Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 19, 2017
Stock Market Profiting from the Unexpected News / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Rodney_Johnson
Every weekday morning I roll out of bed just before 5 a.m.I sleepwalk to the kitchen, where my coffee-maker on a timer has just finished brewing, and reach for a much-needed cup. Then I flip on the television, and switch between local news and either CNBC or Bloomberg.
As I hate myself every single day for rising so early to exercise, I take note of the weather, any craziness that happened overnight in the Houston area, and the current trends in futures and interest rates.
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Friday, May 19, 2017
Evidence That Stocks are More Overvalued than Ever / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Dent
Tuesday morning, the Dow was just 27 points away from 21,000 again!How can anyone believe this is NOT a bubble?!
Nobel Laureate and economist Robert Shiller developed the best valuation indicator I’ve seen. His cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio is known as the Shiller P/E, or CAPE.
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Thursday, May 18, 2017
Credit and Volatility Signal That Financial Conditions Are Very Overheated / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : Around the summer of 2006, when I was at Lehman Brothers, I started bellyaching in my notes to clients about how the market went up every day.
I am a pretty creative guy, so every day I had very colorful (and irreverent) things to say about how stocks went relentlessly higher and how my life sucked.
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Thursday, May 18, 2017
Another Stock Market "Minsky Moment" or Will the Markets Calm Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The chart show the best interpretation of yesterday’s decline. The SPX futures declined another 13 points before bouncing early this morning. It has regained about half of the overnight loss. As it stands, this would be an irregular correction, where Wave [c] does not meet the top of Wave [a]. Although unlikely, it is still possible that SPX could bounce back to the 50-day Moving Average at 2369.62.
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Thursday, May 18, 2017
Stock Market Blood Bath from the Get-Go / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had an extreme turn-around day today. The day started out with a plunge at the get-go, the futures going sharply lower based on the Trump news, they had a very brief five or ten-minute bounce, and then came down hard and plunged again. By late morning, the market formed bear wedges after rallying back, but could not sustain, and rolled over hard in the afternoon. Late in the afternoon, they formed bear flags, and went even lower. The indices completed a five-wave decline at the end of the day, finishing sharply lower.
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Thursday, May 18, 2017
Euro, Stocks, Gold Momentum Extremes All Round! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: ECB President Draghi Speaks. USD: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index.
Wednesday, May 17, 2017
SPX Gapped Beneath its Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
At critical times I check the daily against the hourly and 2-hour charts. To my surprise, the Diagonal trendline had drifted lower than it should have. I have corrected it because I had discovered that on the daily chart the SPX gap down had opened beneath the trendline! That suggests that the potential retracements may not go back above trendline resistance near 2390.00.
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Wednesday, May 17, 2017
Stock Market Support/resistance Broken. Probable Aggressive SPX Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX gapped down to 2380.72, beneath the probable Wave [b] low. There is likely to be an attempt to fill the gap, a mighty undertaking at this level. I would rate this morning’s decline as an aggressive sell signal, subject to some blowback. A partial short entry may be advisable.
Wednesday, May 17, 2017
The stock market sectors which are breaking out in 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
Over recent times it has been reported that the stock market is once again proving to be quite volatile.It's for this reason why sources such as the JCRA group website are in immense demand; volatility prompts a lot of question marks that the average Joe just doesn't have the experience to answer.
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Wednesday, May 17, 2017
Stock Market NDX Reached New All-Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mini volatile session as they opened sharply high, came down sharply, held support, rallied sharply midday, pulled back in the afternoon, and closed very sharply on the Nasdaq 100, reaching new all-time highs. Although the S&P 500 was dissimilar in that it made two consecutive lower highs verses the Nasdaq 100 making two higher highs, that was decidedly negative divergence. We’ll see whether or whether not that plays out tomorrow.
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Tuesday, May 16, 2017
Will the SPX Stock Market Final Surge Fail to Appear? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Wave structure on the left is a likely scenario on how the SPX may play out. This morning’s decline appears to be Wave c of (iv). Wave (v) may now be underway. As far as Wave relationships go, Wave [c] equals Wave [a] at 2405.86, while Wave (v) equals Wave (i) at 2410.24. Wave 5 equals Wave 1 at 2415.05. Cycle Top resistance on the hourly chart is at 2413.67. That gives us a range in which SPX may reverse course.
