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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, December 02, 2013

Stock Market Rally Stretched to its Limit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - An important top formation is in the making.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 02, 2013

How Long Will the “Miracle on Wall Street” Stock Market Rally Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: As the key stock indices are going higher, there’s a growing concern among investors that we are reaching a top. There’s a significant amount of noise that says the key stock indices are running on nothing but free money and the fundamentals that drive them higher are dead. We’re hearing that it’s all going to fall soon.

To some degree, I agree that easy money has a hand in the rise of key stock indices, and that current corporate earnings aren’t all that impressive. However, while observing the markets over time, I have learned that tops and bottoms are not easy to predict; in fact, it’s impossible. That’s because it isn’t clear when they happen and they can only be identified once they have been made.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 02, 2013

Stock Market Rally Accelerates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. Seven of the eight indexes in my international focus group posted gains over the past week. After three weeks as the worst performer, India’s SENSEX topped the latest list with a 2.84% surge. Germany’s DAXK came in second with a 2.02% gain for the week. The S&P 500 finished seventh with a fractional 0.06% weekly gain to finish next to last, but that was enough to register the eighth consecutive positive weekly close, the longest stretch since the nine weeks in early 2004. The UK’s FTSE 100 was the sole loser, with a modest 0.36% decline.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 01, 2013

Ben Bernanke Financial Crisis Hero? / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

The true measure of a career is to be able to be content, even proud, that you succeeded through your own endeavors without leaving a trail of casualties in your wake. – Alan Greenspan

If economists could manage to get themselves thought of as humble, competent people on a level with dentists, that would be splendid. – John Maynard Keynes

And He spoke a parable to them: "Can the blind lead the blind? Will they not both fall into the ditch?" – Luke 6:39-40

Six years ago I hosted my first Thanksgiving in a Dallas high-rise, and my then-90-year-old mother came to celebrate, along with about 25 other family members and friends. We were ensconced in the 21st floor penthouse, carousing merrily, when the fire alarms went off and fire trucks began to descend on the building. There was indeed a fire, and we had to carry my poor mother down 21 flights of stairs through smoke and chaos as the firemen rushed to put out the fire. So much for the advanced fire-sprinkler system, which failed to work correctly.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 30, 2013

Stock Market Normal Bull or Bubble Bull? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

After making a new high at the open on Monday the market pulled back a bit, then bounced off that high for two more days. After the holiday the market opened above the high, rallied to SPX 1814, then pulled back in the last hour of trading. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.1%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.8%, and the DJ World index was +0.3%. On the economic front positive reports finally outpaced negative reports for the week. On the downtick: pending home sales, consumer confidence, durable goods orders, and the Chicago PMI. On the uptick: building permits, Case-Shiller, the FHFA, consumer sentiment, leading indicators, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week will be incredibly busy highlighted by: Q3 GDP, the monthly Payrolls, and the FED’s beige book.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 30, 2013

Is Bitcoin a Ponzi Scheme? / Stock-Markets / Bitcoin

By: Gary_North

I hereby make a prediction: Bitcoins will go down in history as the most spectacular private Ponzi scheme in history. It will dwarf anything dreamed of by Bernard Madoff. (It will never rival Social Security, however.)

To explain my position, I must do two things. First, I will describe the economics of every Ponzi scheme. Second, I will explain the Austrian school of economics’ theory of the origin of money. My analysis is strictly economic. As far as I know, it is a legal scheme — and should be.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 30, 2013

The Economist's Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: Fred_Sheehan

The disintegration of central banking shifted to overdrive in November. The Senate Banking Committee's listless accreditation of Janet Yellen as next Fed chairman was not a surprise, but it was notable that vigorous critics of Chairman Bernanke, such as Senator Bob Corker, dozed through the hearing. When the bubble of all bubbles bursts, and the Senate and Congressional oversight committees fulminate at central bankers, it will be those politicians who should sit in the dock. They could have acted. Instead, the Senate is whisking Bernanke-Squared to the throne, as quickly and quietly as possible.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 30, 2013

