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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Stock Market Maybe This Time is Different? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2050. After a somewhat choppy move higher to SPX 2057 by Tuesday, the market pulled back to SPX 2022 on Thursday. Then it rose for the rest of the day to close at SPX 2036. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.6%, the NDX/NAZ lost 0.3%, and the DJ World lost 1.3%. On the economic front reports finally came in on the positive side. On the uptick: FHFA housing, new homes sales, Q4 GDP and the WLEI. On the downtick: existing home sales, durable goods, and Q1 GDPN. Next week, a busy one, is highlighted by Payrolls, the Chicago PMI, and the PCE.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Macro Changes and Future Inflation Problems / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

Ever since beginning the ‘Macrosom‘ theme in July (and updating it here), NFTRH has been managing macro changes that would positively affect the gold sector, and quite possibly have a negative effect on broad stock markets.  Early on in the precious metals bear market we noted they were “in the mirror” and opposite the stock market, which on the post-2011 cycle has been the beneficiary of the Fed’s inflation, instilling confidence in their policies by conventional market participants (after all, the right assets were going up on this cycle).  In August, it appeared that the first real thrust in the direction of our macro theme kicked in as the stock market cracked.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Market Price Discovery is Essential, It is The Nucleus of Capitalism and We Haven't Had it in Decades / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-founder Gordon T. Long is joined by Michael Pento in discussing topics from the government debt problem, the current boom in gold and the outlook of the dollar.

Mr. Pento is the President and Founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies (PPS). PPS is a Registered Investment Advisory Firm that provides money management services and research for individual and institutional clients. Mr. Pento is a well-established specialist in the Austrian School of economics and a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, FOX Business News and other national media outlets. His market analysis can also be read in most major financial publications, including the Wall Street Journal. He also acts as a Financial Columnist for Forbes, Contributor to thestreet.com and is a blogger at the Huffington Post.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Stock Market SPX & Crude Oil at Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The SPX at the 2050 level looks like a great place for a ‘pullback’ to begin as indicated in the chart below. There is a potential “distribution topping phase” in which the SPX may pull back to 2000.  I see a potential target at 1890.

The price has made a series of lower swing highs and lower swing lows since topping in 2015.  There was a big August 2015 sell-off, followed by a rally to a lower high in November 2015, then a sell-off to a lower low in January 2016.  The rally currently is still at a lower high than the November 2015 high.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 25, 2016

Dow Transports and Utilities Suggest Stocks Bull Market Is Back / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Austin_Galt

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) and Dow Jones Utility Average (DJU) indexes are often seen as leading indicator of the overall stock market. With that in mind, let's analyse the technicals of each index.

The Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJT) is a stock market index of the American transportation sector. Price last traded at $7957.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

US Economic Growth Remains Sluggish…Markets Remain Uninspired / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

This morning’s Durables Goods report underscored just how moribund economic growth in the US remains.

Additionally we learn that US business investment remains lackluster at best.

While Central Banks are spiking the punch bowl, it appears the party goers are not imbibing.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Stock Market SPX May Gap Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX crossed another short-term trendline in the Premarket and appears to be challenging its Short-term support at 2020.07. Should SPX gap beneath that level at the open, we may be in for a fast ride to Intermediate-term support at 1854.42. It is my opinion that 2040.00 was the most important support of the rally.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Share Buybacks: Destructive Innovation That's Keeping Stock Market Bull Alive / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"A man sits as many risks as he runs." ~ Henry David Thoreau

Robin Hood robbed the Rich to help the poor; in the modern day version the Rich rob both Robin Hood and the poor to become even richer. The rich in this case are the greedy corporations and the officers that run the show behind the scenes. In this lazy world, the only thing that matters is money and how to make as much of it as fast as possible. Hence, the best way to boost earnings without doing anything is to buy back boatloads of shares and in doing so artificially boost earnings. It is a perfect scam.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Stock Market Uptrend Reversal Or Just Downward Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 24, 2016