Tuesday, May 16, 2017
The Final Probe in SPX May be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are higher, suggesting the final probe to the top may be underway. At the moment, 2415.05 appears to be a reasonable target. Although May 26-29 appears to be the time target for the Master Cycle low, another important Cyclical anniversary is coming up. June 6, 2017 (2017.43) happens to be exactly 17.2 years from the March 24, 2000 (2000.230) high of 1553.11. Cycles are not always exact. For example, 8.6 years from the March 24, 2000 high was October 29, 2008. The 2008 low occurred on November 21, exactly 17 market days later. We are within 15 market days of the June 6 anniversary, so the top may happen at any time. Can it stretch to June 6? Possibly, yes. However, SPX is very late in the current Master Cycle.
Tuesday, May 16, 2017
Cyber Wars Could Crash Markets and Threat To Humanity – Buffett and Rickards / Stock-Markets / Cyber War
By: GoldCore
Cyber wars are a bigger threat to humanity than nuclear weapons, the world’s richest and most famous investor Warren Buffett, presciently warned a few days ago.
“I do think that’s the number one problem with mankind,” Warren Buffett warned during Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholder meeting on May 6th.
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Monday, May 15, 2017
SPX is higher, but the VIX is not beaten / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
A new high has been made. My best analysis suggests that it is a Wave [c] that is not yet finished. Wave Equality calculations at the minute [] level suggest it may end at 2415.05. At the Minor level, Wave equality may reach as high as 2437.41. The 2-hour Cycle Top is currently at 2412.07, suggesting the lower level may suffice.
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Monday, May 15, 2017
WIll Trump Tax Cuts Debt Binge Save Stock Market From Double Top Bear Plunge? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
So is the Stock Market forming a Double Top? It was not so long ago that I would only see stocks in terms to reverting back towards their highs, after all literally since the birth of the stocks bull market I have been iterating the mantra of "The greater the deviation from the stock market high then the greater the buying opportunity presented" Whilst now it's more a kin to the greater the rally from the last significant low then the greater the probability of sudden reversal. So why am I BEARISH during 2017, when I had been BULLISH for nearly 8 YEARS!
Monday, May 15, 2017
The Chart No Stocks Bull Wants to See / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
If you are a stock bull, congratulations, you’ve unwittingly bought the market based on abject currency manipulation and nothing else.
Stocks have been propped up via abject manipulation of the $USD/ Yen pair and nothing else. The two are been moving lockstop via one of the greatest market rigs in a history: a 10-day period in which stocks refused to move even 0.2%.
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Monday, May 15, 2017
A Shallow Stock Market Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 on 3/08 continues, possibly as the top of the B-wave.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, May 14, 2017
Weighing the Probabilities for EURUSD GOLD and the DOW / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: G7 Meetings. USD: Empire State Manufacturing Index,
Saturday, May 13, 2017
US SPX Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The SPX started the week at 2399. After a higher open on Monday and Tuesday the SPX made a new all-time high at 2404. It then pulled back to SPX 2382 before ending the week at 2391. For the week, the SPX/DOW lost 0.45% and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.50%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: the WLEI and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, export/import prices, the CPI/PPI, retail sales, consumer sentiment, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget improved. Next week’s economic highlights include: industrial production, the NY/Philly FED, and housing. Best to your week!
Thursday, May 11, 2017
SPX is Weaker, But No Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are down, but not enough to give a signal, yet. The SPX may go either way, so be warned of some chaotic moments today.
ZeroHedge reports, “Asian stocks rose lifted by commodity names; European equities trade mostly lower but with little in the way of conviction or firm direction while the Italian banking index is at the highest level in a year following domestic earnings; S&P index futures are modestly in the red after the cash market closed at a record high Wednesday and investors prepared for earnings from retailers; we expect the now general vol selling program to promptly lift the S&P into new all time highs minutes after today's open.”
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