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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

A Five-Year Global Financial Forecast: Tsunami Warning / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

It is the time of the year for forecasts; but rather than do an annual forecast, which is as much a guessing game as anything else (and I am bad at guessing games), I’m going to do a five-year forecast to take us to the end of the decade, which I think may be useful for longer-term investors. We will focus on events and trends that I think have a high probability, and I’ll state what I think the probabilities are for my forecasts to actually happen. While I could provide several dozen items, I think there are seven major trends that are going to sweep over the globe and that as an investor you need to have on your radar screen. You will need to approach these trends with caution, but they will also provide significant opportunities.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Kitchin Cycle Points to an Important Stock Market Decline in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

An approximate 4yr cycle, which has been identified as early as the 15th century, was popularized by Joseph Kitchin in his 1923 text Cycles and Trends in Economic Factors. The 4yr cycle between lows in the Dow can be found throughout the entire history of the index.

The chart below includes one inverted cycle of five years which ended at the high in 2007. The only other inversion in the Dow occurred in 1946.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Conclusion from Swelling Stocks/Yields Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

As stocks hit a fresh record high relative to bond yields -- measured by the S&P500/US 10-yr yield ratio at 1081--the contrast between these two markets becomes palpable and the remaining conclusion for a stabilization in the ratio may not appeal to equity bulls. This is not the first time we see a new a high in the stocks/yields ratio, but plunging oil prices are certainly making this phenomenon less of an aberration and more of the new normal... until when?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Stock Market Still Not Totally Bearish...Not Good Either... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Although you can't be happy if you're bullish at this moment in time. There are more reasons than we need to think about things like a bear market or at the least, a severe correction. The weekly and monthly-index charts are poor. The daily charts are showing weak oscillators. Froth has been off the charts for a very long time. Bears are in deep hibernation. It's been far too long as well. The bulls saw an incredible head fake last week with two strong gap up days that ran higher all day. Well, let's just say it could end up being a huge head fake. That story still unwritten. The market looked powerful prior to the open. With about one hour to go before it opened the futures started falling fast allowing for a flat bell ring.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Stock Market SPX Triple Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It is hard to imagine that SPX could decline another 350 points, give or take, from here in only 2.3 days. However, it has done so before. In order for a Flash crash to work, it needs an element of surprise. I have no idea what the catalyst might be. But once it begins, gravity may take over rather quickly.

SPX is on a triple sell signal until further notice.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 12, 2015

SPX Stock Market Pop-n-drop. Crude Just Drops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures rallied in the Premarket to the cash equivalent of the Intermediate-term resistance at 2053.65, then backed away. Should it not exceed resistance then it may turn down in Wave (iii) of [i] of 3. I don’ expect it should take long to do that. This decline has a lot of ground to cover this week.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 12, 2015

Is the Stock Market 7-Year Cycle Rolling Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 12, 2015

Stocks Head Lower Again As Investors Continue To Hesitate / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 12, 2015

Market Price and the Fool’s Game  / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The reason why a mirror only switches your image left to right and not also up and down is an illusive property of optics. Optically, the image appears as if you somehow walked around to the back of the mirror to face it again. 

But rarely do we ask ourselves questions like these. Normally we just take it for granted. 
To understand price in today’s world is, ultimately, about understanding price mechanism. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 12, 2015

France's 9-11, A Measured View of a Difficult Week and the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt France's 9-11 should remind investors that the world sits atop a precarious geopolitical perch. Madmen with guns have the ability to wreak enormous damage on the fabric of society, which in turn places the stability of markets at risk.

Last week's tragic events in Paris are likely to impose significantly greater security costs on Western societies while leading them to question the open borders that feed immigration and trade, two keys to the future economic growth that will be necessary to dig out of the deepening debt hole they have dug themselves.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 11, 2015

Simple Stock Market Investing Beating Strategy 2015 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: DailyWealth

Dr. David Eifrig writes: The education of new investors often follows similar paths...

New investors get interested in the stock market and plan to get rich quick. They think it's just a matter of time before they find some small, unheard-of company that will grow 100 times over, making them rich.

Before long, the investors realize that investing in small-growth stocks is harder than it looks. Yes, occasionally a tiny stock blossoms into a big winner. But it's usually not enough to offset all the other duds. They learn that smart investors buy established quality companies and hold them for extended periods.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Stock Market Roller Coaster Start to 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The first full week of 2015 starts off like a roller coaster. The market started the week at SPX 2058. After a gap down opening on Monday the market dropped to SPX 1992 by midday Tuesday. Then it rallied to SPX 2064, helped by two gap up openings, by late Thursday afternoon. Then on Friday it sold off again, hitting SPX 2038 by late morning, then ending the week at 2045. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.60%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.45%, and the DJ World was -0.80%. Economic reports for the week were generally positive. On the uptick: auto sales, the ADP, consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the MMIS, plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: factory orders, ISM services, monthly payrolls and the WLEI. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s Beige book, the CPI/PPI and Industrial production.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 10, 2015

The ECB Will Be Big Factor in 2015’s First Half Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sy_Harding

The European Central Bank has provided assurances for months that it is ‘monitoring’ economic conditions in the 18-nation euro-zone, and will take aggressive stimulus measures ‘if necessary’.
However, even as those economic conditions worsen, increasingly indicating the euro-zone is sliding into recession, and pressure mounts for the ECB to take action, it has done nothing except periodically re-affirm its assurances that it will do so if necessary.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 09, 2015

Stocks on a Confirmed Sell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is on confirmed sell signal, since it has declined beneath the 50-day at 2042.43 it will be on a confirmed sell signal through the end of the decline.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 09, 2015

Market Forecasts 2015 - Stray Reflections / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

’Tis the season for making forecasts. I will be sending my own five-year projections this weekend, but today for your Outside the Box reading pleasure we look at some similarly longer-term prognostications from the newest member of the Mauldin Economics writing team, Jawad Mian. Jawad writes a monthly global macro advisory publication called Stray Reflections, which is read by some of the world's largest hedge funds, family offices, and asset managers. I and my team have become fascinated with his work. Jawad is not, in my opinion, non-consensus or even contrarian, but seemingly comes at macroeconomic issues from right angles, offering a viewpoint far different from almost anything else I read.

Born and raised in the UAE, educated in Canada, and now based in Dubai, Jawad views the world differently from the vast majority of Western-born and -trained analysts. A thoughtful and clear communicator, he is a rising star in the macroeconomic space, and I am glad to have him with us at Mauldin Economics.

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