Stock Market Unwinding...Market Environment... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market finally fell a little bit today. Are the bulls ok? I want to be sure you're handling it well. I wouldn't want any of you to feel someone is messing with you. I know it seems inappropriate for a down day, but it does happen every once in a while. Sometimes it's actually even a good thing. It helps to work off overbought conditions. I know it doesn't feel good, but that's the way it is. A day off from upside happens. Today was that minor down day and it did its job for the short term. A lot of solid unwinding for the short-term sixty-minute charts. The stochastic's, MACD, and RSI all having a nice move lower to allow the charts to reset themselves. The only problem the bulls will be facing will be yet another negative divergence will form on the next attempt higher since the MACD and other oscillators did impulse lower yet again on the selling.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

The Next Financial Crisis Will Be THE Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

For six years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis

All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. If the below chart was a problem BEFORE 2008… there is no way that things are better now. After all, we’ve just added another $20 trillion in debt to the US system.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

The ONLY Buyer of Stocks Just Stopped Buying… Buckle Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The rally of the last month has many scratching their heads.

That is, until you realize:

  • Most of it was driven by “short-covering.”
  • The primary buyers of stocks today are corporations buying back their stock to juice EPS, not actual investors.
  • Actual investors have been selling the farm.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Bullard Gives Stocks Bears a Boost / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This is a close approximation of the trendlines that SPX is dealing with.  Fortunately, SPX has made a declining impulse (5 waves) to the 4.3-year trendline.  It is now in a bounce that may take it back to yesterday’s close or the shorter-term trendline, depending on how long it takes.

Confidence in the reversal rises once the retracement is complete, preferably beneath the short-term trendline. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

The Greatest Stock Market Crash Of Your Life Is Just Ahead… – Warns Harry Dent / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: GoldCore

Harry Dent, best-selling author and economist, has warned that the stock bubble in the U.S. today is the biggest in history and that the “greatest crash of your life is just ahead…”

Writing on his website EconomyandMarkets.com, Dent warned that

The story on Wall Street and CNBC continues to be that we’re in a correction and this is a buying opportunity. Even Warren Buffett joins the chorus of stock market cheerleaders for the skeptical public. Well, I agree with the skeptical public, not the experts here!

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Stock Market Trendlines May be Crossed Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket attempted to stay above the trendline in overnight action. However, it has lost upward momentum without making a new high and is threatening to cross beneath the short-term rally trendline.

The larger 4.3-year trendline is still the most important, so a decline below 2040.00 may indicate that the longer trendline is also being taken out.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Stock Market Drilling down to see what's going on / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Sometimes it helps to “drill down” to a smaller scale to see if we may make some sense out of where this rally may be leading us. The first thing to check is the Wave relationships. Wave A = Wave C at 2027.60. At this point, Wave C is 121% the size of A.

We drill down a little further and find that Wave [iii] is 107% the size of Wave [i]. Wave [iii] times 1.07 equals a target of 2052.18 for Wave [v]. That is why it is easy to mistake Wave b of (iv), which happened near yesterday’s close, as the probable top. It wasn’t, but now we appear to be getting closer in our calculation of the size of this rally. Let’s go a step further.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Stock Market 4.3-year Trendline is at SP 2040 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This morning’s trendline shown on the Premarket report missed an important detail that I though should be filled it. The 4.3-year trendline is at 2040.00 as well.

It is possible that the panic decline starts beneath that level, so it follows that aggressive short positions may be taken there.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

The Financial Crisis Has Just Begun; Is The American Dream Is Over? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Global Central Banks have run out of ‘ammunition’. Since March 2008, Central Banks have cut interest rates 637 times and have purchased a staggering $12.3 trillion dollars’ worth of assets. There is not much more that they can do, and currently, the next ‘great crisis’ is upon us.

The global economy and the global financial system will continue to weaken before our very own eyes.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Expect the Unexpected! Don't Ever Underestimate What Central Bankers & Government Will Do / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

Falling Progits and Weakening Markets

The full report explores falling corporate profits, slowing cash-flow levels and weakening market breadth.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Stock Market Refusing To Sell At Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market was overbought on many of the index charts going in to the weekend. One would expect the market to pull back from overbought, especially when the overbought conditions were on both the short-term, sixty-minute charts and the daily charts. When that happens it's usually a short-term top and down we go. Not today. The market is refusing to fall with any force. The bulls are back and back in full force, and dare I say, full froth. Markets are all about emotion as we all know by now. It's not about truth or reality. It's about the flavor of the day, regardless of what may be happening in the real world. The flavor of every day seems to be BUY!!! No matter what, BUY!!!!!

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