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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 09, 2014

The Stock Market and Dow Theory / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory

By: Tim_Wood

I have recently received a number of e-mails, phone calls and texts asking if we have recently seen a “Dow Theory Buy Signal.”  As I understand it, this question was prompted as a result of the Industrials and the Transports having moved to new intraday highs last week.  I want to explain each and every issue with this alleged “Dow Theory Buy Signal.” Then, I will walk you through the Dow Theory events that have followed in the wake of the 2009 low and where we are now in accordance with Dow Theory.     

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 09, 2014

Stock Market Three-Day Selloff Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Today the S&P 500 snapped a three-day losing streak with a modest gain. The bounce was largely driven by a reversal in the recent plunge in Tech stocks, with IYW (the iShares Tech ETF) up 0.99%. The 500 opened fractionally higher and then sold off to its -0.41% intraday low. It then recovered to a relatively narrow trading range from the late morning to its 0.38% advance at the closing bell, which was off its 0.54% mid-day high.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 09, 2014

Dow Stock Market Double Top - Fib or Fact? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Ed_Carlson

As of last Wednesday, the Dow has printed a double top. The time span between 12/31/13 and Wednesday’s closing high is 92 days. A Fibonacci 38.2% of the distance between those two dates is 35 days and 35 days past 12/31/13 marked the closing low on 2/3/14.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 08, 2014

Final Bubble Phase for the Stock Market: Final Capitulation for Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Toby_Connor

After two hard days down in the stock market I'm going to take a contrary position and say that this is just a normal profit taking event and that stocks are going to recover and head back up to new highs. I still think this market needs to have a final blow off bubble phase before the bull can die. The final bubble phase for stocks should usher in the final capitulation stage of gold's 2 1/2 year bear market. For those like SMT subscribers that are sitting in cash, this final capitulation is going to represent one of the greatest buying opportunities of this generation.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 08, 2014

Dow and Nikkei Stock Market Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Dan_Stinson

Nikkei top and relationship with the DOW - UPDATE - DOW wave (5) top and Nikkei wave (2) top

We issued a newsletter on Feb 17th discussing the possible relationship between the Nikkei and the DOW. The newsletter included charts to illustrate this relationship and suggested that we would see a DOW top while the Nikkei completes wave (2) up. This appears to have occurred on Apr 3 2014 for the Nikkei and on Apr 4 2014 for the DOW. Some of the charts below are from the Feb 17th newsletter.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 07, 2014

Flash Boys - Why You Need to Read Michael Lewis’ New Exposé / Stock-Markets / Resources & Reviews

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: No doubt you’ve heard about Michael Lewis’ new book, “Flash Boys.”

And, no doubt you’ve been hearing more than ever before about the subject of Lewis’ book, High Frequency Trading (HFT).

I ran to Barnes & Noble to buy the book the second I heard about it last week. They didn’t have any copies. So, I ordered it online, which was cheaper anyway.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 07, 2014

Stock Market Selloff New Downtrend Or Just A Short-Term Pullback? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is now neutral, following Friday’s move down:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 07, 2014

US Stocks Down, JPY Up After NFP / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

Morning traders! I hope that you had a great and relaxing weekend as markets can be very interesting in this week after strong sell-off on US stocks on Friday, after the US jobs report. We see markets in risk-off mode, but interesting that, despite a strong move down on stocks USD did not move much to the upside. We have seen a strong upward reaction on US Notes and German Bund market while stocks were falling which was ideal for lower {{3|USD/JPY}} and Yen crosses.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 07, 2014

The Real Reason the Stock Market Is Rigged / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Money_Morning

Everyone's talking about Michael Lewis' latest book Flash Boys and HFT (high-frequency trading) and whether the markets are rigged.

What they're not talking about is how the markets have been set up for institutionalized rigging.

I'm not kidding.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 07, 2014

Current Jakarta Composite Stock Index Index Run Up Sustainable? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

The recent run-up of the Jakarta Composite Index has nothing to do with improving fundamentals in the Indonesian economy but more towards an election play. For all is known, the Indonesian economy is far from out of the woods. Although recently the Indonesian economy managed to record trade surpluses, it is mainly due to the rise in exports. Exports are brought forward from the mining sector as a result of an anticipated ban on mineral exports after Jan 12, 2014.  Moreover the sudden surge in the economic activity for the past few months has mainly due to the increased public spending geared towards the run up of the elections. Whatever it is, the Indonesian economy is still very weak and will have problem maintaining the momentum as soon as the elections ends next week.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 07, 2014

Are Leading Stock Market Indexes Turning Bearish? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Failed to overcome resistance at the high.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 05, 2014

Stocks Bulls vs. Bears: Some Profit Margin Stories Are Better Than Others / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: F_F_Wiley

[M]argins have been rising smartly–faster than Greenspan can ever recall. His only explanation: productivity… Greenspan argues that the U.S. is undergoing a productivity revolution not seen since early this century… In the longer term, he’s betting that as the world moves into the 21st century and the NAlan Greenspan’s Brave New Worldew Economy takes root, more of the old economic rules will fall apart. - From “,” Business Week, July 13, 1997

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 05, 2014

Stock Market Record High Precedes a 1.25% Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Friday morning’s much anticipated March employment report delivered no surprises. The S&P 500 rallied at the opening bell and hit its all-time high a minute later. The index traded sideways for the next hour and then began a steady selloff to its -1.35% mid-afternoon low. At the closing bell the index had trimmed its loss to -1.25%, its fourth worst loss of the year, well off the -2.28% on February 3rd. The selling was most pronounced in tech stocks, with the NASDAQ plunging 2.60%, its second worst session in 2014 (the worst was -2.61% on February 3rd).

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 05, 2014

The Stock Market’s Annual Seasonality is a Real Concern This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Sy_Harding

As we move into April, it’s important to look at the stock market’s long history of making most of its gains each year in a favorable ‘season’ of November to April, while most of its corrections and bear market down-legs take place in an unfavorable season from May to October.

Many academic studies and investment strategies going back to the 1970’s have confirmed the pattern, long referred to as ‘Sell in May and Go Away’.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 05, 2014

Stock Markets Bubbles and Parabolic Slope Theory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Dan_Stinson

Parabolic Slope Theory


There has been extensive discussion questioning the current rally and if it has reached bubble status. Firstly, what is a bubble from a technical standpoint? A bubble is a parabolic advance in a market or stock where the price appears to move straight up without normal corrections. The corrections or pullbacks are small, sending the stock or index straight up. Greed and euphoria are high and complacency is low. The higher the market or stock moves, the bigger the bubble and the more pain on the way back down.

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