Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, September 23, 2018
Two Scenarios for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Harry_Dent
The Trump rally into January 2018 looked like the classic final blow-off top.It had been advancing in a clear channel, then it broke above that in a classic “overthrow” pattern, followed by a sharp correction.
Was that the beginning of the final and greatest crash?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 21, 2018
Elliott Wave Analysis of the SP-500 (SPX) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: WavePatternTraders
The advance from the April lows is currently the focus for us, as I believe the orthodox low for wave [4] was made in April 2018, so we are trying to count an impulse wave (5 wave advance). With the sub-divisions from the April lows, we can now suggest there are enough gyrations in place to warrant some caution for the current bullish trend from those April lows. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also confirmed the SPX idea and made a new all-time high, so that’s now aligned all 3 markets NDX, SPX and the DJIA with the same impulse wave idea from the 2016 lows.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 21, 2018
Dow Broke Out and Made a New All-time High! What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Dow has lagged other indices most of the year, but is finally starting to outperform.
The Dow has now broken out to a new all-time high for the first time in 163 trading days.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 21, 2018
Are You Blind To What's Really Going On In The Market? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Avi_Gilburt
In this article, I am going to do something a little different from my usual articles and start with my perspective on market direction, and then move into the issues I see in the market today.
I have long believed that we can see the 3000+ region before we get that 30% correction I have been looking for in the 2019-2020 time frame. And, as usually occurs, that market top will be accompanied by excessive bullishness among the masses. While many of the pundits have believed we will crash every week for years, the public seems to ignore them (appropriately) and have become much more bullish of late.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 20, 2018
Here’s Why "Strong Jobs" Don't Mean "Higher Stocks" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: EWI
The stock market leads the economy, not the other way around
It's a wonderful thing when jobs are added to the U.S. economy.
But, as far as investing goes, history shows that you should not bet your stock market portfolio on it. Conversely, even a series of weak jobs reports doesn't mean you should bet against stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 20, 2018
The Stealth Reason Why the Stock Market Keeps On Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Gordon_T_Long
KEY MESSAGE:
- The US stock market continues to rise because it is increasingly dominated by shrinking "availability & supply",
- All three stock "Pools" are shrinking in a stealth & unappreciated fashion,
- There is an increasing potential for a "Minsky Melt-Up" based on an even stronger US dollar (i.e. An Emerging Market Flight to Safety),
- Expect a coming M&A corporate focus using inflated stock as the takeover currency to answer slowing corporate growth .... further reducing listing and outstanding share pools.
- Expect market rotation from Growth to Value in the near term versus the final Topping of the equity markets.
Wednesday, September 19, 2018
US Dollar Head & Shoulders Triggered. What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX made its final high yesterday afternoon. The top-to-top time was 12.9 days, fitting my thesis that the impulsive decline and retracement fits in Cyclical time. This morning’s futures are lower, indicating that a new impulse may be underway, although it may remain shallow for the better part of the day. There is a potential Head & Shoulders formation that, when triggered, may send the SPX beneath its smaller Broadening Wedge.
Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Prepare for the Stock Market’s Volatility to Increase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
As you probably know, volatility has been notably absent from the U.S. stock market over the past 3-4 months. The S&P 500 has been rising in a slow and steady pace while VIX has been falling.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Proven Gauges of the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Donald_W_Dony
As the current bull market roars into its 9th year, analysts, market pundits and investors, all wonder at one point, how much longer is this run going to go?
Gauges for the duration of the bull market vary considerably.
Analysts who value fundamentals generally review the levels of Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), Debt-to-Equity, free cash flow and the PEG ratio to determine the "true value" of a company.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Predictive Trading Model Suggests Falling Stock Prices During US Elections / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Just in time for what appears to be a potentially massive market price rotation, our researchers have put together this post to highlight what we believe will become a surprise price correction in the US Equities markets. Our team of researchers believes the correlation of our predictive modeling tools, predictive cycle tools, and other indicators are set up for what may become a massive 5~8% price rotation over the next 60 days.
We were expecting this rotation to start unfolding around mid-September (now) but at this time the technical are still bullish so we are not betting against the market just yet.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Lehman Brothers Financial Collapse - Ten Years Later / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andy_Sutton
This will not be a long piece. It is not a memorial to Lehman Brothers nor is it an honorarium to the system that created Lehman, then crushed it along with a wide swath of American wealth and capital as well. This is not a tribute to government leaders such as Henry Paulson and others at the USTreasury who abused the trust afforded them by the American people and conducted one of the most brazen and heinous broad-daylight robberies in the history of the human race. We want you to remember what happened because, in the ten years since Lehman, not a thing has been done to prevent another episode and all the ingredients are present. The only thing missing is the trigger.
Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Financial Crisis Markets Reality Check Now in Progress / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: Michael_Pento
The long-awaited dose of reality from the massive and unprecedented financialization of the global economy has finally begun.