Stock Market All-Time Intraday High Fades at the Finish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. On a light day of post-Thanksgiving trading, the S&P 500 opened higher and rallied to its mid-morning intraday high, up 0.35%, which set a new all-time intraday high for the index. Action moved sideways until the lunch hour, selling dropped the index to its 0.18% intraday low, which was subsequently trimmed to a 0.08% loss at the 1 PM early close.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 30, 2013

Financial and Commodity Market Movers into 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“The World is Getting Closer to that End Game Every Day,” Jim Rickards, “Currency Wars, The Making of the Next Global Crisis”

Powerful Forces Extrinsic to the Markets will determine Key Market Moves over the next few months and beyond. We identify certain of those here and indicate how they are likely to affect the Markets.

For example, “Fundamentals,” Technicals, and Interventionals all now point to an Impending (extrinsically generated) Big Move to Climax in one Key Sector, which we identified in our December Letter.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 30, 2013

How My Time in Jail Helped Me Understand The Global Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: David_Hague

Dear reader, I must apologize for the dearth of my commentaries that are my attempt to help us interpret the complex global economic issues that bedevil our return to a normal, stable sustainable, sensible, state of global economic tranquility. My recent incarceration [more on that later] has made access to a computer somewhat problematic.

I was overwhelmed by the absurdity

Truthfully I have tried many times in recent months to apply my limited intelligence and nascent journalistic skills to analyze the current state of affairs. Each time I sat at my computer and prepared to put finger to keyboard, I was overwhelmed by the absurdity of our situation.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 29, 2013

Stock Market Euphoria During Troubled Times / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Stephen_Lendman

Major equity markets approach nosebleed levels. Experts disagree on whether bubble extremes approach. They’re not unusual. They happen often.

The myth about markets reflecting reality is hokum. Keynes once warned about “enterprise becom(ing) the bubble on a whirlpool of (destructive) speculation.” Hard times usually follows.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 28, 2013

Stock Market Rally the Biggest Case of “Financial Engineering” in History? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: Key stock indices are roaring higher each day. The S&P 500 is breaking through to new records; the Dow Jones Industrial Average sits above the 16,000 level, and the NASDAQ Composite Index trades at a level not seen since the Tech Boom. Sadly, as all of this happens, the one fundamental that has historically driven stock prices higher—corporate earnings—is missing from the equation.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 28, 2013

FOMC Open Letter - Recognizing the Valuation Bubble In Stock Market Equities / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: John_Mauldin

In today's Outside the Box, my friend John Hussman of Hussman Strategic Advisors addresses the members of the Federal Open Market Committee, the Federal Reserve committee that makes decisions about interest rates and national monetary policy. The Fed has been notoriously clueless about bubbles, particularly in the run-up to the Great Recession, and so John would like to help them recognize the currently inflating bubble in equities.

He leads off with the key point that when the Financial Accounting Standards Board abandoned the FAS 157 "mark-to-market" accounting standard on March 16, 2009, in response to Congressional pressure from the House Committee on Financial Services, the FASB removed at a stroke the threat of widespread insolvency by making insolvency opaque. In other words, anyone with anything to hide could now hide it. John goes on:

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 28, 2013

Riding The Profitable Wave, Stocks Secular Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE – The world’s economy is growing at a tepid pace and the majority of central banks are pursuing expansionary monetary policies.  Furthermore, the central banks of the developed world are engaged in unprecedented asset purchases and it appears as though this ‘stimulus’ will continue for the foreseeable future. 

Today, the US unemployment rate is well above the Federal Reserve’s target rate of 6.5% and the official Consumer Price Index is below the 2% level. Under these circumstances, it is hardly surprising that the Federal Reserve is continuing with its US$85 billion per month bond buying program. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Stock Markets Are on the Edge and So Are People / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I suspect that the sell-off in the last 20 minutes of the day may have been nothing more than traders taking their trades off the table so that they could enjoy an early Thanksgiving weekend.

But if that is the case, it shows just how thin and vulnerable the market is right now. Tomorrow will likely be another thinly traded day and we may see yet another episode like this, or worse, as even more traders prepare for the weekend.

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