating Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

The trend from Oct 2011 is likely in its final stages, it appears wave [5] could be a possible ending diagonal so we are monitoring a potential bearish wedge shape, the RSI appears to be confirming the advance being a 5th wave terminating rally.

Once completed we are looking for opportunities to sell the DOW either by selling the market directing via the YM (e-mini futures) or potentially buying puts.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 04, 2014

Is it Time to Sell Australia Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: WavePatternTraders

XJO

I had initially suspected a major peak was in place back in April 2013, with a potentially completed pattern it looked like that forecast was starting to work, but nothing tends to be that simple these days, the decline from the 2013 peak started to look very corrective, so I had to abandon the call for a peak and look for alternatives ideas that would suggest a move higher, even if a marginal new high.

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