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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, October 09, 2015

Stock Market Waiting for the Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is higher this morning. This appears to be the final phase of the rally, which may be gunning for the hourly Cycle Top at 2022.41.

ZeroHedge comments, “Several days ago, we pointed out a startling fact: short interest in the NYSE had risen to match the record level seen just before the collapse of Lehman!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 09, 2015

Financial Markets Calm Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE - Global business activity is slowing down and the majority of the developing nations are experiencing severe economic problems. Over in the developed world, Japan is contracting again, Euro zone is barely growing and even America's leading economic indicators are suggesting trouble ahead. Elsewhere, the CRB Index is trading at a 13-year low and this implosion in the prices of commodities is suggesting that all is not well with the global economy.

The crux of the matter is that the world is severely over-indebted (debt to GDP ratio of 286%, Figure 1) and without fiscal measures, viable reforms and debt restructuring, we will probably remain stuck in this low growth environment for years. Unfortunately, you cannot solve a problem of too much debt by encouraging even more borrowing; yet policymakers are trying to fix this mess by lowering interest rates and injecting liquidity.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 09, 2015

Stock Market History Calling, Says Performance will be Crappy for Another ~10 years! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

I remember the first time I walked into Henry Blodget’s new startup, Business Insider, back in 2009. Twelve fresh-faced kids were crammed into a room about the size of my bedroom, pounding away on laptops, creating a new destination website. He took me over to a corner; we sat down in front of a few cameras; and he began shooting question after question at me, later turning the session into a series of interviews.

You walk into his office today and it’s still packed wall-to-wall with fresh-faced kids (the older I get the younger they look), but the offices are much larger, and it seemed to me last time that there had to be at least 150 people in them. But the interviews are still quick-paced, even if they’re now conducted in a special room, with upgraded equipment.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 09, 2015

Cycle Top Met in the SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The final surge in SPX hit Cycle Top resistance at 2013.51 where it appears to be repelled. A cross beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 1994.49 puts SPX back on a confirmed sell signal.

SPX has a new bearish profile with an Orthodox Broadening Top formation. A final peak that is lower than the second peak of the formation elevates the probability of a negative outcome to over 80%. Once SPX declines beneath the lower trendline the chances of meeting its proposed target is elevated to as high as 96%.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 08, 2015

FOMC Minutes Fireworks / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has risen back to the 50-da Moving Average for the 5th time. I don’t like this action, but it seems that the market is waiting for the release of the FOMC Minutes at 2:00 pm.

Reuters reports, “U.S. stocks fell on Thursday as investors await the minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting to get an insight into the central bank's decision to keep interest rates steady.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 08, 2015

How to Profit from the Coming Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: MM

MoneyMorning.com By Shah Gilani, Everyone loves a bull market, and it seems that almost everyone fears a bear market.

Not me… I love them both.

In fact, I especially love it when stocks, or bonds, or commodities, or just about any asset class, goes down.

That's because I make what I call "easy money" (and a lot of it) by flipping the securities I trade and invest in when markets head south.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 08, 2015

US Stocks: The [Trend]Line Between Bull and Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

Our FREE report shows you just how invaluable trendlines are for anticipating major reversals

Last weekend, I went on a road trip with a friend and her two young sons. The second we left the driveway, the older boy placed a rubber pool noodle in between him and his brother and established the most important ground rule of all sibling driving trips:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 08, 2015

Stock Market Pessimism Still Very High.....Bulls Enjoying The Negativity Off The Lows... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

When markets get overly optimistic, meaning too many bulls, they have a tendency to struggle, even if it takes a while before they go down appreciably. See how the market did nothing most of last year except to move laterally. Then we had the strong and powerful move lower that took the S&P 500 down 14%. Now we're dealing with the opposite effect. The bull-bears spread now at minus 4.2%, which is off last week's minus 10% reading, but still below 0, which is very good news for the bulls. The Rydex bear fund is also at three-year highs, which shows you the bears are still quite aggressive, which is a negative for them, of course. The market has shown a few gap ups here over the past couple of days, and may now be headed for a lateral bull-flag type of set up.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 07, 2015

Stock Market VERY IMPORTANT Turn Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that I was closer to the truth than I had imagined when I said that yesterday’s (today’s) Pivot was more important than that on September 17. The Elliott Wave pattern shows today’s Intermediate Wave (B) as the orthodox retracement top, but not the high in the corrective formation. This is an irregular pattern and gives the message that SPX may be ready for a larger decline than previously imagined.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 07, 2015

Is Another Historic Stock Market Collapse Just Around the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

This morning’s Premarket shows SPX challenging yesterday’s high. With corporate quarterly earnings reports beginning en masse before the open, there is no telling if SPX opens higher or not.

