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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 25, 2016

TNX Doesn't Buy the Rally in SPX Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the rally is challenging the 50-day Moving Average at 1944.37. A new high above 1946.70 is not needed to change the Elliott Wave structure back to my original assessment, that Wave (2) peaked on February 1. I have re-oriented the chart to show this. The Broadening formation views this as an extension of point 5.

Note the trading bands are contracting, suggesting a large move ahead. The next step in this scenario is a potentially sharp decline. The Cycles Model calls for a probable decline through Friday, March 4, if I am reading the Model correctly. There may be a brief extension into Monday, March 7. The Cycles Model has kept my orientation fairly close to what the market has been delivering.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Stock Market Crashes Represent Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Sol_Palha

One chart illustrates why stock market crashes represent opportunity

And the trouble is, if you don't risk anything, you risk even more. - Erica Jong

A Market crash can be viewed as a monumental tragedy or a splendid opportunity depending on what side of the fence you sit on. If you decided to pour all your money into the market close to the top, then it would be viewed as a tragic event. If on the other hand, you got in early and as the market trended higher, you banked some of your profits then it would be viewed as a splendid opportunity.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Elliott Wave Analysis On German DAX And SP500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gregor_Horvat

German DAX

Bounce on DAX to 9400 today looks like a clear three wave move, so it can be wave b as part of incomplete corrective set-back. That said, we need to be aware of another leg down, ideally into gap area since Feb 15 where index may turn bullish again after the gap is filled. At the moment it can be too soon for any bullish continuation, but we will look for reversal signs for sure, once our support levels are meet.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Shanghai Stock Market First... Are we Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

Yesterday’s call that the Shanghai Index had topped must have been prescient. Overnight it dropped 187.65, or 6.41%. This puts the index just above a potential Cup with Handle formation whose target exceeds the Head & Shoulders formation target.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Economic News Gets Worse... Stock Market Sentiment Unwinding.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Lots of bad news for the bulls today as the bull-bear spread blasted up from -13.5% to just -1.0%. A 12.5 move of bullish behavior and thinking. Then to add to the bad news we saw the flash ISM Services Report, or the preliminary report, come in below 50.0 for the first time in three years. Down nearly 4% month over month, which shows a very strong decline in the overall economic activity for our country. The services sector had been holding up better than the manufacturing sector, but it is clearly playing catch up. This is the worst possible news for our economy, to be losing the last piece of hope for an economic recovery. Bad news on sentiment. Bad news on our economy in a very big way, and the result is a nice blast higher in our markets after gapping down nicely and running lower after we opened up for trading. Would you expect anything else?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 24, 2016

An Escalating War on Cash / Stock-Markets / War on Cash

By: John_Browne

On February 16th, The Washington Post printed the article, "It's time to kill the $100 bill." This came on the heels of a CNNMoney item, the day before, entitled "Death of the 500 euro bill getting closer." The former cited a recent Harvard Kennedy School working paper, No. 52 by Senior Fellow Peter Sands, concluding that the abolition of high denomination notes would help deter "tax evasion, financial crime, terrorist finance and corruption." In recent days, former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, ECB President Mario Draghi, and even the editorial board of the New York Times, came out in support of the elimination of large currency notes. Apart from the question as to why these calls are being raised now with such frequency, the larger issue is whether these moves are actually needed or if they merely a subterfuge for more complex economic manipulations by central banks to extend control over private wealth.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 24, 2016

British Pound, Financial Markets Mayhem and the Trump Revolution - Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

Transcript excerpt: its February 24th 2016 in its Wednesday 9:30 a.m. London England time or 4:30
a.m. Eastern Standard Time the us- start out two day talking about the British
Pound and it's kind of part of the video I made under 12 January called British
Pound a harbinger of global financial mayhem and since then you know we saw
the stock market dropped quite a bit since the middle of January I know it
dropped quite a bit as well from the beginning of January and then we've been
rebounding over the last week or ten days and we are actually pretty much in
terms of the dow where we were on January 12 maybe a little or where we
are one you know I'm down right now as I speak is down 88 16,000 34 years and I
think we're around 16,400 in one of the reasons I mentioned British Pound be a
harbinger financial mayhem is that in the last financial crisis the pound

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 24, 2016

Stock Market Indices Reverses to Downside on Solid Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

It was turn-around Tuesday as the indices reversed yesterday’s gains and had a solid sell off. The day started out with a gap down, they formed early bear wedges that created a 5-wave morning move, late morning and early afternoon they coiled, and then consolidated, trying to test support. On a couple of occasions they were successful, but in the afternoon they came down, bounced, went lower, and nearly closed at the lows for the day.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Stock Market Calm Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

It was fascinating (to me, at least) to see all of the hourly pivots being hit yesterday as equities made their rally high. The top Pivot was at 13:43 hours in which the 1946.70 high was made.

