Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

CABLE leads the way in a major turn for USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: short below parity in wave (5).
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: N/A. USD: Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance.

Cable took a beating today with the first bearish action in two weeks.
We got a slight new high overnight as expected,
And then a very impulsive looking decline this morning.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

The Crisis of World Automation  / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Christopher_Quigley

“Money is an amazing, device without which modern civilization could not function but its introduction and development as a debt-credit accountancy system in the context of an increasingly labor-displacing, intensive capital producing system, involves a number of fundamental issues of which we must become aware of and for which we must compensate through a new economic orthodoxy. Keynesianism is dead. Let us actively bury it and move on, rather than let the corpse rot and its disease destroy the natural creative resourcefulness of nations”.

Friday, August 04, 2017

How to Win Against the Dangerous Stock Market Investor "Herding Impulse" / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest

By: EWI

We all love a bargain...

...Except when it comes to stocks.

The reason boils down to uncertainty. We know what our fruits and vegetables should cost at the grocer's -- but we're far less certain about how much to pay for a blue-chip stock or shares in an S&P 500 Index fund.

So how does our mind work in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty?

Thursday, August 03, 2017

Uncertainty At Record Highs, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Wednesday, August 02, 2017

What Is Widespread Excessive Stock Market Optimism Indicating? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I implement these “seasonality” charts as they have been a great framework into all of my trading/investing technical analysis.  Seasonality charts are constructed from the past thirty years of historical data.

I implement them as “contrarian indicators”.  The “extreme bullishness” is perceived as bearish and the “extreme bearishness” is perceived as bullish!

Wednesday, August 02, 2017

DOW Jones and EURUSD Changing Fortunes Ahead.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: long term bearish
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave
Long term wave count: lower in wave (3) red
Important risk events: EUR: Spanish Unemployment Change. USD: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Crude Oil Inventories.

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

A Reversal Coming To U.S. Major Stock Indexes? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Technically speaking, this week could be very important for the major U.S. equity markets. There is an appearance of a “TOPPING PATTERN” forming. I am now awaiting confirmation by the actions of the equity markets, this week. Expect downward pressure beginning this month of August of 2017.

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Markets Are Virtually Risk-Free / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

For the last year, I have been looking for what we classify as a wave (3) to strike the 2500SPX region. And, now, we are getting quite close.

Meanwhile, this rally has brought out two camps of market expectations at this juncture, both of which I believe are wearing blinders. We read about those who believe the markets basically have no limit to their upside, and are "virtually risk-free," and we read those who have "known" that the market will imminently crash during this entire 40% rally since February 2016.

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

NASDAQ Composite Stocks Index Should Pullback Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

The following video/chart shows NASDAQ composite index. The index has a tremendous rally since the lows around 1975 which is pretty close to the zero level. The index has reached the bottom of the blue box at 6219 area. The question then is whether the index will extend higher or start correcting lower as the minimal target has been reached. As we often say, Elliott wave theory by itself is not enough. In this case, we can see that from the zero line, we can count the index as a completed ABC. However, we can also count it as an incomplete ABC with a black((4)) still to happen. In the Elliott wave theory, any five waves structure always at one moment is a three wave move. It is therefore too early at this stage to determine if the rally will develop into a five waves move.

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Stock Market Bears Are Getting Desperate / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Last weekend, I noted that I expect the market to move up towards the 2487SPX region before we are able to see a market top. And, this past week, we struck a high of 2484.04, and saw a strong reaction to the downside.

While the market has continued higher since February 2016 as I expected, we have all read those articles which suggest the top is going to be seen any day now. And, yes, we have seen them almost daily for the entire 40% rally we have experienced since that time.

Many analysts have been pointing to so many different reasons as to why they believe the market is “wrong.” And many more have pointed to reasons they expected the market to crash imminently, such as terrorist attacks, Brexit, Frexit, Trump election, cessation of QE, interest rate hikes, and many more that we all have read. Yes, most were quite certain that the market would never see its current heights and have fought this rally tooth and nail.