ZeroHedge reports that the first four out of four earnings reports have been disappointing.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

Stock Market Turn Appears to Have Been Made / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX peaked at 10:00, as suggested this morning. I had suggested that last Thursday might be the peak, due to an indication of a Primary Pivot there. However, it was not in the dominant Cycle. Today was day 43 of the dominant Cycle, that is, the one beginning on August 24.

One of the reasons for much of the confusion up to the July 20 high was the lack of dominant Cycles. That is why I had emphasized the July 7 low as being a probable flash crash, which it wasn’t, because it originated on October 15, 2014. Now that we are getting sorted out, it may be easier to follow the next series of declines and rallies.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

SPX Finishing its Retracement this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX Premarket has eased down, but not impulsively. This suggests another probe higher at the open. The estimated target may be between 2000.00 and 2004.00.

ZeroHedge reports, “The best headline to summarize what happened in the early part of the overnight session was the following from Bloomberg: "Asian stocks extend global rally on stimulus bets."

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

Stock Market European Surprise.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

One thing I've learned through the years is to expect the unexpected. The global-economic reports have been poor, and have been getting worse as time moves along. It doesn't matter what part of the globe we're speaking about, the news just keeps getting worse. Based on that reality, we've seen our markets struggle for quite some time now. Fundamentals are rising above fear. When you think about how intense fear is, it's pretty amazing that the bears can still win with poor fundamentals. That said, the unexpected good news hit out of nowhere, which is how it always occurs. The Euro Zone had their retail-sales report, and it came in better than expected, not only month over month, but year over year. The Euro Zone saw all of their markets rise on that news, and, in some cases, explosively so. There are so many shorts out there that it wouldn't take too much to get a decent rally.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

Stocks Bear Market Apocalypse Imminent Crash Gets Nuked Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The last 2 months have been increasingly witnessing ever louder market calls for the beginnings of a new stocks bear market and this not just from the usual suspects, the perma bears who call every correction of the past 6+ years as marking the start of a bear market. Lately an increasing number of those who had managed to remain 'mostly' bullish in the face of a relentless stocks bull market have been increasingly coming out pronouncements of stocks now being in a bear market .

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 05, 2015

Macrocosm Revisited / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

Here again is our representation of what a positive macro environment would look like for a bullish gold and gold mining stance. We created this theme in July for NFTRH 353.

This view comes off as repugnant to much of the gold “community”, but I cannot stress strongly enough how important it is to tune out the fairy stories about missing COMEX gold (and silver), love-inspired demand from China and India, ‘rising US employment drives interest rates, incentivizes banks to lend and creates inflation, driving people into gold and gold stocks’ or any other angle out there that does not focus on declining confidence in policy making and its ability to control economies and financial markets. Every single one of these supposed fundamentals have already been proven wrong.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 05, 2015

Positive Stock Market Expectations Following Last Week's Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative long positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,900, and profit target at 2,020, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook is bullish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bullish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bullish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 05, 2015

Stock Market Correction Still in Force / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?

Intermediate trend - SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 04, 2015

More Selling for Stock Market, Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I was looking for a counter trend rally and we finally got it starting September 30. The stock market formed an irregular bottom on September 29 no doubt due to Mars square Saturn on September 25th and the super-moon lunar eclipse of September 27th.   On Friday, October 2nd the moon was in Gemini, which is ruled by Mercury, which is currently retrograde (think Bermuda Triangle). The employment report was negative, which caused gold and silver to skyrocket and stocks to plummet (subscribers were alerted the day before of a possible move of GDX to the 14.40-14.50 zone for Friday). When stocks sold off Friday morning, it caused a positive divergence in the momentum indicators (the trend was up) and the SPX went from a 30 point deficit to plus 27 points by day’s end.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 03, 2015

Stock Market Primary IV Still, or Primary V Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 1931. After a gap down opening on Monday the market came within five points of retesting its August SPX 1867 low on Tuesday. Then the market gapped up Wednesday and Thursday hitting SPX 1927. On Friday the market gapped down to SPX 1894, then made a strong recovery and ended the week at 1951. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.00%, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.75%, and the DJ World index gained 0.70%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: the PCE, consumer confidence, personal income/spending, the ADP index, construction spending and the WLEI. On the downtick: pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing, factory orders, GDPn, monthly payrolls, plus weekly claims rose. Next week we get reports on the FOMC minutes and ISM services.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 03, 2015

Economic Free Fall....Pessimism Screaming Higher....No Rate Hike Coming Any Time Soon.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market action had been better the last couple of days. Even with a very bad ISM Manufacturing Report number yesterday, the market was able to hang in rather well. Makes sense on some level, since there's that push-pull going on between pessimism and fundamentals. The market had hoped that we'd see a push higher off a solid jobs report this morning pre-market. Wasn't in the cards.

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