The Premarket is mixed while the futures show a clear reversal pattern overnight. All the overseas markets are down in overnight trading, but not significantly.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

This is 'The Bubble' Which 2008 was 'The Warm Up'! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

... It is going to take longer to unfold then people think!

Graham Summers is the Chief Market Strategist with Phoenix Capital Research in Washington, DC. Phoenix capital research is an investment research firm, that has clients in 56 countries around the world, specializing in investment research on a subscription basis.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Stock Market Running Up....Sentiment Playing Out...What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The relentless run up is continuing as the bulls are letting the bears know they'll be remaining busy for a while. Now we will have to deal with some selling soon as the short-term sixty-minute charts are overbought and flashing negative divergences. Sometimes, in very bullish environments the negative divergences can be worked out through time instead of price, meaning you unwind those divergences and overbought with very little price erosion. If that happens, you know you've transferred the energy from bear to bull. In bullish environments time works off the overbought conditions. In bearish environments it's price that works its way lower from any push up on those oscillators. We'll know very shortly which way this will work itself out. We saw the market futures turn north last night after Europe gapped up and kept on running higher. We opened strongly and closed very nicely, which now means the bulls have four large gap ups that kept running higher all day.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Stock Market to Fall 16% More into March 11th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The chart below shows that the SPX 1650 level may be next and sooner than most think. Looking at this 2 hour chart of the SPX, we can see a similarity to the December 27, 2015 top. The move up from February 19 into February 22 is stronger by 27.7% suggesting a harder move down this time than in late December into January 20th. March 11th is nearby to the Bradley March 10th date. March 11th is the anniversary of the 2015 20 week low, is 20 TD's from the January 20th low, and the 7/28 week cycle low from August 24th, 2015. The 1650 level beckons.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

Bonds Aren't Buying the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Bonds aren’t buying the rally in stocks. ZeroHedge reports, “While the algos are closely following every momentum-generating uptick in global equities on the back of yet another short squeeze in crude, one asset class that has been roundly ignored are Treasurys, which have refused to follow the equity euphoria and have in fact roundtripped today's entire risk on move, suggesting that once again, "bonds aren't buying it."

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

Stock Market Pivot Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that SPX Premarket has risen to the range of 1937.00 this morning. That means the Wave structure has morphed into a Minor wave C. The target for this wave [Where Wave (v) equals (i)] is 1945.48. An expanded flat Wave (2) would terminate in the range of the Wave A high at 1947.20. The Broadening formation trendline appears to be near 1952.00, so this gives us a range of outcomes for today.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

USDCAD And SP500 Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDCAD

On USDCAD we are looking at declining price action from 1.4018 that can be an expanding diagonal, now moving down into the final stages of decline. We see wave 5 of C) headed beneath 1.3650 and even towards 1.3600 area, where pair can be looking to form a low this week.

USDCAD, 1H

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

Stock Market Phase Correction In Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - Phase correction in process.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 22, 2016

Japan Has Officially Lost Control of Its Financial System / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

For over six years, the markets have been moving based on Central Banker actions and words.

The first phase (2009 to 2013) was dominated by action (ZIRP and QE).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 21, 2016

Why This Financial Crisis Will Be Worse Than 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

For six years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.

All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. Similarly, anyone with a functioning brain could tell you that a bunch of academics with no real-world experience, none of whom have ever started a business or created a single job can’t “save” the economy.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 21, 2016

Stock Market Drop Likely Monday, Gold Price Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The technicals, cycles and astro-read suggest a high probability of a severe drop in the stock market Monday to as low as the low/mid SPX 1840’s. The SPX likely completed the 100 TD low 16 TD’s on February 11.  The SPY grid lines below shows lines of support and resistance. 

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, February 21, 2016

India Stock Market BSE SENSEX Bombay's Last Hurrah / Stock-Markets / India

By: Austin_Galt

The BSE SENSEX is the Indian stock index which trades out of Mumbai or Bombay for those with a sense of nostalgia. Price hit a low of 22600 on the 12th February 2016 which was just over 24% down from the 2015 high of 30024.

So, is that the end of the bear market? In my opinion, the answer is both yes and no. What? That sounds like I'm having a bob each way which is not uncommon for many technical analysts, I dare say!

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