Monday, July 31, 2017

Mixed Expectations As Stocks Trade Along New Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, July 31, 2017

Why the Stock Market Must Fall Hard! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

I have been warning for over a week now about a coming waterfall decline.  The wave counts and cycles are at the point where I believe it is a virtual impossibility for the market not to implode Monday for the biggest one day loss of the year.

This next chart shows the daily e-wave count:

Monday, July 31, 2017

Stock Market Final Minor Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.

SPX Intermediate trend:  An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion.  This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.

Sunday, July 30, 2017

The Perfect Stock Market Crash Indicator Is Flashing Red / Stock-Markets / US Auto's

By: John_Rubino

What’s the last big toy you buy when things have been good for a really long time and you already have all the other toys? An RV, of course. A dubious thing to own if you already have a house, but when the good times seem likely to roll on forever, why the hell not?

And what’s the first thing you sell when you lose your job and your stocks are tanking? That very same RV. Which makes new RV sales a useful indicator of our place in the business cycle.

Sunday, July 30, 2017

Investment Legend Warns of a 1987-Type Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Klarman is founder of Baupost Group and is widely considered to be one of the greatest value investors in history. In 30+ years from 1982 to 2015, he only had three losing years, and is believed to have averaged returns of 16%.

Bear in mind, he did thiswhile keeping 30%-50% in cash at all times.

Sunday, July 30, 2017

Stock Market SPX Uptrending Again After Minuscule Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2473. With nothing more than a pullback to SPX 2466 on Monday, the market worked its way to a new all-time high at 2484 on Thursday. After opening at the high the market started to pullback, then sold off to SPX 2460 in the afternoon. After that the market rebounded to end the week at SPX 2372. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.20%. Economic reports were mostly positive, with no rate increase at the FOMC meeting. On the downtick: existing homes sales, plus jobless claims rose. On the uptick: consumer confidence/sentiment, new home sales, durable goods, and Q2 GDP. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the ISMs and monthly payrolls. Best to your week!

Saturday, July 29, 2017

Investors Beating U.S. Stock Market Can Be Simple / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Adam_ODell

Americans like to buy American stocks.

Europeans prefer European stocks.

And Chinese investors… well, you guessed it, they go heavily into Chinese stocks.

This is the essence of a phenomenon called home country bias.

Friday, July 28, 2017

Fed Quantitative Tightening Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

Ominously for the stock markets, the Federal Reserve is warning that quantitative tightening is coming later this year.  The Fed is on the verge of starting to drain its vast seas of new money conjured out of thin air over the past decade or so.  The looming end of this radically-unprecedented easy-money era is exceedingly bearish for these lofty stock markets, which have been grossly inflated for years by Fed QE.

Way back in December 2008, the first US stock panic in an entire century left the Fed frantic.  Fearful of an extreme negative wealth effect spawning another depression, the Fed quickly forced its benchmark federal-funds rate to zero.  Once that zero-interest-rate policy had been implemented, no more rate cuts were practical.  ZIRP is terribly disruptive economically, fueling huge distortions.  But negative rates are far worse.

Friday, July 28, 2017

Could USD/JPY go into Freefall? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are down, but have not exceeded yesterday’s intraday low.

Today being Friday, there may be an effort to keep the decline from going too low. That suggests a probable bounce at Short-term support at 2457.17 to rally back to breakeven by the end of the day. Should this take place, it may offer another short entry opportunity by the end of the day. But this is only one outcome out of several possible scenarios. A second scenario may be an immediate launch into a Wave three scenario with a minimum 8-12% decline in the next three days. Yesterday may have been day one of a 4.3-day panic Cycle.

Friday, July 28, 2017

Stock Market XIV Starting To Crack And The VIX Ends Its Streak / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Submissions

Mike Golembesky: Recent Price Action

This week the XIV continued to grind higher finally reaching a high of 96.98 on Wednesday afternoon. This high was followed by a very small move to the downside late in the day on Wednesday.

Thursday morning saw a slight recovery but by the noon lunch hour, the XIV started showing signs of weakness. By 12:30 the XIV began to move sharply lower finally bottoming at the 89.28 level, some 7.5% off of the high of the day.