Of course, those of us who understood from the start how healthy economies and markets naturally function, knew that a viable recovery from the fiscal and monetary excesses--which caused the great recession and financial crisis of 2008--was never underway. This is because central banks manipulated interest rates to zero percent and below and kept them at that level for a decade. Then, those same low rates engendered a humongous amount of new debt to be incurred, leading to the rebuilding of the current stock and real estate bubbles. And, it also created a tremendous and unprecedented bubble in the global fixed income market. This entire artificial construct, which was built upon bigger asset bubbles and greater debt loads, is now being tenuously held together by that very same government-engineered bond bubble.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 18, 2018
The Stock Market’s Breadth: Another Warning Sign for 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
We are getting more and more signs that the stock market will face trouble in 2019. Some of these market studies center around breadth.
The stock market’s breadth has been deteriorating recently. Some of this is due to weakness in foreign (non-U.S.) stocks.
Long term breadth divergence is a normal part of rallies within bull markets. There’s nothing bearish about breadth divergences. HOWEVER, long term breadth divergences that have gone too far while accompanied by massive bull market rallies are a bearish sign for stocks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 17, 2018
Wall Street Created Financial Crash Catastrophe Ten Years Later / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: James_Quinn
“Government has coddled, accepted, and ignored white collar crime for too long. It is time the nation woke up and realized that it’s not the armed robbers or drug dealers who cause the most economic harm, it’s the white collar criminals living in the most expensive homes who have the most impressive resumes who harm us the most. They steal our pensions, bankrupt our companies, and destroy thousands of jobs, ruining countless lives.” – Harry Markopolos, Madoff Whistleblower
The tenth anniversary of the Wall Street created financial catastrophe brought back some bittersweet memories this week. I wrote my first articles during the summer/fall of 2008 for Seeking Alpha. They included: Is The U.S Banking System Safe? (Aug 2008), The Great Consumer Crash of 2009 (Aug 2008), Looming Financial Catastrophe: A Real Inconvenient Truth (Aug 2008), Is Wachovia the Worst Run Bank in America (Sept 2008), The U.S. on the Precipice (Sept 2008), On Board the U.S.S. Titanic (Sept 2008), Our Coming Depression (Oct 2008), among others. I was pumping out 5,000 word articles every 2 or 3 days.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 17, 2018
Trade Wars Are Going To Crash This Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
This week, I am going to bring back the list of reasons that have been paraded before you over the last three-plus years as to why the stock market rally is over:
Brexit – NOPE
Frexit – NOPE
Grexit - NOPE
Italian referendum - NOPE
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 17, 2018
Saudi TASI Stock Index Continues to Weaken Following Breakdown from Rising Wedge / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
By: MarketsToday
Following a breakdown from a bearish rising wedge several weeks ago, the TASI (Saudi Arabia stock market) seen three consecutive weeks of falling prices. The index is now fast approaching the first key support zone to watch for a potential short-term bounce. Typically, at some point following a breakdown a bearish pattern a counter-trend rally will occur back up towards the breakdown zone (approx. 7,226) to some degree, before a continuation lower kicks in.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 17, 2018
Financial Markets Macro/Micro View: Waves and Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Brad_Gudgeon
That which has been is what will be,That which is done is what will be done,
And there is nothing new under the sun. Ecclesiastes 1:9 (NKJV)
Much has been written regarding repeating socio/political economic (SPE) cycles. Strauss and Howe wrote about the 20-22 year generational turns, which work in a 4 generation cycle called a Saeculum. Each Saeculum lasts about 80-88 years and includes a repeating pattern of Winter, Spring, Summer and Fall back to Winter again.
R.N. Elliot, A.J. Frost and Robert Prechter (over time) were able to map out an Elliott “Grand Super Cycle” 5 Wave pattern stretching from the founding of the USA into about 1999-2000. W.D. Gann was able to see repeating cycle patterns of 90, 82-84, 60, 45, 30, 20 and 10 years. There are many other cycles like the 4-year presidential cycle and Benner’s Cycle (http://bit.ly/2Qzx4OQ) which I will get to in time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 17, 2018
Stock Market Bulls Prevail – for Now! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – Another correction has started which could conceivably continue into mid-October.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Monday, September 17, 2018
The China Threat - Global Crisis Hot Spots & Pressure Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
By: Jim_Willie_CB
A preface is required to explain that the US Federal Reserve is responsible for every grand financial crisis in the last 30 years, dating back to the Great Depression and its supposed spurious resolution to Black Monday of 1987. Little realized is that the ’87 crash was a direct result of the impact from outsourcing US industry, whose trend began in 1984 with Intel. The lost legitimate income had a grand effect on the inflows to the US Stock Market. Of course, the newly forming Reich Economic team preferred to describe it differently. The important outcome from the cleanup was the creation of multi-$trillion bank derivatives to serve as phony foundation for the entire Western banking system. Greenspan blessed it as good and firm, but now we know it was soft and weak. These derivatives are blowing up, which will require bailouts and a replacement in the Gold Standard. Instead, expect the derivatives to ramp up further with greater leverage up to the assured catastrophe. The fallout will be great.
Sunday, September 16, 2018
Emerging Markets to Follow and Those to Avoid / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Harry_Dent
Just saw a chart with the second quarter GDP results for the fastest growing countries in the world, and…Of course, emerging countries – largely Asia – dominated.
India topped at a whopping 8.2%, followed by waning China at 6.7%, Indonesia at 5.3%, and Turkey at 5.1%.
Other notable emerging countries were struggling, with Brazil at -1.2% and Argentina at -0.7%.
Read full article... Read full article...